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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| CINCINNATI | BAILEY | -119 | | | ST LOUIS | MILLER | +119 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 37-28 | +0 | 109-101 | -13.5 | 377-413 | -20.8 | 24-33 | 102-96 | 375-385 | | as a road favorite of -125 to -150 | 19-10 | +5.7 | 34-20 | +7.6 | 67-45 | +7.2 | 12-15 | 24-28 | 46-60 | | as a road favorite of -150 to -175 | 6-2 | +2.9 | 7-2 | +3.9 | 14-15 | -9.8 | 1-6 | 2-6 | 11-15 | | in road games | 47-33 | +12 | 126-118 | +9.8 | 613-684 | +59.9 | 27-48 | 104-124 | 575-651 | | on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 16-8 | +6.9 | 47-43 | +2.3 | 183-205 | +17.3 | 7-15 | 41-46 | 163-209 | | in October games | 1-1 | +0.1 | 3-5 | -2.4 | 8-21 | -14.8 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 8-21 | | when playing on Wednesday | 14-10 | +1.7 | 42-35 | +3.4 | 182-217 | -27.5 | 7-14 | 32-42 | 183-193 | | against division opponents | 49-29 | +11.3 | 140-96 | +27 | 609-607 | +10.9 | 27-44 | 101-115 | 571-566 | | in games played on a grass field | 97-64 | +18.8 | 267-220 | +15.4 | 1038-1116 | -12.3 | 60-88 | 220-230 | 993-1035 | | in night games | 59-46 | +2.7 | 173-146 | +7.2 | 824-863 | -20.6 | 38-59 | 147-152 | 789-811 | | against right-handed starters | 65-46 | +7.5 | 184-158 | +4.3 | 915-963 | -10.8 | 40-60 | 155-158 | 882-885 | | after a win | 54-42 | +1 | 139-130 | -15.4 | 614-655 | -32.9 | 32-53 | 110-134 | 570-621 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 37-28 | +8.1 | 93-106 | -11.2 | 540-667 | -8 | 22-38 | 89-92 | 549-591 | | when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season | 13-7 | +5.2 | 38-50 | -11.7 | 240-333 | -25.9 | 5-12 | 39-40 | 260-274 | | in all games | 97-64 | +18.8 | 269-221 | +17.2 | 1269-1330 | -22 | 60-88 | 220-232 | 1213-1240 |
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| in all games | 87-74 | -6.6 | 274-230 | -23 | 1449-1221 | -9 | 77-78 | 242-242 | 1270-1268 | | when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 37-26 | +4 | 117-87 | +12.1 | 518-403 | +40.9 | 33-29 | 101-98 | 443-448 | | as a home underdog of +125 to +150 | 0-0 | 0 | 3-1 | +3.1 | 21-21 | +7.4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 17-22 | | in home games | 49-31 | +4.1 | 151-100 | -2.2 | 787-547 | +16.7 | 40-36 | 113-124 | 612-649 | | at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 19-9 | +5.7 | 63-34 | +14.1 | 295-193 | +29.3 | 15-13 | 43-51 | 211-258 | | in October games | 1-1 | -0.2 | 15-8 | +9.3 | 58-49 | +6.6 | 0-2 | 10-12 | 44-58 | | when playing on Wednesday | 16-9 | +5.6 | 41-38 | -10 | 225-184 | +6 | 7-18 | 34-44 | 195-194 | | against division opponents | 44-32 | +1.2 | 131-109 | -25.5 | 671-554 | -38 | 36-37 | 114-113 | 581-586 | | in games played on a grass field | 87-74 | -6.6 | 271-227 | -22.9 | 1385-1143 | +8.5 | 77-78 | 240-238 | 1204-1202 | | in night games | 54-49 | -7.4 | 185-147 | -2.3 | 925-801 | -31.5 | 44-56 | 160-159 | 821-816 | | against right-handed starters | 56-57 | -16 | 194-161 | -12.7 | 1060-860 | +39.7 | 50-59 | 169-174 | 922-905 | | after a loss | 39-34 | -4 | 129-100 | +2.3 | 675-551 | +45.4 | 39-30 | 122-101 | 593-576 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 24-35 | -19.6 | 102-94 | -3.8 | 597-573 | -1.3 | 31-25 | 91-95 | 537-567 | | when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season | 16-18 | -5.5 | 70-47 | +22.9 | 330-298 | +34.5 | 18-15 | 56-55 | 279-318 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 97-64 | +18.8 | 60-88 | 4.2 | 0.252 | 0.313 | 3.6 | 0.247 | 0.301 | | Road Games | 47-33 | +12 | 27-48 | 4.0 | 0.248 | 0.303 | 3.5 | 0.244 | 0.302 | | vs Right-handed Starters | 65-46 | +7.4 | 40-60 | 4.0 | 0.251 | 0.312 | 3.6 | 0.245 | 0.298 | | Past 7 Games | 4-3 | +0.6 | 1-6 | 2.0 | 0.221 | 0.270 | 2.7 | 0.214 | 0.276 | | Grass Games | 97-64 | +18.8 | 60-88 | 4.2 | 0.252 | 0.313 | 3.6 | 0.247 | 0.301 | | Night Games | 59-46 | +2.6 | 38-59 | 4.0 | 0.250 | 0.310 | 3.7 | 0.246 | 0.305 | | Division | 49-29 | +11.3 | 27-44 | 3.9 | 0.250 | 0.308 | 3.5 | 0.246 | 0.299 |
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| All Games | 4.2 | 0.252 | 0.313 | 161 | 5448 | 1374 | 498 | 172 | 0.03 | 636 | 479 | 1256 | 87 | 1130 | 124 | 89 | 113 | 77 | | Road Games | 4.0 | 0.248 | 0.303 | 80 | 2800 | 695 | 245 | 69 | 0.02 | 304 | 222 | 618 | 45 | 577 | 67 | 52 | 48 | 31 | | Righty Starters | 4.0 | 0.251 | 0.312 | 111 | 3716 | 933 | 337 | 109 | 0.03 | 418 | 331 | 853 | 67 | 774 | 83 | 59 | 76 | 52 |
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| All Games | 2.66 | 1.218 | 430.3 | 143 | 127 | 344 | 33 | 180 | 473 | 31-21 | 56 | 17 | 76.7% | | Road Games | 3.15 | 1.419 | 186 | 73 | 65 | 174 | 13 | 90 | 206 | 11-13 | 32 | 10 | 76.2% |
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| All Games | 87-74 | -6.5 | 77-78 | 4.7 | 0.271 | 0.335 | 4.0 | 0.256 | 0.310 | | Home Games | 49-31 | +4.1 | 40-36 | 5.0 | 0.285 | 0.345 | 3.7 | 0.250 | 0.303 | | vs Right-handed Starters | 56-57 | -16 | 50-59 | 4.4 | 0.265 | 0.327 | 3.9 | 0.251 | 0.306 | | Past 7 Games | 4-3 | -0.2 | 3-4 | 5.0 | 0.268 | 0.343 | 2.7 | 0.223 | 0.258 | | Grass Games | 87-74 | -6.5 | 77-78 | 4.7 | 0.271 | 0.335 | 4.0 | 0.256 | 0.310 | | Night Games | 54-49 | -7.4 | 44-56 | 4.5 | 0.269 | 0.332 | 3.9 | 0.258 | 0.312 | | Division | 44-32 | +1.2 | 36-37 | 5.0 | 0.278 | 0.344 | 3.6 | 0.249 | 0.297 |
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| All Games | 4.7 | 0.271 | 0.335 | 161 | 5589 | 1517 | 485 | 159 | 0.03 | 731 | 532 | 1181 | 90 | 1189 | 165 | 106 | 148 | 56 | | Home Games | 5.0 | 0.285 | 0.345 | 80 | 2760 | 786 | 261 | 76 | 0.03 | 391 | 254 | 559 | 49 | 582 | 79 | 50 | 76 | 28 | | Righty Starters | 4.4 | 0.265 | 0.327 | 113 | 3923 | 1039 | 314 | 91 | 0.02 | 468 | 362 | 831 | 69 | 833 | 117 | 77 | 106 | 43 |
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| All Games | 3.92 | 1.269 | 470.4 | 212 | 205 | 432 | 55 | 165 | 432 | 16-27 | 41 | 22 | 65.1% | | Home Games | 3.41 | 1.185 | 248 | 98 | 94 | 217 | 29 | 77 | 222 | 8-10 | 22 | 11 | 66.7% |
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| HOMER BAILEY recent results and season statistics |
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| All Games | 3.75 | 1.245 | 13-10 | 33 | 204 | - | 97 | 85 | 202 | 26 | 52 | 162 | - | - | - | | All Starts | 3.75 | 1.245 | 13-10 | 32 | 204 | 6.4 | 97 | 85 | 202 | 26 | 52 | 162 | 18-14 | +1.2 | 17-12 | | Road Starts | 2.41 | 1.003 | 9-2 | 15 | 104.7 | 7.0 | 34 | 28 | 81 | 5 | 24 | 83 | 12-3 | +9.4 | 9-6 | | Last 3 Starts | 2.35 | 0.609 | 2-1 | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 2-1 | +1 | 1-2 |
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| SHELBY MILLER recent results and season statistics |
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| All Games | 2.35 | 1.299 | 1-0 | 5 | 7.7 | - | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | - | | All Starts | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0-0 | | Home Starts | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0-0 | | Last 3 Starts | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0-0 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| CINCINNATI is 22-25 (+0.6 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons | | 21 of 44 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-3.4 Units, Under=-1.0 Units) |
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| CINCINNATI is 7-7 (+0.3 Units) against ST LOUIS this season | | 8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.1 Units) |
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| ST LOUIS is 14-9 (+0.4 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons | | 12 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units) |
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| ST LOUIS is 3-2 (+0.3 Units) against CINCINNATI this season | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units) |
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| 10/2/2012 | CINCINNATI | 3 | +115 | | | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | LATOS(R) | W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | | | ST LOUIS | 1 | -125 | 7 ov | Under | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | CARPENTER(R) | L | 6 | 3 | 7 | 2 | | 10/1/2012 | CINCINNATI | 2 | +130 | | Under | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | ARROYO(R) | L | 5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | | | ST LOUIS | 4 | -140 | 7.5 un | Win | 9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | GARCIA(L) | W | 6.7 | 2 | 6 | 1 | | 8/26/2012 | ST LOUIS | 8 | -135 | | | 17 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | WAINWRIGHT(R) | W | 5.7 | 2 | 6 | 0 | | | CINCINNATI | 2 | +125 | 8.5 un | Over | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | BAILEY(R) | L | 6 | 5 | 9 | 0 | | 8/25/2012 | ST LOUIS | 2 | -115 | | Over | 11 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | GARCIA(L) | L | 6 | 4 | 7 | 2 | | | CINCINNATI | 8 | +105 | 9 un | Win | 12 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | LEAKE(R) | W | 6.7 | 2 | 10 | 0 | | 8/24/2012 | ST LOUIS | 8 | +110 | | | 14 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | LYNN(R) | | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | | | CINCINNATI | 5 | -120 | 8.5 un | Over | 13 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | LATOS(R) | L | 5 | 7 | 9 | 1 |
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| BAILEY is 3-7 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.32 and a WHIP of 1.508. | | His team's record is 3-9 (-6.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-5. (+0.1 units) |
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| 8/26/2012 | ST LOUIS | 2-8 | +125 | 8.5 | Loss,Over | L | 6 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WAINWRIGHT(R) | | 7/15/2012 | ST LOUIS | 4-2 | -110 | 9 | Win,Under | W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | WESTBROOK(R) | | 4/9/2012 | ST LOUIS | 1-7 | -110 | 9 | Loss,Under | L | 5.7 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | WESTBROOK(R) |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1067, -100.6 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (198-214, -31.6 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 50% of the time since 1997. (1075-1077, -89.3 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 49.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (211-213, -25.2 units) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (818-743, -26.5 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 51.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (132-124, -5.2 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (821-831, -125.3 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (123-127, -17.3 units) | |
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| [P] 04/27/2012 - Ryan Madson 60-day DL (3/24), out for season ( Elbow ) | | [P] 06/15/2012 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/26) ( Shoulder ) | | [P] 08/01/2012 - Bill Bray 15-day DL (7/31) ( Back ) | |
| [P] 07/12/2012 - Kyle McClellan 60-day DL (5/17); out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [P] 08/14/2012 - Brian Fuentes placed on restricted list; out indefinitely ( Personal ) | | [SS] 08/30/2012 - Rafael Furcal 15-day DL (8/30), out for season ( Elbow ) | | [P] 09/09/2012 - Jake Westbrook out indefinitely ( Oblique ) | | [1B] 09/11/2012 - Lance Berkman out indefinitely ( Knee ) |
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