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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 4:10 PM
MILWAUKEE (15-18) AT CINCINNATI (20-16) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
909: MILWAUKEE
910: CINCINNATI
8.0
-192
15-18
20-16
22-11-0
21-14-1
4.4 / 4.8
4.5 / 3.9
(R) H BURGOS
(R) M LATOS
1-0
3-0
3.00
2.23
0.89
1.17
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 47   Wind: South at 3.5 MPH (3 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MILWAUKEEBURGOS +122
CINCINNATILATOS-122 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MILWAUKEE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after a loss5-12-7.487-79-0.9639-745-55.612-588-69636-685
when playing against a team with a winning record7-12-5.885-79+5532-672-34.312-775-81554-604
in all games15-18-4.7200-169+5.61245-1393-93.822-11195-1591244-1270
when the total is 8 to 8.59-8-0.2103-72+14.8436-440+10.410-785-84419-431
as a road underdog of +150 to +1750-2-21-7-5.476-134-11.11-13-591-110
as a road underdog of +175 to +2000-001-3-1.244-65+15.10-02-249-57
in road games5-7-1.679-100-26.4556-758-76.97-587-82602-653
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.51-0+1.434-36-5.1161-226-27.60-132-34170-207
in May games1-7-6.930-35-8.9215-242-19.65-334-27221-218
when playing on Saturday2-3-0.932-25+3.9214-208+19.24-130-24196-207
against division opponents7-9-2.4106-76+15.1602-629-1.110-696-78589-580
in day games5-6-1.265-62-7.2430-503-59.18-367-55456-434
in games played on a grass field15-18-4.7200-169+5.61183-1306-86.522-11195-1591187-1183
against right-handed starters11-10+0151-120+13.1916-1029-59.615-6146-113905-942

CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after a win11-8+0.5100-99-19.6626-665-33.913-686-95584-629
when playing against a team with a losing record11-7+0.8111-82+1.2671-601-11.410-886-93596-599
in all games20-16+0.2199-167+1.91291-1350-24.821-14168-1731238-1256
when the total is 8 to 8.57-5+1.281-74-10.6384-419-21.19-378-67385-388
as a home favorite of -175 to -2001-0+114-7+1.241-27-8.51-011-837-27
in home games14-6+5.1107-790669-655-81.912-891-79652-598
at home when the total is 8 to 8.57-2+4.450-43-8.2201-211-35.17-250-35220-178
in May games5-3+1.736-29+3.7231-232-3.86-235-26219-221
when playing on Saturday2-3-1.833-26+3216-215+5.43-229-26209-197
against division opponents8-8-1.699-75+7.3617-616+7.98-876-85579-575
in day games10-7+1.676-59+7.2450-474-7.512-469-56435-429
in games played on a grass field20-16+0.2197-166+0.11060-1136-15.121-14168-1711018-1051
against right-handed starters13-10+0.1140-120-2.9929-976-13.713-10116-126897-897
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MILWAUKEE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/27/2013PERALTA(R)@ LA DODGERSMAGILL(R)6-4W1107.5 unO972771
4/28/2013LOHSE(R)@ LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)0-2L1656.5 unU430640
4/29/2013GALLARDO(R)PITTSBURGHRODRIGUEZ(L)10-4W-1308 unO1362541
4/30/2013ESTRADA(R)PITTSBURGHMCDONALD(R)12-8W-1458 ovO15901461
5/1/2013BURGOS(R)PITTSBURGHGOMEZ(R)4-6L-1409 unO771941
5/2/2013PERALTA(R)ST LOUISWESTBROOK(R)5-6L-1108.5 evO121301271
5/3/2013LOHSE(R)ST LOUISMILLER(R)1-6L-1108 ovU8611590
5/4/2013GALLARDO(R)ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)6-7L+1157.5 unO14811040
5/5/2013ESTRADA(R)ST LOUISGARCIA(L)1-10L-1208.5 unO87011100
5/7/2013PERALTA(R)TEXASGRIMM(R)6-3W+1058.5 unO951750
5/8/2013LOHSE(R)TEXASHOLLAND(L)1-4L-1158 unU128112100
5/10/2013GALLARDO(R)@ CINCINNATICINGRANI(L)3-4L1407.5 evU8808130
5/11/2013BURGOS(R)@ CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
5/12/2013PERALTA(R)@ CINCINNATIARROYO(R) 
5/13/2013ESTRADA(R)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R) 
5/14/2013LOHSE(R)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L) 
5/15/2013GALLARDO(R)@ PITTSBURGHRODRIGUEZ(L) 
5/16/2013BURGOS(R)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L) 
5/17/2013PERALTA(R)@ ST LOUISGARCIA(L) 
5/18/2013 @ ST LOUIS  

CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/27/2013LEAKE(R)@ WASHINGTONHAREN(R)3-6L-1058 unO9611081
4/28/2013CINGRANI(L)@ WASHINGTONDETWILER(L)5-2W-1057 ovP11101582
4/29/2013LATOS(R)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)2-1W1207 unU6507100
4/30/2013ARROYO(R)@ ST LOUISGARCIA(L)1-2L1307.5 ovU740740
5/1/2013BAILEY(R)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R)2-4L1057 ovU6501071
5/3/2013LEAKE(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSVILLANUEVA(R)6-5W1007 unO910015121
5/4/2013CINGRANI(L)@ CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)6-4W-1157 unO680321
5/5/2013LATOS(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)7-4W-1357 ovO1171891
5/6/2013ARROYO(R)ATLANTAMAHOLM(L)4-7L+1007.5 unO9811181
5/7/2013BAILEY(R)ATLANTAMEDLEN(R)5-4W-1107.5 unO960550
5/8/2013LEAKE(R)ATLANTAMINOR(L)2-7L-1308 unO7701160
5/10/2013CINGRANI(L)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)4-3W-1507.5 evU8130880
5/11/2013LATOS(R)MILWAUKEEBURGOS(R) 
5/12/2013ARROYO(R)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R) 
5/14/2013BAILEY(R)@ MIAMISANABIA(R) 
5/15/2013LEAKE(R)@ MIAMINOLASCO(R) 
5/16/2013CINGRANI(L)@ MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R) 
5/17/2013LATOS(R)@ PHILADELPHIACLOYD(R) 
5/18/2013 @ PHILADELPHIA  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games15-18-4.822-114.40.2640.3184.80.2720.323
Road Games5-7-1.67-53.50.2300.2913.80.2390.299
vs Right-handed Starters11-10015-64.80.2560.3144.50.2690.306
Past 7 Games1-6-5.54-33.30.2960.3425.70.2990.367
Grass Games15-18-4.822-114.40.2640.3184.80.2720.323
Day Games5-6-1.28-34.10.2510.2965.10.2580.302
Division7-9-2.310-64.40.2590.3225.10.2690.320
MILWAUKEE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2640.318331123296101400.04139902542722133233015
Road Games3.50.2300.291124089431100.02383510498210987
Righty Starters4.80.2560.3142170818161260.049660157221381614218
MILWAUKEE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.811.27910450449815351005-78657.1%
Road Games3.411.27629131124213251-24266.7%

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games20-16+0.221-144.50.2460.3263.90.2410.296
Home Games14-6+5.112-85.10.2620.3403.20.2180.274
vs Right-handed Starters13-10+0.113-104.40.2370.3193.70.2490.308
Past 7 Games5-2+2.76-14.90.2550.3564.90.2520.325
Grass Games20-16+0.221-144.50.2460.3263.90.2410.296
Day Games10-7+1.612-44.90.2560.3414.80.2520.312
Division8-8-1.68-83.90.2360.3304.30.2630.318
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.50.2460.32636122630197340.031521462861227534163013
Home Games5.10.2620.3402070318461250.0493831717164169186
Righty Starters4.40.2370.3192375818057230.03949118191642151410
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.871.180109.350478916401059-710283.3%
Home Games2.990.98066.32522441121787-45183.3%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
HIRAM BURGOS recent results and season statistics
HIRAM BURGOS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.000.8891-03186.0661333101-2-1.42-1
Road Starts4.501.0000-0166.03341230-1-11-0
Last 3 Starts3.000.8891-03186.0661333101-2-1.42-1
HIRAM BURGOS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/1/2013PITTSBURGH4-6-1409Loss,Over 7224216GOMEZ(R)
4/26/2013at LA DODGERS5-7+1307Loss,Over 6334123BECKETT(R)
4/20/2013CHICAGO CUBS5-1-1058.5Win,UnderW5115001JACKSON(R)

MAT LATOS recent results and season statistics
MAT LATOS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.231.1733-0744.36.3141141311435-2+1.24-3
Home Starts1.740.9681-0320.76.9441723222-1-0.51-2
Last 3 Starts1.501.2223-03186.0331507143-0+3.21-2
MAT LATOS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/5/2013at CHICAGO CUBS7-4-1357Win,OverW5336036JACKSON(R)
4/29/2013at ST LOUIS2-1+1207Win,UnderW6005034WAINWRIGHT(R)
4/24/2013CHICAGO CUBS1-0-1657Win,UnderW7004014SAMARDZIJA(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 18-14 (+3.6 Units) against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
15 of 28 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)
Games this season
CINCINNATI is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 13-6 (+6.7 Units) against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.5 Units)
Games played at CINCINNATI this season.
CINCINNATI is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/10/2013MILWAUKEE3+140 Under82080GALLARDO(R)L4355
 CINCINNATI4-1507.5 evWin812130CINGRANI(L) 4252
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
HIRAM BURGOS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.
HIRAM BURGOS recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.

MAT LATOS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LATOS is 1-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.34 and a WHIP of 0.923.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.2 units)
MAT LATOS recent starts vs. MILWAUKEE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/27/2012MILWAUKEE2-1-1658Win,Under 7113113PERALTA(R)
8/8/2012at MILWAUKEE2-3-1408.5Loss,Under 7113118WOLF(L)
6/25/2012MILWAUKEE3-1-1308.5Win,UnderW91141213GALLARDO(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-979, 56.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 55.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (169-135, +15.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (1078-1085, -107.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (145-160, -29.2 units)
Edge=MILWAUKEE
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (789-775, -89.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (99-97, -10.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (838-761, -27.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (111-95, +4.9 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MILWAUKEE
[P] 04/09/2013 - Chris Narveson 15-day DL (4/7) ( Finger )
[1B] 03/31/2013 - Corey Hart 60-day DL (3/22) ( Knee )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Mark Rogers 15-day DL (3/25) ( Shoulder )
[1B] 03/31/2013 - Mat Gamel 60-day DL (3/20) ( Knee )
[3B] 03/31/2013 - Taylor Green 15-day DL (3/22) ( Hip )
CINCINNATI
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/14/2013 - Johnny Cueto 15-day DL (4/14) ( Side )
[LF] 04/30/2013 - Chris Heisey 15-day DL (4/28) ( Hamstring )
[P] 04/26/2013 - Manny Parra 15-day DL (4/24) ( Undisclosed )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
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