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Matchup Reports

Tuesday at 8:15 PM
CINCINNATI (96-64) AT ST LOUIS (87-73) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
911: CINCINNATI
912: ST LOUIS
7.0
-126
96-64
87-73
60-87-13
77-77-6
4.2 / 3.7
4.8 / 4.0
(R) M LATOS
(R) C CARPENTER
13-4
0-1
3.52
3.27
1.16
0.91
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Fair   Temperature: 66.0 °
Humidity: 23   Wind: from the West at 11.5 gusting to 19.6 MPH (10 gusting to 17
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATILATOS +111 
ST LOUISCARPENTER-111 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games96-64+17.7268-221+16.11268-1330-23.160-87220-2311213-1239
when the total is 7 or less14-13-0.425-31-633-58-19.410-1421-2434-42
as a road underdog of +100 to +1257-7+0.632-31+4.7184-179+29.75-930-31159-186
in road games46-33+10.9125-118+8.6612-684+58.727-47104-123575-650
on the road when the total is 7 or less13-12-0.123-29-5.831-53-16.29-1319-2331-39
in October games0-1-12-5-3.57-21-15.90-12-58-20
when playing on Tuesday15-8+6.641-30+7.7186-200-67-1633-35167-200
against division opponents48-29+10.1139-96+25.9608-607+9.727-43101-114571-565
in games played on a grass field96-64+17.7266-220+14.31037-1116-13.460-87220-229993-1034
in night games58-46+1.5172-146+6823-863-21.738-58147-151789-810
against right-handed starters64-46+6.3183-158+3.1914-963-1240-59155-157882-884
after a loss41-22+15.6127-90+30.5650-671+11.228-33108-96640-613
when playing against a team with a winning record36-28+792-106-12.4539-667-9.222-3789-91549-590
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season12-7+4.137-50-12.9239-333-27.15-1139-39260-273

ST LOUIS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games87-73-5.3274-229-21.71449-1220-7.777-77242-2411270-1267
when the total is 7 or less7-14-9.640-38-7.876-77-6.712-745-2878-62
at home with a money line of -100 to -1258-7027-19+5136-117+1.68-622-22112-127
as a home favorite of -125 to -15017-13-0.945-31+2.3220-172-1716-1337-36190-183
in home games49-30+5.3151-99-1787-546+17.940-35113-123612-648
at home when the total is 7 or less4-4-1.820-14-0.936-24+4.56-121-1029-27
in October games1-0+115-7+10.658-48+7.90-110-1144-57
when playing on Tuesday14-10+0.537-35-10.7219-178-3.110-1334-33191-191
against division opponents44-31+2.4131-108-24.3671-553-36.736-36114-112581-585
in games played on a grass field87-73-5.3271-226-21.71385-1142+9.777-77240-2371204-1201
in night games54-48-6.1185-146-1925-800-30.244-55160-158821-815
against right-handed starters56-56-14.8194-160-11.51060-859+40.950-58169-173922-904
after a win47-39-2.9143-128-24.8772-664-48.538-46118-139674-687
when playing against a team with a winning record24-34-18.4102-93-2.6597-572-0.131-2491-94537-566
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season16-17-4.370-46+24.1330-297+35.718-1456-54279-317
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/18/2012BAILEY(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSGERMANO(R)3-1W-1557.5 unU460450
9/19/2012LEAKE(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSRUSIN(L)6-5W-14514 unU131119101
9/20/2012CUETO(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSBERKEN(R)5-3W-1458.5 ovU98011110
9/21/2012ARROYO(R)LA DODGERSBLANTON(R)1-3L-1358 unU470770
9/22/2012LATOS(R)LA DODGERSFIFE(R)6-0W-1808 evU880651
9/23/2012BAILEY(R)LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)3-5L+1357.5 unO6101851
9/25/2012CUETO(R)MILWAUKEEFIERS(R)4-2W-1457.5 ovU960510
9/26/2012ARROYO(R)MILWAUKEEMARCUM(R)1-8L-1308.5 evO6901390
9/27/2012LATOS(R)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)2-1W-1658 evU650550
9/28/2012BAILEY(R)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R)1-0W-1157 unU741010
9/29/2012LEAKE(R)@ PITTSBURGHMCPHERSON(R)1-2L-1258.5 evU7928120
9/30/2012CUETO(R)@ PITTSBURGHRODRIGUEZ(L)4-3W-1507.5 unU1073770
10/1/2012ARROYO(R)@ ST LOUISGARCIA(L)2-4L1307.5 unU650961
10/2/2012LATOS(R)@ ST LOUISCARPENTER(R) 
10/3/2012 @ ST LOUIS  

ST LOUIS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/18/2012LOHSE(R)HOUSTONABAD(L)4-1W-3208 unU960771
9/19/2012LYNN(R)HOUSTONHARRELL(R)5-0W-2257.5 unU851581
9/20/2012GARCIA(L)HOUSTONNORRIS(R)5-4W-2308 ovO98110110
9/21/2012CARPENTER(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSVOLSTAD(R)4-5L-1709.5 unU81101390
9/22/2012WAINWRIGHT(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)5-4W-1608 evO10130861
9/23/2012LOHSE(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSGERMANO(R)6-3W-1757.5 evO1292760
9/24/2012LYNN(R)@ HOUSTONABAD(L)6-1W-2108 ovU970673
9/25/2012GARCIA(L)@ HOUSTONHARRELL(R)4-0W-1458 unU9101750
9/26/2012CARPENTER(R)@ HOUSTONNORRIS(R)0-2L-1808 ovU341541
9/28/2012WAINWRIGHT(R)WASHINGTONJACKSON(R)12-2W-1357.5 unO1150681
9/29/2012LOHSE(R)WASHINGTONZIMMERMANN(R)4-6L-1157.5 unO117013100
9/30/2012LYNN(R)WASHINGTONDETWILER(L)10-4W-1458 unO1280751
10/1/2012GARCIA(L)CINCINNATIARROYO(R)4-2W-1407.5 unU961650
10/2/2012CARPENTER(R)CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
10/3/2012 CINCINNATI  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games96-64+17.760-874.20.2520.3133.70.2470.302
Road Games46-33+10.927-474.00.2480.3043.50.2440.302
vs Right-handed Starters64-46+6.340-594.00.2510.3133.60.2460.299
Past 7 Games4-3+0.41-62.10.2300.2782.90.2110.267
Grass Games96-64+17.760-874.20.2520.3133.70.2470.302
Night Games58-46+1.538-584.00.2500.3103.70.2470.305
Division48-29+10.127-434.00.2500.3093.50.2470.299
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.20.2520.313160541313664951710.0363347712478711231248911277
Road Games4.00.2480.304792765687242680.023012206094557067524731
Righty Starters4.00.2510.31311036819253341080.034153298446776783597552
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.681.222426.31431273423317947131-21551776.4%
Road Games3.211.4341827365172138920411-13311075.6%

ST LOUIS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games87-73-5.377-774.80.2720.3354.00.2560.310
Home Games49-30+5.340-355.10.2860.3463.70.2500.303
vs Right-handed Starters56-56-14.850-584.40.2650.3283.90.2510.306
Past 7 Games5-2+23-45.70.2760.3512.40.2170.253
Grass Games87-73-5.377-774.80.2720.3354.00.2560.310
Night Games54-48-6.144-554.50.2690.3323.90.2580.313
Division44-31+2.536-365.00.2780.3463.60.2490.297
ST LOUIS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2720.335160555815114831590.03730530117590118316410614856
Home Games5.10.2860.346792729780259760.033902525534957678507628
Righty Starters4.40.2650.32811238921033312910.02467360825698271167710643
ST LOUIS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.951.275467.42122054315516543016-27412265.1%
Home Games3.451.196245989421629772208-10221166.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MAT LATOS recent results and season statistics
MAT LATOS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.521.16513-432204.36.48680175256318122-10+9.613-16
Road Starts4.071.2305-11379.76.1393671727837-6-0.16-6
Last 3 Starts1.990.8821-0322.77.6551614183-0+31-2
MAT LATOS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/27/2012MILWAUKEE2-1-1658Win,Under 7113113PERALTA(R)
9/22/2012LA DODGERS6-0-1808Win,UnderW8006007FIFE(R)
9/16/2012at MIAMI5-4-1308Win,Over 7.7447038NOLASCO(R)

CHRIS CARPENTER recent results and season statistics
CHRIS CARPENTER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.270.9090-12115.54491150-2-3.50-2
Home Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts3.270.9090-12115.54491150-2-3.50-2
CHRIS CARPENTER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/26/2012at HOUSTON0-2-1808Loss,UnderL6224103NORRIS(R)
9/21/2012at CHICAGO CUBS4-5-1709.5Loss,Under 5225012VOLSTAD(R)
10/28/2011TEXAS6-2-1257.5Win,OverW6226025HARRISON(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 25-21 (-1.1 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
21 of 43 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-2.2 Units, Under=-2.0 Units)
Games this season
ST LOUIS is 7-6 (+0.5 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

All games at ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 14-8 (+1.7 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
11 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)
Games played at ST LOUIS this season.
ST LOUIS is 3-1 (+1.5 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
10/1/2012CINCINNATI2+130 Under60050ARROYO(R)L5361
 ST LOUIS4-1407.5 unWin91061GARCIA(L)W6.7261
8/26/2012ST LOUIS8-135  171080WAINWRIGHT(R)W5.7260
 CINCINNATI2+1258.5 unOver70040BAILEY(R)L6590
8/25/2012ST LOUIS2-115 Over110070GARCIA(L)L6472
 CINCINNATI8+1059 unWin122070LEAKE(R)W6.72100
8/24/2012ST LOUIS8+110  142171LYNN(R) 2462
 CINCINNATI5-1208.5 unOver1300110LATOS(R)L5791
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MAT LATOS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LATOS is 1-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 10.24 and a WHIP of 1.966.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.8 units)
MAT LATOS recent starts vs. ST LOUIS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/24/2012ST LOUIS5-8-1208.5Loss,OverL5779215LYNN(R)
7/13/2012ST LOUIS5-3-1258Win 5224035WAINWRIGHT(R)
4/18/2012at ST LOUIS1-11+1107.5Loss,OverL5.7889136GARCIA(L)

CHRIS CARPENTER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
CARPENTER is 14-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.48 and a WHIP of 0.912.
His team's record is 16-7 (+4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-14. (-6.0 units)
CHRIS CARPENTER recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/2/2011CINCINNATI8-11-1557.5Loss,Over 6668115CUETO(R)
7/16/2011at CINCINNATI4-1-1308.5Win,UnderW8117037ARROYO(R)
7/4/2011CINCINNATI1-0-1207Win,UnderW8006013CUETO(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1067, -100.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (198-214, -31.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 50% of the time since 1997. (1075-1077, -89.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 49.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (211-213, -25.2 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (818-743, -26.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 51.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (132-124, -5.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (821-831, -125.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (123-127, -17.3 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[P] 04/27/2012 - Ryan Madson 60-day DL (3/24), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 06/15/2012 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 08/01/2012 - Bill Bray 15-day DL (7/31) ( Back )
ST LOUIS
[P] 07/12/2012 - Kyle McClellan 60-day DL (5/17); out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 08/14/2012 - Brian Fuentes placed on restricted list; out indefinitely ( Personal )
[SS] 08/30/2012 - Rafael Furcal 15-day DL (8/30), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 09/09/2012 - Jake Westbrook out indefinitely ( Oblique )
[1B] 09/11/2012 - Lance Berkman out indefinitely ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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