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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 2:20 PM
MILWAUKEE (27-16) AT CHICAGO CUBS (14-27) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
907: MILWAUKEE
908: CHICAGO CUBS
8.5
+112
27-16
14-27
19-23-1
20-18-3
3.9 / 3.6
4.0 / 4.1
(R) M ESTRADA
(L) T WOOD
3-1
3-4
3.28
4.91
1.09
1.43
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 51   Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MILWAUKEEESTRADA-126 
CHICAGO CUBSWOOD +126 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MILWAUKEE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games27-16+11.2184-183-6.21331-1479-85.219-23183-1731316-1364
when the total is 9 to 9.50-0020-34-17.6482-567-76.70-026-26484-491
on the road with a money line of -100 to -1252-2-0.227-18+6.6117-122-21.32-222-21116-110
as a road favorite of -125 to -1502-0+212-12-4.657-61-24.52-014-947-64
in road games13-6+9.984-97-4.2601-801-62.513-689-85642-698
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.50-006-14-7.8220-268-4.30-08-12224-231
in May games7-8-225-46-26.4227-265-32.68-637-30238-234
when playing on Sunday4-2+2.125-33-10200-255-501-524-31209-223
against division opponents15-10+5.494-86+5.9644-672+3.710-1487-87623-627
in day games10-6+3.653-76-31.1453-538-724-1262-61478-468
in games played on a grass field27-16+11.2184-183-6.21269-1392-77.919-23183-1731259-1277
against left-handed starters7-2+5.349-51-6348-386-36.24-551-46357-349
after getting shut out2-1+1.813-7+7.175-92-9.41-211-975-89
after a loss9-6+389-91-1.9682-787-47.66-994-78674-728
when playing against a team with a losing record14-10+2.990-86-10.6681-667-44.910-1392-77634-635

CHICAGO CUBS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games14-28-11.6141-225-52.71328-1491-287.420-19160-1871323-1374
when the total is 9 to 9.52-1+1.122-25+0373-415-923-024-21340-394
as a home underdog of +100 to +1253-5-1.835-45-5.5110-160-37.56-238-38137-120
in home games8-13-577-106-26.9711-698-171.911-1083-92675-678
at home when the total is 9 to 9.51-1014-16-2.4187-169-35.52-015-14159-179
in May games5-10-4.128-41-10.5235-249-437-635-30214-245
when playing on Sunday2-4-1.523-35-7.2207-238-44.14-124-33216-216
against division opponents10-16-2.466-117-32.4641-683-123.115-983-95626-638
in day games7-15-6.672-111-28.7717-760-151.610-1174-102697-724
in games played on a grass field14-28-11.6141-225-52.71271-1407-265.220-19160-1871259-1303
against right-handed starters9-23-13.296-172-57.5968-1104-219.914-15122-133970-1014
after shutting out their opponent0-2-29-8+5.759-79-32.11-19-870-61
after a win3-10-6.449-90-31.8614-713-1978-459-68622-645
when playing against a team with a winning record7-11-2.869-118-22.6589-735-107.410-782-97632-637
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MILWAUKEE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/4/2014LOHSE(R)@ CINCINNATISIMON(R)3-4L-1057.5 unU6401180
5/5/2014GARZA(R)ARIZONABOLSINGER(R)8-3W-1408 unO96010120
5/6/2014ESTRADA(R)ARIZONACOLLMENTER(R)5-7L-1407.5 unO8501061
5/7/2014PERALTA(R)ARIZONAARROYO(R)2-3L-1508 unU73114131
5/9/2014GALLARDO(R)NY YANKEESTANAKA(R)3-5L+1207.5 unO840640
5/10/2014LOHSE(R)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)5-4W-1258 unO10811051
5/11/2014GARZA(R)NY YANKEESPHELPS(R)6-5W-1057.5 unO12901190
5/13/2014ESTRADA(R)PITTSBURGHCOLE(R)5-2W-1107 ovP12111981
5/14/2014PERALTA(R)PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)1-4L-1157.5 evU6801171
5/15/2014GALLARDO(R)PITTSBURGHRODRIGUEZ(L)4-3W-1408 ovU751670
5/16/2014LOHSE(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)4-3W1156.5 unO991843
5/17/2014GARZA(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)0-3L-1157.5 unU451430
5/18/2014ESTRADA(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L) 
5/19/2014PERALTA(R)@ ATLANTAMINOR(L) 
5/20/2014GALLARDO(R)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R) 
5/21/2014LOHSE(R)@ ATLANTASANTANA(R) 
5/22/2014GARZA(R)@ ATLANTAHARANG(R) 
5/23/2014ESTRADA(R)@ MIAMIKOEHLER(R) 
5/24/2014PERALTA(R)@ MIAMITURNER(R) 
5/25/2014 @ MIAMI  

CHICAGO CUBS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/4/2014HAMMEL(R)ST LOUISLYNN(R)4-5L+1207 unO5801171
5/5/2014SAMARDZIJA(R)CHI WHITE SOXQUINTANA(L)1-3L-1256.5 unU472680
5/6/2014JACKSON(R)CHI WHITE SOXNOESI(R)1-5L-1357 ovU4601160
5/7/2014WOOD(L)@ CHI WHITE SOXDANKS(L)3-8L-1058.5 ovO4311180
5/8/2014ARRIETA(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXCARROLL(R)12-5W1109 unO1513113111
5/9/2014HAMMEL(R)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R)2-3L1606.5 ovU440991
5/10/2014SAMARDZIJA(R)@ ATLANTASANTANA(R)0-2L1507 unU650550
5/11/2014JACKSON(R)@ ATLANTAHARANG(R)2-5L1407 ovP980740
5/12/2014WOOD(L)@ ST LOUISLYONS(L)17-5W1557.5 ovO2061650
5/13/2014ARRIETA(R)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)3-4L2057 unP101019130
5/15/2014HAMMEL(R)@ ST LOUISWACHA(R)3-5L1806.5 unO880641
5/16/2014SAMARDZIJA(R)MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)3-4L-1256.5 unO843991
5/17/2014JACKSON(R)MILWAUKEEGARZA(R)3-0W+1057.5 unU430451
5/18/2014WOOD(L)MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R) 
5/20/2014HAMMEL(R)NY YANKEESTANAKA(R) 
5/21/2014SAMARDZIJA(R)NY YANKEESWHITLEY(R) 
5/22/2014JACKSON(R)@ SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L) 
5/23/2014WOOD(L)@ SAN DIEGOERLIN(L) 
5/24/2014ARRIETA(R)@ SAN DIEGO  
5/25/2014 @ SAN DIEGO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games27-16+11.219-233.90.2490.3013.60.2370.291
Road Games13-6+9.913-64.60.2630.3054.30.2460.314
vs Left-handed Starters7-2+5.34-54.30.2530.3073.30.2310.272
Past 7 Games5-2+2.83-33.60.2610.3253.40.2540.302
Grass Games27-16+11.219-233.90.2490.3013.60.2370.291
Day Games10-6+3.64-123.50.2400.2952.80.2390.290
Division15-10+5.410-143.30.2260.2823.90.2430.296
MILWAUKEE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.90.2490.301431467365119420.031571093452828639243223
Road Games4.60.2630.3051971218769220.03834317071381516158
Lefty Starters4.30.2530.30792967526120.043823725568595
MILWAUKEE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.061.176126.74643107134214111-618675%
Road Games3.561.29565.7272657628727-38372.7%

CHICAGO CUBS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games14-27-10.620-184.00.2340.2964.10.2450.310
Home Games8-12-411-94.00.2300.3044.10.2450.304
vs Right-handed Starters9-22-12.114-143.50.2230.2854.10.2520.316
Past 7 Games2-5-2.73-24.40.2640.3143.60.2040.277
Grass Games14-27-10.620-184.00.2340.2964.10.2450.310
Day Games7-14-5.610-103.20.2210.2824.10.2430.305
Division10-15-1.415-84.40.2530.3104.20.2420.312
CHICAGO CUBS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.00.2340.296411408329100360.031551253722227436283331
Home Games4.00.2300.3042065115048170.0376691681012916141416
Righty Starters3.50.2230.28531105623566250.02105932921720726202425
CHICAGO CUBS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.541.284124.7544910311571193-115550%
Home Games5.241.54555363257928591-63260%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MARCO ESTRADA recent results and season statistics
MARCO ESTRADA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.281.0943-1849.36.21918401014465-3+2.14-3
Road Starts2.661.2671-0423.75.9872159223-1+2.62-2
Last 3 Starts4.001.3331-03186.0881658181-2-1.42-0
MARCO ESTRADA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/13/2014PITTSBURGH5-2-1107WinW6116128COLE(R)
5/6/2014ARIZONA5-7-1407.5Loss,Over 6444224COLLMENTER(R)
5/1/2014at CINCINNATI3-8+1057Loss,Over 6336246BAILEY(R)

TRAVIS WOOD recent results and season statistics
TRAVIS WOOD - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.911.4263-4847.76.0292653415443-5-1.45-3
Home Starts2.390.9872-1426.36.6972224322-2+0.12-2
Last 3 Starts7.411.5882-13175.716141918132-1+23-0
TRAVIS WOOD - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/12/2014at ST LOUIS17-5+1557.5Win,OverW6545034LYONS(L)
5/7/2014at CHI WHITE SOX3-8-1058.5Loss,OverL4888153DANKS(L)
5/2/2014ST LOUIS6-5+1508Win,OverW7326006WAINWRIGHT(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 29-12 (+15.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
20 of 40 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.2 Units, Under=-3.0 Units)
Games this season
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 (+0.6 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

All games at CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 13-6 (+6.9 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)
Games played at CHICAGO CUBS this season.
MILWAUKEE is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/17/2014MILWAUKEE0-115 Under40051GARZA(R)L7341
 CHICAGO CUBS3+1057.5 unWin40030JACKSON(R)W7041
5/16/2014MILWAUKEE4+115  90091LOHSE(R)W7371
 CHICAGO CUBS3-1256.5 unOver82043SAMARDZIJA(R)L5263
4/27/2014CHICAGO CUBS4+135  92252HAMMEL(R)W7032
 MILWAUKEE0-1457.5 unUnder30050PERALTA(R)L7381
4/26/2014CHICAGO CUBS3+150 Over42010WOOD(L)L5.7573
 MILWAUKEE5-1607.5 ovWin81060ESTRADA(R)W7.7340
4/25/2014CHICAGO CUBS2+160 Under50042VILLANUEVA(R)L54101
 MILWAUKEE5-1708 unWin111390GARZA(R)W7241
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MARCO ESTRADA vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
ESTRADA is 5-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.62 and a WHIP of 0.940.
His team's record is 6-1 (+4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-2. (+3.0 units)
MARCO ESTRADA recent starts vs. CHICAGO CUBS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/26/2014CHICAGO CUBS5-3-1607.5Win,OverW7.7334209WOOD(L)
9/17/2013CHICAGO CUBS4-3-1357.5Win,Under 7334117SAMARDZIJA(R)
4/19/2013CHICAGO CUBS5-4-1107.5Win,OverW6337224SAMARDZIJA(R)

TRAVIS WOOD vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
WOOD is 3-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.053.
His team's record is 4-4 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.2 units)
TRAVIS WOOD recent starts vs. MILWAUKEE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/26/2014at MILWAUKEE3-5+1507.5Loss,OverL5.7557133ESTRADA(R)
4/9/2013MILWAUKEE6-3-1057.5Win,Over 6.3327036PERALTA(R)
8/28/2012MILWAUKEE1-4+1457.5Loss,UnderL7335104GALLARDO(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MILWAUKEE in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1046, 64.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 53.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (160-141, -0.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (1187-1107, -18.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 49.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (150-153, -26.1 units)
Edge=CHICAGO CUBS
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (864-854, -105.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (135-132, -15.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 51.1% of the time since 1997. (1001-957, -100.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 54.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (148-124, +8.1 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MILWAUKEE
[CF] 05/18/2014 - Carlos Gomez is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Chicago Cubs ( Back )
[3B] 05/13/2014 - Aramis Ramirez 15-day DL (5/11) ( Hamstring )
[P] 05/02/2014 - Jim Henderson 15-day DL (5/2) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/31/2014 - Tom Gorzelanny 15-day DL (3/21) ( Shoulder )
CHICAGO CUBS
[P] 05/14/2014 - Zac Rosscup 15-day DL (5/13) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/07/2014 - Pedro Strop 15-day DL (5/7) ( Groin )
[CF] 05/03/2014 - Ryan Sweeney 15-day DL (5/3) ( Hamstring )
[CF] 04/24/2014 - Justin Ruggiano 15-day DL (4/24) ( Hamstring )
[P] 03/31/2014 - James McDonald 60-day DL (2/23) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Kyuji Fujikawa 60-day DL (3/21) ( Elbow )
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