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Matchup Reports

Friday at 10:10 PM
MIAMI (20-15) AT SAN DIEGO (15-21) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
961: MIAMI
962: SAN DIEGO
5.5
+123
20-15
15-21
19-13-3
9-24-3
4.6 / 3.7
2.6 / 3.6
(R) J FERNANDEZ
(R) T ROSS
4-1
3-3
1.74
3.30
0.90
1.37
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Fair   Temperature: 89.0 °
Humidity: 20   Wind: Northwest at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MIAMIFERNANDEZ-203
SAN DIEGOROSS +203 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games20-15+5.6151-208-33.81346-1477-45.319-13155-1711365-1301
when the total is 7 or less11-7+4.661-58+14.4138-153+0.69-654-45130-121
on the road with a money line of -100 to -1250-009-8-0.2109-98-2.80-05-1298-97
as a road favorite of -125 to -1500-1-1.42-4-3.463-59-15.51-02-458-61
in road games3-10-6.460-115-32.8612-797-385-765-91681-642
on the road when the total is 7 or less3-6-2.421-35-6.356-93-18.83-521-2566-61
in May games7-1+6.834-31+4.7227-260-16.74-330-31232-218
when playing on Friday3-2+0.726-30+0.8210-239-12.94-028-24207-210
in games played on a grass field20-15+5.6150-204-30.91242-1351-47.519-13152-1691247-1199
in night games16-10+6.8104-140-21925-1026-40.216-7107-116940-902
against right-handed starters12-13-0.897-148-37.1963-1103-8314-10107-1181002-957
after a win12-7+4.971-78+2.1651-690-19.27-1068-69651-618
after 3 or more consecutive wins3-3+0.310-16-6.6147-159-22.72-413-13154-138
when playing against a team with a losing record7-4+2.967-77-5.3628-613-26.75-660-72594-588

SAN DIEGO team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games15-21-5.8167-193+1.51353-1459-36.89-24169-1791355-1323
when the total is 7 or less10-16-6.381-94-0.6290-305-2.96-1781-85265-296
as a home underdog of +100 to +1253-2+1.341-39+7180-181+17.83-242-36164-179
in home games9-11-3.396-86+11.2725-680-32.45-1382-93631-705
at home when the total is 7 or less8-11-4.365-68-0.9223-222-14.94-1357-71193-231
in May games2-5-4.227-36-6241-244+3.73-329-31236-230
when playing on Friday2-3-1.423-34-10.7198-247-56.42-334-20226-193
in games played on a grass field15-21-5.8167-190+4.51293-1383-28.39-24167-1781280-1268
in night games10-15-5.1113-133-1906-1000-58.58-16115-123907-908
against right-handed starters11-20-9.2111-134-5.6968-1009+3.48-21111-128950-928
after a loss10-11-1.187-105-3.8706-749+4.63-1693-93707-675
after 3 or more consecutive losses2-2-0.228-22+11.8178-196+2.11-229-20176-179
when playing against a team with a winning record10-12-0.687-109-0.3625-787-49.84-1686-101678-664
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/25/2014ALVAREZ(R)@ NY METSWHEELER(R)3-4L1057 unP7701081
4/26/2014SLOWEY(R)@ NY METSMEJIA(R)7-6W1257 ovO1072650
4/27/2014KOEHLER(R)@ NY METSGEE(R)0-4L1107 unU351670
4/29/2014FERNANDEZ(R)ATLANTAWOOD(L)9-0W-1306 unO1340351
4/30/2014EOVALDI(R)ATLANTAHARANG(R)9-3W+1007 ovO1580631
5/1/2014ALVAREZ(R)ATLANTASANTANA(R)5-4W+1257.5 unO1080980
5/2/2014KOEHLER(R)LA DODGERSBECKETT(R)6-3W+1057.5 ovO1161770
5/3/2014TURNER(R)LA DODGERSMAHOLM(L)7-9L+1058.5 unO141301661
5/4/2014FERNANDEZ(R)LA DODGERSFIFE(R)5-4W-1707 unO971690
5/5/2014EOVALDI(R)NY METSNIESE(L)4-3W-1257 ovP9110642
5/6/2014ALVAREZ(R)NY METSCOLON(R)3-0W-1157.5 unU760641
5/7/2014KOEHLER(R)NY METSWHEELER(R)1-0W-1107.5 unU360230
5/8/2014TURNER(R)@ SAN DIEGOKENNEDY(R)3-1W1457 unU541771
5/9/2014FERNANDEZ(R)@ SAN DIEGOROSS(R) 
5/10/2014EOVALDI(R)@ SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L) 
5/11/2014ALVAREZ(R)@ SAN DIEGOERLIN(L) 
5/12/2014KOEHLER(R)@ LA DODGERSHAREN(R) 
5/13/2014TURNER(R)@ LA DODGERSBECKETT(R) 
5/14/2014FERNANDEZ(R)@ LA DODGERSMAHOLM(L) 
5/15/2014EOVALDI(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOCAIN(R) 
5/16/2014 @ SAN FRANCISCO  

SAN DIEGO - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/25/2014ERLIN(L)@ WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R)1-11L1806.5 ovO109017100
4/26/2014CASHNER(R)@ WASHINGTONROARK(R)0-4L1057 unU3431091
4/27/2014KENNEDY(R)@ WASHINGTONJORDAN(R)4-2W1057.5 unU880540
4/28/2014ROSS(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER(L)6-4W1606 unO9100952
4/29/2014STULTS(L)@ SAN FRANCISCOPETIT(R)0-6L1357 unU321960
4/30/2014ERLIN(L)@ SAN FRANCISCOHUDSON(R)2-3L1507 unU5301070
5/2/2014CASHNER(R)ARIZONAARROYO(R)0-2L-1407 unU340772
5/3/2014KENNEDY(R)ARIZONAMCCARTHY(R)3-4L-1306.5 unO96014110
5/4/2014ROSS(R)ARIZONAMILEY(L)4-3W-1257 unP863870
5/5/2014STULTS(L)KANSAS CITYVENTURA(R)6-5W+1106.5 unO96016111
5/6/2014ERLIN(L)KANSAS CITYGUTHRIE(R)1-3L-1106.5 unU640781
5/7/2014CASHNER(R)KANSAS CITYSHIELDS(R)0-8L+1006 unO88314110
5/8/2014KENNEDY(R)MIAMITURNER(R)1-3L-1557 unU771541
5/9/2014ROSS(R)MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R) 
5/10/2014STULTS(L)MIAMIEOVALDI(R) 
5/11/2014ERLIN(L)MIAMIALVAREZ(R) 
5/13/2014CASHNER(R)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R) 
5/14/2014KENNEDY(R)@ CINCINNATICUETO(R) 
5/15/2014ROSS(R)@ CINCINNATISIMON(R) 
5/16/2014 @ COLORADO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games20-15+5.619-134.60.2630.3303.70.2340.294
Road Games3-10-6.45-72.70.2080.2764.50.2510.324
vs Right-handed Starters12-13-0.814-104.10.2510.3184.00.2420.308
Past 7 Games6-1+5.53-34.10.2450.3222.90.2100.263
Grass Games20-15+5.619-134.60.2630.3303.70.2340.294
Night Games16-10+6.816-75.20.2840.3493.70.2330.288
MIAMI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.60.2630.330351173308100340.03154118313925322272926
Road Games2.70.2080.276134439226130.0334421514966121012
Righty Starters4.10.2510.3182583420967260.039883240618216242120
MIAMI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.511.31010044398710441009-88561.5%
Road Games4.651.35240.7232133522442-63350%

SAN DIEGO - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games15-21-5.89-242.60.2140.2623.60.2460.301
Home Games9-11-3.35-132.70.2250.2723.10.2230.282
vs Right-handed Starters11-20-9.28-212.40.2120.2583.80.2510.306
Past 7 Games2-5-4.23-32.10.2020.2364.00.2610.312
Grass Games15-21-5.89-242.60.2140.2623.60.2460.301
Night Games10-15-5.18-162.70.2190.2633.90.2610.317
SAN DIEGO - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games2.60.2140.26236119625686200.0285782942321940283136
Home Games2.70.2250.2722064914650140.0249421531011328172020
Righty Starters2.40.2120.25831104022072160.0268652562018932242434
SAN DIEGO - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games1.881.0521152924845371026-211191.7%
Home Games1.540.99564.3151141323564-250100%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JOSE FERNANDEZ recent results and season statistics
JOSE FERNANDEZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts1.740.9004-1746.76.713930212655-2+2.25-2
Road Starts4.501.2501-12126.0661104201-1-0.21-1
Last 3 Starts0.780.6962-03237.7321006323-0+3.22-1
JOSE FERNANDEZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/4/2014LA DODGERS5-4-1707Win,Over 73250410FIFE(R)
4/29/2014ATLANTA9-0-1306Win,OverW8002028WOOD(L)
4/22/2014at ATLANTA1-0+1206.5Win,UnderW80030014WOOD(L)

TYSON ROSS recent results and season statistics
TYSON ROSS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.301.3743-3743.76.2241644516374-3+1.92-4
Home Starts1.671.0742-14276.7852217283-1+2.30-3
Last 3 Starts4.911.5821-1318.36.112102445122-1+1.61-1
TYSON ROSS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/4/2014ARIZONA4-3-1257Win 7317115MILEY(L)
4/28/2014at SAN FRANCISCO6-4+1606Win,OverW5.3448124BUMGARNER(L)
4/23/2014at MILWAUKEE2-5+1207.5Loss,UnderL6559223LOHSE(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 11-6 (+4.7 Units) against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.5 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)
Games this season
MIAMI is 3-1 (+2.3 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

All games at SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-3 (+1.5 Units) against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)
Games played at SAN DIEGO this season.
MIAMI is 1-0 (+1.5 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/8/2014MIAMI3+145  51041TURNER(R) 6151
 SAN DIEGO1-1557 unUnder71271KENNEDY(R) 7142
4/6/2014SAN DIEGO4+110  71150KENNEDY(R)W6131
 MIAMI2-1207.5 unUnder50132EOVALDI(R)L7360
4/5/2014SAN DIEGO0+140 Under50280CASHNER(R)L6253
 MIAMI5-1506.5 unWin1000101FERNANDEZ(R)W6.7032
4/4/2014SAN DIEGO2-105 Over70080STULTS(L)L4571
 MIAMI8-1057.5 unWin131180KOEHLER(R)W6271
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JOSE FERNANDEZ vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
FERNANDEZ is 2-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.545.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)
JOSE FERNANDEZ recent starts vs. SAN DIEGO
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/5/2014SAN DIEGO5-0-1506.5Win,UnderW6.7003028CASHNER(R)
7/1/2013SAN DIEGO4-0-1457.5Win,UnderW80020110MARQUIS(R)

TYSON ROSS vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.
TYSON ROSS recent starts vs. MIAMI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring SAN DIEGO in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1088, -75.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 52.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (152-139, -0.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN DIEGO games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (1123-1135, -125.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN DIEGO games 51% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (155-149, -13.7 units)
Edge=MIAMI
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (881-870, -116.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 55.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (131-105, +10.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN DIEGO games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (877-815, -55.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN DIEGO games 58.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (142-101, +28.6 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
No significant injuries.
SAN DIEGO
[3B] 04/25/2014 - Chase Headley 15-day DL (4/24) ( Calf )
[LF] 03/30/2014 - Carlos Quentin 15-day DL (3/25) ( Knee )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Cory Luebke 60-day DL (3/7) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Josh Johnson 60-day DL (3/21); out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Casey Kelly 15-day DL (3/21) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Joe Wieland 60-day DL (3/21) ( Elbow )
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