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Matchup Reports

Monday at 1:10 PM
CLEVELAND (27-22) AT CINCINNATI (31-19) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
905: CLEVELAND
906: CINCINNATI
9.0
-155
27-22
31-19
25-20-4
29-20-1
5.1 / 4.5
4.8 / 3.6
(R) U JIMENEZ
(R) M LEAKE
3-3
4-2
6.04
3.25
1.39
1.39
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 47   Wind: South at 3.5 MPH (3 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CLEVELANDJIMENEZ +155 
CINCINNATILEAKE-155 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CLEVELAND team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after a loss9-12+0.294-105+2.6658-669-24.615-5102-84628-631
after 3 or more consecutive losses2-2+0.722-32-6.6159-177-13.33-126-25158-157
when playing against a team with a winning record11-12+284-108-8.2609-712-4714-793-88622-637
in all games27-22+9178-198-7.21359-1333-93.525-20189-1671263-1304
when the total is 9 to 9.59-7+3.463-70-0.3512-512-177-560-61469-498
as a road underdog of +100 to +1251-4-2.822-36-11.5140-180-24.63-129-24147-157
as a road underdog of +125 to +1505-5+1.821-38-9.4108-140+7.84-533-23124-110
in road games12-12+4.880-107-7642-705-15.111-1095-78643-630
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.56-5+2.936-49-3.6237-284-14.75-340-36248-236
in May games16-9+8.846-35+16252-213+16.713-1046-30233-210
when playing on Monday5-2+326-18+10.7152-122+27.63-320-19123-135
in an inter-league game3-1+2.423-18+5.4144-151-34.72-214-24127-157
in day games11-8+3.953-71-15.8415-441-64.311-767-52392-424
in games played on a grass field24-19+7169-188-9.81220-1202-105.523-16181-1561144-1169
against right-handed starters17-13+6.3126-128+5.3983-923-40.113-14124-119900-921

CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
when playing against a team with a winning record5-6-1.574-77-4.1547-677-12.57-370-70560-596
in all games31-19+7210-170+8.71302-1353-1829-20176-1791246-1262
when the total is 9 to 9.50-0037-34-4546-562-26.40-028-35507-517
as a home favorite of -125 to -1504-2+1.443-36-6.8176-158-39.55-139-36162-153
in home games18-7+7.3111-80+2.2673-656-79.715-1094-81655-600
at home when the total is 9 to 9.50-0031-23+1312-308-49.60-022-25291-280
in May games16-6+8.547-32+10.5242-235+314-843-32227-227
when playing on Monday5-2+3.222-23-4.6139-140+6.33-419-25144-127
in an inter-league game2-1+0.915-21-7.8106-132-22.22-114-21110-122
in day games15-9+3.481-61+9455-476-5.716-773-59439-432
in games played on a grass field31-19+7208-169+6.91071-1139-8.329-20176-1771026-1057
against right-handed starters22-12+5.9149-122+2.9938-978-7.920-14123-130904-901
after a loss11-7+2.899-67+22.6663-680+13.69-882-77652-622
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CLEVELAND - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/13/2013MASTERSON(R)NY YANKEESPHELPS(R)1-0W-1408 unU570460
5/13/2013BAUER(R)NY YANKEESNUNO(L)0-7L-1208.5 unU5821170
5/14/2013KAZMIR(L)@ PHILADELPHIAPETTIBONE(R)2-6L-1258.5 ovU7811080
5/15/2013KLUBER(R)@ PHILADELPHIAHAMELS(L)10-4W1508 ovO1160850
5/17/2013JIMENEZ(R)SEATTLEMAURER(R)6-3W-1559 unP73010100
5/18/2013MCALLISTER(R)SEATTLESAUNDERS(L)5-4W-1558.5 ovO13120940
5/19/2013MASTERSON(R)SEATTLEHERNANDEZ(R)6-0W+1007 ovU960491
5/20/2013KAZMIR(L)SEATTLEIWAKUMA(R)10-8W-1057.5 ovO11801253
5/21/2013KLUBER(R)DETROITSCHERZER(R)1-5L+1259 unU3401190
5/22/2013JIMENEZ(R)DETROITVERLANDER(R)7-11L+1408 ovO13801470
5/23/2013MCALLISTER(R)@ BOSTONDEMPSTER(R)12-3W1409.5 evO16110761
5/24/2013MASTERSON(R)@ BOSTONLACKEY(R)1-8L1109 unP450931
5/25/2013KAZMIR(L)@ BOSTONLESTER(L)4-7L1759 unO118211121
5/26/2013KLUBER(R)@ BOSTONDOUBRONT(L)5-6L1259.5 ovO730751
5/27/2013JIMENEZ(R)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R) 
5/28/2013MCALLISTER(R)@ CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
5/29/2013MASTERSON(R)CINCINNATIARROYO(R) 
5/30/2013KAZMIR(L)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R) 
5/31/2013KLUBER(R)TAMPA BAYCOBB(R) 
6/1/2013 TAMPA BAY  
6/2/2013 TAMPA BAY  
6/3/2013 @ NY YANKEES  

CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/14/2013BAILEY(R)@ MIAMINOLASCO(R)6-2W-1657 evO1080640
5/15/2013LEAKE(R)@ MIAMISANABIA(R)4-0W-1758 unU119011120
5/16/2013LATOS(R)@ MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R)5-3W-1607 unO870641
5/17/2013CINGRANI(L)@ PHILADELPHIALEE(L)3-5L1107 unO881660
5/18/2013ARROYO(R)@ PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R)10-0W-1058 unO16120670
5/19/2013BAILEY(R)@ PHILADELPHIAPETTIBONE(R)2-3L-1508 evU981971
5/20/2013CUETO(R)@ NY METSMARCUM(R)4-3W-1457.5 evU890561
5/21/2013LEAKE(R)@ NY METSNIESE(L)4-0W-1108 ovU770361
5/22/2013LATOS(R)@ NY METSHARVEY(R)7-4W1106.5 ovO1291970
5/24/2013ARROYO(R)CHICAGO CUBSFELDMAN(R)7-4W-1508 ovO10401091
5/25/2013BAILEY(R)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)5-2W-1707.5 unU760670
5/26/2013CUETO(R)CHICAGO CUBSGARZA(R)4-5L-1807.5 unO51111091
5/27/2013LEAKE(R)CLEVELANDJIMENEZ(R) 
5/28/2013LATOS(R)CLEVELANDMCALLISTER(R) 
5/29/2013ARROYO(R)@ CLEVELANDMASTERSON(R) 
5/30/2013BAILEY(R)@ CLEVELANDKAZMIR(L) 
5/31/2013CUETO(R)@ PITTSBURGHRODRIGUEZ(L) 
6/1/2013 @ PITTSBURGH  
6/2/2013 @ PITTSBURGH  
6/3/2013 COLORADO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CLEVELAND - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games27-22+925-205.10.2650.3304.50.2420.317
Road Games12-12+4.811-105.40.2730.3414.50.2370.322
vs Right-handed Starters17-13+6.313-145.20.2650.3384.40.2440.319
Past 7 Games2-5-2.65-15.70.2620.3256.90.2920.368
Grass Games24-19+723-165.10.2670.3334.60.2480.319
Day Games11-8+3.911-75.20.2680.3334.30.2370.316
Interleague3-1+2.42-28.00.3380.3963.00.2100.295
CLEVELAND - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.10.2650.330491691448178640.042371654113634436243930
Road Games5.40.2730.3412485623491260.03124881972017623132218
Righty Starters5.20.2650.338301036275106410.041481142622321026122418
CLEVELAND - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.871.324153.3746613318701678-28850%
Road Games3.931.35271343157439734-26460%

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games31-19+729-204.80.2520.3313.60.2370.294
Home Games18-7+7.315-105.40.2600.3383.40.2240.283
vs Right-handed Starters22-12+5.920-144.90.2520.3323.50.2460.304
Past 7 Games5-2+1.83-44.70.2420.3163.00.2230.296
Grass Games31-19+729-204.80.2520.3313.60.2370.294
Day Games15-9+3.416-75.40.2640.3484.30.2490.310
Interleague2-1+0.92-13.70.1550.2433.70.2260.294
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2520.331501712432142520.032282013901438540213919
Home Games5.40.2600.3382586922676320.0412710220981971611218
Righty Starters4.90.2520.33234114628996380.03160136260112532792316
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.621.207141.76257117195414611-1015575%
Home Games3.011.07980.73127591228967-57277.8%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
UBALDO JIMENEZ recent results and season statistics
UBALDO JIMENEZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts6.041.3883-3944.75.0303040722476-3+5.15-1
Road Starts2.250.7922-04246.0661336224-0+6.31-1
Last 3 Starts5.401.5331-13155.0991726202-1+2.32-0
UBALDO JIMENEZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/22/2013DETROIT7-11+1408Loss,OverL4667033VERLANDER(R)
5/17/2013SEATTLE6-3-1559Win 5227129MAURER(R)
5/11/2013at DETROIT7-6+2308Win,OverW6113118VERLANDER(R)

MIKE LEAKE recent results and season statistics
MIKE LEAKE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.251.3914-2955.36.1212062515385-4+0.47-2
Home Starts3.331.1851-14276.710102557222-2-0.64-0
Last 3 Starts1.741.1612-1320.76.9442024162-1+0.71-2
MIKE LEAKE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/21/2013at NY METS4-0-1108Win,UnderW7003024NIESE(L)
5/15/2013at MIAMI4-0-1758Win,UnderW6.7009016SANABIA(R)
5/8/2013ATLANTA2-7-1308Loss,OverL7448216MINOR(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 8-4 (+4.5 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)
Games this season
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 4-2 (+1.4 Units) against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)
Games played at CINCINNATI this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
JIMENEZ is 3-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.09 and a WHIP of 1.281.
His team's record is 5-0 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)
UBALDO JIMENEZ recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/6/2010CINCINNATI10-5-1908.5Win,OverW6447068HARANG(R)
9/7/2009CINCINNATI4-3-2409Win,Under 6336135BAILEY(R)
8/1/2009at CINCINNATI6-2-1458.5Win,UnderW8225108BAILEY(R)

MIKE LEAKE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
LEAKE is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.269.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)
MIKE LEAKE recent starts vs. CLEVELAND
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/19/2012at CLEVELAND2-3+1059.5Loss,Under 7116014TOMLIN(R)
6/14/2012CLEVELAND12-5-1209Win,Over 4.3337226TOMLIN(R)
7/3/2011CLEVELAND7-5-1709Win,OverW6444128TALBOT(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CLEVELAND games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1017, -1.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CLEVELAND games 53.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (165-145, +2.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (1083-1093, -111.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (150-168, -33.7 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring the OVER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CLEVELAND games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (815-822, -125.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CLEVELAND games 56.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (116-90, +14.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (845-768, -28.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (118-102, +3.6 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CLEVELAND
[P] 04/02/2013 - Blake Wood 60-day DL (3/11) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/21/2013 - Brett Myers 15-day DL (4/20) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Frank Herrmann 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Josh Tomlin 60-day DL (2/15) ( Elbow )
[C] 04/28/2013 - Lou Marson 15-day DL (4/25) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/27/2013 - Chris Perez 15-day DL ( Arm )
CINCINNATI
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 04/30/2013 - Chris Heisey 15-day DL (4/28) ( Hamstring )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/24/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (5/21) ( Shoulder )
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