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Matchup Reports

Monday at 3:10 PM
MIAMI (13-37) AT TAMPA BAY (25-24) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
913: MIAMI
914: TAMPA BAY
7.5
-192
13-37
25-24
18-28-4
28-16-5
2.6 / 4.2
4.8 / 4.6
(R) J FERNANDEZ
(R) J ODORIZZI
2-2
0-0
3.31
5.40
1.16
1.20
Current Weather Conditions 
Dome Stadium 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MIAMIFERNANDEZ +161 
TAMPA BAYODORIZZI-161 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after a loss9-27-13.683-133-44.8657-735-21.513-2090-106673-642
after 3 or more consecutive losses6-10-1.628-50-19.8180-219-15.76-931-41204-174
when playing against a team with a winning record5-14-6.168-116-34.4603-717+2.710-986-85651-590
in all games13-37-17.8154-220-57.51277-1399-54.818-28169-1791302-1233
when the total is 7 or less6-15-6.640-51-9.1101-126-19.510-938-42101-98
as a road underdog of +150 to +1751-6-4.27-20-8.685-141-5.33-310-14102-108
in road games6-19-977-110-15.2589-751-28.69-1379-93657-605
on the road when the total is 7 or less2-8-519-28-645-76-19.14-518-2256-49
in May games5-18-1041-39+2.8219-255-20.99-1237-36226-212
when playing on Monday2-4-1.120-23-2.4129-149-11.71-424-17135-124
in an inter-league game1-4-2.614-27-11.1149-139+20.81-315-22134-142
in day games3-12-7.841-71-29.8387-419-175-749-52394-372
in games played in a dome0-001-5-3.924-35-6.30-02-423-33
in games played on artificial turf0-001-5-3.9104-124+4.20-02-4116-102
against right-handed starters9-23-10103-154-45920-1042-75.714-15114-123957-905

TAMPA BAY team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games25-24-4.2207-170+6.51140-1362-69.528-16159-1971129-1265
when the total is 7 or less5-5-2.633-31-9.140-43-15.46-230-2736-40
as a home favorite of -175 to -2001-2-2.722-11+1.552-28+02-014-1834-41
in home games15-10+0.4108-81-6.8634-615+7.616-871-109536-663
at home when the total is 7 or less4-4-2.622-19-7.825-24-10.95-218-1820-24
in May games13-10+0.441-37-5.2194-247-40.217-640-32202-216
when playing on Monday1-4-3.418-21-5.6110-132-2.52-213-2199-128
in an inter-league game5-1+3.826-16+6.1133-146-7.95-120-18132-136
in day games8-9-3.173-58+1.9393-450-5.49-857-70368-440
in games played in a dome15-10+0.4108-81-6.8652-651-2.316-871-109559-686
in games played on artificial turf16-12-0.6121-89-1.8718-730+7.717-1082-117624-761
against right-handed starters15-16-4.2138-118-8.7825-976-35.219-8104-138804-916
after a win12-12-3113-90+6.2546-589-13.515-789-104509-573
when playing against a team with a losing record8-7-0.687-53+20.3498-535-46.411-358-75457-528
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/14/2013NOLASCO(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)2-6L+1557 evO6401080
5/15/2013SANABIA(R)CINCINNATILEAKE(R)0-4L+1658 unU111201190
5/16/2013FERNANDEZ(R)CINCINNATILATOS(R)3-5L+1507 unO641870
5/17/2013SLOWEY(R)ARIZONACAHILL(R)2-9L+1357 ovO7601670
5/18/2013KOEHLER(R)ARIZONAMCCARTHY(R)0-1L+1457.5 unU340440
5/19/2013NOLASCO(R)ARIZONAMILEY(L)2-1W+1357.5 unU540670
5/20/2013SANABIA(R)PHILADELPHIAHAMELS(L)5-1W+1607 evU1160762
5/21/2013FERNANDEZ(R)PHILADELPHIACLOYD(R)3-7L+1007 unO107115120
5/22/2013SLOWEY(R)PHILADELPHIALEE(L)0-3L+1556.5 ovU3411290
5/24/2013KOEHLER(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXDANKS(L)3-4L1607.5 unU7501091
5/25/2013NOLASCO(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXPEAVY(R)1-2L1877 unU6501080
5/26/2013SANABIA(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXAXELROD(R)3-5L1858 evP751840
5/27/2013FERNANDEZ(R)@ TAMPA BAYODORIZZI(R) 
5/28/2013SLOWEY(R)@ TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R) 
5/29/2013KOEHLER(R)TAMPA BAYHERNANDEZ(R) 
5/30/2013NOLASCO(R)TAMPA BAYMOORE(L) 
5/31/2013SANABIA(R)NY METSMARCUM(R) 
6/1/2013 NY METS  
6/2/2013 NY METS  
6/3/2013 @ PHILADELPHIA  

TAMPA BAY - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/14/2013MOORE(L)BOSTONLACKEY(R)5-3W-1307.5 ovO1170350
5/15/2013PRICE(L)BOSTONLESTER(L)2-9L-1257 unO9901040
5/16/2013COBB(R)BOSTONDOUBRONT(L)3-4L-1408 unU7120460
5/17/2013HELLICKSON(R)@ BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R)12-10W1009 unO17801331
5/18/2013HERNANDEZ(R)@ BALTIMOREJURRJENS(R)10-6W-1109 evO116013100
5/19/2013MOORE(L)@ BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)3-1W-1108.5 ovU770551
5/20/2013ODORIZZI(R)@ TORONTODICKEY(R)5-7L1359 unO771860
5/21/2013COBB(R)@ TORONTOORTIZ(R)4-3W-1409.5 unU1042670
5/22/2013HELLICKSON(R)@ TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)3-4L1009.5 unU740751
5/24/2013HERNANDEZ(R)NY YANKEESPHELPS(R)4-9L-1158.5 unO7301180
5/25/2013MOORE(L)NY YANKEESNUNO(L)3-4L-1707.5 evU9101980
5/26/2013COBB(R)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)8-3W-1207 unO860650
5/27/2013ODORIZZI(R)MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R) 
5/28/2013HELLICKSON(R)MIAMISLOWEY(R) 
5/29/2013HERNANDEZ(R)@ MIAMIKOEHLER(R) 
5/30/2013MOORE(L)@ MIAMINOLASCO(R) 
5/31/2013COBB(R)@ CLEVELANDKLUBER(R) 
6/1/2013 @ CLEVELAND  
6/2/2013 @ CLEVELAND  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games13-37-17.818-282.60.2210.2744.20.2640.327
Road Games6-19-99-132.90.2270.2804.50.2580.337
vs Right-handed Starters9-23-1014-153.20.2330.2874.30.2600.321
Past 7 Games2-5-21-52.40.2190.2583.30.2790.323
Day Games3-12-7.85-73.50.2420.2904.20.2570.329
Interleague1-4-2.61-33.60.2440.2864.00.2630.320
MIAMI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games2.60.2210.27450164536397250.021231213442731057334322
Road Games2.90.2270.2802583719057170.0268621821215924192115
Righty Starters3.20.2330.28732107225067170.0295812022120037182712
MIAMI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.021.384163.3797315210741404-116366.7%
Road Games4.971.42176474263545731-54180%

TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games25-24-4.228-164.80.2570.3254.60.2420.309
Home Games15-10+0.416-84.90.2630.3304.30.2240.292
vs Right-handed Starters15-16-4.219-84.80.2560.3285.20.2530.312
Past 7 Games3-4-1.83-44.30.2280.2824.40.2190.297
Dome Games15-10+0.416-84.90.2630.3304.30.2240.292
Day Games8-9-3.29-84.20.2170.2924.10.2370.309
Interleague5-1+3.85-16.00.2730.3494.70.2330.297
TAMPA BAY - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2570.325491656426153540.032241663342232440223543
Home Games4.90.2630.3302581821573230.0311682163121632182021
Righty Starters4.80.2560.32831104126794350.031411102101620026162232
TAMPA BAY - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.961.407134.3777412116681376-1110952.6%
Home Games5.271.29771.74442581235734-55645.5%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JOSE FERNANDEZ recent results and season statistics
JOSE FERNANDEZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.311.1632-29495.4181839518464-5+0.94-4
Road Starts4.331.2222-25275.413132429302-3+0.22-3
Last 3 Starts3.001.3331-03186.0661836141-2-0.73-0
JOSE FERNANDEZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/21/2013PHILADELPHIA3-7+1007Loss,Over 5115112CLOYD(R)
5/16/2013CINCINNATI3-5+1507Loss,Over 7225135LATOS(R)
5/10/2013at LA DODGERS5-4+1307Win,OverW6338127MAGILL(R)

JAKE ODORIZZI recent results and season statistics
JAKE ODORIZZI - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts5.401.2000-0155.03350160-1-11-0
Home Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts5.401.2000-0155.03350160-1-11-0
JAKE ODORIZZI - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/20/2013at TORONTO5-7+1359Loss,Over 5335016DICKEY(R)
9/29/2012at CLEVELAND7-6+1158.5Win,Over 2112031GOMEZ(R)
9/23/2012CLEVELAND4-15-1258.5Loss,OverL5.3336113HUFF(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 9-3 (+5.2 Units) against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.7 Units)
Games this season
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 5-1 (+3.7 Units) against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)
Games played at TAMPA BAY this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JOSE FERNANDEZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.
JOSE FERNANDEZ recent starts vs. TAMPA BAY
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.
JAKE ODORIZZI recent starts vs. MIAMI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TAMPA BAY in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1022, -53.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 55.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (172-137, +24.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 55.5% of the time since 1997. (1107-886, +116.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 58% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (182-132, +26.0 units)
Edge=MIAMI
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 50% of the time since 1997. (814-814, -117.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 51.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (94-87, -4.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 53.1% of the time since 1997. (792-700, +2.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 52.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (105-94, -0.3 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
No significant injuries.
TAMPA BAY
[P] 04/05/2013 - Jeff Niemann 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Juan Oviedo 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/16/2013 - David Price 15-day DL (5/15) ( Tricep )
[RF] 05/26/2013 - Matt Joyce is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. New York Yankees ( Rest )
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