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Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 7:10 PM
MIAMI (30-52) AT ATLANTA (49-34) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
955: MIAMI
956: ATLANTA
7.5
-202
30-52
49-34
36-40-6
40-38-5
3.2 / 4.3
4.3 / 3.4
(R) R NOLASCO
(L) M MINOR
4-8
8-3
3.93
2.98
1.24
1.05
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: A Few Clouds   Temperature: 77.0 °
Humidity: 85   Wind: East at 4.6 MPH (4 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MIAMINOLASCO +212 
ATLANTAMINOR-212 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games30-52-9.8171-235-49.51294-1414-46.836-40187-1911320-1245
as a road underdog of +175 to +2006-11+0.19-22-5.150-74+19.47-715-1258-56
in road games12-28-7.683-119-13.8595-760-27.217-2087-100665-612
in July games1-1028-27+0.1212-208+13.81-125-27209-187
when playing on Wednesday1-11-1021-44-24.6187-232-41.73-830-32223-178
against division opponents13-21-0.972-106-21546-575+27.315-1775-91554-500
in games played on a grass field30-50-7.8170-228-43.61190-1288-4934-40183-1871202-1143
in night games19-35-8.8122-159-26.6887-981-4123-29130-135905-864
against left-handed starters9-16-2.856-68-7.6362-359+25.87-1658-59348-331
after allowing 10 runs or more5-2+5.611-13-0.193-111-3.35-213-9104-90
after a loss17-34-9.291-140-40.5665-742-17.221-2798-113681-649
when playing against a team with a winning record11-23-6.174-125-34.5609-726+2.718-1694-92659-597
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season0-1-130-53-11.9323-361+41.51-036-39346-299

ATLANTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games49-34+6.9232-176+19.11554-1187-18.940-38183-2041287-1314
as a home favorite of -175 to -2008-4+0.423-14-2.8145-84-11.57-414-19112-102
as a home favorite of -200 to -2254-0+49-5-1.4113-53+2.32-25-985-74
in home games29-11+12.4124-79+11.6824-549-20.218-1987-104640-653
in July games1-0+135-19+11.5259-161+351-026-25214-183
when playing on Wednesday6-7-3.636-28+1.2242-185-26-527-32206-195
against division opponents18-9+6100-71+12.8635-486-14.412-1375-86507-550
in games played on a grass field48-33+6.9229-174+17.61427-1109-43.438-38180-2021188-1220
in night games32-24+1.3156-127-31054-834-63.827-28122-147856-928
against right-handed starters35-25+3.6165-113+25.21140-854-19.429-26126-136926-958
after a win31-17+9.8137-93+21.9867-687-54.622-23101-119711-758
after 3 or more consecutive wins15-5+951-28+15.8275-212-26.69-935-42225-239
when playing against a team with a losing record22-17-1.6119-90-2.1755-518-26.715-2183-113579-639
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season1-0+165-40+10.7403-258-15.11-041-60294-339
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/19/2013FERNANDEZ(R)@ ARIZONACAHILL(R)1-3L1408 unU550420
6/20/2013KOEHLER(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOGAUDIN(R)2-1W1607.5 unU540441
6/21/2013NOLASCO(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R)6-3W1307 unO9701191
6/22/2013TURNER(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOZITO(L)1-2L1357.5 evU10911080
6/23/2013EOVALDI(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOCAIN(R)7-2W1827 unO1040851
6/25/2013FERNANDEZ(R)MINNESOTACORREIA(R)4-2W-1157 ovU881893
6/26/2013KOEHLER(R)MINNESOTADIAMOND(L)5-3W-1108 unP1161891
6/28/2013NOLASCO(R)SAN DIEGOVOLQUEZ(R)2-9L-1207.5 evO9911570
6/29/2013TURNER(R)SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)7-1W+1007.5 unO950751
6/30/2013EOVALDI(R)SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R)6-2W+1007 ovO740561
7/1/2013FERNANDEZ(R)SAN DIEGOMARQUIS(R)4-0W-1457.5 unU681351
7/2/2013KOEHLER(R)@ ATLANTAMEDLEN(R)3-11L2307.5 unO11921671
7/3/2013NOLASCO(R)@ ATLANTAMINOR(L) 
7/4/2013ALVAREZ(R)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R) 
7/5/2013TURNER(R)@ ST LOUISWESTBROOK(R) 
7/6/2013EOVALDI(R)@ ST LOUISKELLY(R) 
7/7/2013FERNANDEZ(R)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R) 
7/8/2013NOLASCO(R)ATLANTAMINOR(L) 
7/9/2013ALVAREZ(R)ATLANTATEHERAN(R) 
7/10/2013 ATLANTA  

ATLANTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/19/2013MEDLEN(R)NY METSMARCUM(R)5-3W-1857.5 unO781620
6/20/2013MINOR(L)NY METSNIESE(L)3-4L-1857.5 unU13113961
6/21/2013TEHERAN(R)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)0-2L-1358.5 unU270870
6/22/2013HUDSON(R)@ MILWAUKEEHAND(R)0-2L-1408.5 unU4409110
6/23/2013MAHOLM(L)@ MILWAUKEEFIGARO(R)7-4W-1309 unO14110980
6/25/2013MEDLEN(R)@ KANSAS CITYSANTANA(R)4-3W1008 ovU1082880
6/26/2013MINOR(L)@ KANSAS CITYMENDOZA(R)3-4L-1259 unU8801250
6/28/2013TEHERAN(R)ARIZONADELGADO(R)3-0W-1658 unU11110440
6/29/2013HUDSON(R)ARIZONAKENNEDY(R)11-5W-1457.5 evO111001091
6/30/2013MAHOLM(L)ARIZONACAHILL(R)6-2W-1508 unP10100861
7/2/2013MEDLEN(R)MIAMIKOEHLER(R)11-3W-2557.5 unO16711192
7/3/2013MINOR(L)MIAMINOLASCO(R) 
7/4/2013TEHERAN(R)MIAMIALVAREZ(R) 
7/5/2013HUDSON(R)@ PHILADELPHIALEE(L) 
7/6/2013MAHOLM(L)@ PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R) 
7/7/2013MEDLEN(R)@ PHILADELPHIAPETTIBONE(R) 
7/8/2013MINOR(L)@ MIAMINOLASCO(R) 
7/9/2013TEHERAN(R)@ MIAMIALVAREZ(R) 
7/10/2013 @ MIAMI  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games30-52-9.836-403.20.2330.2834.30.2590.321
Road Games12-28-7.617-203.10.2320.2774.50.2560.330
vs Left-handed Starters9-16-2.87-162.50.2180.2673.80.2580.326
Past 7 Games5-2+2.84-24.40.2660.3314.00.2580.313
Grass Games30-50-7.834-403.20.2320.2834.20.2560.318
Night Games19-35-8.723-292.60.2160.2694.40.2660.323
Division13-21-0.915-173.40.2450.2964.20.2540.313
MIAMI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.20.2330.283822758643176480.022491935633950886527139
Road Games3.10.2320.27740140132591310.02117873031825634273426
Lefty Starters2.50.2180.2672582017948170.025754195715524202014
MIAMI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.001.400265.71301182591911322213-1716672.7%
Road Games4.591.470131.3766712512681205-118372.7%

ATLANTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games49-34+6.940-384.30.2480.3213.40.2420.295
Home Games29-11+12.418-194.70.2570.3342.80.2220.270
vs Right-handed Starters35-25+3.629-264.40.2490.3213.30.2500.300
Past 7 Games6-1+4.83-36.40.3210.3963.00.2640.319
Grass Games48-33+6.938-384.30.2470.3213.30.2400.292
Night Games32-24+1.327-284.00.2430.3113.40.2420.292
Division18-9+612-134.60.2520.3222.70.2130.269
ATLANTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2480.3218327696862381020.043412997313059374497539
Home Games4.70.2570.334401291332115500.041781493331928532273515
Righty Starters4.40.2490.321602000498169740.042512135342642551365628
ATLANTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.641.1382256866175158119416-624680%
Home Games2.060.979113.326267473710612-111284.6%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
RICKY NOLASCO recent results and season statistics
RICKY NOLASCO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.931.2444-817105.36.248461061025835-12-5.98-8
Road Starts3.281.2161-3849.36.2191848512382-6-3.44-4
Last 3 Starts4.581.4711-1317.75.91092313112-1+1.33-0
RICKY NOLASCO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/28/2013SAN DIEGO2-9-1207.5Loss,OverL56511106VOLQUEZ(R)
6/21/2013at SAN FRANCISCO6-3+1307Win,Over 5.7339021LINCECUM(R)
6/16/2013ST LOUIS7-2+1258Win,OverW7113014LYONS(L)

MIKE MINOR recent results and season statistics
MIKE MINOR - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.981.0528-316102.76.438348813209511-5+3.59-7
Home Starts3.330.9162-2851.36.423194285495-3-0.44-4
Last 3 Starts5.501.5560-13186.012112543171-2-2.11-2
MIKE MINOR - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/26/2013at KANSAS CITY3-4-1259Loss,Under 6339104MENDOZA(R)
6/20/2013NY METS3-4-1857.5Loss,UnderL6449326NIESE(L)
6/15/2013SAN FRANCISCO6-5-1857Win,Over 6547017GAUDIN(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 30-10 (+17.1 Units) against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
25 of 39 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+8.9 Units)
Games this season
ATLANTA is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

All games at ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 13-6 (+4.0 Units) against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
12 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.0 Units)
Games played at ATLANTA this season.
ATLANTA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
7/2/2013MIAMI3+230 Over111092KOEHLER(R) 5250
 ATLANTA11-2557.5 unWin160071MEDLEN(R)W6392
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
RICKY NOLASCO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
NOLASCO is 5-10 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.34 and a WHIP of 1.577.
His team's record is 8-14 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-12. (-3.6 units)
RICKY NOLASCO recent starts vs. ATLANTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/31/2012at ATLANTA1-7+1608.5Loss,UnderL5447146MEDLEN(R)
7/25/2012ATLANTA1-7+1157.5Loss,OverL5.3668213HANSON(R)
5/17/2012at ATLANTA0-7+1407.5Loss,UnderL4447112BEACHY(R)

MIKE MINOR vs. MIAMI since 1997
MINOR is 2-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.35 and a WHIP of 1.427.
His team's record is 4-4 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.9 units)
MIKE MINOR recent starts vs. MIAMI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/10/2013at MIAMI8-0-1507.5Win,OverW5.7005014SANABIA(R)
8/2/2012MIAMI6-1-1857.5Win,Under 3.7002021EOVALDI(R)
7/23/2012at MIAMI1-2+1108Loss,UnderL7226104JOHNSON(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1031, -48.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 56.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (187-146, +29.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 52.5% of the time since 1997. (1165-1056, +0.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 55.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (191-154, +21.7 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (829-827, -117.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 52.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (109-100, -3.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (850-858, -120.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 50.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (108-107, -10.8 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
No significant injuries.
ATLANTA
[CF] 07/02/2013 - B.J. Upton "?" Wednesday vs. Miami Marlins ( Forearm )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Brandon Beachy 15-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/18/2013 - Eric O'Flaherty 15-day DL (5/18); out for season ( Elbow )
[LF] 06/18/2013 - Evan Gattis 15-day DL (6/17) ( Oblique )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Jonny Venters 15-day DL (3/27); out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 04/30/2013 - Luis Ayala 15-day DL (4/25) ( Hypertension )
[SS] 03/31/2013 - Paul Janish 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 06/22/2013 - Ramiro Pena 15-day DL (6/17), out for season ( Shoulder )
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