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Page last updated on Tue Jul 22 17:28:19 EDT 2014
Matchup Reports

Saturday at 9:05 PM
MIAMI (22-21) AT SAN FRANCISCO (27-16) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
963: MIAMI
964: SAN FRANCISCO
7.5
-143
22-21
27-16
27-13-3
20-21-2
4.6 / 4.2
4.3 / 3.6
(R) T KOEHLER
(R) T LINCECUM
3-3
3-2
2.57
4.78
1.14
1.55
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 61   Wind: Calm
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MIAMIKOEHLER +112 
SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM-112 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games22-21+1.9153-214-37.51348-1483-49.127-13163-1711373-1301
as a road underdog of +125 to +1504-4+1.325-31+3156-206+6.36-228-23187-159
in road games5-16-10.262-121-36.5614-803-41.713-773-91689-642
in May games9-7+336-37+0.9229-266-20.512-338-31240-218
when playing on Saturday3-3+0.225-33-4.2215-230-1.24-228-29220-211
in games played on a grass field22-21+1.9152-210-34.61244-1357-51.327-13160-1691255-1199
in night games18-15+4106-145-23.7927-1031-4323-7114-116947-902
against right-handed starters13-17-3.998-152-40.2964-1107-86.119-10112-1181007-957
after a win12-9+2.571-80-0.3651-692-21.59-1070-69653-618
when playing against a team with a winning record12-13+0.375-118-23640-768+2.317-690-84695-624

SAN FRANCISCO team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games27-16+11.2208-175+17.11530-1325+105.320-21190-1761367-1350
as a home favorite of -125 to -1505-3+1.136-25+2.2275-188+19.64-429-26211-227
in home games13-7+4.1107-83-0.3827-598+66.810-1088-91654-698
in May games10-5+6.439-32+6250-239-1.56-836-31226-240
when playing on Saturday3-3+0.134-27+4.5231-231-16.53-332-27211-235
in games played on a grass field27-16+11.2207-171+19.91466-1263+102.420-21188-1731295-1299
in night games16-12+3.1129-110+9978-813+116.411-17123-107848-852
against right-handed starters15-9+5.5132-118-1.71114-962+65.314-9131-1101018-961
after a loss10-5+5.396-78+12.5700-626+43.17-680-84639-618
when playing against a team with a winning record14-5+11.297-81+22685-668+49.58-1186-84654-637
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/3/2014TURNER(R)LA DODGERSMAHOLM(L)7-9L+1058.5 unO141301661
5/4/2014FERNANDEZ(R)LA DODGERSFIFE(R)5-4W-1707 unO971690
5/5/2014EOVALDI(R)NY METSNIESE(L)4-3W-1257 ovP9110642
5/6/2014ALVAREZ(R)NY METSCOLON(R)3-0W-1157.5 unU760641
5/7/2014KOEHLER(R)NY METSWHEELER(R)1-0W-1107.5 unU360230
5/8/2014TURNER(R)@ SAN DIEGOKENNEDY(R)3-1W1457 unU541771
5/9/2014FERNANDEZ(R)@ SAN DIEGOROSS(R)1-10L-1355.5 ovO4511360
5/10/2014EOVALDI(R)@ SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)3-9L-1056.5 evO98113120
5/11/2014ALVAREZ(R)@ SAN DIEGOERLIN(L)4-5L1157 unO1110110100
5/12/2014KOEHLER(R)@ LA DODGERSHAREN(R)5-6L1357 ovO83010120
5/13/2014TURNER(R)@ LA DODGERSBECKETT(R)1-7L1457.5 ovO5721250
5/14/2014DESCLAFANI(R)@ LA DODGERSMAHOLM(L)13-3W1408 ovO17801081
5/15/2014EOVALDI(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOCAIN(R)4-6L1307 unO6601291
5/16/2014ALVAREZ(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOPETIT(R)7-5W1257.5 unO14911171
5/17/2014KOEHLER(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R) 
5/18/2014TURNER(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOVOGELSONG(R) 
5/20/2014DESCLAFANI(R)PHILADELPHIABURNETT(R) 
5/21/2014EOVALDI(R)PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R) 
5/22/2014ALVAREZ(R)PHILADELPHIAHAMELS(L) 
5/23/2014KOEHLER(R)MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R) 
5/24/2014 MILWAUKEE  

SAN FRANCISCO - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/3/2014VOGELSONG(R)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R)3-1W1607.5 unU421570
5/4/2014BUMGARNER(L)@ ATLANTAWOOD(L)4-1W1207 unU10101460
5/5/2014PETIT(R)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L)11-10W-1057 unO201111691
5/6/2014HUDSON(R)@ PITTSBURGHMORTON(R)1-2L-1157 ovU571541
5/7/2014LINCECUM(R)@ PITTSBURGHCOLE(R)3-4L1407 unP7401280
5/8/2014VOGELSONG(R)@ LA DODGERSBECKETT(R)3-1W1307 ovU690550
5/9/2014BUMGARNER(L)@ LA DODGERSMAHOLM(L)3-1W-1257 unU660431
5/10/2014CAIN(R)@ LA DODGERSGREINKE(R)2-6L1456.5 ovO8120961
5/11/2014HUDSON(R)@ LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)7-4W1606 ovO117014110
5/12/2014LINCECUM(R)ATLANTAFLOYD(R)4-2W+1007 unU951341
5/13/2014VOGELSONG(R)ATLANTAMINOR(L)0-5L+1007 ovU580950
5/14/2014BUMGARNER(L)ATLANTATEHERAN(R)10-4W-1307 unO15110741
5/15/2014CAIN(R)MIAMIEOVALDI(R)6-4W-1407 unO1291660
5/16/2014PETIT(R)MIAMIALVAREZ(R)5-7L-1357.5 unO11711491
5/17/2014LINCECUM(R)MIAMIKOEHLER(R) 
5/18/2014VOGELSONG(R)MIAMITURNER(R) 
5/20/2014BUMGARNER(L)@ COLORADOMORALES(L) 
5/21/2014CAIN(R)@ COLORADOCHACIN(R) 
5/22/2014HUDSON(R)@ COLORADODE LA ROSA(L) 
5/23/2014LINCECUM(R)MINNESOTAGIBSON(R) 
5/24/2014 MINNESOTA  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games22-21+1.827-134.60.2630.3284.20.2520.315
Road Games5-16-10.213-73.50.2290.2935.20.2810.353
vs Right-handed Starters13-17-3.919-104.00.2460.3124.50.2580.325
Past 7 Games2-5-2.47-05.30.2770.3305.90.3210.396
Grass Games22-21+1.827-134.60.2630.3284.20.2520.315
Night Games18-15+423-75.20.2790.3424.30.2550.313
MIAMI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.60.2630.328431455382127460.031901423761230929333436
Road Games3.50.2290.2932172516653250.037066214715213181522
Righty Starters4.00.2460.31230100124681330.0311696278921220282625
MIAMI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.911.405126.76055118116012410-99564.3%
Road Games4.951.51567.3393764638683-74357.1%

SAN FRANCISCO - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games27-16+11.220-214.30.2470.3123.60.2430.294
Home Games13-7+4.110-104.20.2630.3253.30.2220.271
vs Right-handed Starters15-9+5.514-94.70.2580.3214.00.2400.291
Past 7 Games4-3+1.25-24.90.2870.3464.60.2550.309
Grass Games27-16+11.220-214.30.2470.3123.60.2430.294
Night Games16-12+3.111-173.70.2460.3063.60.2410.290
SAN FRANCISCO - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2470.312431455359127500.031791373502428942254638
Home Games4.20.2630.3252065817362180.0383601561313723141812
Righty Starters4.70.2580.3212481821179330.04111761991816022172520
SAN FRANCISCO - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.150.988133.7343298103410612-416769.6%
Home Games1.150.86262.710839215505-26366.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
TOM KOEHLER recent results and season statistics
TOM KOEHLER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.571.1433-38496.1141434422304-4+0.75-3
Road Starts5.141.6190-34215.2121221413170-4-42-2
Last 3 Starts1.931.0181-1318.76.2441118102-1+12-1
TOM KOEHLER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/12/2014at LA DODGERS5-6+1357Loss,OverL3.7446151HAREN(R)
5/7/2014NY METS1-0-1107.5Win,Under 8002015WHEELER(R)
5/2/2014LA DODGERS6-3+1057.5Win,OverW7003024BECKETT(R)

TIM LINCECUM recent results and season statistics
TIM LINCECUM - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.781.5463-2843.35.4242352715466-2+4.13-3
Home Starts4.641.4061-1421.35.312112347243-1+1.82-2
Last 3 Starts3.061.4152-1317.75.9661619192-1+1.20-2
TIM LINCECUM - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/12/2014ATLANTA4-2+1007Win,UnderW7.71121411FLOYD(R)
5/7/2014at PITTSBURGH3-4+1407LossL4448024COLE(R)
5/2/2014at ATLANTA2-1+1207.5Win,UnderW6116034MINOR(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 10-6 (+6.4 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.2 Units)
Games this season
MIAMI is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.3 Units)

All games at SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-2 (+7.4 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)
Games played at SAN FRANCISCO this season.
MIAMI is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.3 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/16/2014MIAMI7+125  142191ALVAREZ(R) 64100
 SAN FRANCISCO5-1357.5 unOver110071PETIT(R) 5470
5/15/2014MIAMI4+130 Over62060EOVALDI(R)L4.3692
 SAN FRANCISCO6-1407 unWin121191CAIN(R)W7.7463
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
TOM KOEHLER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
KOEHLER is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 2-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)
TOM KOEHLER recent starts vs. SAN FRANCISCO
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/18/2013SAN FRANCISCO6-5+1407Win,Over 5337144BUMGARNER(L)
6/20/2013at SAN FRANCISCO2-1+1607.5Win,UnderW7113033GAUDIN(R)

TIM LINCECUM vs. MIAMI since 1997
LINCECUM is 2-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 0.971.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.2 units)
TIM LINCECUM recent starts vs. MIAMI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/21/2013MIAMI3-6-1407Loss,Over 7334118NOLASCO(R)
5/25/2012at MIAMI6-7+1407Loss,OverL5.7666245JOHNSON(R)
8/13/2011at FLORIDA3-0-1357Win,UnderW70020310VAZQUEZ(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring SAN FRANCISCO in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1090, -72.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 52.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (156-141, +1.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (1198-1120, -25.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 51.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (163-155, -10.9 units)
Edge=MIAMI
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (885-874, -117.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 55.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (135-109, +9.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 51.3% of the time since 1997. (884-839, -78.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 50.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (131-130, -16.0 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
No significant injuries.
SAN FRANCISCO
[P] 05/16/2014 - Tim Hudson "?" next start ( Hip )
[1B] 05/10/2014 - Brandon Belt 15-day DL (5/10) ( Finger )
[2B] 03/28/2014 - Marco Scutaro 60-day DL (3/21) ( Back )
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