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Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 7:05 PM
MIAMI (49-81) AT WASHINGTON (66-65) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
953: MIAMI
954: WASHINGTON
7.0
-230
49-81
66-65
51-67-12
63-63-5
3.2 / 4.0
3.9 / 4.0
(R) H ALVAREZ
(R) S STRASBURG
2-3
6-9
3.86
3.00
1.21
1.05
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 62   Wind: South at 6.9 MPH (6 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MIAMIALVAREZ +173
WASHINGTONSTRASBURG-173 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games49-81-12.4190-264-52.11313-1443-49.351-67202-2181335-1272
when the total is 7 or less24-26+6.958-62+4.4119-137-624-1952-52115-108
as a road underdog of +200 to +2252-8-3.65-13-2.127-45+12.63-58-837-31
as a road underdog of +225 to +2501-5-2.72-6-1.511-27-1.84-25-223-13
in road games20-42-7.791-133-13.9603-774-27.321-3591-115669-627
on the road when the total is 7 or less8-12+1.525-32+0.451-80-12.68-922-2660-53
in August games8-16-4.627-53-17.5212-260-40.48-1134-36217-225
when playing on Wednesday5-14-6.825-47-21.3191-235-38.55-1232-36225-182
against division opponents21-29+2.780-114-17.5554-583+30.921-2681-100560-509
in games played on a grass field49-79-10.4189-257-46.21209-1317-51.549-67198-2141217-1170
in night games32-55-11135-179-28.9900-1001-43.333-49140-155915-884
against right-handed starters32-57-13.2126-188-48.2943-1076-78.838-45138-153981-935
after a loss27-53-14.8101-159-46.1675-761-22.828-45105-131688-667
when playing against a team with a winning record23-40-5.486-142-33.8621-743+3.429-29105-105670-610
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season12-18-0.342-70-11.2335-378+42.212-1347-52357-312

WASHINGTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games66-65-12246-214+19.31238-1489-87.363-63221-2171267-1329
when the total is 7 or less28-25-0.372-64+0.8121-125-0.124-2761-68110-117
as a home favorite of -225 to -2503-1+0.57-2+210-5-1.92-26-37-8
in home games37-29-4.7132-98+8.9688-673-9.932-31113-107650-650
at home when the total is 7 or less15-11+0.537-32-4.459-55-8.39-1531-3455-51
in August games14-9+3.445-34+11.4225-257+9.112-1137-39223-232
when playing on Wednesday12-8+3.641-31+11.5196-222+1.77-1330-39202-190
against division opponents25-26-6.5103-92+11.1496-634-45.723-2792-94513-559
in games played on a grass field66-65-12243-214+15.4854-1075-61.463-63220-216869-964
in night games45-40-0.9164-136+24847-1026-62.737-46142-145879-909
against right-handed starters44-49-17.2176-161+5.2895-1109-97.847-43168-151917-989
after a win33-32-7.3134-111+12.3585-644+3.931-30117-114588-585
when playing against a team with a losing record35-27-1.8113-96-3.4603-616-23.932-2994-105548-606
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season20-11+3.770-51+6.7308-309-10.514-1749-65282-298
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/14/2013TURNER(R)@ KANSAS CITYSANTANA(R)5-2W2207 evP12915111
8/16/2013EOVALDI(R)SAN FRANCISCOGAUDIN(R)10-14L+1006.5 evO1612219111
8/17/2013ALVAREZ(R)SAN FRANCISCOCAIN(R)4-6L+1207 unO550551
8/18/2013KOEHLER(R)SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER(L)6-5W+1407 unO97013112
8/19/2013FERNANDEZ(R)LA DODGERSRYU(L)6-2W+1056.5 unO1041690
8/20/2013TURNER(R)LA DODGERSCAPUANO(L)4-6L+1157.5 unO108216120
8/21/2013EOVALDI(R)LA DODGERSGREINKE(R)1-4L+1657 unU653770
8/22/2013ALVAREZ(R)LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)0-6L+2156 ovP6608100
8/23/2013KOEHLER(R)COLORADOCHACIN(R)2-3L+1207.5 unU450970
8/24/2013FERNANDEZ(R)COLORADOMANSHIP(R)3-0W-1807 unU450440
8/25/2013TURNER(R)COLORADODE LA ROSA(L)3-4L-1057 evP5112741
8/27/2013EOVALDI(R)@ WASHINGTONOHLENDORF(R)1-2L1508.5 unU460980
8/28/2013ALVAREZ(R)@ WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R) 
8/29/2013KOEHLER(R)@ WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L) 
8/30/2013FERNANDEZ(R)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R) 
8/31/2013TURNER(R)@ ATLANTAMINOR(L) 
9/1/2013EOVALDI(R)@ ATLANTAWOOD(L) 
9/2/2013ALVAREZ(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L) 
9/3/2013KOEHLER(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R) 
9/4/2013 @ CHICAGO CUBS  

WASHINGTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/14/2013ZIMMERMANN(R)SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R)6-5W-1507 evO8401391
8/15/2013HAREN(R)SAN FRANCISCOVOGELSONG(R)3-4L-1558 ovU8112651
8/16/2013JORDAN(R)@ ATLANTAWOOD(L)2-3L1757.5 unU983970
8/17/2013STRASBURG(R)@ ATLANTAMINOR(L)8-7W1106.5 unO17130980
8/18/2013GONZALEZ(L)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R)1-2L1107 unU8110540
8/19/2013ZIMMERMANN(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)1-11L-1459 unO640910
8/20/2013HAREN(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSRUSIN(L)4-2W-1309 evU14122661
8/21/2013OHLENDORF(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSARRIETA(R)11-6W-1109.5 evO11501490
8/22/2013STRASBURG(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)5-4W-1557.5 unO11123851
8/23/2013GONZALEZ(L)@ KANSAS CITYCHEN(L)11-10W-1107.5 evO13811361
8/24/2013ZIMMERMANN(R)@ KANSAS CITYDAVIS(R)7-2W-1108.5 evO930980
8/25/2013HAREN(R)@ KANSAS CITYSANTANA(R)4-6L1158.5 unO141001140
8/27/2013OHLENDORF(R)MIAMIEOVALDI(R)2-1W-1608.5 unU980460
8/28/2013STRASBURG(R)MIAMIALVAREZ(R) 
8/29/2013GONZALEZ(L)MIAMIKOEHLER(R) 
8/30/2013ZIMMERMANN(R)NY METSGEE(R) 
8/31/2013HAREN(R)NY METSWHEELER(R) 
9/1/2013OHLENDORF(R)NY METSNIESE(L) 
9/2/2013STRASBURG(R)@ PHILADELPHIAHAMELS(L) 
9/3/2013GONZALEZ(L)@ PHILADELPHIAMARTIN(R) 
9/4/2013 @ PHILADELPHIA  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games49-81-12.451-673.20.2300.2854.00.2530.317
Road Games20-42-7.721-352.90.2270.2744.10.2500.319
vs Right-handed Starters32-57-13.238-453.40.2330.2864.30.2540.319
Past 7 Games1-6-51-42.00.1810.2733.60.2540.307
Grass Games49-79-10.449-673.20.2290.2854.00.2520.315
Night Games32-55-1133-492.80.2200.2784.10.2570.316
Division21-29+2.721-263.30.2320.2894.00.2500.314
MIAMI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.20.2300.28513043611002273730.02393338955608391287811576
Road Games2.90.2270.274622146488131410.021671374852740357365448
Righty Starters3.40.2330.286893001698193500.022912236264155490498158
MIAMI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.641.3384081821653832616336620-29301271.4%
Road Games3.901.351191.79483171168817610-1616576.2%

WASHINGTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games66-65-1263-633.90.2480.3074.00.2500.303
Home Games37-29-4.732-314.20.2650.3213.70.2500.301
vs Right-handed Starters44-49-17.247-433.70.2440.3004.20.2590.312
Past 7 Games6-1+55-26.30.3100.3814.40.2560.305
Grass Games66-65-1263-633.90.2480.3074.00.2500.303
Night Games45-40-137-463.80.2460.3053.80.2450.295
Division25-26-6.523-273.70.2440.3003.50.2250.283
WASHINGTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.90.2480.307131439610903651240.03480372988618611129011984
Home Games4.20.2650.321662162572175580.032541794643543052426831
Righty Starters3.70.2440.300933083753247850.033282476974359078588064
WASHINGTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.761.287392.31741643713713434425-20381670.4%
Home Games3.821.393195.38983197167515610-1121872.4%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
HENDERSON ALVAREZ recent results and season statistics
HENDERSON ALVAREZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.861.2062-310636.3282759117343-7-2.33-5
Road Starts3.601.0000-04256.210102312131-3-0.81-2
Last 3 Starts6.501.3890-23186.013131817110-3-32-0
HENDERSON ALVAREZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/22/2013LA DODGERS0-6+2156LossL5557023KERSHAW(L)
8/17/2013SAN FRANCISCO4-6+1207Loss,OverL7444044CAIN(R)
8/11/2013at ATLANTA4-9+2007Loss,Over 6447114MINOR(L)

STEPHEN STRASBURG recent results and season statistics
STEPHEN STRASBURG - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.001.0516-9251566.26152118154616210-15-11.310-15
Home Starts1.580.8465-413917.02216625151005-8-8.33-10
Last 3 Starts2.890.9111-0318.76.2661334193-0+3.12-1
STEPHEN STRASBURG - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/22/2013at CHICAGO CUBS5-4-1557.5Win,Over 8.7447228WOOD(L)
8/17/2013at ATLANTA8-7+1106.5Win,Over 1222111MINOR(L)
8/11/2013PHILADELPHIA6-0-2157.5Win,UnderW90040110KENDRICK(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 23-23 (+2.8 Units) against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
23 of 40 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.8 Units)
Games this season
WASHINGTON is 7-3 (+2.8 Units) against MIAMI this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)

All games at WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 10-12 (+1.5 Units) against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
11 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.1 Units)
Games played at WASHINGTON this season.
WASHINGTON is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.1 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
8/27/2013MIAMI1+150 Under41060EOVALDI(R)L6281
 WASHINGTON2-1608.5 unWin90180OHLENDORF(R)W5131
7/14/2013WASHINGTON5-140  1400110JORDAN(R) 6280
 MIAMI2+1308.5 unUnder111070ALVAREZ(R) 6.7292
7/13/2013WASHINGTON1+115 Under70191HAREN(R) 6031
 MIAMI2-1257.5 unWin41071FERNANDEZ(R) 6143
7/12/2013WASHINGTON3-165 Over601100STRASBURG(R)L2754
 MIAMI8+1557 unWin91170EOVALDI(R)W6334
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
HENDERSON ALVAREZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
ALVAREZ is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.463.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
HENDERSON ALVAREZ recent starts vs. WASHINGTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/14/2013WASHINGTON2-5+1308.5Loss,Under 6.7229023JORDAN(R)
6/12/2012WASHINGTON2-4-1509Loss,UnderL7449303WANG(R)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. MIAMI since 1997
STRASBURG is 5-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.204.
His team's record is 6-5 (-3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-4. (+2.4 units)
STEPHEN STRASBURG recent starts vs. MIAMI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/12/2013at MIAMI3-8-1657Loss,OverL2775142EOVALDI(R)
4/1/2013MIAMI2-0-2507Win,UnderW7003003NOLASCO(R)
9/7/2012MIAMI7-9-2507.5Loss,Over 3556232TURNER(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring WASHINGTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1056, -63.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 54% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (201-171, +14.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WASHINGTON games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (1110-1070, -35.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WASHINGTON games 53.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (203-175, +21.5 units)
Edge=MIAMI
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (850-847, -120.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 52% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (130-120, -6.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WASHINGTON games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (851-838, -99.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WASHINGTON games 49.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (129-132, -18.0 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
No significant injuries.
WASHINGTON
[P] 08/17/2013 - Taylor Jordan 15-day DL (8/17) ( Back )
[P] 07/06/2013 - Ross Detwiler 60-day DL (7/4) ( Back )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Christian Garcia 60-day DL (3/22) ( Forearm )
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