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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 7:05 PM
MIAMI (56-98) AT WASHINGTON (83-71) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
931: MIAMI
932: WASHINGTON
7.5
-308
56-98
83-71
61-76-17
77-71-6
3.2 / 4.1
4.1 / 3.9
(L) B FLYNN
(R) S STRASBURG
0-2
7-9
9.64
2.96
2.36
1.03
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 62   Wind: South at 6.9 MPH (6 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MIAMIFLYNN +237 
WASHINGTONSTRASBURG-237 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games56-98-20.7197-281-60.41320-1460-57.761-76212-2271345-1281
as a road underdog of +250 or more0-000-2-22-13-6.50-00-18-6
in road games25-54-1396-145-19.2608-786-32.627-4297-122675-634
in September games7-13-4.427-47-13.4207-242-16.78-833-33221-209
when playing on Sunday11-13+3.331-43-6.2216-230+2.911-934-32227-190
when playing with a day off6-10-2.822-29-4158-159+10.88-729-19151-151
against division opponents26-45-7.285-130-27.4559-599+2130-3590-109569-518
in games played on a grass field56-96-18.7196-274-54.51216-1334-59.959-76208-2231227-1179
in night games37-68-17.8140-192-35.6905-1014-5041-55148-161923-890
against right-handed starters36-69-20.8130-200-55.8947-1088-86.444-52144-160987-942
when playing against a team with a winning record26-51-12.589-153-40.8624-754-3.736-33112-109677-614
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season15-29-7.445-81-18.2338-389+35.119-1754-56364-316

WASHINGTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games83-71-3.6263-220+27.71255-1495-7977-71235-2251281-1337
as a home favorite of -250 to -3302-2-3.14-3-3.65-3-2.62-25-25-3
in home games46-33-2.1141-102+11.5697-677-7.339-36120-112657-655
in September games15-4+10.148-26+20.7207-233+8.812-740-31210-210
when playing on Sunday12-13-2.939-38-1202-240-15.917-741-31208-209
when playing with a day off11-4+730-18+15140-164-3.17-729-18133-160
against division opponents42-32+1.8120-98+19.4513-640-37.337-35106-102527-567
in games played on a grass field83-71-3.6260-220+23.8871-1081-53.177-71234-224883-972
in night games58-46+3.4177-142+28.4860-1032-58.347-54152-153889-917
against left-handed starters24-19+3.372-56+12.2345-383+8.619-2256-68353-342
when playing against a team with a losing record50-32+5.6128-101+4.1618-621-16.445-35107-111561-612
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season35-16+11.285-56+14.2323-314-3.127-2362-71295-304
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/8/2013TURNER(R)WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R)4-6L+1707 unO66011101
9/9/2013ALVAREZ(R)ATLANTAMEDLEN(R)2-5L+1557 ovP870531
9/10/2013KOEHLER(R)ATLANTATEHERAN(R)3-4L+1557.5 unU6719101
9/11/2013FERNANDEZ(R)ATLANTAMINOR(L)5-2W-1106.5 unO1380781
9/12/2013FLYNN(L)ATLANTAGARCIA(R)1-6L+1308 ovU760980
9/13/2013HAND(L)@ NY METSNIESE(L)3-4L1357.5 unU731540
9/14/2013ALVAREZ(R)@ NY METSTORRES(R)3-0W1157.5 unU680460
9/14/2013TURNER(R)@ NY METSMATSUZAKA(R)1-3L-1108 unU460670
9/15/2013KOEHLER(R)@ NY METSGEE(R)0-1L1307 ovU8110772
9/16/2013DYSON(R)@ PHILADELPHIALEE(L)2-12L2057 unO8701470
9/17/2013FLYNN(L)@ PHILADELPHIAHALLADAY(R)4-6L1457.5 unO111001240
9/18/2013EOVALDI(R)@ PHILADELPHIAMINER(R)4-3W1107.5 unU10818121
9/19/2013ALVAREZ(R)@ WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)2-3L2107 evU9100970
9/20/2013TURNER(R)@ WASHINGTONZIMMERMANN(R)0-8L2357 ovO2301150
9/22/2013KOEHLER(R)@ WASHINGTONHAREN(R) 
9/22/2013FLYNN(L)@ WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R) 
9/23/2013EOVALDI(R)PHILADELPHIAHALLADAY(R) 
9/24/2013ALVAREZ(R)PHILADELPHIAMINER(R) 
9/25/2013TURNER(R)PHILADELPHIAHAMELS(L) 
9/27/2013KOEHLER(R)DETROITPORCELLO(R) 
9/28/2013FLYNN(L)DETROITSANCHEZ(R) 
9/29/2013 DETROIT  

WASHINGTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/8/2013STRASBURG(R)@ MIAMITURNER(R)6-4W-1807 unO11101660
9/9/2013GONZALEZ(L)@ NY METSTORRES(R)9-0W-1357 unO960130
9/10/2013ZIMMERMANN(R)@ NY METSGEE(R)6-3W-1307 evO1132970
9/11/2013HAREN(R)@ NY METSWHEELER(R)3-0W-1157.5 ovU1190340
9/12/2013ROARK(R)@ NY METSHARANG(R)7-2W-1558 ovO830870
9/13/2013OHLENDORF(R)PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R)6-1W-1658 ovU1180861
9/14/2013GONZALEZ(L)PHILADELPHIAHAMELS(L)4-5L-1556.5 ovO101101381
9/15/2013ZIMMERMANN(R)PHILADELPHIACLOYD(R)11-2W-1858 unO1870860
9/17/2013HAREN(R)ATLANTAMINOR(L)6-5W-1207 ovO462982
9/17/2013ROARK(R)ATLANTAGARCIA(R)4-0W-1458 unU1161561
9/18/2013OHLENDORF(R)ATLANTAWOOD(L)2-5L-1107.5 unU791841
9/19/2013GONZALEZ(L)MIAMIALVAREZ(R)3-2W-2307 evU9709100
9/20/2013ZIMMERMANN(R)MIAMITURNER(R)8-0W-2657 ovO1150230
9/22/2013HAREN(R)MIAMIKOEHLER(R) 
9/22/2013STRASBURG(R)MIAMIFLYNN(L) 
9/23/2013ROARK(R)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R) 
9/24/2013GONZALEZ(L)@ ST LOUISWACHA(R) 
9/25/2013ZIMMERMANN(R)@ ST LOUISMILLER(R) 
9/27/2013STRASBURG(R)@ ARIZONACORBIN(L) 
9/28/2013HAREN(R)@ ARIZONAMCCARTHY(R) 
9/29/2013 @ ARIZONA  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games56-98-20.761-763.20.2310.2864.10.2540.319
Road Games25-54-1327-422.90.2280.2764.10.2520.323
vs Right-handed Starters36-69-20.844-523.40.2320.2854.30.2530.319
Past 7 Games2-6-3.83-52.00.2090.2624.50.2600.322
Grass Games56-96-18.759-763.20.2300.2854.00.2520.318
Night Games37-68-17.841-552.90.2230.2804.10.2580.319
Division26-45-7.230-353.20.2310.2854.10.2520.319
MIAMI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.20.2310.28615451951199330920.0246539811626910151448713586
Road Games2.90.2280.276792741624176560.022171856343653069446954
Righty Starters3.40.2320.2851053557825223600.023362637724967599539266
MIAMI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.531.3074952111944513119645122-33331470.2%
Road Games3.821.354249.71171062232111523512-2019773.1%

WASHINGTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games83-71-3.677-714.10.2540.3133.90.2490.301
Home Games46-33-2.139-364.30.2730.3293.60.2510.301
vs Left-handed Starters24-19+3.319-224.30.2570.3233.80.2350.287
Past 7 Games5-2+2.34-35.40.3000.3632.70.2330.282
Grass Games83-71-3.677-714.10.2540.3133.90.2490.301
Night Games58-46+3.447-544.00.2540.3133.60.2440.294
Division42-32+1.837-354.20.2580.3153.40.2290.285
WASHINGTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.10.2540.313154518113164351560.03599445114281102813110413993
Home Games4.30.2730.329792597708203690.033202185304652665488237
Lefty Starters4.30.2570.323431476379123400.031701443262431436374622
WASHINGTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.611.298461.31961854434215640728-21461970.8%
Home Games3.701.41123610497244198919113-11241070.6%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
BRIAN FLYNN recent results and season statistics
BRIAN FLYNN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts9.642.3570-23144.7151523410100-3-32-1
Road Starts8.102.1000-12105.099173460-2-22-0
Last 3 Starts9.642.3570-23144.7151523410100-3-32-1
BRIAN FLYNN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/17/2013at PHILADELPHIA4-6+1457.5Loss,OverL66611114HALLADAY(R)
9/12/2013ATLANTA1-6+1308Loss,UnderL4666164GARCIA(R)
9/4/2013at CHICAGO CUBS7-9+1358Loss,Over 4336232SAMARDZIJA(R)

STEPHEN STRASBURG recent results and season statistics
STEPHEN STRASBURG - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.961.0297-9281706.16656124155118112-16-10.611-16
Home Starts1.550.8395-414936.62216625161026-8-7.33-10
Last 3 Starts2.570.7861-03144.754605192-1+0.81-1
STEPHEN STRASBURG - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/8/2013at MIAMI6-4-1807Win,OverW6444027TURNER(R)
9/2/2013at PHILADELPHIA2-3-1257Loss,Under 61020210HAMELS(L)
8/28/2013MIAMI4-3-2307Win 2000012ALVAREZ(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 29-24 (+0.2 Units) against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
22 of 46 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-4.2 Units, Under=-1.0 Units)
Games this season
WASHINGTON is 13-4 (+7.8 Units) against MIAMI this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)

All games at WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 16-10 (+1.5 Units) against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
12 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)
Games played at WASHINGTON this season.
WASHINGTON is 8-0 (+8.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
9/20/2013MIAMI0+235 Over20030TURNER(R)L5.3572
 WASHINGTON8-2657 ovWin110050ZIMMERMANN(R)W9021
9/19/2013MIAMI2+210 Under900100ALVAREZ(R)L5372
 WASHINGTON3-2307 evWin91070GONZALEZ(L)W6272
9/8/2013WASHINGTON6-180  1122101STRASBURG(R)W6442
 MIAMI4+1707 unOver60060TURNER(R)L4593
9/7/2013WASHINGTON9-110  162080ROARK(R)W6040
 MIAMI2+1007.5 unOver80050EOVALDI(R)L3590
9/6/2013WASHINGTON0+120 Over20021HAREN(R)L3562
 MIAMI7-1306.5 unWin1320100FERNANDEZ(R)W7012
8/29/2013MIAMI0+187 Over40070KOEHLER(R)L5674
 WASHINGTON9-2057.5 unWin123030GONZALEZ(L)W7033
8/28/2013MIAMI3+210  102091ALVAREZ(R) 1.7130
 WASHINGTON4-2307 unWin1011101STRASBURG(R) 2001
8/27/2013MIAMI1+150 Under41060EOVALDI(R)L6281
 WASHINGTON2-1608.5 unWin90180OHLENDORF(R)W5131
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
BRIAN FLYNN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.
BRIAN FLYNN recent starts vs. WASHINGTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. MIAMI since 1997
STRASBURG is 6-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.163.
His team's record is 8-5 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-5. (+1.2 units)
STEPHEN STRASBURG recent starts vs. MIAMI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/8/2013at MIAMI6-4-1807Win,OverW6444027TURNER(R)
8/28/2013MIAMI4-3-2307Win 2000012ALVAREZ(R)
7/12/2013at MIAMI3-8-1657Loss,OverL2775142EOVALDI(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring WASHINGTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1068, -66.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 53.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (211-183, +11.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WASHINGTON games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (1118-1083, -43.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WASHINGTON games 52.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (211-188, +13.8 units)
Edge=MIAMI
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (859-856, -121.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 51.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (139-129, -8.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WASHINGTON games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (859-850, -105.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WASHINGTON games 48.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (137-144, -23.5 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
No significant injuries.
WASHINGTON
[P] 09/13/2013 - Stephen Strasburg is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Miami Marlins ( Forearm )
[P] 08/17/2013 - Taylor Jordan 15-day DL (8/17) ( Back )
[P] 07/06/2013 - Ross Detwiler 60-day DL (7/4) ( Back )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Christian Garcia 60-day DL (3/22) ( Forearm )
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