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Matchup Reports

Friday at 7:05 PM
MILWAUKEE (55-39) AT PITTSBURGH (44-49) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
901: MILWAUKEE
902: PITTSBURGH
8.0
-119
55-39
44-49
41-50-3
44-42-7
4.4 / 3.8
4.3 / 4.7
(R) J GUERRA
(R) N KINGHAM
6-5
3-4
2.79
4.26
1.22
1.15
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Partly Cloudy   Temperature: 57.0 °
Humidity: 30   Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MILWAUKEEGUERRA-144
PITTSBURGHKINGHAM +144 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MILWAUKEE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games55-39+13.8214-204+31.31667-1841-102.541-50186-2141640-1706
when the total is 8 to 8.526-18+778-81+7.6612-624+2.723-2083-74594-608
on the road when the money line is +125 to -12518-9+8.853-40+14.1385-423-30.415-1142-46379-390
in road games25-21+499-109+13.2761-992-65.721-2494-106801-873
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.510-8+2.138-38+11.9233-301-13.410-835-40239-281
in July games7-5+0.831-31+3.4260-312-58.68-423-36245-299
when playing on Friday11-4+7.435-32+7268-286-6.810-430-32254-266
against division opponents19-21-2.490-102+1.2786-849-20.616-2282-100764-791
in night games38-18+20.2139-124+271096-1168-18.728-27117-1351042-1116
against right-handed starters45-30+14.5157-159+11.31227-1374-81.830-42127-1741191-1285
after a loss24-14+11.8107-96+24.4849-973-63.315-2383-115829-912
when playing against a team with a losing record23-17+3.3107-96+4.9846-831-65.419-1993-96789-789
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season3-5-3.240-43-10.3435-442-65.85-333-45383-441

PITTSBURGH team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games44-49-7.8197-219-29.91595-1903-125.544-42195-2021639-1683
when the total is 8 to 8.521-30-1195-106-14.2598-719-34.125-2299-95623-649
at home when the money line is +125 to -12514-16-2.949-52-5.6485-479+4.914-1347-47456-464
in home games25-24-3.4107-103-15.9896-855+20.722-24103-98825-840
at home when the total is 8 to 8.515-14-1.365-50+6.1364-345+26.417-1063-47351-336
in July games5-6-133-27+8.2274-284+8.36-522-37253-279
when playing on Friday9-6+2.734-33-3.4258-301-19.58-635-30262-270
against division opponents19-16+4.385-101-18.2727-904-91.612-2073-106747-794
in night games25-30-7.3130-148-27.51092-1256-5129-21129-1331096-1125
against right-handed starters34-34-1.8150-171-32.61203-1434-89.328-33142-1611246-1249
after a win20-22-4.2100-93+4.3756-835-20.223-1695-88744-767
when playing against a team with a winning record19-28-7.586-123-26734-1001-78.118-2396-101817-829
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season4-5-136-52-8.7338-496-57.15-442-44393-403
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MILWAUKEE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/29/2018ANDERSON(R)@ CINCINNATIROMANO(R)8-2W11010 unP1290641
6/30/2018CHACIN(R)@ CINCINNATIMAHLE(R)3-12L1159.5 ovO6811591
7/1/2018PERALTA(R)@ CINCINNATIHARVEY(R)2-8L-1259 ovO4401050
7/2/2018SUTER(L)MINNESOTAGIBSON(R)6-5W-1358 unO141221152
7/3/2018GUERRA(R)MINNESOTAODORIZZI(R)2-0W-1508.5 ovU461281
7/4/2018ANDERSON(R)MINNESOTABERRIOS(R)3-2W-1158.5 evU640641
7/5/2018CHACIN(R)ATLANTAFRIED(L)7-2W-1108.5 evO720331
7/6/2018PERALTA(R)ATLANTAFOLTYNEWICZ(R)5-4W-1257.5 ovO732950
7/7/2018WILKERSON(R)ATLANTASANCHEZ(R)1-5L-1059.5 unU450880
7/8/2018GUERRA(R)ATLANTANEWCOMB(L)10-3W-1258.5 ovO109310100
7/9/2018ANDERSON(R)@ MIAMIURENA(R)3-4L-1257.5 ovU119113120
7/10/2018CHACIN(R)@ MIAMILOPEZ(R)8-4W-1607.5 ovO941971
7/11/2018PERALTA(R)@ MIAMISTRAILY(R)4-5L-1707.5 ovO8101891
7/12/2018MILEY(L)@ PITTSBURGHTAILLON(R)3-6L1108 unO9102991
7/13/2018GUERRA(R)@ PITTSBURGHKINGHAM(R) 
7/14/2018SUTER(L)@ PITTSBURGHNOVA(R) 
7/14/2018ANDERSON(R)@ PITTSBURGHHOLMES(R) 
7/15/2018CHACIN(R)@ PITTSBURGHMUSGROVE(R) 
7/20/2018 LA DODGERS  

PITTSBURGH - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/29/2018MUSGROVE(R)@ SAN DIEGOLAUER(L)6-3W-1057.5 unO115012102
6/30/2018WILLIAMS(R)@ SAN DIEGOLUCCHESI(L)3-4L1307.5 unU770530
7/1/2018TAILLON(R)@ SAN DIEGOROSS(R)7-5W-1157.5 evO9519111
7/2/2018KINGHAM(R)@ LA DODGERSWOOD(L)1-17L1707.5 ovO95321111
7/3/2018NOVA(R)@ LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)3-8L2257.5 unO5101160
7/4/2018HOLMES(R)@ LA DODGERSHILL(L)4-6L1908 ovO960980
7/6/2018WILLIAMS(R)PHILADELPHIAPIVETTA(R)5-17L+1058.5 unO1213118131
7/7/2018TAILLON(R)PHILADELPHIAARRIETA(R)2-3L-1308 unU870960
7/8/2018KINGHAM(R)PHILADELPHIAANDERSON(R)4-1W-1609 ovU970461
7/9/2018NOVA(R)WASHINGTONRODRIGUEZ(R)6-3W-1059.5 unU8701060
7/10/2018MUSGROVE(R)WASHINGTONHELLICKSON(R)1-5L+1109 unU79012101
7/11/2018WILLIAMS(R)WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)2-0W+1309 ovU750580
7/12/2018TAILLON(R)MILWAUKEEMILEY(L)6-3W-1208 unO9919102
7/13/2018KINGHAM(R)MILWAUKEEGUERRA(R) 
7/14/2018NOVA(R)MILWAUKEESUTER(L) 
7/14/2018HOLMES(R)MILWAUKEEANDERSON(R) 
7/15/2018MUSGROVE(R)MILWAUKEECHACIN(R) 
7/20/2018 @ CINCINNATI  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games55-39+13.841-504.40.2450.3110.4030.7153.80.2280.3030.3660.669
Road Games25-21+421-244.40.2480.3080.3980.7063.70.2290.3070.3590.667
vs Right-handed Starters45-30+14.630-424.30.2480.3120.4040.7153.70.2230.3000.3650.665
Past 7 Games3-4-25-24.90.2360.3140.3740.6884.40.2730.3690.3720.741
Grass Games55-39+13.841-504.40.2450.3110.4030.7153.80.2280.3030.3660.669
Night Games38-18+20.228-274.80.2580.3240.4210.7453.60.2280.3020.3620.664
Division19-21-2.416-223.10.2170.2810.3430.6234.10.2350.3120.3650.677
MILWAUKEE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2450.31194315877313981150.4033923068637462289577836
Road Games4.40.2480.308461612400724540.3981921394224031343263721
Righty Starters4.30.2480.3127525256251096910.4043092357105150568435828
MILWAUKEE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.181.230339.71321202763414238520-12261366.7%
Road Games3.411.271163.7686214016681916-912570.6%

PITTSBURGH - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games44-49-7.844-424.30.2490.3120.3960.7074.70.2540.3170.4050.722
Home Games25-24-3.422-244.40.2580.3260.3930.7194.20.2480.3080.3970.705
vs Right-handed Starters34-34-1.828-334.40.2490.3130.3980.7114.50.2420.3070.3840.691
Past 7 Games4-3+12-53.70.2590.3280.3660.6954.60.2700.3370.4030.740
Grass Games44-49-7.844-424.30.2490.3120.3960.7074.70.2540.3170.4050.722
Night Games25-30-7.229-214.40.2560.3230.3970.7205.30.2670.3310.4260.757
Division19-16+4.312-204.60.2530.3180.4120.7303.80.2390.3010.3610.661
PITTSBURGH - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2490.31293314278115125870.3963882897023963176607540
Home Games4.40.2580.3264916224188314360.3932051643472435635284025
Righty Starters4.40.2490.31368230757510121670.3982892135113247153425428
PITTSBURGH - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.411.407322.71711583123314235714-14231167.6%
Home Games3.751.371175827316520751847-512570.6%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JUNIOR GUERRA recent results and season statistics
JUNIOR GUERRA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.791.2176-51793.75.530297710379210-7+2.95-11
Road Starts3.211.2183-2633.75.6121229312283-3+0.62-4
Last 3 Starts2.651.4123-03175.7551727183-0+32-1
JUNIOR GUERRA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/8/2018ATLANTA10-3-1258.5Win,OverW6117034NEWCOMB(L)
7/3/2018MINNESOTA2-0-1508.5Win,UnderW5002038ODORIZZI(R)
6/28/2018at CINCINNATI6-4-1159.5Win,OverW6448216DESCLAFANI(R)

NICK KINGHAM recent results and season statistics
NICK KINGHAM - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.261.1503-4844.35.5242140811423-5-2.24-4
Home Starts2.550.8922-1424.76.2771824232-2-0.22-2
Last 3 Starts4.701.4351-2315.35.11081646121-2-11-2
NICK KINGHAM - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/8/2018PHILADELPHIA4-1-1609Win,UnderW6114115ANDERSON(R)
7/2/2018at LA DODGERS1-17+1707.5Loss,OverL3758332WOOD(L)
6/9/2018at CHICAGO CUBS0-2+1608Loss,UnderL6.3224025LESTER(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 24-20 (-0.3 Units) against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
28 of 40 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+14.7 Units)
Games this season
PITTSBURGH is 4-2 (+1.9 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

All games at PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 13-9 (+0.6 Units) against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
14 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.2 Units)
Games played at PITTSBURGH this season.
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
7/12/2018MILWAUKEE3+110 Over911102MILEY(L)L5245
 PITTSBURGH6-1208 unWin90191TAILLON(R)W6142
6/19/2018MILWAUKEE3+110  91261PERALTA(R)W6020
 PITTSBURGH2-1208 evUnder51060TAILLON(R)L5371
6/18/2018MILWAUKEE0-120 Under20250CHACIN(R)L6.3162
 PITTSBURGH1+1109 unWin70060WILLIAMS(R)W7012
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JUNIOR GUERRA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
GUERRA is 1-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.269.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.2 units)
JUNIOR GUERRA recent starts vs. PITTSBURGH
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/4/2018PITTSBURGH4-6-1108Loss,OverL5556244KINGHAM(R)
7/18/2017at PITTSBURGH3-4+1459.5Loss,Under 5.7333214NOVA(R)
6/21/2017PITTSBURGH4-3-1259.5Win,Under 6337156WILLIAMS(R)

NICK KINGHAM vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
KINGHAM is 1-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
NICK KINGHAM recent starts vs. MILWAUKEE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/4/2018at MILWAUKEE6-4+1008Win,OverW5.3446217GUERRA(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring PITTSBURGH in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 53.5% of the time since 1997. (1533-1330, +79.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 51.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (186-177, -14.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (1496-1410, -53.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 44.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (162-201, -65.4 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (1170-1165, -152.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 47.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (179-197, -43.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 52% of the time since 1997. (1222-1127, -66.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 55.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (205-166, +17.5 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MILWAUKEE
[P] 07/13/2018 - Brent Suter 10-day DL (07/03) expected to start Saturday vs Pittsburgh Pirates ( Forearm )
[LF] 07/08/2018 - Ryan Braun 10-day DL (07/08) ( Back )
[C] 07/08/2018 - Manny Pina 10-day DL (07/07) ( Biceps )
[SS] 07/03/2018 - Nick Franklin 60-day DL (05/09) ( Quad )
[P] 06/13/2018 - Matt Albers 10-day DL (06/12) ( Shoulder )
[C] 06/01/2018 - Stephen Vogt is out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/01/2018 - Zach Davies 10-day DL (06/01) ( Rotator Cuff )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Jimmy Nelson 60-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )
PITTSBURGH
[P] 06/29/2018 - Chad Kuhl 10-day DL (06/27) ( Forearm )
[P] 06/29/2018 - Nik Turley 60-day DL (06/29) ( Arm )
[RF] 06/28/2018 - Sean Rodriguez 10-day DL (06/25) ( Quad )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Nick Burdi 60-day DL (02/20) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/26/2018 - A.J. Schugel 60-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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