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Matchup Reports

Tuesday at 7:05 PM
MILWAUKEE (57-73) AT PITTSBURGH (76-54) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
903: MILWAUKEE
904: PITTSBURGH
7.0
-133
57-73
76-54
65-62-3
56-69-5
4.0 / 4.4
3.9 / 3.5
(R) K LOHSE
(L) J LOCKE
9-8
9-4
3.22
3.01
1.15
1.35
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Partly Cloudy   Temperature: 57.0 °
Humidity: 30   Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MILWAUKEELOHSE +109 
PITTSBURGHLOCKE-109 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MILWAUKEE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games57-73-12.4242-224-2.11287-1448-101.565-62238-2101287-1321
when the total is 7 or less8-6+4.629-25+5.261-65+7.86-722-2854-57
as a road underdog of +100 to +1259-3+7.228-36-4.3167-203-14.47-532-31169-184
in road games27-38-3.6101-131-28.4578-789-78.931-32111-109626-680
on the road when the total is 7 or less8-6+4.619-17+4.336-46+0.76-714-1935-37
in August games11-11+5.148-30+19.5222-247-8.412-1040-37220-225
when playing on Tuesday14-7+8.945-25+19.3212-198+30.812-935-32185-204
when playing with a day off6-6+1.327-25+0.8142-156-5.26-625-23122-161
against division opponents22-32-7.4121-99+10617-652-6.225-27111-99604-601
in games played on a grass field57-73-12.4242-224-2.11225-1361-94.265-62238-2101230-1234
in night games43-44+3.2168-139+19.4845-918-28.542-43156-139810-870
against left-handed starters11-25-14.756-66-17.6336-381-44.218-1760-58350-340
after a win24-32-8.8127-114-2.7617-669-48.926-29121-113619-605
when playing against a team with a winning record26-40-8.3104-107+2.5551-700-36.830-3593-109572-632
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season11-10+6.349-49+3.6250-360-489-1241-52282-304

PITTSBURGH team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games76-54+23.7227-227+20.21191-1525-11056-69203-2301271-1309
when the total is 7 or less30-20+11.450-55+0.175-99-7.820-2741-5473-82
at home with a money line of -100 to -1254-5-1.727-27-3.7176-152+4.54-522-30156-155
as a home favorite of -125 to -15015-7+5.434-23+2.9125-99-9.36-1521-33114-99
in home games42-22+16123-103+11.4675-680+2024-3794-124635-654
at home when the total is 7 or less15-10+3.825-25-2.233-41-8.48-1514-3128-38
in August games11-12-430-51-23.4192-288-52.810-1046-30230-231
when playing on Tuesday14-5+10.835-32+5.5192-203+33.77-1035-29185-187
when playing with a day off12-2+9.628-18+11150-153+24.55-723-20138-146
against division opponents31-20+13.4109-103+16.4555-704-4021-2798-104582-603
in games played on a grass field76-54+23.7225-226+18.6976-1292-104.556-69202-2281041-1110
in night games51-30+20.6147-146+10.8816-1002-38.632-45125-154837-884
against right-handed starters63-42+24169-174+15889-1137-71.843-58152-174962-957
after getting shut out4-4-0.814-22-7.676-110-18.63-513-2283-94
after a loss32-21+11.9117-108+23.7653-861-66.220-3098-118708-727
when playing against a team with a losing record47-24+21.1123-110+4.9560-649-69.726-42101-122572-579
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season17-15-2.353-70-30.2297-357-60.112-1857-59316-308
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MILWAUKEE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/13/2013ESTRADA(R)@ TEXASOGANDO(R)5-1W1829 unU741970
8/14/2013THORNBURG(R)@ TEXASGARZA(R)4-5L2108.5 unO961760
8/15/2013LOHSE(R)CINCINNATICINGRANI(L)1-2L+1207.5 unU631650
8/16/2013GORZELANNY(L)CINCINNATILEAKE(R)7-6W+1258 unO12801080
8/17/2013GALLARDO(R)CINCINNATILATOS(R)2-0W+1458 ovU660540
8/18/2013PERALTA(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)1-9L+1458 unO4311080
8/19/2013ESTRADA(R)ST LOUISMILLER(R)5-8L+1408 evO111101691
8/20/2013LOHSE(R)ST LOUISLYNN(R)6-3W+1158 ovO1080881
8/21/2013GORZELANNY(L)ST LOUISWESTBROOK(R)6-8L+1059.5 unO141411251
8/23/2013GALLARDO(R)@ CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)6-4W1808 unO9811082
8/24/2013PERALTA(R)@ CINCINNATIARROYO(R)3-6L1828.5 unO8511490
8/25/2013ESTRADA(R)@ CINCINNATIREYNOLDS(R)3-1W1408.5 ovU771550
8/27/2013LOHSE(R)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L) 
8/28/2013GORZELANNY(L)@ PITTSBURGHMORTON(R) 
8/29/2013GALLARDO(R)@ PITTSBURGHCOLE(R) 
8/30/2013PERALTA(R)LA ANGELSWEAVER(R) 
8/31/2013ESTRADA(R)LA ANGELSWILLIAMS(R) 
9/1/2013LOHSE(R)LA ANGELSWILSON(L) 
9/2/2013GORZELANNY(L)PITTSBURGHMORTON(R) 
9/3/2013 PITTSBURGH  

PITTSBURGH - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/13/2013MORTON(R)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)3-4L1607 ovP1011214170
8/14/2013LIRIANO(L)@ ST LOUISMILLER(R)5-1W1156.5 unU851421
8/15/2013BURNETT(R)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R)5-6L1057 unO13901280
8/16/2013COLE(R)ARIZONAMCCARTHY(R)6-2W-1557 unO950540
8/17/2013LOCKE(L)ARIZONACAHILL(R)5-15L-1607.5 unO11812091
8/18/2013MORTON(R)ARIZONAMILEY(L)2-4L-1357 evU913015130
8/19/2013LIRIANO(L)@ SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R)3-1W-1356.5 unU520671
8/20/2013BURNETT(R)@ SAN DIEGOROSS(R)8-1W-1206.5 unO961671
8/21/2013COLE(R)@ SAN DIEGOKENNEDY(R)1-2L-1307 evU4601170
8/22/2013LOCKE(L)@ SAN FRANCISCOCAIN(R)10-5W1157 unO1360880
8/23/2013MORTON(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER(L)3-1W1206.5 unU760860
8/24/2013LIRIANO(L)@ SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R)3-6L-1406.5 ovO78011101
8/25/2013BURNETT(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOVOGELSONG(R)0-4L-1307.5 unU330981
8/27/2013LOCKE(L)MILWAUKEELOHSE(R) 
8/28/2013MORTON(R)MILWAUKEEGORZELANNY(L) 
8/29/2013COLE(R)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R) 
8/30/2013LIRIANO(L)ST LOUISMILLER(R) 
8/31/2013BURNETT(R)ST LOUISLYNN(R) 
9/1/2013LOCKE(L)ST LOUISLYONS(L) 
9/2/2013MORTON(R)@ MILWAUKEEGORZELANNY(L) 
9/3/2013 @ MILWAUKEE  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games57-73-12.465-624.00.2530.3024.40.2570.315
Road Games27-38-3.631-323.90.2480.2934.10.2450.304
vs Left-handed Starters11-25-14.718-173.50.2520.2944.70.2580.325
Past 7 Games3-4+0.36-14.30.2640.3185.60.3040.363
Grass Games57-73-12.465-624.00.2530.3024.40.2570.315
Night Games43-44+3.242-434.10.2610.3124.10.2530.311
Division22-32-7.425-273.80.2490.3024.60.2610.322
MILWAUKEE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.00.2530.302130442311213651320.034913119571128581119711883
Road Games3.90.2480.293652256560183600.032381435065241959554138
Lefty Starters3.50.2520.29436125931795330.03122752922023738272727
MILWAUKEE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.001.214438.31651463834414938521-21321765.3%
Road Games3.081.242190796516819681779-13161257.1%

PITTSBURGH - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games76-54+23.756-693.90.2440.3043.50.2350.302
Home Games42-22+1624-373.80.2490.3083.20.2310.291
vs Right-handed Starters63-42+2443-583.80.2400.3003.40.2310.297
Past 7 Games4-3+0.33-44.00.2200.3002.90.2590.310
Grass Games76-54+23.756-693.90.2440.3043.50.2350.302
Night Games51-30+20.532-453.90.2460.3043.30.2370.301
Division31-20+13.421-273.90.2410.3063.50.2210.288
PITTSBURGH - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.90.2440.304130441810773711230.034823821107859121089011975
Home Games3.80.2490.308642138532170490.022321834904745555446134
Righty Starters3.80.2400.3001053530848297980.033833048917071789719862
PITTSBURGH - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.821.134444.31421393543215037126-16431179.6%
Home Games2.431.054233.3656317886819916-522484.6%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
KYLE LOHSE recent results and season statistics
KYLE LOHSE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games3.221.1559-827159.3-61571522232105---
All Starts3.221.1559-826159.36.16157152223210514-12+2.18-18
Road Starts3.301.1273-51376.35.93028671119525-8-2.84-9
Last 3 Starts3.151.3002-13206.7871729152-1+1.32-1
KYLE LOHSE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/20/2013ST LOUIS6-3+1158Win,OverW6336124LYNN(R)
8/15/2013CINCINNATI1-2+1207.5Loss,UnderL7215144CINGRANI(L)
8/9/2013at SEATTLE10-5+1207.5Win,OverW7336037SAUNDERS(L)

JEFF LOCKE recent results and season statistics
JEFF LOCKE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.011.3509-425143.75.7514812287210614-11+3.910-14
Home Starts4.151.5384-212655.4323071629428-4+45-6
Last 3 Starts8.752.3500-1312.34.113121811181-2-1.62-1
JEFF LOCKE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/22/2013at SAN FRANCISCO10-5+1157Win,Over 4335043CAIN(R)
8/17/2013ARIZONA5-15-1607.5Loss,OverL2.78810132CAHILL(R)
8/11/2013at COLORADO2-3-12010Loss,Under 5.7213043BETTIS(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 27-16 (+6.8 Units) against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
22 of 42 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.5 Units)
Games this season
PITTSBURGH is 9-4 (+5.4 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.4 Units)

All games at PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 9-10 (-0.4 Units) against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
12 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.6 Units)
Games played at PITTSBURGH this season.
PITTSBURGH is 6-1 (+4.7 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
6/30/2013MILWAUKEE1+130 Under40140LOHSE(R) 1.7001
 PITTSBURGH2-1408 unWin801122MORTON(R) 2020
6/29/2013MILWAUKEE1+187 Under70070HAND(R)L5250
 PITTSBURGH2-2057.5 ovWin62230LIRIANO(L)W6171
6/28/2013MILWAUKEE3+182 Over100092HELLWEG(R)L1.7562
 PITTSBURGH10-1958 ovWin121060COLE(R)W6383
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
KYLE LOHSE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LOHSE is 9-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.192.
His team's record is 10-8 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-8. (+1.6 units)
KYLE LOHSE recent starts vs. PITTSBURGH
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/30/2013at PITTSBURGH1-2+1308Loss,Under 1.7000012MORTON(R)
5/14/2013at PITTSBURGH3-4-1257.5Loss,Under 5.7225053LOCKE(L)
8/27/2012at PITTSBURGH4-3-1258Win,UnderW5225003BURNETT(R)

JEFF LOCKE vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LOCKE is 1-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)
JEFF LOCKE recent starts vs. MILWAUKEE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/25/2013at MILWAUKEE5-2+1159Win,UnderW6003037FIERS(R)
5/14/2013MILWAUKEE4-3+1157.5Win,Under 6337116LOHSE(R)
9/28/2011at MILWAUKEE3-7+2108.5Loss,OverL4555323GREINKE(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MILWAUKEE in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1016, 61.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 55.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (215-172, +21.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (1160-1067, -6.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 50.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (195-188, -19.9 units)
Edge=PITTSBURGH
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (829-819, -100.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 49.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (139-141, -20.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (837-822, -103.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 50.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (129-125, -11.5 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MILWAUKEE
[2B] 08/09/2013 - Rickie Weeks 15-day DL (8/8); out for season ( Hamstring )
[LF] 07/22/2013 - Ryan Braun out for season ( Suspension )
[P] 07/05/2013 - Miguel De Los Santos is on the restricted list ( Shoulder )
[1B] 06/28/2013 - Corey Hart 60-day DL (3/22); out for season ( Knee )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Mark Rogers 60-day DL (3/25) ( Shoulder )
[1B] 03/31/2013 - Mat Gamel 60-day DL (3/20), out for season ( Knee )
[3B] 03/31/2013 - Taylor Green 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Hip )
PITTSBURGH
[LF] 08/23/2013 - Starling Marte 15-day DL (8/23) ( Hand )
[C] 07/29/2013 - Michael McKenry 15-day DL (7/29), out for season ( Knee )
[RF] 07/28/2013 - Travis Snider 15-day DL (7/28) ( Toe )
[P] 07/23/2013 - Jason Grilli 15-day DL (7/23) ( Forearm )
[P] 07/12/2013 - James McDonald 60-day DL (5/1) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/11/2013 - Wandy Rodriguez 15-day DL (6/6) ( Forearm )
[P] 06/08/2013 - Jared Hughes 15-day DL (6/6) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/29/2013 - Jose Contreras 15-day DL (5/28) ( Back )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Jeff Karstens 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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