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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 1:05 PM
MINNESOTA (12-13) AT CLEVELAND (13-13) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
967: MINNESOTA
968: CLEVELAND
9.0
-114
12-13
13-13
10-14-1
13-11-2
4.2 / 4.3
5.1 / 4.4
(R) K CORREIA
(L) S KAZMIR
3-1
0-1
2.23
8.64
1.07
2.16
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 49.0 °
Humidity: 55   Wind: North at 8.1 MPH (7 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MINNESOTACORREIA-105 
CLEVELANDKAZMIR +105 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MINNESOTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in day games9-4+8.851-77-15.5414-449-29.83-953-70367-450
in games played on a grass field12-13+3.1138-199-29.3660-767-20.910-14164-154647-708
against left-handed starters2-1+1.545-55+0.5366-408-39.53-045-52347-397
after a loss5-7+0.180-129-27.1620-717-705-7102-100612-665
in all games12-13+3.1141-209-35.31304-1338-23.310-14167-1641183-1325
when the total is 9 to 9.52-2+150-71-10.3527-540-372-256-54460-534
as a road underdog of +100 to +1250-0013-24-8.8142-174-14.50-015-22139-159
in road games5-7+170-104-1.2601-718-10.34-783-82583-670
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.51-2-0.327-37+2.2238-288-19.61-235-26232-260
in May games1-1+121-36-7217-227+10.21-128-24200-224
when playing on Saturday3-1+3.221-37-11.8213-219-7.62-227-28188-225
against division opponents5-7+0.870-87-1.1587-507+49.13-876-73504-541

CLEVELAND team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in May games2-0+2.232-26+9.4238-204+10.11-134-21221-201
when playing on Saturday2-2+0.125-30-2.4218-222-29.42-226-26213-207
against division opponents6-4+2.875-81-6.9565-526-46.34-589-58536-512
in day games3-4-0.345-67-20407-437-68.54-260-47385-419
in games played on a grass field10-10+0.3155-179-16.41206-1193-112.111-7169-1471132-1160
against right-handed starters6-70115-122-1972-917-46.45-7116-112892-914
after a win7-4+3.873-85-12.8687-654-72.95-580-73625-662
after 3 or more consecutive wins2-1+1.216-20-4.8186-168-15.91-215-18165-171
when playing against a team with a losing record7-6+174-73-3.1663-543-48.45-777-62565-589
in all games13-13+2.4164-189-13.81345-1324-100.113-11177-1581251-1295
when the total is 9 to 9.54-2+3.258-65-0.5507-507-17.22-255-58464-495
at home with a money line of -100 to -1251-1-0.222-18+1117-125-26.32-021-19100-130
in home games5-6-1.288-87-5.6706-624-84.78-388-82613-667
at home when the total is 9 to 9.50-0024-19+2.8271-226-3.80-018-23218-260
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MINNESOTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/20/2013WORLEY(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXPEAVY(R)2-1W1608.5 unU8150671
4/21/2013DIAMOND(L)@ CHI WHITE SOXFLOYD(R)5-3W1358 evP661520
4/23/2013CORREIA(R)MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R)4-3W-1507.5 unU760650
4/23/2013PELFREY(R)MIAMINOLASCO(R)5-8L-1457.5 unO9801691
4/25/2013WORLEY(R)TEXASTEPESCH(R)1-2L-1058.5 unU8601090
4/26/2013DIAMOND(L)TEXASGRIMM(R)3-4L+1058.5 unU8511372
4/27/2013HERNANDEZ(L)TEXASHOLLAND(L)7-2W+1258.5 ovO940871
4/28/2013CORREIA(R)TEXASOGANDO(R)5-0W+1108.5 ovU940770
4/29/2013PELFREY(R)@ DETROITSCHERZER(R)3-4L2158.5 ovU630750
4/30/2013WORLEY(R)@ DETROITVERLANDER(R)1-6L2308 ovU6901360
5/1/2013DIAMOND(L)@ DETROITSANCHEZ(R)6-2W2008.5 unU1070640
5/3/2013HERNANDEZ(L)@ CLEVELANDMASTERSON(R)6-7L1358.5 unO119013100
5/4/2013CORREIA(R)@ CLEVELANDKAZMIR(L) 
5/5/2013PELFREY(R)@ CLEVELANDKLUBER(R) 
5/6/2013WORLEY(R)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R) 
5/7/2013DIAMOND(L)@ BOSTONDEMPSTER(R) 
5/8/2013HERNANDEZ(L)@ BOSTONDOUBRONT(L) 
5/9/2013CORREIA(R)@ BOSTONLACKEY(R) 
5/10/2013PELFREY(R)BALTIMOREGARCIA(R) 
5/11/2013 BALTIMORE  

CLEVELAND - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/20/2013KAZMIR(L)@ HOUSTONHUMBER(R)19-6W-1108.5 ovO221201183
4/21/2013JIMENEZ(R)@ HOUSTONBEDARD(L)5-4W-1059 unP1180880
4/22/2013MASTERSON(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXAXELROD(R)3-2W-1208.5 unU661561
4/24/2013MCALLISTER(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXQUINTANA(L)2-3L1257.5 ovU550570
4/27/2013KAZMIR(L)@ KANSAS CITYSANTANA(R)2-3L1509 unU991682
4/28/2013MASTERSON(R)@ KANSAS CITYGUTHRIE(R)0-9L1008.5 unO8901070
4/28/2013KLUBER(R)@ KANSAS CITYSMITH(L)10-3W1259 unO1470863
4/29/2013JIMENEZ(R)@ KANSAS CITYDAVIS(R)9-0W1409 ovP1440340
4/30/2013MCALLISTER(R)PHILADELPHIAHALLADAY(R)14-2W-1058 evO1740550
5/1/2013BAUER(R)PHILADELPHIALEE(L)6-0W+1207.5 ovU14120391
5/3/2013MASTERSON(R)MINNESOTAHERNANDEZ(L)7-6W-1458.5 unO131001190
5/4/2013KAZMIR(L)MINNESOTACORREIA(R) 
5/5/2013KLUBER(R)MINNESOTAPELFREY(R) 
5/6/2013JIMENEZ(R)OAKLANDPARKER(R) 
5/7/2013MCALLISTER(R)OAKLANDMILONE(L) 
5/8/2013MASTERSON(R)OAKLANDGRIFFIN(R) 
5/9/2013KAZMIR(L)OAKLANDCOLON(R) 
5/10/2013KLUBER(R)@ DETROITSCHERZER(R) 
5/11/2013 @ DETROIT  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MINNESOTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games12-13+310-144.20.2430.3144.30.2780.324
Road Games5-7+14-73.60.2290.3054.40.2810.331
vs Left-handed Starters2-1+1.53-06.70.2940.3578.00.2920.350
Past 7 Games3-4+0.42-54.40.2480.2923.60.2830.328
Grass Games12-13+310-144.20.2430.3144.30.2780.324
Day Games9-4+8.83-94.20.2320.3142.90.2380.289
Division5-7+0.83-83.40.2270.3113.70.2640.314
MINNESOTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.20.2430.3142583620361180.0210087190121821713255
Road Games3.60.2290.30512407932780.02424511059585141
Lefty Starters6.70.2940.357310230610.012010121212311
MINNESOTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.321.10185.3282268426754-26275%
Road Games2.471.12540111133312353-24266.7%

CLEVELAND - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games13-13+2.413-115.10.2720.3374.40.2330.311
Home Games5-6-1.28-34.80.2610.3325.40.2580.318
vs Right-handed Starters6-705-75.10.2780.3524.20.2350.314
Past 7 Games5-2+3.84-26.90.3410.3863.30.2060.295
Grass Games10-10+0.311-75.20.2780.3444.60.2430.313
Day Games3-4-0.24-25.10.2700.3364.90.2400.318
Division6-4+2.84-54.40.2550.3083.30.2120.280
CLEVELAND - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.10.2720.3372691424998370.04128892131319021142419
Home Games4.80.2610.332113719738160.045139944786898
Righty Starters5.10.2780.3521346112846200.0463531108971461310
CLEVELAND - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.681.131843025641031904-04357.1%
Home Games3.351.14140.319153779441-0010%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
KEVIN CORREIA recent results and season statistics
KEVIN CORREIA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.231.0733-1536.37.3993425154-1+3.81-4
Road Starts3.681.2280-117.37.33380110-1-10-1
Last 3 Starts1.641.0003-03227.3441923123-0+3.31-2
KEVIN CORREIA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/28/2013TEXAS5-0+1108.5Win,UnderW8006012OGANDO(R)
4/23/2013MIAMI4-3-1507.5Win,UnderW7225015FERNANDEZ(R)
4/15/2013LA ANGELS8-2+1208.5Win,OverW7228215BLANTON(R)

SCOTT KAZMIR recent results and season statistics
SCOTT KAZMIR - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts8.642.1610-128.34.288133581-101-1
Home Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts8.642.1610-128.34.288133581-101-1
SCOTT KAZMIR - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/27/2013at KANSAS CITY2-3+1509Loss,UnderL5225124SANTANA(R)
4/20/2013at HOUSTON19-6-1108.5Win,Over 3.3668234HUMBER(R)
4/3/2011at KANSAS CITY9-12-11010Loss,Over 1.7555120CHEN(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 19-18 (+3.0 Units) against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
21 of 34 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.3 Units)
Games this season
CLEVELAND is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

All games at CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 9-10 (+1.6 Units) against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
12 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.5 Units)
Games played at CLEVELAND this season.
CLEVELAND is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/3/2013MINNESOTA6+135 Over112190HERNANDEZ(L) 5.3584
 CLEVELAND7-1458.5 unWin1310100MASTERSON(R) 6.7582
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
KEVIN CORREIA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
CORREIA is 0-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
KEVIN CORREIA recent starts vs. CLEVELAND
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/17/2011at CLEVELAND1-5+1358Loss,UnderL5.7214132TOMLIN(R)

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
KAZMIR is 2-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.289.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (+0.0 units)
SCOTT KAZMIR recent starts vs. MINNESOTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/29/2009at MINNESOTA3-8-1208Loss,OverL4869044BLACKBURN(R)
9/20/2008MINNESOTA7-2-1508Win,OverW6005015SLOWEY(R)
4/13/2007at MINNESOTA4-2+1957.5Win,UnderW8226106SANTANA(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CLEVELAND in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1065, -169.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 53.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (157-138, +3.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CLEVELAND games 52.7% of the time since 1997. (1118-1004, +8.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CLEVELAND games 54.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (158-132, +12.7 units)
Edge=MINNESOTA
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (816-798, -90.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 41% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (73-105, -43.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CLEVELAND games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (803-814, -128.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CLEVELAND games 55.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (104-82, +11.7 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MINNESOTA
[P] 04/05/2013 - Cole De Vries 15-day DL (3/30) ( Forearm )
[RF] 04/17/2013 - Darin Mastroianni 15-day DL (4/16) ( Ankle )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Tim Wood 15-day DL (3/24) ( Shoulder )
CLEVELAND
[P] 04/02/2013 - Blake Wood 60-day DL (3/11) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/21/2013 - Brett Myers 15-day DL (4/20) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Frank Herrmann 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Josh Tomlin 60-day DL (2/15) ( Elbow )
[C] 04/28/2013 - Lou Marson 15-day DL (4/25) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 04/15/2013 - Michael Bourn 15-day DL (4/15) ( Finger )
[RF] 05/03/2013 - Nick Swisher probable Saturday vs. Minnesota Twins ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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