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Page last updated on Wed Sep 02 17:42:27 EDT 2015
Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:10 PM
DETROIT (25-12) AT BOSTON (20-21) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
969: DETROIT
970: BOSTON
8.5
-137
25-12
20-21
16-19-2
15-24-2
4.8 / 3.5
4.2 / 4.3
(R) R PORCELLO
(R) J LACKEY
6-1
5-2
3.22
3.57
1.03
1.21
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Overcast   Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 84   Wind: East at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
DETROITPORCELLO +137 
BOSTONLACKEY-137 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
DETROIT team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games25-12+6.8218-167-18.91352-1491-149.616-19173-1911319-1386
when the total is 8 to 8.512-6+286-62-6.6309-341-50.210-768-71316-315
as a road underdog of +100 to +1251-1+0.217-20-0.8128-197-54.31-119-18153-162
as a road underdog of +125 to +1500-006-4+3.7126-172+0.60-04-6149-141
in road games12-4+7.298-93-15.8615-807-897-877-103653-704
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.57-1+5.641-31+1.3142-162-54-329-37142-152
in May games11-3+5.738-33-13.1239-239+6.16-835-36217-239
when playing on Saturday5-1+3.639-26+2.2228-239-16.24-129-31211-239
in games played on a grass field25-12+6.8210-161-201246-1330-113.516-19168-1831197-1253
in night games13-7+2.4133-105-10857-957-87.89-11106-118847-877
against right-handed starters15-10+0.5151-113-4.3947-1080-138.211-12117-133940-984
after shutting out their opponent1-0+116-10+170-59+2.51-014-1166-56
after a win15-9+1.5120-99-26.4666-678-5610-1394-112624-656
after 3 or more consecutive wins7-2+3.839-31-5.6170-171-31.14-527-39170-154
when playing against a team with a losing record8-10-7.998-69-15.4642-609-657-1175-84589-601

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games20-22-7.4197-185-20.71600-1285-39.616-24175-1881333-1405
when the total is 8 to 8.58-12-7.267-59-1.1311-220+20.27-1254-70253-268
as a home favorite of -125 to -1505-3+1.139-28+0.5209-146+6.72-531-33162-177
in home games10-13-7103-90-17.7852-592-25.310-1290-91683-682
at home when the total is 8 to 8.55-6-3.531-24-0.5130-82-3.65-624-31105-104
in May games7-7-1.337-36-9.1280-210+20.34-834-35238-226
when playing on Saturday4-2+1.234-30-2.4249-221-294-131-28238-210
in games played on a grass field18-21-8.2173-168-30.31413-1103-11.315-22156-1661145-1234
in night games15-13-0.8138-135-20.91104-877-26.513-14134-124928-954
against right-handed starters10-18-11.8126-133-29.91149-891+5.410-17120-127940-991
after getting shut out2-0+215-6+9.470-46+11.11-111-1052-63
after a loss13-6+598-84-0.3716-563+4.76-1381-90557-648
when playing against a team with a winning record8-7-0.3106-113-17703-677-524-9101-108618-696
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
DETROIT - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/3/2014SMYLY(L)@ KANSAS CITYDUFFY(L)9-2W-1108.5 unO1270540
5/4/2014VERLANDER(R)@ KANSAS CITYVARGAS(L)9-4W-1308.5 unO16100780
5/5/2014SCHERZER(R)HOUSTONCOSART(R)2-0W-2607.5 evU671342
5/6/2014RAY(L)HOUSTONOBERHOLTZER(L)11-4W-1759 evO1871950
5/7/2014PORCELLO(R)HOUSTONPEACOCK(R)3-2W-2058.5 unU560760
5/8/2014SMYLY(L)HOUSTONKEUCHEL(L)2-6L-1809 unU740830
5/9/2014VERLANDER(R)MINNESOTAHUGHES(R)1-2L-2208.5 unU1080990
5/10/2014SCHERZER(R)MINNESOTAGIBSON(R)9-3W-2558 ovO1141882
5/11/2014RAY(L)MINNESOTADEDUNO(R)3-4L-1509 ovU7511051
5/12/2014PORCELLO(R)@ BALTIMORENORRIS(R)4-1W-1059 unU521660
5/13/2014SMYLY(L)@ BALTIMOREJIMENEZ(R)4-1W-1108.5 ovU610770
5/14/2014VERLANDER(R)@ BALTIMOREGAUSMAN(R)7-5W-1158 unO950991
5/16/2014SCHERZER(R)@ BOSTONLESTER(L)1-0W-1057.5 ovU660350
5/17/2014PORCELLO(R)@ BOSTONLACKEY(R) 
5/18/2014SANCHEZ(R)@ BOSTONPEAVY(R) 
5/19/2014SMYLY(L)@ CLEVELANDKLUBER(R) 
5/20/2014VERLANDER(R)@ CLEVELANDBAUER(R) 
5/21/2014SCHERZER(R)@ CLEVELANDMCALLISTER(R) 
5/22/2014PORCELLO(R)TEXASDARVISH(R) 
5/23/2014SANCHEZ(R)TEXASROSS(L) 
5/24/2014 TEXAS  

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/3/2014LESTER(L)OAKLANDMILONE(L)6-3W-1359 unP642440
5/4/2014LACKEY(R)OAKLANDGRAY(R)2-3L+1008.5 ovU950892
5/6/2014DOUBRONT(L)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)4-3W-1258.5 unU1113110100
5/7/2014PEAVY(R)CINCINNATILEAKE(R)4-3W-1558.5 unU1090430
5/9/2014BUCHHOLZ(R)@ TEXASDARVISH(R)0-8L1508 ovP2401460
5/10/2014LESTER(L)@ TEXASPEREZ(L)8-3W-1309 unO1180760
5/11/2014LACKEY(R)@ TEXASROSS(L)5-2W-1159.5 unU850751
5/13/2014PEAVY(R)@ MINNESOTANOLASCO(R)6-8L-1357.5 unO11701380
5/14/2014DOUBRONT(L)@ MINNESOTACORREIA(R)9-4W-1258.5 unO12711092
5/15/2014BUCHHOLZ(R)@ MINNESOTAHUGHES(R)3-4L-1257.5 evU97012110
5/16/2014LESTER(L)DETROITSCHERZER(R)0-1L-1057.5 ovU350660
5/17/2014LACKEY(R)DETROITPORCELLO(R) 
5/18/2014PEAVY(R)DETROITSANCHEZ(R) 
5/20/2014DOUBRONT(L)TORONTOHAPP(L) 
5/21/2014BUCHHOLZ(R)TORONTOHUTCHISON(R) 
5/22/2014LESTER(L)TORONTOBUEHRLE(L) 
5/23/2014LACKEY(R)@ TAMPA BAY  
5/24/2014 @ TAMPA BAY  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
DETROIT - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games25-12+6.816-194.80.2740.3263.50.2350.294
Road Games12-4+7.27-85.00.2610.3133.20.2270.286
vs Right-handed Starters15-10+0.511-124.60.2600.3103.80.2420.301
Past 7 Games5-2+1.32-54.10.2380.2792.30.2250.287
Grass Games25-12+6.816-194.80.2740.3263.50.2350.294
Night Games13-7+2.39-114.60.2720.3243.40.2410.289
DETROIT - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2740.326371257345108340.03172972403623929223927
Road Games5.00.2610.3131655614548130.0279421301995157128
Righty Starters4.60.2600.3102584121970240.03112601552414923182221
DETROIT - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.371.26210756521041231956-413476.5%
Road Games3.111.12246.3171638314393-26185.7%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games20-21-6.115-244.20.2450.3274.30.2600.320
Home Games10-12-5.89-124.20.2550.3434.60.2600.330
vs Right-handed Starters10-17-10.69-173.60.2350.3064.30.2750.331
Past 7 Games3-4-1.63-34.40.2340.2964.30.2860.344
Grass Games18-20-714-224.10.2430.3244.20.2590.321
Night Games15-12+0.412-144.70.2570.3414.40.2640.323
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.20.2450.327411393341118330.021631703441131147263623
Home Games4.20.2550.3432273318765140.028598181516932192317
Righty Starters3.60.2350.3062791821670210.029294226819828172413
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.091.262128.349441198431256-711378.6%
Home Games3.481.30077.7323072229665-45271.4%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
RICK PORCELLO recent results and season statistics
RICK PORCELLO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.221.0306-1744.76.416164036296-1+5.23-4
Road Starts4.441.0693-1424.36.112122531173-1+2.22-2
Last 3 Starts2.290.9153-0319.76.6551612133-0+3.21-2
RICK PORCELLO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/12/2014at BALTIMORE4-1-1059Win,UnderW6115002NORRIS(R)
5/7/2014HOUSTON3-2-2058.5Win,UnderW6.7227025PEACOCK(R)
5/2/2014at KANSAS CITY8-2+1207.5Win,OverW7224106SHIELDS(R)

JOHN LACKEY recent results and season statistics
JOHN LACKEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.571.2085-28536.6222153611525-3+1.83-5
Home Starts2.881.2533-1534.36.9121133010313-2+0.82-3
Last 3 Starts2.571.0482-03217.0661814182-1+11-2
JOHN LACKEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/11/2014at TEXAS5-2-1159.5Win,UnderW7227109ROSS(L)
5/4/2014OAKLAND2-3+1008.5Loss,Under 6225034GRAY(R)
4/29/2014TAMPA BAY7-4-1658.5Win,OverW8226015BEDARD(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 12-12 (+0.0 Units) against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
14 of 22 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.2 Units)
Games this season
DETROIT is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-5 (+3.5 Units) against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.3 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
DETROIT is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/16/2014DETROIT1-105  60160SCHERZER(R)W6034
 BOSTON0-1057.5 ovUnder30050LESTER(L)L5143
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
RICK PORCELLO vs. BOSTON since 1997
PORCELLO is 1-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 10.42 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.5 units)
RICK PORCELLO recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/4/2013at BOSTON4-20+1109.5Loss,OverL5987344DEMPSTER(R)
8/1/2012at BOSTON7-5-11010.5Win,OverW5.7448026COOK(R)
5/27/2011BOSTON3-6-1059LossL3666222WAKEFIELD(R)

JOHN LACKEY vs. DETROIT since 1997
LACKEY is 7-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.268.
His team's record is 8-5 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-8. (-4.8 units)
JOHN LACKEY recent starts vs. DETROIT
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/15/2013at DETROIT1-0+1357Win,UnderW6.7004008VERLANDER(R)
9/2/2013DETROIT0-3-1459Loss,UnderL7.3337015FISTER(R)
6/20/2013at DETROIT3-4+1059Loss,Under 7227015ALVAREZ(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1073, 16.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 56.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (179-138, +29.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 50% of the time since 1997. (1146-1146, -145.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 52.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (168-153, -6.6 units)
Edge=DETROIT
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (898-888, -114.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 48.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (125-131, -24.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (976-908, -59.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 55.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (156-127, +12.8 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
DETROIT
[P] 05/02/2014 - Joel Hanrahan 15-day DL (5/2) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/27/2014 - Anibal Sanchez 15-day DL (4/27) ( Finger )
[P] 04/21/2014 - Luke Putkonen 15-day DL (4/19) ( Elbow )
[LF] 03/28/2014 - Andy Dirks 60-day DL (3/29) ( Back )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Bruce Rondon 60-day DL (3/29), out for season ( Elbow )
[SS] 03/27/2014 - Jose Iglesias 60-day DL (3/29) ( Stress Fracture )
BOSTON
[RF] 05/17/2014 - Shane Victorino "?" Saturday vs. Detroit Tigers ( Knee )
[P] 04/09/2014 - Steven Wright 60-day DL (3/21) ( Hernia )
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