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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:10 PM
MIAMI (31-52) AT ATLANTA (49-35) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
909: MIAMI
910: ATLANTA
7.5
-242
31-52
49-35
37-40-6
41-38-5
3.3 / 4.3
4.3 / 3.4
(R) H ALVAREZ
(R) J TEHERAN
0-0
6-4
0.00
3.12
0.00
1.19
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Light Rain Fog/Mist   Temperature: 76.0 °
Humidity: 88   Wind: Calm
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MIAMIALVAREZ +216 
ATLANTATEHERAN-216 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games31-52-8172-235-47.71295-1414-44.937-40188-1911321-1245
as a road underdog of +200 to +2250-7-73-12-5.625-44+9.22-47-736-30
as a road underdog of +225 to +2501-5-2.72-6-1.511-27-1.84-25-223-13
in road games13-28-5.884-119-12596-760-25.418-2088-100666-612
in July games2-1+1.829-27+1.9213-208+15.62-126-27210-187
when playing on Thursday1-6-4.412-29-18.6141-157-9.73-317-21130-155
against division opponents14-21+173-106-19.2547-575+29.216-1776-91555-500
in games played on a grass field31-50-6171-228-41.81191-1288-47.135-40184-1871203-1143
in night games20-35-6.9123-159-24.7888-981-39.124-29131-135906-864
against right-handed starters21-36-7115-167-42932-1055-72.629-24129-132972-914
after a win13-17+0.479-93-7.3624-668-29.915-1288-76634-592
when playing against a team with a winning record12-23-4.375-125-32.6610-726+4.519-1695-92660-597
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season1-1+0.831-53-10324-361+43.32-037-39347-299

ATLANTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games49-35+4.9232-177+17.11554-1188-20.941-38184-2041288-1314
as a home favorite of -225 to -2500-001-0+155-27-90-00-135-41
in home games29-12+10.4124-80+9.6824-550-22.219-1988-104641-653
in July games1-1-135-20+9.5259-162+332-027-25215-183
when playing on Thursday3-4-2.624-14+7184-124+13.63-415-22133-160
against division opponents18-10+4100-72+10.8635-487-16.413-1376-86508-550
in games played on a grass field48-34+4.9229-175+15.61427-1110-45.439-38181-2021189-1220
in night games32-25-0.7156-128-51054-835-65.828-28123-147857-928
against right-handed starters35-26+1.7165-114+23.21140-855-21.430-26127-136927-958
after a loss17-17-3.993-82-3.8682-497+34.417-1581-83574-550
when playing against a team with a losing record22-18-3.6119-91-4.1755-519-28.716-2184-113580-639
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season1-1-165-41+8.7403-259-17.12-042-60295-339
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/20/2013KOEHLER(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOGAUDIN(R)2-1W1607.5 unU540441
6/21/2013NOLASCO(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R)6-3W1307 unO9701191
6/22/2013TURNER(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOZITO(L)1-2L1357.5 evU10911080
6/23/2013EOVALDI(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOCAIN(R)7-2W1827 unO1040851
6/25/2013FERNANDEZ(R)MINNESOTACORREIA(R)4-2W-1157 ovU881893
6/26/2013KOEHLER(R)MINNESOTADIAMOND(L)5-3W-1108 unP1161891
6/28/2013NOLASCO(R)SAN DIEGOVOLQUEZ(R)2-9L-1207.5 evO9911570
6/29/2013TURNER(R)SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)7-1W+1007.5 unO950751
6/30/2013EOVALDI(R)SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R)6-2W+1007 ovO740561
7/1/2013FERNANDEZ(R)SAN DIEGOMARQUIS(R)4-0W-1457.5 unU681351
7/2/2013KOEHLER(R)@ ATLANTAMEDLEN(R)3-11L2307.5 unO11921671
7/3/2013NOLASCO(R)@ ATLANTAMINOR(L)6-3W1857.5 unO9811060
7/4/2013ALVAREZ(R)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R) 
7/5/2013TURNER(R)@ ST LOUISWESTBROOK(R) 
7/6/2013EOVALDI(R)@ ST LOUISKELLY(R) 
7/7/2013FERNANDEZ(R)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R) 
7/8/2013NOLASCO(R)ATLANTAMINOR(L) 
7/9/2013ALVAREZ(R)ATLANTATEHERAN(R) 
7/10/2013TURNER(R)ATLANTAHUDSON(R) 

ATLANTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/20/2013MINOR(L)NY METSNIESE(L)3-4L-1857.5 unU13113961
6/21/2013TEHERAN(R)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)0-2L-1358.5 unU270870
6/22/2013HUDSON(R)@ MILWAUKEEHAND(R)0-2L-1408.5 unU4409110
6/23/2013MAHOLM(L)@ MILWAUKEEFIGARO(R)7-4W-1309 unO14110980
6/25/2013MEDLEN(R)@ KANSAS CITYSANTANA(R)4-3W1008 ovU1082880
6/26/2013MINOR(L)@ KANSAS CITYMENDOZA(R)3-4L-1259 unU8801250
6/28/2013TEHERAN(R)ARIZONADELGADO(R)3-0W-1658 unU11110440
6/29/2013HUDSON(R)ARIZONAKENNEDY(R)11-5W-1457.5 evO111001091
6/30/2013MAHOLM(L)ARIZONACAHILL(R)6-2W-1508 unP10100861
7/2/2013MEDLEN(R)MIAMIKOEHLER(R)11-3W-2557.5 unO16711192
7/3/2013MINOR(L)MIAMINOLASCO(R)3-6L-2007.5 unO1060981
7/4/2013TEHERAN(R)MIAMIALVAREZ(R) 
7/5/2013HUDSON(R)@ PHILADELPHIALEE(L) 
7/6/2013MAHOLM(L)@ PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R) 
7/7/2013MEDLEN(R)@ PHILADELPHIAPETTIBONE(R) 
7/8/2013MINOR(L)@ MIAMINOLASCO(R) 
7/9/2013TEHERAN(R)@ MIAMIALVAREZ(R) 
7/10/2013HUDSON(R)@ MIAMITURNER(R) 
7/11/2013 CINCINNATI  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games31-52-837-403.30.2330.2844.30.2590.321
Road Games13-28-5.818-203.20.2320.2784.50.2570.329
vs Right-handed Starters21-36-729-243.60.2390.2904.50.2600.319
Past 7 Games5-2+3.65-14.70.2660.3294.10.2670.312
Grass Games31-50-635-403.20.2320.2834.20.2570.318
Night Games20-35-6.924-292.70.2170.2704.30.2670.322
Division14-21+116-173.40.2450.2974.20.2540.312
MIAMI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.30.2330.284832794652181490.022551975754051686537239
Road Games3.20.2320.27841143733496320.02123913151926434283526
Righty Starters3.60.2390.290571938464128310.021921393683235362325125
MIAMI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.001.405267.71311192631911322413-1717673.9%
Road Games4.591.478133.3776812912681225-119375%

ATLANTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games49-35+4.941-384.30.2480.3213.40.2420.295
Home Games29-12+10.419-194.70.2580.3332.90.2230.271
vs Right-handed Starters35-26+1.630-264.30.2500.3213.40.2500.300
Past 7 Games5-2+1.83-35.90.3110.3803.30.2630.320
Grass Games48-34+4.939-384.30.2480.3213.30.2400.293
Night Games32-25-0.728-284.00.2440.3113.40.2420.293
Division18-10+413-134.50.2530.3202.80.2150.271
ATLANTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2480.3218428046962391030.043442997403059975497540
Home Games4.70.2580.333411326342116510.041811493421929133273516
Righty Starters4.30.2500.321612035508170750.042542135432643152365629
ATLANTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.681.1402287068178158219716-624680%
Home Games2.170.988116.328287773810912-111284.6%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
HENDERSON ALVAREZ recent results and season statistics
HENDERSON ALVAREZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Road Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
HENDERSON ALVAREZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/30/2012NY YANKEES6-9+1509Loss,Over 6227104HUGHES(R)
9/24/2012at BALTIMORE1-4+1758.5Loss,UnderL5.7448236JOHNSON(R)
9/19/2012at NY YANKEES2-4+1879.5Loss,UnderL7335007PETTITTE(L)

JULIO TEHERAN recent results and season statistics
JULIO TEHERAN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.121.1856-41595.36.433339611178110-5+4.66-9
Home Starts2.181.1034-1745.36.511114238496-1+5.11-6
Last 3 Starts0.981.1462-1318.36.1221912232-1+0.60-3
JULIO TEHERAN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/28/2013ARIZONA3-0-1658Win,UnderW60040110DELGADO(R)
6/21/2013at MILWAUKEE0-2-1358.5Loss,UnderL6.3228105PERALTA(R)
6/16/2013SAN FRANCISCO3-0-1657.5Win,UnderW6007018LINCECUM(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 30-11 (+15.1 Units) against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
25 of 40 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+7.5 Units)
Games this season
ATLANTA is 4-1 (+2.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

All games at ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 13-7 (+2.0 Units) against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
12 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.7 Units)
Games played at ATLANTA this season.
MIAMI is 1-1 (+0.9 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.2 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
7/3/2013MIAMI6+185  91181NOLASCO(R)W7260
 ATLANTA3-2007.5 unOver101060MINOR(L)L6463
7/2/2013MIAMI3+230 Over111092KOEHLER(R) 5250
 ATLANTA11-2557.5 unWin160071MEDLEN(R)W6392
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
HENDERSON ALVAREZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.
HENDERSON ALVAREZ recent starts vs. ATLANTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.

JULIO TEHERAN vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.
JULIO TEHERAN recent starts vs. MIAMI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ATLANTA in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1031, -48.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 56.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (187-146, +29.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 52.5% of the time since 1997. (1165-1056, +0.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 55.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (191-154, +21.7 units)
Edge=MIAMI
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 50% of the time since 1997. (829-828, -118.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 51.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (109-101, -4.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (850-859, -122.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 50% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (108-108, -12.2 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
No significant injuries.
ATLANTA
[P] 03/31/2013 - Brandon Beachy 15-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/18/2013 - Eric O'Flaherty 15-day DL (5/18); out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Jonny Venters 15-day DL (3/27); out for season ( Elbow )
[SS] 03/31/2013 - Paul Janish 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 06/22/2013 - Ramiro Pena 15-day DL (6/17), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/30/2013 - Luis Ayala 15-day DL (4/25) ( Hypertension )
[LF] 06/18/2013 - Evan Gattis 15-day DL (6/17) ( Oblique )
[CF] 07/04/2013 - Jordan Schafer 15-day DL ( Ankle )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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