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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 2:20 PM
MILWAUKEE (27-15) AT CHICAGO CUBS (13-27) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
953: MILWAUKEE
954: CHICAGO CUBS
7.5
+106
27-15
13-27
19-22-1
20-17-3
4.0 / 3.6
4.0 / 4.2
(R) M GARZA
(R) E JACKSON
2-3
2-3
4.98
4.56
1.45
1.44
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 51   Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MILWAUKEEGARZA-139 
CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON +139 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MILWAUKEE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games27-15+12.4184-182-5.11331-1478-8419-22183-1721316-1363
on the road with a money line of -100 to -1252-1+127-17+7.8117-121-20.22-122-20116-109
in road games13-5+1184-96-3601-800-61.413-589-84642-697
in May games7-7-0.825-45-25.3227-264-31.48-537-29238-233
when playing on Saturday5-1+4.729-29-0.2231-218+29.35-132-23211-219
against division opponents15-9+6.694-85+7644-671+4.810-1387-86623-626
in day games10-5+4.853-75-30453-537-70.94-1162-60478-467
in games played on a grass field27-15+12.4184-182-5.11269-1391-76.719-22183-1721259-1276
against right-handed starters20-13+7.1135-131+0.9983-1092-47.815-17132-126959-1014
after a win17-9+8.493-90-4644-686-37.613-1287-93636-631
when playing against a team with a losing record14-9+4.190-85-9.4681-666-43.810-1292-76634-634

CHICAGO CUBS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games13-28-12.6140-225-53.71327-1491-288.420-18160-1861323-1373
as a home underdog of +100 to +1252-5-2.934-45-6.5109-160-38.66-138-37137-119
in home games7-13-676-106-28710-698-17311-983-91675-677
in May games4-10-5.127-41-11.5234-249-447-535-29214-244
when playing on Saturday2-4-120-39-15.1219-235-29.63-325-31202-236
against division opponents9-16-3.565-117-33.5640-683-124.215-883-94626-637
in day games6-15-7.671-111-29.7716-760-152.710-1074-101697-723
in games played on a grass field13-28-12.6140-225-53.71270-1407-266.220-18160-1861259-1302
against right-handed starters8-23-14.295-172-58.5967-1104-22114-14122-132970-1013
after a loss10-17-5.390-133-21711-770-84.312-13101-115699-720
after 3 or more consecutive losses4-4+1.231-46-6.4176-224-37.15-339-37205-181
when playing against a team with a winning record6-11-3.968-118-23.6588-735-108.410-682-96632-636
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MILWAUKEE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/3/2014GALLARDO(R)@ CINCINNATICUETO(R)2-6L1357 unO3211180
5/4/2014LOHSE(R)@ CINCINNATISIMON(R)3-4L-1057.5 unU6401180
5/5/2014GARZA(R)ARIZONABOLSINGER(R)8-3W-1408 unO96010120
5/6/2014ESTRADA(R)ARIZONACOLLMENTER(R)5-7L-1407.5 unO8501061
5/7/2014PERALTA(R)ARIZONAARROYO(R)2-3L-1508 unU73114131
5/9/2014GALLARDO(R)NY YANKEESTANAKA(R)3-5L+1207.5 unO840640
5/10/2014LOHSE(R)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)5-4W-1258 unO10811051
5/11/2014GARZA(R)NY YANKEESPHELPS(R)6-5W-1057.5 unO12901190
5/13/2014ESTRADA(R)PITTSBURGHCOLE(R)5-2W-1107 ovP12111981
5/14/2014PERALTA(R)PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)1-4L-1157.5 evU6801171
5/15/2014GALLARDO(R)PITTSBURGHRODRIGUEZ(L)4-3W-1408 ovU751670
5/16/2014LOHSE(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)4-3W1156.5 unO991843
5/17/2014GARZA(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R) 
5/18/2014ESTRADA(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L) 
5/19/2014PERALTA(R)@ ATLANTAMINOR(L) 
5/20/2014GALLARDO(R)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R) 
5/21/2014LOHSE(R)@ ATLANTASANTANA(R) 
5/22/2014GARZA(R)@ ATLANTAHARANG(R) 
5/23/2014ESTRADA(R)@ MIAMIKOEHLER(R) 
5/24/2014 @ MIAMI  

CHICAGO CUBS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/3/2014ARRIETA(R)ST LOUISWACHA(R)3-0W+1658 unU660780
5/4/2014HAMMEL(R)ST LOUISLYNN(R)4-5L+1207 unO5801171
5/5/2014SAMARDZIJA(R)CHI WHITE SOXQUINTANA(L)1-3L-1256.5 unU472680
5/6/2014JACKSON(R)CHI WHITE SOXNOESI(R)1-5L-1357 ovU4601160
5/7/2014WOOD(L)@ CHI WHITE SOXDANKS(L)3-8L-1058.5 ovO4311180
5/8/2014ARRIETA(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXCARROLL(R)12-5W1109 unO1513113111
5/9/2014HAMMEL(R)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R)2-3L1606.5 ovU440991
5/10/2014SAMARDZIJA(R)@ ATLANTASANTANA(R)0-2L1507 unU650550
5/11/2014JACKSON(R)@ ATLANTAHARANG(R)2-5L1407 ovP980740
5/12/2014WOOD(L)@ ST LOUISLYONS(L)17-5W1557.5 ovO2061650
5/13/2014ARRIETA(R)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)3-4L2057 unP101019130
5/15/2014HAMMEL(R)@ ST LOUISWACHA(R)3-5L1806.5 unO880641
5/16/2014SAMARDZIJA(R)MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)3-4L-1256.5 unO843991
5/17/2014JACKSON(R)MILWAUKEEGARZA(R) 
5/18/2014WOOD(L)MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R) 
5/20/2014ARRIETA(R)NY YANKEESTANAKA(R) 
5/21/2014HAMMEL(R)NY YANKEESWHITLEY(R) 
5/22/2014SAMARDZIJA(R)@ SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L) 
5/23/2014JACKSON(R)@ SAN DIEGOERLIN(L) 
5/24/2014 @ SAN DIEGO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games27-15+12.419-224.00.2510.3043.60.2380.292
Road Games13-5+1113-54.80.2690.3114.30.2500.318
vs Right-handed Starters20-13+7.115-173.90.2510.3033.70.2400.298
Past 7 Games5-2+34-24.00.2770.3403.70.2560.306
Grass Games27-15+12.419-224.00.2510.3043.60.2380.292
Day Games10-5+4.84-113.70.2470.3032.80.2430.294
Division15-9+6.610-133.40.2300.2873.90.2460.299
MILWAUKEE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.00.2510.304421436361119420.031571083312828139233123
Road Games4.80.2690.3111868118369220.03834215671331515148
Righty Starters3.90.2510.30333114028693300.03119852592322531182218
MILWAUKEE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.081.178125.74643107134114111-618675%
Road Games3.621.29964.7272657627727-38372.7%

CHICAGO CUBS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games13-27-11.620-174.00.2350.2984.20.2470.313
Home Games7-12-511-84.10.2340.3084.30.2500.310
vs Right-handed Starters8-22-13.214-133.50.2240.2874.20.2560.321
Past 7 Games1-6-4.73-24.30.2580.3104.00.2210.297
Grass Games13-27-11.620-174.00.2350.2984.20.2470.313
Day Games6-14-6.610-93.20.2240.2854.30.2480.311
Division9-15-2.415-74.50.2560.3134.30.2460.317
CHICAGO CUBS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.00.2350.29840138132598360.031521233652227135283331
Home Games4.10.2340.3081962414646170.0373671611012615141416
Righty Starters3.50.2240.28730102923164250.02102912851720425202425
CHICAGO CUBS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.601.305122.7544910311571163-114544.4%
Home Games5.431.60453363257928561-62250%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MATT GARZA recent results and season statistics
MATT GARZA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.981.4472-38475.9282650418395-3+1.55-3
Road Starts8.362.1430-13144.715132119102-1+13-0
Last 3 Starts7.072.0711-13144.7111119110132-1+13-0
MATT GARZA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/11/2014NY YANKEES6-5-1057.5Win,Over 5336044PHELPS(R)
5/5/2014ARIZONA8-3-1408Win,OverW6338025BOLSINGER(R)
4/30/2014at ST LOUIS3-9+1357Loss,OverL3555144MILLER(R)

EDWIN JACKSON recent results and season statistics
EDWIN JACKSON - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.561.4362-3847.35.9252449219382-6-3.54-2
Home Starts4.441.4791-1424.36.112122808221-3-2.22-2
Last 3 Starts3.861.1251-1318.76.2881724151-2-0.71-1
EDWIN JACKSON - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/11/2014at ATLANTA2-5+1407LossL6336123HARANG(R)
5/6/2014CHI WHITE SOX1-5-1357Loss,Under 7116009NOESI(R)
4/30/2014at CINCINNATI9-4+1707.5Win,OverW5.7445123CINGRANI(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 29-11 (+16.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
20 of 39 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-4.0 Units)
Games this season
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

All games at CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 13-5 (+8.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.6 Units)
Games played at CHICAGO CUBS this season.
MILWAUKEE is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/16/2014MILWAUKEE4+115  90091LOHSE(R)W7371
 CHICAGO CUBS3-1256.5 unOver82043SAMARDZIJA(R)L5263
4/27/2014CHICAGO CUBS4+135  92252HAMMEL(R)W7032
 MILWAUKEE0-1457.5 unUnder30050PERALTA(R)L7381
4/26/2014CHICAGO CUBS3+150 Over42010WOOD(L)L5.7573
 MILWAUKEE5-1607.5 ovWin81060ESTRADA(R)W7.7340
4/25/2014CHICAGO CUBS2+160 Under50042VILLANUEVA(R)L54101
 MILWAUKEE5-1708 unWin111390GARZA(R)W7241
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MATT GARZA vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
GARZA is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)
MATT GARZA recent starts vs. CHICAGO CUBS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/25/2014CHICAGO CUBS5-2-1708Win,UnderW7224017VILLANUEVA(R)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
JACKSON is 4-6 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.354.
His team's record is 6-8 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-7. (-1.6 units)
EDWIN JACKSON recent starts vs. MILWAUKEE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/16/2013at MILWAUKEE1-6+1158Loss,UnderL4222033PERALTA(R)
7/31/2013MILWAUKEE6-1-1358Win,UnderW8118004PERALTA(R)
6/25/2013at MILWAUKEE3-9+1308Loss,OverL4.7666121LOHSE(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CHICAGO CUBS in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1046, 63.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 53% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (159-141, -1.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (1186-1107, -19.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 49.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (149-153, -27.2 units)
Edge=MILWAUKEE
 
The betting public is favoring the OVER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (864-853, -104.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (135-131, -14.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 51.1% of the time since 1997. (1001-956, -99.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 54.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (148-123, +9.2 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MILWAUKEE
[CF] 05/16/2014 - Carlos Gomez probable Saturday vs. Chicago Cubs ( Suspension Served )
[3B] 05/13/2014 - Aramis Ramirez 15-day DL (5/11) ( Hamstring )
[P] 05/02/2014 - Jim Henderson 15-day DL (5/2) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/31/2014 - Tom Gorzelanny 15-day DL (3/21) ( Shoulder )
CHICAGO CUBS
[P] 05/14/2014 - Zac Rosscup 15-day DL (5/13) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/07/2014 - Pedro Strop 15-day DL (5/7) ( Groin )
[CF] 05/03/2014 - Ryan Sweeney 15-day DL (5/3) ( Hamstring )
[CF] 04/24/2014 - Justin Ruggiano 15-day DL (4/24) ( Hamstring )
[P] 03/31/2014 - James McDonald 60-day DL (2/23) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Kyuji Fujikawa 60-day DL (3/21) ( Elbow )
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