|
|
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
---|
|
|
|
CINCINNATI | ARROYO | -152 |  | SAN FRANCISCO | LINCECUM | +152 | |
|
|
|
All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
---|
|
|
|
|
|
in all games | 55-43 | +0.1 | 234-194 | +1.8 | 1326-1377 | -24.9 | 47-48 | 194-207 | 1264-1290 | when the total is 7 or less | 12-6 | +5.6 | 36-29 | +6.1 | 48-65 | -11.5 | 9-7 | 28-29 | 46-50 | as a road underdog of +100 to +125 | 6-10 | -3.3 | 28-30 | +1 | 192-189 | +28.7 | 7-9 | 24-33 | 167-196 | in road games | 23-26 | -5.4 | 109-104 | +1.4 | 638-711 | +55.5 | 23-24 | 91-112 | 600-676 | on the road when the total is 7 or less | 9-6 | +2.5 | 31-27 | +3.5 | 43-59 | -10.1 | 8-5 | 25-26 | 41-45 | in July games | 9-7 | -0.6 | 39-29 | +3.1 | 213-226 | -14.7 | 6-9 | 29-34 | 208-206 | when playing on Monday | 10-3 | +6.9 | 27-24 | -0.9 | 144-141 | +10 | 5-8 | 21-29 | 146-131 | in games played on a grass field | 55-43 | +0.1 | 232-193 | +0 | 1095-1163 | -15.2 | 47-48 | 194-205 | 1044-1085 | in night games | 32-24 | +2.1 | 145-123 | -1.8 | 858-888 | -17.4 | 26-30 | 116-137 | 817-842 | against right-handed starters | 37-28 | -0.6 | 164-138 | -3.6 | 953-994 | -14.3 | 34-30 | 137-146 | 918-917 | after a loss | 26-16 | +7.7 | 114-76 | +27.4 | 678-689 | +18.4 | 17-24 | 90-93 | 660-638 | when playing against a team with a losing record | 32-16 | +8.3 | 132-91 | +8.7 | 692-610 | -3.9 | 23-25 | 99-110 | 609-616 | when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season | 5-4 | -1.4 | 69-45 | +8.6 | 388-312 | +28.6 | 2-7 | 44-58 | 319-330 |
|
|
|
|
in all games | 45-52 | -14.9 | 237-202 | +6.2 | 1472-1275 | +100 | 50-44 | 217-205 | 1323-1293 | when the total is 7 or less | 18-19 | -5.5 | 134-111 | -1.9 | 251-188 | +41.7 | 18-17 | 118-114 | 205-206 | at home with a money line of -100 to -125 | 9-5 | +3.2 | 33-21 | +9 | 169-142 | +4.3 | 7-6 | 22-29 | 143-151 | in home games | 27-21 | -1.8 | 127-92 | +4.3 | 800-572 | +72.5 | 23-22 | 95-113 | 631-671 | at home when the total is 7 or less | 14-13 | -3.8 | 94-69 | +1.3 | 163-106 | +24.3 | 15-10 | 73-80 | 123-126 | in July games | 6-10 | -6.2 | 33-33 | -4.6 | 225-212 | +3.7 | 8-7 | 36-28 | 211-208 | when playing on Monday | 4-7 | -3.6 | 26-22 | -0.4 | 173-110 | +59.6 | 6-4 | 30-17 | 134-133 | in games played on a grass field | 45-50 | -12.8 | 237-200 | +8.3 | 1409-1215 | +96.6 | 48-44 | 215-205 | 1251-1245 | in night games | 26-32 | -9.6 | 156-122 | +17.6 | 943-776 | +122.6 | 35-21 | 142-125 | 821-811 | against right-handed starters | 31-35 | -10.8 | 157-148 | -17.8 | 1078-933 | +60.9 | 38-28 | 159-135 | 989-929 | after a loss | 20-30 | -14.2 | 104-95 | -3 | 670-606 | +33.7 | 24-25 | 95-97 | 620-592 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 25-22 | +1.3 | 99-90 | +8.2 | 655-645 | +37.7 | 26-19 | 98-84 | 636-605 | when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season | 2-4 | -2.6 | 42-42 | +0.2 | 335-323 | +32.6 | 1-4 | 42-39 | 320-311 |
|
|
|
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
---|
|
|
|
|
|
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
---|
|
|
|
|
All Games | 55-43 | +0.1 | 47-48 | 4.3 | 0.250 | 0.322 | 3.7 | 0.235 | 0.293 | Road Games | 23-26 | -5.4 | 23-24 | 4.0 | 0.244 | 0.318 | 3.8 | 0.242 | 0.299 | vs Right-handed Starters | 37-28 | -0.6 | 34-30 | 4.6 | 0.252 | 0.323 | 3.8 | 0.241 | 0.298 | Past 7 Games | 4-3 | +0.7 | 4-2 | 4.4 | 0.261 | 0.345 | 3.9 | 0.253 | 0.309 | Grass Games | 55-43 | +0.1 | 47-48 | 4.3 | 0.250 | 0.322 | 3.7 | 0.235 | 0.293 | Night Games | 32-24 | +2.1 | 26-30 | 4.1 | 0.251 | 0.316 | 3.4 | 0.232 | 0.290 |
|
|
|
|
|
All Games | 4.3 | 0.250 | 0.322 | 98 | 3327 | 831 | 278 | 93 | 0.03 | 406 | 353 | 765 | 28 | 732 | 94 | 46 | 70 | 41 | Road Games | 4.0 | 0.244 | 0.318 | 49 | 1673 | 408 | 129 | 42 | 0.03 | 190 | 182 | 370 | 13 | 371 | 56 | 26 | 32 | 25 | Righty Starters | 4.6 | 0.252 | 0.323 | 65 | 2201 | 554 | 183 | 61 | 0.03 | 288 | 232 | 512 | 22 | 475 | 63 | 32 | 43 | 32 |
|
|
|
|
All Games | 3.38 | 1.214 | 279.3 | 112 | 105 | 224 | 29 | 115 | 296 | 17-16 | 27 | 10 | 73% | Road Games | 3.51 | 1.278 | 128.3 | 52 | 50 | 108 | 12 | 56 | 105 | 6-8 | 13 | 6 | 68.4% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
All Games | 45-52 | -14.9 | 50-44 | 4.0 | 0.263 | 0.318 | 4.4 | 0.248 | 0.313 | Home Games | 27-21 | -1.8 | 23-22 | 3.9 | 0.268 | 0.328 | 3.8 | 0.232 | 0.302 | vs Right-handed Starters | 31-35 | -10.8 | 38-28 | 3.9 | 0.258 | 0.316 | 4.5 | 0.249 | 0.315 | Past 7 Games | 5-2 | +2.4 | 3-3 | 4.4 | 0.277 | 0.342 | 2.7 | 0.196 | 0.280 | Grass Games | 45-50 | -12.7 | 48-44 | 4.0 | 0.262 | 0.317 | 4.2 | 0.244 | 0.310 | Night Games | 26-32 | -9.6 | 35-21 | 4.3 | 0.269 | 0.319 | 4.7 | 0.256 | 0.321 |
|
|
|
|
|
All Games | 4.0 | 0.263 | 0.318 | 97 | 3334 | 876 | 264 | 63 | 0.02 | 362 | 268 | 640 | 43 | 700 | 88 | 68 | 75 | 66 | Home Games | 3.9 | 0.268 | 0.328 | 48 | 1635 | 438 | 134 | 30 | 0.02 | 177 | 145 | 283 | 22 | 362 | 41 | 31 | 40 | 30 | Righty Starters | 3.9 | 0.258 | 0.316 | 66 | 2256 | 582 | 172 | 44 | 0.02 | 243 | 191 | 441 | 37 | 485 | 53 | 39 | 51 | 51 |
|
|
|
|
All Games | 3.22 | 1.301 | 304.3 | 116 | 109 | 279 | 23 | 117 | 277 | 14-17 | 24 | 9 | 72.7% | Home Games | 3.06 | 1.280 | 161.7 | 59 | 55 | 146 | 9 | 61 | 145 | 10-9 | 12 | 4 | 75% |
|
|
|
BRONSON ARROYO recent results and season statistics |
|
|
|
All Starts | 3.42 | 1.132 | 8-7 | 19 | 123.7 | 6.5 | 49 | 47 | 117 | 17 | 23 | 69 | 11-8 | +2.5 | 8-11 | Road Starts | 4.98 | 1.200 | 2-5 | 7 | 43.3 | 6.2 | 25 | 24 | 43 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 2-5 | -2.8 | 3-4 | Last 3 Starts | 2.37 | 0.684 | 2-1 | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 2-1 | +0.4 | 1-2 |
|
|
|
|
TIM LINCECUM recent results and season statistics |
|
|
|
All Starts | 4.26 | 1.332 | 5-9 | 19 | 116.3 | 6.1 | 61 | 55 | 107 | 10 | 48 | 125 | 8-11 | -4.3 | 11-8 | Home Starts | 4.12 | 1.136 | 3-3 | 9 | 59 | 6.6 | 28 | 27 | 46 | 5 | 21 | 66 | 4-5 | -2.3 | 5-4 | Last 3 Starts | 2.53 | 0.891 | 1-1 | 3 | 21.3 | 7.1 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 1-2 | -1 | 2-1 |
|
|
|
|
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
---|
|
|
CINCINNATI is 14-8 (+6.1 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons | 10 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.5 Units, Under=-0.2 Units) |
| |
CINCINNATI is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units) |
|
|
|
|
|
CINCINNATI is 6-4 (+3.3 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons | 6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.7 Units) |
| |
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
7/3/2013 | SAN FRANCISCO | 2 | +165 | | Under | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 0 | ZITO(L) | | 4 | 1 | 7 | 1 | | CINCINNATI | 3 | -175 | 8.5 ov | Win | 10 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | CINGRANI(L) | | 5.7 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7/2/2013 | SAN FRANCISCO | 0 | +165 | | Under | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | LINCECUM(R) | L | 5.3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | | CINCINNATI | 3 | -175 | 8.5 un | Win | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | BAILEY(R) | W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7/1/2013 | SAN FRANCISCO | 1 | +145 | | Over | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | KICKHAM(L) | L | 2.7 | 7 | 9 | 0 | | CINCINNATI | 8 | -155 | 8.5 ev | Win | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | ARROYO(R) | W | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
|
|
|
|
ARROYO is 5-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.58 and a WHIP of 1.255. | His team's record is 6-7 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-9. (-6.3 units) |
|
|
|
|
|
7/1/2013 | SAN FRANCISCO | 8-1 | -155 | 8.5 | Win,Over | W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | KICKHAM(L) | 10/7/2012 | at SAN FRANCISCO | 9-0 | +135 | 7 | Win,Over | W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | BUMGARNER(L) | 7/1/2012 | at SAN FRANCISCO | 3-4 | +140 | 7 | Loss | | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | VOGELSONG(R) |
|
|
|
|
LINCECUM is 0-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 6.85 and a WHIP of 1.567. | His team's record is 1-3 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.2 units) |
|
|
|
|
|
7/2/2013 | at CINCINNATI | 0-3 | +165 | 8.5 | Loss,Under | L | 5.3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | BAILEY(R) | 6/11/2011 | CINCINNATI | 2-10 | -150 | 6.5 | Loss,Over | L | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | LEAKE(R) | 8/18/2009 | at CINCINNATI | 8-5 | -220 | 7.5 | Win,Over | | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | BAILEY(R) |
|
|
|
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
---|
|
|
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1112, -113.3 units) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (171-187, -35.2 units) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (1153-1078, -24.3 units) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 49.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (182-188, -26.6 units) | |
|
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (863-788, -33.3 units) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (136-122, -0.8 units) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (835-788, -68.9 units) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 50.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (119-117, -11.6 units) | |
|
|
|
|
[P] 06/28/2013 - Johnny Cueto 15-day DL (6/29) ( Side ) | [P] 06/15/2013 - Jonathan Broxton 15-day DL (6/14) ( Elbow ) | [P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder ) | [C] 07/11/2013 - Ryan Hanigan 15-day DL (7/10) ( Wrist ) | [LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder ) | [P] 05/24/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (5/21) ( Shoulder ) | |
[CF] 06/07/2013 - Angel Pagan 60-day DL (5/28) ( Hamstring ) | [C] 07/11/2013 - Hector Sanchez 15-day DL (7/9) ( Shoulder ) | [P] 07/21/2013 - Jeremy Affeldt 15-day DL (7/20) ( Groin ) | [3B] 07/08/2013 - Joaquin Arias 15-day DL (7/8) ( Appendix ) | [P] 05/21/2013 - Ryan Vogelsong 60-day DL (5/20) ( Hand ) |
|
|