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Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 8:15 PM
CINCINNATI (74-59) AT ST LOUIS (78-54) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
959: CINCINNATI
960: ST LOUIS
7.5
-138
74-59
78-54
62-65-6
65-63-4
4.3 / 3.7
4.9 / 3.7
(R) H BAILEY
(R) A WAINWRIGHT
8-10
15-7
3.71
2.58
1.15
1.03
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Fair   Temperature: 66.0 °
Humidity: 23   Wind: from the West at 11.5 gusting to 19.6 MPH (10 gusting to 17
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATIBAILEY +137 
ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT-137 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games74-59-1.9253-210-0.21345-1393-26.962-65209-2241279-1307
as a road underdog of +125 to +1500-5-510-18-3.8158-189+26.32-315-10178-151
in road games33-35-6.5119-113+0.4648-720+54.530-3598-123607-687
in August games14-10-0.147-35+3.3239-239+8.612-1041-33235-214
when playing on Wednesday15-6+8.143-31+6.2197-225-22.29-1228-43193-206
against division opponents32-27-4.1123-94+4.8641-635+5.428-3096-107599-597
in games played on a grass field74-59-1.9251-209-21114-1179-17.262-65209-2221059-1102
in night games44-37-3.1157-136-6.9870-901-22.537-41127-148828-853
against right-handed starters52-37+1.2179-147-1.8968-1003-12.546-40149-156930-927
after a loss35-23+8123-83+27.7687-696+18.724-3397-102667-647
after 3 or more consecutive losses7-4+1.118-14-0.4159-190-23.82-814-17182-150
when playing against a team with a winning record26-32-1195-103-13.7568-703-22.126-2689-93579-619
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season11-12-2.339-42-5.8253-349-31.210-937-35274-285

ST LOUIS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games78-54+6.6275-214+8.31535-1281+0.165-63246-2261343-1336
as a home favorite of -125 to -1507-4+1.642-31-0.3228-178-17.25-635-36196-191
as a home favorite of -150 to -17515-8+2.147-28+2.5231-136+13.411-1136-35167-177
in home games41-24+3.1145-97+1.9832-573+21.529-34114-119643-687
in August games16-10+2.447-36-1266-212-0.113-1241-38218-231
when playing on Wednesday12-8+1.645-32+5240-192+1110-835-39206-204
against division opponents34-22+4.6127-92+4.7706-576-32.130-25111-100611-612
in games played on a grass field78-54+6.6274-212+9.11471-1203+17.565-63245-2241277-1270
in night games51-38-0.5186-141+11.2980-843-31.941-44160-154867-862
against right-handed starters63-34+18.5204-150+16.51129-897+6249-45176-165977-952
after a win40-36-8.7145-127-17.8816-705-58.537-36128-134716-727
when playing against a team with a winning record31-28-3.4105-102-11.3636-607-2.230-28105-94575-600
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season11-13-3.566-55+9.5349-317+33.410-1358-58297-336
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/14/2013ARROYO(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSRUSIN(L)5-0W-1408 unU740221
8/15/2013CINGRANI(L)@ MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)2-1W-1307.5 unU650631
8/16/2013LEAKE(R)@ MILWAUKEEGORZELANNY(L)6-7L-1358 unO10801280
8/17/2013LATOS(R)@ MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)0-2L-1558 ovU540660
8/18/2013BAILEY(R)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)9-1W-1558 unO1080431
8/19/2013ARROYO(R)ARIZONADELGADO(R)5-3W-1608 evP8501060
8/20/2013CINGRANI(L)ARIZONACORBIN(L)2-5L-1357 unP641740
8/21/2013LEAKE(R)ARIZONAMCCARTHY(R)10-7W-1458.5 unO15711080
8/22/2013LATOS(R)ARIZONACAHILL(R)2-1W-1807.5 ovU560761
8/23/2013BAILEY(R)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)4-6L-1908 unO1082981
8/24/2013ARROYO(R)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)6-3W-1958.5 unO1490851
8/25/2013REYNOLDS(R)MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R)1-3L-1508.5 ovU550771
8/26/2013LEAKE(R)@ ST LOUISLYONS(L)6-8L-1059 unO650831
8/27/2013LATOS(R)@ ST LOUISKELLY(R)1-6L-1208 ovU8811160
8/28/2013BAILEY(R)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R) 
8/30/2013ARROYO(R)@ COLORADOMANSHIP(R) 
8/31/2013REYNOLDS(R)@ COLORADODE LA ROSA(L) 
9/1/2013LEAKE(R)@ COLORADONICASIO(R) 
9/2/2013LATOS(R)ST LOUISKELLY(R) 
9/3/2013BAILEY(R)ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R) 
9/4/2013 ST LOUIS  

ST LOUIS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/14/2013MILLER(R)PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)1-5L-1256.5 unU421851
8/15/2013LYNN(R)PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R)6-5W-1157 unO12801390
8/16/2013WESTBROOK(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSARRIETA(R)0-7L-1258.5 unU251960
8/17/2013KELLY(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)4-0W-1258 evU550570
8/18/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)6-1W-1757.5 evU880671
8/19/2013MILLER(R)@ MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R)8-5W-1508 evO169111110
8/20/2013LYNN(R)@ MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)3-6L-1258 ovO8811080
8/21/2013WESTBROOK(R)@ MILWAUKEEGORZELANNY(L)8-6W-1159.5 unO125114141
8/22/2013KELLY(R)ATLANTAMAHOLM(L)6-2W-1408.5 unU970981
8/23/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)ATLANTAMEDLEN(R)3-1W-1507 ovU850650
8/24/2013MILLER(R)ATLANTATEHERAN(R)6-2W-1307.5 unO1091760
8/25/2013LYNN(R)ATLANTAMINOR(L)2-5L-1207.5 unU8601040
8/26/2013LYONS(L)CINCINNATILEAKE(R)8-6W-1059 unO831650
8/27/2013KELLY(R)CINCINNATILATOS(R)6-1W+1108 ovU1160881
8/28/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R) 
8/30/2013MILLER(R)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L) 
8/31/2013LYNN(R)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R) 
9/1/2013LYONS(L)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L) 
9/2/2013KELLY(R)@ CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
9/3/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)@ CINCINNATIBAILEY(R) 
9/4/2013 @ CINCINNATI  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games74-59-1.962-654.30.2480.3193.70.2360.291
Road Games33-35-6.530-354.00.2430.3163.50.2400.293
vs Right-handed Starters52-37+1.246-404.60.2530.3263.80.2420.298
Past 7 Games3-4-2.64-34.30.2690.3214.90.2550.300
Grass Games74-59-1.962-654.30.2480.3193.70.2360.291
Night Games44-37-3.137-414.10.2510.3173.60.2370.292
Division32-27-4.128-304.10.2370.3154.00.2450.303
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2480.319133449411143691280.03542468103641961126659355
Road Games4.00.2430.316682312562181590.032652455052349078324834
Righty Starters4.60.2530.326892997757241850.033853276923264288496140
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.591.2083711571483024514639819-22381374.5%
Road Games3.601.218165696613616651517-1318966.7%

ST LOUIS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games78-54+6.665-634.90.2720.3293.70.2490.306
Home Games41-24+3.129-344.60.2770.3323.60.2380.293
vs Right-handed Starters63-34+18.549-455.20.2810.3383.60.2450.301
Past 7 Games6-1+4.93-45.60.2870.3413.30.2490.290
Grass Games78-54+6.665-634.90.2720.3293.70.2490.306
Night Games51-38-0.541-444.90.2780.3353.80.2420.298
Division34-22+4.630-255.10.2750.3323.70.2480.312
ST LOUIS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.90.2720.329132453612343891060.02616386896388931456115430
Home Games4.60.2770.332652166600173460.022831803821943374277314
Righty Starters5.20.2810.338973355942291830.02485292645266571124411025
ST LOUIS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.601.280369.71551483502912335115-16371571.2%
Home Games4.211.325188918818012691848-922873.3%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
HOMER BAILEY recent results and season statistics
HOMER BAILEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.711.1478-10261706.57270156173916612-14-6.811-13
Road Starts3.901.2134-81492.36.64240931219795-9-5.25-8
Last 3 Starts3.541.0331-0320.36.8881556182-1+0.13-0
HOMER BAILEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/23/2013MILWAUKEE4-6-1908Loss,Over 6336125GALLARDO(R)
8/18/2013at MILWAUKEE9-1-1558Win,OverW8113118PERALTA(R)
8/13/2013at CHICAGO CUBS6-4-1407Win,Over 6.3446335SAMARDZIJA(R)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT recent results and season statistics
ADAM WAINWRIGHT - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.581.02715-727198.77.46157179102518218-9+4.312-13
Home Starts2.060.8956-51291.77.6232169413887-5-2.23-8
Last 3 Starts1.960.8702-03237.7551624263-0+30-2
ADAM WAINWRIGHT - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/23/2013ATLANTA3-1-1507Win,UnderW9116009MEDLEN(R)
8/18/2013at CHICAGO CUBS6-1-1757.5Win,UnderW71150111JACKSON(R)
8/13/2013PITTSBURGH4-3-1707Win 7335236MORTON(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 24-20 (+1.2 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
22 of 43 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-4.7 Units)
Games this season
ST LOUIS is 10-4 (+6.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.5 Units)

All games at ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 15-8 (+4.3 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
13 of 23 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.4 Units)
Games played at ST LOUIS this season.
ST LOUIS is 6-2 (+3.8 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.5 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
8/27/2013CINCINNATI1-120 Under81081LATOS(R)L6490
 ST LOUIS6+1108 ovWin110260KELLY(R)W6183
8/26/2013CINCINNATI6-105 Over61050LEAKE(R) 6.3571
 ST LOUIS8-1059 unWin82031LYONS(L) 5132
8/4/2013ST LOUIS15+120  193070LYNN(R)W8242
 CINCINNATI2-1308.5 unOver41032LEAKE(R)L5782
8/3/2013ST LOUIS3+155 Over40061WESTBROOK(R)L5545
 CINCINNATI8-1658.5 unWin930100CINGRANI(L)W5345
8/2/2013ST LOUIS13-105  143090MILLER(R)W5353
 CINCINNATI3-1058 unOver61050ARROYO(R)L3.7781
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
HOMER BAILEY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
BAILEY is 3-9 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.61 and a WHIP of 1.563.
His team's record is 3-12 (-10.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-6. (+1.0 units)
HOMER BAILEY recent starts vs. ST LOUIS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/1/2013at ST LOUIS2-4+1057Loss,UnderL5.3449113LYNN(R)
4/10/2013at ST LOUIS0-10-1208.5Loss,OverL5779332WESTBROOK(R)
10/3/2012at ST LOUIS0-1-1407.5Loss,Under 4004006MILLER(R)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 5-7 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.12 and a WHIP of 1.220.
His team's record is 6-7 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-6. (-1.8 units)
ADAM WAINWRIGHT recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/7/2013at CINCINNATI9-2-1258Win,OverW7227017LEAKE(R)
4/29/2013CINCINNATI1-2-1307Loss,UnderL7225026LATOS(R)
8/26/2012at CINCINNATI8-2-1358.5Win,OverW5.7226002BAILEY(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1122, -107.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 49% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (189-197, -29.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (1145-1130, -77.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 53.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (218-192, +7.4 units)
Edge=ST LOUIS
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (879-802, -33.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (152-136, -1.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (877-899, -147.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 48.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (144-152, -26.8 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[P] 08/24/2013 - Tony Cingrani 15-day DL (8/24) ( Back )
[P] 08/22/2013 - Jonathan Broxton 60-day DL (8/21) ( Elbow )
[C] 08/10/2013 - Corky Miller 15-day DL (8/10) ( Quad )
[P] 06/28/2013 - Johnny Cueto 60-day DL (6/29) ( Side )
[P] 05/24/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (5/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
ST LOUIS
[P] 08/23/2013 - Jake Westbrook 15-day DL (8/22) ( Back )
[C] 08/15/2013 - Tony Cruz 15-day DL (8/15) ( Forearm )
[P] 05/26/2013 - John Gast 15-day DL (5/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/18/2013 - Jaime Garcia 60-day DL (5/18), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Jason Motte 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Elbow )
[SS] 03/31/2013 - Rafael Furcal 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Chris Carpenter 60-day DL (2/22) ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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