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Matchup Reports

Monday at 7:10 PM
MINNESOTA (13-14) AT BOSTON (20-11) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
961: MINNESOTA
962: BOSTON
8.5
-199
13-14
20-11
11-15-1
16-14-1
4.1 / 4.3
4.9 / 3.7
(R) V WORLEY
(R) C BUCHHOLZ
0-4
6-0
7.22
1.01
1.92
0.96
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Partly Cloudy   Temperature: 62.0 °
Humidity: 75   Wind: East at 12.7 MPH (11 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MINNESOTAWORLEY +120
BOSTONBUCHHOLZ-120 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MINNESOTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games13-14+3.4142-210-34.91305-1339-22.911-15168-1651184-1326
when the total is 8 to 8.59-7+5.657-94-26.2326-338-20.56-972-75321-323
as a road underdog of +175 to +2001-0+213-13+11.537-69-0.40-111-1435-67
in road games6-8+1.471-105-0.8602-719-9.95-884-83584-671
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.54-5+1.225-42-6.7150-194-25.83-529-35160-171
in May games2-2+1.422-37-6.6218-228+10.62-229-25201-225
when playing on Monday1-3-1.816-29-9.9112-146-33.41-321-18116-126
in games played on a grass field13-14+3.4139-200-28.9661-768-20.511-15165-155648-709
in night games3-9-5.890-132-19.8886-881+8.47-5114-94810-869
against right-handed starters11-12+397-154-34.4939-930+17.57-15122-113836-929
after a win7-5+3.961-77-5.2681-616+48.75-664-62568-656
when playing against a team with a winning record6-9-0.363-102-16.9540-663-35.55-1076-80545-600

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games20-11+7.8181-176-41.61492-1204-48.816-14176-1641252-1308
when the total is 8 to 8.514-5+8.466-43+12.2279-186+28.312-753-56227-230
as a home favorite of -175 to -2000-0011-16-18.2110-79-35.70-013-1285-92
as a home favorite of -200 to -2251-0+17-2+2.891-39+8.70-11-758-60
in home games11-5+4.292-88-35794-554-307-896-74642-633
at home when the total is 8 to 8.57-3+2.825-18-1.4111-69-5.45-522-2191-86
in May games2-3-136-27+0.4260-191+25.91-433-28222-207
when playing on Monday4-0+424-17+0.7159-125-10.62-223-17138-133
in games played on a grass field16-9+5.5159-156-441315-1029-16.812-12153-1451071-1147
in night games11-8+2.2119-127-43.31023-817-3613-5122-110862-887
against right-handed starters13-8+3.8116-125-46.71079-833+4.712-8123-107884-926
after a loss6-3+3.282-96-39.5661-538-20.45-487-82525-605
after 3 or more consecutive losses0-0021-30-14131-107+2.60-025-23110-117
when playing against a team with a losing record14-3+11.183-65-13.1758-508+3.910-674-67601-596
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MINNESOTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/23/2013CORREIA(R)MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R)4-3W-1507.5 unU760650
4/23/2013PELFREY(R)MIAMINOLASCO(R)5-8L-1457.5 unO9801691
4/25/2013WORLEY(R)TEXASTEPESCH(R)1-2L-1058.5 unU8601090
4/26/2013DIAMOND(L)TEXASGRIMM(R)3-4L+1058.5 unU8511372
4/27/2013HERNANDEZ(L)TEXASHOLLAND(L)7-2W+1258.5 ovO940871
4/28/2013CORREIA(R)TEXASOGANDO(R)5-0W+1108.5 ovU940770
4/29/2013PELFREY(R)@ DETROITSCHERZER(R)3-4L2158.5 ovU630750
4/30/2013WORLEY(R)@ DETROITVERLANDER(R)1-6L2308 ovU6901360
5/1/2013DIAMOND(L)@ DETROITSANCHEZ(R)6-2W2008.5 unU1070640
5/3/2013HERNANDEZ(L)@ CLEVELANDMASTERSON(R)6-7L1358.5 unO119013100
5/4/2013CORREIA(R)@ CLEVELANDKAZMIR(L)3-7L1059 unO7901261
5/5/2013PELFREY(R)@ CLEVELANDKLUBER(R)4-2W1409 unU660660
5/6/2013WORLEY(R)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R) 
5/7/2013DIAMOND(L)@ BOSTONDEMPSTER(R) 
5/8/2013HERNANDEZ(L)@ BOSTONDOUBRONT(L) 
5/9/2013CORREIA(R)@ BOSTONLACKEY(R) 
5/10/2013PELFREY(R)BALTIMOREGARCIA(R) 
5/11/2013WORLEY(R)BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R) 
5/12/2013DIAMOND(L)BALTIMORECHEN(L) 
5/13/2013 CHI WHITE SOX  

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/22/2013DOUBRONT(L)OAKLANDGRIFFIN(R)9-6W-1308 unO980582
4/23/2013ACEVES(R)OAKLANDCOLON(R)0-13L-1158.5 evO3421380
4/24/2013LESTER(L)OAKLANDANDERSON(L)6-5W-1558 ovO1090980
4/25/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)HOUSTONHUMBER(R)7-2W-2859 ovP1170751
4/26/2013DEMPSTER(R)HOUSTONBEDARD(L)7-3W-2508.5 evO1782780
4/27/2013DOUBRONT(L)HOUSTONPEACOCK(R)8-4W-2659.5 unO121115101
4/28/2013LACKEY(R)HOUSTONNORRIS(R)6-1W-2059.5 unU1161792
4/30/2013LESTER(L)@ TORONTOMORROW(R)7-9L-1158.5 ovO961941
5/1/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)10-1W-1259 ovO1580461
5/2/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ TORONTOHAPP(L)3-1W-1158.5 evU6120782
5/3/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ TEXASHOLLAND(L)0-7L1209 unU65218120
5/4/2013LACKEY(R)@ TEXASOGANDO(R)1-5L1209 unU7921080
5/5/2013LESTER(L)@ TEXASDARVISH(R)3-4L1507.5 unU5709100
5/6/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)MINNESOTAWORLEY(R) 
5/7/2013DEMPSTER(R)MINNESOTADIAMOND(L) 
5/8/2013DOUBRONT(L)MINNESOTAHERNANDEZ(L) 
5/9/2013LACKEY(R)MINNESOTACORREIA(R) 
5/10/2013LESTER(L)TORONTOMORROW(R) 
5/11/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)TORONTOBUEHRLE(L) 
5/12/2013DEMPSTER(R)TORONTOHAPP(L) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MINNESOTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games13-14+3.411-154.10.2400.3154.30.2780.324
Road Games6-8+1.45-83.60.2250.3074.40.2800.329
vs Right-handed Starters11-12+2.97-153.80.2340.3093.70.2730.317
Past 7 Games3-4+0.52-54.00.2350.3094.00.2750.321
Grass Games13-14+3.411-154.10.2400.3154.30.2780.324
Night Games3-9-5.87-54.20.2540.3155.80.3180.359
MINNESOTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.10.2400.3152790021666200.0210798210121971913267
Road Games3.60.2250.3071447110632100.0249561305110105153
Righty Starters3.80.2340.3092376417957180.028483189111671610245
MINNESOTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.561.12891.3322676527804-27277.8%
Road Games2.931.17446151541413403-25271.4%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games20-11+7.816-144.90.2650.3403.70.2340.313
Home Games11-5+4.27-84.60.2610.3303.80.2150.305
vs Right-handed Starters13-8+3.812-85.30.2640.3404.00.2310.309
Past 7 Games3-4-1.22-54.30.2500.3324.00.2720.345
Grass Games16-9+5.512-124.50.2630.3333.80.2320.315
Night Games11-8+2.213-55.10.2780.3534.60.2500.334
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.90.2650.340311048278108330.031491192732622926152622
Home Games4.60.2610.3301651713557140.0372531331010411101514
Righty Starters5.30.2640.3402171118875220.03109821962015514111516
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.111.34687.740407912391043-59564.3%
Home Games4.931.40542232338621512-34357.1%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
VANCE WORLEY recent results and season statistics
VANCE WORLEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts7.221.9180-4628.74.826234649172-4-1.22-4
Road Starts5.941.7400-1316.75.612112544102-1+1.91-2
Last 3 Starts4.861.5600-2316.75.6992145111-2-0.40-3
VANCE WORLEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/30/2013at DETROIT1-6+2308Loss,UnderL4.76610311VERLANDER(R)
4/25/2013TEXAS1-2-1058.5Loss,UnderL5226023TEPESCH(R)
4/20/2013at CHI WHITE SOX2-1+1608.5Win,Under 7115127PEAVY(R)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ recent results and season statistics
CLAY BUCHHOLZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts1.010.9636-0644.77.45527116476-0+6.12-3
Home Starts1.170.9784-0430.77.74419011354-0+40-3
Last 3 Starts1.590.9703-0322.77.6441606243-0+31-1
CLAY BUCHHOLZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/1/2013at TORONTO10-1-1259Win,OverW7002038BUEHRLE(L)
4/25/2013HOUSTON7-2-2859WinW7.72260210HUMBER(R)
4/20/2013KANSAS CITY4-3-1358Win,UnderW8228016SHIELDS(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-5 (-0.2 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)
Games this season
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-4 (+2.9 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
VANCE WORLEY vs. BOSTON since 1997
WORLEY is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)
VANCE WORLEY recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/29/2011BOSTON2-1-1059.5Win,UnderW7115025LACKEY(R)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 3-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.450.
His team's record is 3-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)
CLAY BUCHHOLZ recent starts vs. MINNESOTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/4/2012MINNESOTA4-6-19010Loss 7107013DE VRIES(R)
4/25/2012at MINNESOTA7-6-1209Win,OverW5.35510032HENDRIKS(R)
5/7/2011MINNESOTA4-0-1659Win,UnderW5002016DUENSING(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MINNESOTA in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1066, -170.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 53.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (158-139, +2.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (1069-1065, -132.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 56.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (167-130, +17.0 units)
Edge=BOSTON
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (817-799, -90.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 41.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (74-106, -43.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (892-826, -51.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 58.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (117-83, +23.0 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MINNESOTA
[P] 04/05/2013 - Cole De Vries 15-day DL (3/30) ( Forearm )
[RF] 04/17/2013 - Darin Mastroianni 15-day DL (4/16) ( Ankle )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Tim Wood 15-day DL (3/24) ( Shoulder )
BOSTON
[P] 04/01/2013 - Craig Breslow 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/01/2013 - Franklin Morales 15-day DL (3/22) ( Back )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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