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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:10 PM
MIAMI (35-59) AT MILWAUKEE (39-56) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
907: MIAMI
908: MILWAUKEE
8.5
-166
35-59
39-56
41-46-7
48-44-3
3.3 / 4.2
3.9 / 4.6
(R) N EOVALDI
(R) Y GALLARDO
2-0
7-8
2.93
4.83
1.04
1.43
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 55.0 °
Humidity: 49   Wind: West at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MIAMIEOVALDI +136 
MILWAUKEEGALLARDO-136 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games35-59-9.1176-242-48.81299-1421-4641-46192-1971325-1251
when the total is 8 to 8.55-14-7.462-86-20.8510-497+285-1064-71525-440
as a road underdog of +125 to +1504-6-0.726-31+4.4147-195+5.25-532-21179-149
as a road underdog of +150 to +1752-10-6.68-24-1186-145-7.74-711-18103-112
in road games14-32-7.685-123-13.8597-764-27.219-2489-104667-616
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.51-9-7.228-42-8.1206-242+6.22-628-38241-186
in July games6-8+0.833-34+0.8217-215+14.56-730-33214-193
when playing on Saturday6-9-0.730-35-1.2208-220-0.16-930-31212-202
in games played on a grass field35-57-7.1175-235-42.91195-1295-48.239-46188-1931207-1149
in night games23-39-6.1126-163-24891-985-38.426-33133-139908-868
against right-handed starters24-42-8.2118-173-43.2935-1061-73.832-30132-138975-920
after getting shut out2-7-4.415-23-8.481-80+5.82-614-2271-79
after a loss19-39-11.293-145-42.5667-747-19.225-29102-115685-651
when playing against a team with a losing record17-25-283-94-11.8608-593-29.216-2180-84582-563
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season0-1-133-42-10.4299-308-44.90-135-35283-299

MILWAUKEE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games39-56-18.2224-207-7.91269-1431-107.348-44221-1921270-1303
when the total is 8 to 8.525-27-1.5119-91+13.5452-459+9.127-24102-101436-448
as a home favorite of -150 to -1753-2037-12+18112-69+23-230-1993-78
in home games23-26-6.8134-84+28.3702-650-20.627-21120-92654-632
at home when the total is 8 to 8.518-13+3.479-41+24.9285-219+4318-1361-57257-231
in July games7-8+0.835-33+1.9199-246-52.95-1030-36197-225
when playing on Saturday8-7+2.238-29+7220-212+22.38-734-30200-213
in games played on a grass field39-56-18.2224-207-7.91207-1344-10048-44221-1921213-1216
in night games29-33-4.6154-128+11.6831-907-36.331-29145-125799-856
against right-handed starters30-32-1.4170-142+11.7935-1051-6132-28163-135922-964
after shutting out their opponent2-3-0.416-11+5.557-63-6.81-49-1753-58
after a win17-21-6.3120-103-0.3610-658-46.517-20112-104610-596
when playing against a team with a losing record16-18-4.7117-85+8.6647-640-52.921-11116-77613-597
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season2-2-0.664-32+20.5345-341-37.72-252-40310-332
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/6/2013EOVALDI(R)@ ST LOUISKELLY(R)4-5L1608 unO651852
7/7/2013FERNANDEZ(R)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R)2-3L1557 ovU980670
7/8/2013SLOWEY(R)ATLANTAMINOR(L)1-7L+1408 unP8122960
7/9/2013ALVAREZ(R)ATLANTATEHERAN(R)4-6L+1457.5 unO7521191
7/10/2013TURNER(R)ATLANTAMAHOLM(L)6-2W+1157.5 unO11120661
7/12/2013EOVALDI(R)WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R)8-3W+1557 unO9706100
7/13/2013FERNANDEZ(R)WASHINGTONHAREN(R)2-1W-1257.5 unU471791
7/14/2013ALVAREZ(R)WASHINGTONJORDAN(R)2-5L+1308.5 unU117014110
7/19/2013TURNER(R)@ MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)0-2L1408 ovU660591
7/20/2013EOVALDI(R)@ MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R) 
7/21/2013ALVAREZ(R)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R) 
7/22/2013KOEHLER(R)@ COLORADOPOMERANZ(L) 
7/23/2013FERNANDEZ(R)@ COLORADOCHACIN(R) 
7/24/2013TURNER(R)@ COLORADODE LA ROSA(L) 
7/25/2013EOVALDI(R)@ COLORADONICASIO(R) 
7/26/2013ALVAREZ(R)PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L) 
7/27/2013 PITTSBURGH  

MILWAUKEE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/6/2013GALLARDO(R)NY METSMARCUM(R)7-6W-1458.5 ovO12901092
7/7/2013GORZELANNY(L)NY METSHEFNER(R)1-2L-1309 unU3521190
7/8/2013LOHSE(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)4-3W+1158 ovU11901191
7/9/2013PERALTA(R)CINCINNATICINGRANI(L)2-0W+1259 evU440340
7/10/2013HELLWEG(R)CINCINNATILEAKE(R)2-6L+1559 unU441980
7/11/2013GALLARDO(R)@ ARIZONAMILEY(L)3-5L1309 unU960560
7/12/2013GORZELANNY(L)@ ARIZONACORBIN(L)1-2L1558 unU8112431
7/13/2013LOHSE(R)@ ARIZONADELGADO(R)4-5L1058 unO840650
7/14/2013PERALTA(R)@ ARIZONAKENNEDY(R)5-1W1458.5 unU960860
7/19/2013LOHSE(R)MIAMITURNER(R)2-0W-1508 ovU591660
7/20/2013GALLARDO(R)MIAMIEOVALDI(R) 
7/21/2013PERALTA(R)MIAMIALVAREZ(R) 
7/22/2013GORZELANNY(L)SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R) 
7/23/2013HAND(R)SAN DIEGO  
7/24/2013LOHSE(R)SAN DIEGOMARQUIS(R) 
7/25/2013GALLARDO(R)SAN DIEGOVOLQUEZ(R) 
7/26/2013PERALTA(R)@ COLORADOCHATWOOD(R) 
7/27/2013 @ COLORADO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games35-59-9.141-463.30.2320.2844.20.2560.320
Road Games14-32-7.619-243.10.2300.2754.40.2530.325
vs Right-handed Starters24-42-8.232-303.50.2360.2884.40.2570.321
Past 7 Games3-4-0.33-33.30.2240.2923.70.2310.323
Grass Games35-57-7.139-463.20.2300.2834.10.2540.317
Night Games23-39-6.126-332.70.2140.2694.30.2610.320
MIAMI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.30.2320.284943177736205570.022892316644560096608247
Road Games3.10.2300.275461603368107360.021341013572029839304132
Righty Starters3.50.2360.288662237529147390.022191624433441370376033
MIAMI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.841.3773051441302902113026215-2018869.2%
Road Games4.241.421146.3796913513731346-1210471.4%

MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games39-56-18.248-443.90.2560.3044.60.2600.318
Home Games23-26-6.827-214.10.2640.3144.80.2710.328
vs Right-handed Starters30-32-1.532-284.20.2590.3104.40.2580.311
Past 7 Games3-4-0.31-62.70.2140.2732.70.2000.278
Grass Games39-56-18.248-443.90.2560.3044.60.2600.318
Night Games29-33-4.631-294.10.2640.3134.30.2580.315
MILWAUKEE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.90.2560.304953252833259920.033532236947964381678163
Home Games4.10.2640.314491638432138560.031951213294432841325131
Righty Starters4.20.2590.310622097543170620.032471554286241947445737
MILWAUKEE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.941.2043241171062753111529613-15211263.6%
Home Games2.851.193186645915919631639-612475%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
NATHAN EOVALDI recent results and season statistics
NATHAN EOVALDI - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.931.0432-0530.76.1101019213183-2+2.44-1
Road Starts3.370.9641-0318.76.2771226131-2-0.22-1
Last 3 Starts2.891.1781-0318.76.2661201082-1+1.63-0
NATHAN EOVALDI - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/12/2013WASHINGTON8-3+1557Win,OverW6333045STRASBURG(R)
7/6/2013at ST LOUIS4-5+1608Loss,Over 6.7335033KELLY(R)
6/30/2013SAN DIEGO6-2+1007Win,Over 6004030CASHNER(R)

YOVANI GALLARDO recent results and season statistics
YOVANI GALLARDO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.831.4347-820113.75.768611201243918-12-4.613-6
Home Starts5.141.4823-410565.6353266817504-6-2.88-2
Last 3 Starts9.001.7331-13155.015151927111-2-12-1
YOVANI GALLARDO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/11/2013at ARIZONA3-5+1309Loss,Under 6334023MILEY(L)
7/6/2013NY METS7-6-1458.5Win,OverW6446136MARCUM(R)
7/1/2013at WASHINGTON5-10+1757Loss,OverL3889122ZIMMERMANN(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 14-5 (+8.9 Units) against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
14 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+9.6 Units)
Games this season
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 (+1.9 Units) against MIAMI this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

All games at MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-2 (+3.9 Units) against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.7 Units)
Games played at MILWAUKEE this season.
MILWAUKEE is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
7/19/2013MIAMI0+140 Under60060TURNER(R)L5254
 MILWAUKEE2-1508 ovWin52491LOHSE(R)W6050
6/12/2013MILWAUKEE10-120  121030FIGARO(R)W7030
 MIAMI1+1107.5 unOver50032SLOWEY(R)L5590
6/11/2013MILWAUKEE4-115 Over50230PERALTA(R) 6351
 MIAMI5+1057.5 unWin82021TURNER(R) 7352
6/10/2013MILWAUKEE6-115  1611100GALLARDO(R)W8041
 MIAMI1+1057 un 50121NOLASCO(R)L5.34102
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
NATHAN EOVALDI vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
EOVALDI is 0-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.111.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)
NATHAN EOVALDI recent starts vs. MILWAUKEE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/5/2012MILWAUKEE5-8-1059Loss,OverL5226114PERALTA(R)
5/29/2012MILWAUKEE1-2-1407.5Loss,UnderL7224114FIERS(R)
8/17/2011at MILWAUKEE1-3+1807.5Loss,UnderL6225032GREINKE(R)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. MIAMI since 1997
GALLARDO is 4-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.071.
His team's record is 5-1 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)
YOVANI GALLARDO recent starts vs. MIAMI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/10/2013at MIAMI6-1-1157WinW8004014NOLASCO(R)
9/23/2011FLORIDA4-1-2358Win,Under 7.31170011VOLSTAD(R)
6/4/2011at FLORIDA3-2-1358Win,UnderW6216025VOLSTAD(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MILWAUKEE in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1036, -50.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 55.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (191-151, +27.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 53.4% of the time since 1997. (1156-1007, +53.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 54.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (198-163, +13.0 units)
Edge=MIAMI
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (835-832, -117.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 52.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (115-105, -3.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (812-806, -101.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 48.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (122-128, -22.6 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
No significant injuries.
MILWAUKEE
[1B] 06/28/2013 - Corey Hart 60-day DL (3/22); out for season ( Knee )
[P] 06/05/2013 - Marco Estrada 15-day DL (6/4) ( Hamstring )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Mark Rogers 60-day DL (3/25) ( Shoulder )
[1B] 03/31/2013 - Mat Gamel 60-day DL (3/20), out for season ( Knee )
[3B] 03/31/2013 - Taylor Green 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Hip )
[P] 06/26/2013 - Alfredo Figaro 15-day DL (6/24) ( Oblique )
[P] 07/05/2013 - Miguel De Los Santos is on the restricted list ( Shoulder )
[3B] 07/08/2013 - Aramis Ramirez 15-day DL (7/7) ( Knee )
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