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Matchup Reports

Tuesday at 8:15 PM
CINCINNATI (74-58) AT ST LOUIS (77-54) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
907: CINCINNATI
908: ST LOUIS
8.0
+108
74-58
77-54
62-64-6
65-62-4
4.3 / 3.7
4.9 / 3.7
(R) M LATOS
(R) J KELLY
13-4
5-1
2.93
2.08
1.21
1.25
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Fair   Temperature: 66.0 °
Humidity: 23   Wind: from the West at 11.5 gusting to 19.6 MPH (10 gusting to 17
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATILATOS +130 
ST LOUISKELLY-130 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games74-58-0.7253-209+11345-1392-25.762-64209-2231279-1306
on the road with a money line of -100 to -12510-10-1.431-40-14130-129-15.512-631-36112-127
in road games33-34-5.3119-112+1.6648-719+55.730-3498-122607-686
in August games14-9+1.147-34+4.5239-238+9.812-941-32235-213
when playing on Tuesday9-10-4.538-30+1.9196-211-10.78-1029-36175-212
against division opponents32-26-2.9123-93+6641-634+6.628-2996-106599-596
in games played on a grass field74-58-0.7251-208-0.81114-1178-1662-64209-2211059-1101
in night games44-36-1.9157-135-5.7870-900-21.337-40127-147828-852
against right-handed starters52-36+2.4179-146-0.6968-1002-11.346-39149-155930-926
after a loss35-22+9.2123-82+28.9687-695+19.924-3297-101667-646
when playing against a team with a winning record26-31-9.995-102-12.5568-702-20.926-2589-92579-618
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season11-11-1.139-41-4.6253-348-3010-837-34274-284

ST LOUIS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games77-54+5.5274-214+7.21534-1281-165-62246-2251343-1335
as a home underdog of +100 to +1251-0+1.16-5+1.676-61+20.51-08-364-66
in home games40-24+2144-97+0.8831-573+20.429-33114-118643-686
in August games15-10+1.246-36-2.1265-212-1.213-1141-37218-230
when playing on Tuesday13-7+443-27+9.2232-186-0.37-1231-36198-204
against division opponents33-22+3.5126-92+3.6705-576-33.230-24111-99611-611
in games played on a grass field77-54+5.5273-212+81470-1203+16.465-62245-2231277-1269
in night games50-38-1.6185-141+10.1979-843-3341-43160-153867-861
against right-handed starters62-34+17.4203-150+15.41128-897+60.949-44176-164977-951
after a win39-36-9.8144-127-19815-705-59.637-35128-133716-726
when playing against a team with a winning record30-28-4.5104-102-12.4635-607-3.330-27105-93575-599
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season10-13-4.665-55+8.4348-317+32.310-1258-57297-335
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/13/2013BAILEY(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)6-4W-1407 ovO8100751
8/14/2013ARROYO(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSRUSIN(L)5-0W-1408 unU740221
8/15/2013CINGRANI(L)@ MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)2-1W-1307.5 unU650631
8/16/2013LEAKE(R)@ MILWAUKEEGORZELANNY(L)6-7L-1358 unO10801280
8/17/2013LATOS(R)@ MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)0-2L-1558 ovU540660
8/18/2013BAILEY(R)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)9-1W-1558 unO1080431
8/19/2013ARROYO(R)ARIZONADELGADO(R)5-3W-1608 evP8501060
8/20/2013CINGRANI(L)ARIZONACORBIN(L)2-5L-1357 unP641740
8/21/2013LEAKE(R)ARIZONAMCCARTHY(R)10-7W-1458.5 unO15711080
8/22/2013LATOS(R)ARIZONACAHILL(R)2-1W-1807.5 ovU560761
8/23/2013BAILEY(R)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)4-6L-1908 unO1082981
8/24/2013ARROYO(R)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)6-3W-1958.5 unO1490851
8/25/2013REYNOLDS(R)MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R)1-3L-1508.5 ovU550771
8/26/2013LEAKE(R)@ ST LOUISLYONS(L)6-8L-1059 unO650831
8/27/2013LATOS(R)@ ST LOUISKELLY(R) 
8/28/2013BAILEY(R)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R) 
8/30/2013ARROYO(R)@ COLORADOMANSHIP(R) 
8/31/2013REYNOLDS(R)@ COLORADODE LA ROSA(L) 
9/1/2013LEAKE(R)@ COLORADONICASIO(R) 
9/2/2013LATOS(R)ST LOUISKELLY(R) 
9/3/2013 ST LOUIS  

ST LOUIS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/13/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)PITTSBURGHMORTON(R)4-3W-1707 ovP1417010112
8/14/2013MILLER(R)PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)1-5L-1256.5 unU421851
8/15/2013LYNN(R)PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R)6-5W-1157 unO12801390
8/16/2013WESTBROOK(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSARRIETA(R)0-7L-1258.5 unU251960
8/17/2013KELLY(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)4-0W-1258 evU550570
8/18/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)6-1W-1757.5 evU880671
8/19/2013MILLER(R)@ MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R)8-5W-1508 evO169111110
8/20/2013LYNN(R)@ MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)3-6L-1258 ovO8811080
8/21/2013WESTBROOK(R)@ MILWAUKEEGORZELANNY(L)8-6W-1159.5 unO125114141
8/22/2013KELLY(R)ATLANTAMAHOLM(L)6-2W-1408.5 unU970981
8/23/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)ATLANTAMEDLEN(R)3-1W-1507 ovU850650
8/24/2013MILLER(R)ATLANTATEHERAN(R)6-2W-1307.5 unO1091760
8/25/2013LYNN(R)ATLANTAMINOR(L)2-5L-1207.5 unU8601040
8/26/2013LYONS(L)CINCINNATILEAKE(R)8-6W-1059 unO831650
8/27/2013KELLY(R)CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
8/28/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R) 
8/30/2013MILLER(R)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L) 
8/31/2013LYNN(R)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R) 
9/1/2013LYONS(L)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L) 
9/2/2013KELLY(R)@ CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
9/3/2013 @ CINCINNATI  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games74-58-0.762-644.30.2480.3193.70.2360.291
Road Games33-34-5.330-344.10.2430.3163.50.2390.292
vs Right-handed Starters52-36+2.446-394.60.2530.3263.70.2410.297
Past 7 Games3-4-2.84-24.40.2620.3064.70.2380.287
Grass Games74-58-0.762-644.30.2480.3193.70.2360.291
Night Games44-36-1.937-404.10.2510.3173.50.2350.291
Division32-26-2.928-294.20.2370.3154.00.2440.302
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2480.319132446111063671270.03541465103141953125649253
Road Games4.10.2430.316672279554179580.032642425002348277314732
Righty Starters4.60.2530.326882964749239840.033843246873263487486038
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.561.2063691551463004514539619-22381374.5%
Road Games3.531.215163676413416641497-1318966.7%

ST LOUIS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games77-54+5.565-624.90.2720.3293.70.2490.306
Home Games40-24+229-334.60.2760.3323.60.2380.293
vs Right-handed Starters62-34+17.449-445.20.2800.3383.60.2450.301
Past 7 Games5-2+2.64-35.10.2730.3334.00.2590.303
Grass Games77-54+5.565-624.90.2720.3293.70.2490.306
Night Games50-38-1.641-434.90.2770.3353.80.2420.298
Division33-22+3.530-245.10.2740.3313.80.2480.312
ST LOUIS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.90.2720.329131450312233881060.02611385890368871446115330
Home Games4.60.2760.332642133589172460.022781793761742773277214
Righty Starters5.20.2800.338963322931290830.02480291639246511114410925
ST LOUIS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.631.290366.71551483502912334715-16371571.2%
Home Games4.281.346185918818012691808-922873.3%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MAT LATOS recent results and season statistics
MAT LATOS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.931.21313-4261696.56355156114916617-9+3.813-12
Road Starts2.951.2295-31597.76.5383295425948-7-0.78-6
Last 3 Starts1.170.8702-13237.7331703212-1+0.40-3
MAT LATOS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/22/2013ARIZONA2-1-1807.5Win,UnderW8115006CAHILL(R)
8/17/2013at MILWAUKEE0-2-1558Loss,UnderL7226036GALLARDO(R)
8/12/2013at CHICAGO CUBS2-0-1407.5Win,UnderW8006009WOOD(L)

JOE KELLY recent results and season statistics
JOE KELLY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games3.011.3745-33383.7-29288483158---
All Starts2.081.2505-19525.8141244321307-2+54-5
Home Starts3.491.2712-1528.35.713112739134-1+33-2
Last 3 Starts2.601.3272-0317.35.8651617123-0+31-2
JOE KELLY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/22/2013ATLANTA6-2-1408.5Win,UnderW6227123MAHOLM(L)
8/17/2013at CHICAGO CUBS4-0-1258Win,UnderW6004036WOOD(L)
8/11/2013CHICAGO CUBS8-4-1658Win,Over 5.3435023JACKSON(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 23-20 (+0.1 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
22 of 42 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.5 Units)
Games this season
ST LOUIS is 9-4 (+4.9 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.7 Units)

All games at ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 14-8 (+3.2 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
12 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)
Games played at ST LOUIS this season.
ST LOUIS is 5-2 (+2.7 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
8/26/2013CINCINNATI6-105 Over61050LEAKE(R) 6.3571
 ST LOUIS8-1059 unWin82031LYONS(L) 5132
8/4/2013ST LOUIS15+120  193070LYNN(R)W8242
 CINCINNATI2-1308.5 unOver41032LEAKE(R)L5782
8/3/2013ST LOUIS3+155 Over40061WESTBROOK(R)L5545
 CINCINNATI8-1658.5 unWin930100CINGRANI(L)W5345
8/2/2013ST LOUIS13-105  143090MILLER(R)W5353
 CINCINNATI3-1058 unOver61050ARROYO(R)L3.7781
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MAT LATOS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LATOS is 4-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.28 and a WHIP of 1.566.
His team's record is 6-4 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+0.9 units)
MAT LATOS recent starts vs. ST LOUIS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/8/2013ST LOUIS4-2-1508.5Win,UnderW7228005LYONS(L)
4/29/2013at ST LOUIS2-1+1207Win,UnderW6005034WAINWRIGHT(R)
4/8/2013at ST LOUIS13-4+1057.5Win,Over 6414015GARCIA(L)

JOE KELLY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.
JOE KELLY recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1121, -106.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 49.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (189-196, -28.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (1145-1129, -76.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 53.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (218-191, +8.6 units)
Edge=ST LOUIS
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (879-801, -32.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (152-135, +0.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (877-898, -146.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 48.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (144-151, -25.6 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[P] 08/24/2013 - Tony Cingrani 15-day DL (8/24) ( Back )
[P] 08/22/2013 - Jonathan Broxton 60-day DL (8/21) ( Elbow )
[C] 08/10/2013 - Corky Miller 15-day DL (8/10) ( Quad )
[P] 06/28/2013 - Johnny Cueto 60-day DL (6/29) ( Side )
[P] 05/24/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (5/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
ST LOUIS
[P] 08/23/2013 - Jake Westbrook 15-day DL (8/22) ( Back )
[C] 08/15/2013 - Tony Cruz 15-day DL (8/15) ( Forearm )
[P] 05/26/2013 - John Gast 15-day DL (5/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/18/2013 - Jaime Garcia 60-day DL (5/18), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Jason Motte 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Elbow )
[SS] 03/31/2013 - Rafael Furcal 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Chris Carpenter 60-day DL (2/22) ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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