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Matchup Reports

Monday at 4:15 PM
CINCINNATI (4-2) AT ST LOUIS (3-3) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
953: CINCINNATI
954: ST LOUIS
7.5
-117
4-2
3-3
5-1-0
3-3-0
6.3 / 3.5
6.2 / 4.0
(R) M LATOS
(L) J GARCIA
0-0
1-0
4.05
1.59
1.20
1.06
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Fair   Temperature: 66.0 °
Humidity: 23   Wind: from the West at 11.5 gusting to 19.6 MPH (10 gusting to 17
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATILATOS +106 
ST LOUISGARCIA-106 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games4-2+1.6183-153+3.41275-1336-23.45-1152-1601222-1243
as a road underdog of +100 to +1250-0022-20+4.2186-179+320-017-24160-187
in road games0-0086-78+6.9615-685+610-068-88577-652
in April games4-2+1.628-26-2.4195-197+8.45-130-23196-179
when playing on Monday0-1-1.217-22-9134-139+20-116-22141-124
against division opponents0-0091-67+8.9609-608+9.50-068-77571-567
in day games2-2-0.468-54+5.2442-469-9.43-160-53426-426
in games played on a grass field4-2+1.6181-152+1.61044-1122-13.75-1152-1581002-1038
against left-handed starters1-1-0.353-42+4.4356-369-11.62-046-43335-355
after a win2-1+0.791-92-19.3617-658-33.63-076-89574-623

ST LOUIS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games3-3+0.3200-163+21460-1230-6.23-3184-1661281-1276
at home with a money line of -100 to -1250-0023-18+1.9138-119+1.20-019-20113-130
in home games0-00104-73-1.2791-549+18.30-085-85614-653
in April games3-3+0.333-21+8.4227-167+32.53-325-28190-187
when playing on Monday0-1-121-17+0.5142-119+2.40-118-18124-133
against division opponents0-0093-70+0.1672-554-36.70-081-75581-587
in day games2-1+1.364-58-8.7526-416+29.62-164-54449-451
in games played on a grass field3-3+0.3199-161+2.81396-1152+11.23-3183-1641215-1210
against right-handed starters3-2+1.3144-118-0.71069-865+44.83-2130-122931-909
after a win1-1+0.1106-92-9777-670-49.62-093-98681-691
when playing against a team with a winning record2-1+1.376-75-6.6607-580+2.42-177-67547-573
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/1/2013CUETO(R)LA ANGELSWEAVER(R)1-3L-1157.5 unU31016123
4/3/2013LATOS(R)LA ANGELSWILSON(L)5-4W-1207.5 unO691962
4/4/2013ARROYO(R)LA ANGELSBLANTON(R)5-4W+1058 unO7301191
4/5/2013BAILEY(R)WASHINGTONHAREN(R)15-0W-1258 unO1960582
4/6/2013LEAKE(R)WASHINGTONDETWILER(L)6-7L-1308.5 unO131101063
4/7/2013CUETO(R)WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R)6-3W-1107 unO11130871
4/8/2013LATOS(R)@ ST LOUISGARCIA(L) 
4/9/2013ARROYO(R)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R) 
4/10/2013 @ ST LOUIS  
4/12/2013 @ PITTSBURGH  
4/13/2013 @ PITTSBURGH  
4/14/2013 @ PITTSBURGH  
4/15/2013 PHILADELPHIA  

ST LOUIS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/1/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)@ ARIZONAKENNEDY(R)2-6L-1058.5 ovU5211580
4/2/2013GARCIA(L)@ ARIZONACAHILL(R)6-1W1109 unU1071370
4/3/2013LYNN(R)@ ARIZONAMCCARTHY(R)9-10L-1059 unO1612017151
4/5/2013WESTBROOK(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOZITO(L)0-1L1057.5 ovU3416110
4/6/2013MILLER(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOVOGELSONG(R)6-3W1107 unO1160780
4/7/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOCAIN(R)14-3W1206.5 evO15601062
4/8/2013GARCIA(L)CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
4/9/2013LYNN(R)CINCINNATIARROYO(R) 
4/10/2013 CINCINNATI  
4/12/2013 MILWAUKEE  
4/13/2013 MILWAUKEE  
4/14/2013 MILWAUKEE  
4/15/2013 @ PITTSBURGH  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games4-2+1.65-16.30.2600.3233.50.2210.291
vs Left-handed Starters1-1-0.32-05.50.2500.3215.50.2500.313
Past 7 Games4-2+1.65-16.30.2600.3233.50.2210.291
Grass Games4-2+1.65-16.30.2600.3233.50.2210.291
Day Games2-2-0.43-14.50.2210.2864.20.2230.291
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games6.30.2600.32362275923110.053521533523250
Lefty Starters5.50.2500.32127619720.0398181202130
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.421.07522.3761638241-22166.7%
Road Games0.000.00000000000-000100.0%

ST LOUIS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games3-3+0.33-36.20.2610.3094.00.2610.331
vs Right-handed Starters3-2+1.33-27.40.2820.3264.60.2680.327
Past 7 Games3-3+0.33-36.20.2610.3094.00.2610.331
Grass Games3-3+0.33-36.20.2610.3094.00.2610.331
Day Games2-1+1.32-16.70.2790.3302.30.2400.318
ST LOUIS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games6.20.2610.3096230601740.023616541375342
Righty Starters7.40.2820.3265202571740.023613481333232
ST LOUIS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.801.18323.710102236210-11150%
Home Games0.000.00000000000-000100.0%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MAT LATOS recent results and season statistics
MAT LATOS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.051.1990-016.76.73372181-0+11-0
Road Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts4.051.1990-016.76.73372181-0+11-0
MAT LATOS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/3/2013LA ANGELS5-4-1207.5Win,Over 6.7337218WILSON(L)
10/11/2012SAN FRANCISCO4-6-1257Loss,OverL4.3657114CAIN(R)
10/2/2012at ST LOUIS3-1+1157Win,UnderW5114014CARPENTER(R)

JAIME GARCIA recent results and season statistics
JAIME GARCIA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts1.591.0581-015.75.71121441-0+1.10-1
Home Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts1.591.0581-015.75.71121441-0+1.10-1
JAIME GARCIA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/2/2013at ARIZONA6-1+1109Win,UnderW5.7112144CAHILL(R)
10/8/2012WASHINGTON12-4-1057.5Win,Over 2112033ZIMMERMANN(R)
10/1/2012CINCINNATI4-2-1407.5Win,UnderW6.7226016ARROYO(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 16-14 (+3.6 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
14 of 29 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-2.2 Units, Under=-1.3 Units)
Games this season
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 9-6 (+0.5 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.6 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)
Games played at ST LOUIS this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MAT LATOS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LATOS is 2-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.824.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.8 units)
MAT LATOS recent starts vs. ST LOUIS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/2/2012at ST LOUIS3-1+1157Win,UnderW5114014CARPENTER(R)
8/24/2012ST LOUIS5-8-1208.5Loss,OverL5779215LYNN(R)
7/13/2012ST LOUIS5-3-1258Win 5224035WAINWRIGHT(R)

JAIME GARCIA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
GARCIA is 8-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.315.
His team's record is 8-3 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+0.8 units)
JAIME GARCIA recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/1/2012CINCINNATI4-2-1407.5Win,UnderW6.7226016ARROYO(R)
8/25/2012at CINCINNATI2-8-1159Loss,OverL6447125LEAKE(R)
4/18/2012CINCINNATI11-1-1207.5Win,OverW7117033LATOS(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ST LOUIS in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1073, -103.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (134-148, -25.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 50% of the time since 1997. (1083-1085, -89.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 51.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (156-147, -4.1 units)
Edge=CINCINNATI
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (821-749, -30.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (94-83, +2.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (830-838, -124.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 51.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (97-91, -3.3 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 15-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
ST LOUIS
[P] 03/31/2013 - Chris Carpenter 60-day DL (2/22) ( Shoulder )
[3B] 04/08/2013 - David Freese is upgraded to probable Monday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Back )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Jason Motte 15-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[SS] 03/31/2013 - Rafael Furcal 15-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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