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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 4:05 PM
PITTSBURGH (56-38) AT CINCINNATI (54-42) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
903: PITTSBURGH
904: CINCINNATI
8.0
-137
56-38
54-42
40-52-2
46-47-3
3.8 / 3.4
4.4 / 3.7
(R) A BURNETT
(R) M LATOS
4-6
8-3
3.06
3.52
1.17
1.27
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 47   Wind: South at 3.5 MPH (3 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
PITTSBURGHBURNETT +130 
CINCINNATILATOS-130 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
PITTSBURGH team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games56-38+22.6207-211+19.11171-1509-111.140-52187-2131255-1292
when the total is 8 to 8.515-9+884-85+8456-582-29.99-1377-85490-513
as a road underdog of +125 to +1508-3+832-34+10153-252-39.37-431-32189-194
in road games24-20+11.194-112+12.2506-833-126.622-2199-95626-644
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.55-7+0.435-49-2.4175-294-42.35-638-41212-238
in July games5-8-5.134-30+2.3199-231-13.24-927-35197-211
when playing on Saturday9-6+239-29+13.2202-229+3.85-1025-40210-201
against division opponents25-16+10.9103-99+14549-700-42.416-2393-100577-599
in day games21-15+9.876-72+16364-510-69.119-1673-68422-413
in games played on a grass field56-38+22.6205-210+17.5956-1276-105.640-52186-2111025-1093
against right-handed starters46-29+22.5152-161+13.5872-1124-73.329-44138-160948-943
after a loss24-13+13.8109-100+25.6645-853-64.414-2292-110702-719
when playing against a team with a winning record20-20+4.584-101+9.1551-789-51.922-1789-87625-648
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season1-3-2.228-45-8.4241-392-54.41-335-35288-312

CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games54-42+0.4233-193+2.21325-1376-24.646-47193-2061263-1289
when the total is 8 to 8.527-19+1.3101-88-10.4404-433-20.920-2589-89396-410
as a home favorite of -125 to -1509-3+4.948-37-3.3181-159-367-541-40164-157
in home games31-16+5.9124-89+0.7686-665-81.223-23102-94663-613
at home when the total is 8 to 8.521-10+5.564-51-7.2215-219-34.115-1558-48228-191
in July games8-6-0.338-28+3.4212-225-14.45-828-33207-205
when playing on Saturday9-6+1.540-29+6.3223-218+8.77-733-31213-202
against division opponents24-18+0.2115-85+9633-626+9.618-2386-100589-590
in day games22-18-1.788-70+3.9462-485-10.720-1777-69443-442
in games played on a grass field54-42+0.4231-192+0.41094-1162-14.946-47193-2041043-1084
against right-handed starters36-28-1.6163-138-4.6952-994-15.333-30136-146917-917
after a win28-25-6.1117-116-26.2643-682-40.429-22102-111600-645
when playing against a team with a winning record18-23-8.787-94-11.4560-694-19.719-1982-86572-612
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season3-3+0.131-33-3.4245-340-28.93-230-28267-278
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
PITTSBURGH - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/6/2013MORTON(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)1-4L-1159 unU551760
7/7/2013BURNETT(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSVILLANUEVA(R)3-4L-1459 ovU992871
7/8/2013LOCKE(L)OAKLANDCOLON(R)1-2L+1057.5 unU9100331
7/9/2013COLE(R)OAKLANDSTRAILY(R)1-2L-1057.5 unU340540
7/10/2013LIRIANO(L)OAKLANDMILONE(L)5-0W-1407 evU1291551
7/12/2013MORTON(R)NY METSHEFNER(R)3-2W-1457.5 unU680970
7/13/2013BURNETT(R)NY METSTORRES(R)4-2W-1707.5 unU10808100
7/14/2013COLE(R)NY METSGEE(R)2-4L-1557.5 unU990962
7/19/2013LIRIANO(L)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R)3-5L-1107.5 evO1081860
7/20/2013BURNETT(R)@ CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
7/21/2013LOCKE(L)@ CINCINNATIBAILEY(R) 
7/22/2013MORTON(R)@ WASHINGTONHAREN(R) 
7/23/2013COLE(R)@ WASHINGTONJORDAN(R) 
7/24/2013LIRIANO(L)@ WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R) 
7/25/2013BURNETT(R)@ WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L) 
7/26/2013LOCKE(L)@ MIAMIALVAREZ(R) 
7/27/2013 @ MIAMI  

CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/6/2013LATOS(R)SEATTLEBONDERMAN(R)13-4W-2658.5 unO13808112
7/7/2013ARROYO(R)SEATTLESAUNDERS(L)1-3L-1808.5 ovU651651
7/8/2013BAILEY(R)@ MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)3-4L-1258 ovU11911190
7/9/2013CINGRANI(L)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)0-2L-1359 evU340440
7/10/2013LEAKE(R)@ MILWAUKEEHELLWEG(R)6-2W-1659 unU980441
7/11/2013LATOS(R)@ ATLANTAHUDSON(R)5-6L1007.5 unO10611183
7/12/2013ARROYO(R)@ ATLANTAMEDLEN(R)4-2W1207.5 unU1090430
7/13/2013BAILEY(R)@ ATLANTAMINOR(L)2-5L-1157 unP7601170
7/14/2013CINGRANI(L)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R)8-4W-1057.5 unO1181980
7/19/2013LEAKE(R)PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)5-3W+1007.5 evO8601081
7/20/2013LATOS(R)PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R) 
7/21/2013BAILEY(R)PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L) 
7/22/2013ARROYO(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R) 
7/23/2013CINGRANI(L)@ SAN FRANCISCOKICKHAM(L) 
7/23/2013CINGRANI(L)SAN FRANCISCOZITO(L) 
7/24/2013LEAKE(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOGAUDIN(R) 
7/25/2013LATOS(R)@ LA DODGERSGREINKE(R) 
7/26/2013 @ LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L) 
7/27/2013 @ LA DODGERS  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
PITTSBURGH - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games56-38+22.640-523.80.2430.3013.40.2260.295
Road Games24-20+11.122-214.00.2400.2993.70.2310.309
vs Right-handed Starters46-29+22.529-443.70.2400.3003.30.2210.290
Past 7 Games3-4-1.71-62.70.2460.3012.40.2060.273
Grass Games56-38+22.640-523.80.2430.3013.40.2260.295
Day Games21-15+9.819-164.10.2450.3043.60.2160.291
Division25-16+10.916-233.80.2400.3043.40.2160.282
PITTSBURGH - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.80.2430.301943188775266920.033422647866765671668159
Road Games4.00.2400.299441522365137530.031681284043230333313830
Righty Starters3.70.2400.300752521606208710.032662136285751857536848
PITTSBURGH - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.751.101333.31021022562811129421-1134979.1%
Road Games3.471.224150.3585812821561299-715575%

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games54-42+0.446-474.40.2500.3223.70.2350.293
Home Games31-16+5.923-234.70.2570.3253.50.2290.287
vs Right-handed Starters36-28-1.633-304.60.2510.3223.70.2410.298
Past 7 Games4-3+0.73-34.30.2600.3453.40.2380.295
Grass Games54-42+0.446-474.40.2500.3223.70.2350.293
Day Games22-18-1.720-174.80.2490.3294.00.2390.297
Division24-18+0.218-234.20.2410.3173.80.2470.304
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2500.322963267818275930.034013437442871792437041
Home Games4.70.2570.325471594410146510.032111613741534636173816
Righty Starters4.60.2510.322642168544180610.032832294992246662294332
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.431.221272.61111042202911328817-16261072.2%
Home Games3.371.171144.35954112175718311-813476.5%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
A.J. BURNETT recent results and season statistics
A.J. BURNETT - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.061.1704-6161006.23634768411107-9-4.85-11
Road Starts3.461.2482-3741.76.0171632420412-5-3.63-4
Last 3 Starts2.371.2111-03196.3651419162-1+0.61-2
A.J. BURNETT - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/13/2013NY METS4-2-1707.5Win,Under 5.7227048TORRES(R)
7/7/2013at CHICAGO CUBS3-4-1459Loss,Under 5213023VILLANUEVA(R)
6/8/2013at CHICAGO CUBS6-2+1007Win,OverW8.3224135SAMARDZIJA(R)

MAT LATOS recent results and season statistics
MAT LATOS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.521.2758-3191206.3534711793612712-7+1.912-7
Home Starts3.531.2755-18516.4212048517586-2+1.64-4
Last 3 Starts6.481.8601-2316.75.613122318271-2-12-1
MAT LATOS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/11/2013at ATLANTA5-6+1007.5Loss,OverL4669027HUDSON(R)
7/6/2013SEATTLE13-4-2658.5Win,OverW64461411BONDERMAN(R)
6/30/2013at TEXAS2-3+1358Loss,UnderL6.7328029DARVISH(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 23-21 (+8.3 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
25 of 38 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+10.0 Units)
Games this season
PITTSBURGH is 6-5 (+3.1 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.5 Units)

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 10-10 (+5.3 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)
Games played at CINCINNATI this season.
PITTSBURGH is 2-3 (+0.6 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
7/19/2013PITTSBURGH3-110 Over103181LIRIANO(L)L4.3554
 CINCINNATI5+1007.5 evWin81060LEAKE(R)W5.7362
6/20/2013PITTSBURGH5+185  101172CUMPTON(R) 5151
 CINCINNATI3-2008 ev 81151BAILEY(R) 6260
6/19/2013PITTSBURGH1+120 Under1000141LOCKE(L) 7043
 CINCINNATI2-1308 unWin1010100ARROYO(R) 7173
6/18/2013PITTSBURGH4+180  40360MORTON(R)W5.3030
 CINCINNATI0-1908.5 unUnder40060LATOS(R)L5333
6/17/2013PITTSBURGH1+110 Under70091LIRIANO(L)L6252
 CINCINNATI4-1208 unWin84050LEAKE(R)W7161
6/2/2013CINCINNATI4-115 Over900103LATOS(R) 6122
 PITTSBURGH5+1057.5 ovWin62182GOMEZ(R) 1441
6/1/2013CINCINNATI2+115  80080LEAKE(R)W6071
 PITTSBURGH0-1257.5 unUnder1000100LIRIANO(L)L6141
5/31/2013CINCINNATI6-110  821120CUETO(R)W8011
 PITTSBURGH0+1007 ovUnder10020RODRIGUEZ(L)L7253
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
A.J. BURNETT vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
BURNETT is 5-5 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.315.
His team's record is 8-5 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-5. (+1.7 units)
A.J. BURNETT recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/12/2013CINCINNATI6-5-1107.5Win,Over 6336138LEAKE(R)
9/28/2012CINCINNATI0-1+1057Loss,UnderL8117015BAILEY(R)
9/12/2012at CINCINNATI1-2+1257.5Loss,UnderL6225028BAILEY(R)

MAT LATOS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LATOS is 4-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.107.
His team's record is 6-3 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.6 units)
MAT LATOS recent starts vs. PITTSBURGH
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/18/2013PITTSBURGH0-4-1908.5Loss,UnderL5333039MORTON(R)
6/2/2013at PITTSBURGH4-5-1157.5Loss,Over 6212127GOMEZ(R)
4/14/2013at PITTSBURGH7-10-1557.5Loss,Over 6.7339116IRWIN(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring PITTSBURGH in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1049, 2.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 51.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (183-170, -11.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (1104-1111, -112.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (171-186, -34.2 units)
Edge=CINCINNATI
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (819-809, -105.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 49.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (111-112, -13.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (862-787, -32.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (135-121, -0.4 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
PITTSBURGH
[P] 07/12/2013 - James McDonald 60-day DL (5/1) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/08/2013 - Jared Hughes 15-day DL (6/6) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Jeff Karstens 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/11/2013 - Wandy Rodriguez 15-day DL (6/6) ( Forearm )
[P] 05/29/2013 - Jose Contreras 15-day DL (5/28) ( Back )
[2B] 07/09/2013 - Neil Walker 15-day DL (7/6) ( Side )
[P] 07/14/2013 - Jeff Locke "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Back )
CINCINNATI
[P] 06/15/2013 - Jonathan Broxton 15-day DL (6/14) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/24/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (5/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/28/2013 - Johnny Cueto 15-day DL (6/29) ( Side )
[C] 07/11/2013 - Ryan Hanigan 15-day DL (7/10) ( Wrist )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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