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Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 7:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO (39-44) AT CINCINNATI (48-36) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
957: SAN FRANCISCO
958: CINCINNATI
8.5
-175
39-44
48-36
43-38-2
42-40-2
4.0 / 4.4
4.4 / 3.7
(L) B ZITO
(L) T CINGRANI
4-6
3-0
4.53
3.15
1.60
0.98
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 47   Wind: South at 3.5 MPH (3 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
SAN FRANCISCOZITO +204 
CINCINNATICINGRANI-204 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
SAN FRANCISCO team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after a loss17-25-10.5101-90+0.6667-601+37.320-2191-93616-588
when playing against a team with a winning record23-20+297-88+8.8653-643+38.326-1698-81636-602
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season0-2-240-40+0.8333-321+33.21-142-36320-308
in all games39-44-10.7231-194+10.41466-1267+104.343-38210-1991316-1287
when the total is 8 to 8.57-6+1.532-30+3.4487-447+5.36-638-23466-434
as a road underdog of +150 to +1751-3-1.56-6+3.454-78+8.11-34-861-67
as a road underdog of +175 to +2000-3-33-5+0.523-40+2.92-14-432-28
in road games15-29-14.2107-108+0.9668-701+25.524-20119-90689-620
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.56-6+0.529-27+3.9208-236-11.26-635-21232-200
in July games0-2-227-25-0.4219-204+81-129-22204-202
when playing on Wednesday5-8-4.335-31+0.1225-196+13.16-734-31201-199
in games played on a grass field39-42-8.5231-192+12.61403-1207+100.841-38208-1991244-1239
in night games21-28-9.8151-118+17.3938-772+122.330-18137-122816-808
against left-handed starters13-13-0.779-50+27.4393-338+42.510-1456-68332-362
after getting shut out4-2+2.417-10+5.779-52+22.22-314-1267-59

CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games48-36+2.7227-187+4.51319-1370-22.342-40189-1991259-1282
when the total is 8 to 8.525-16+4.399-85-7.4402-430-17.919-2188-85395-406
as a home favorite of -175 to -2003-3-2.716-10-2.443-30-12.23-213-1039-29
in home games28-14+6.6121-87+1.5683-663-80.421-20100-91661-610
at home when the total is 8 to 8.519-8+7.262-49-5.5213-217-32.314-1257-45227-188
in July games2-0+232-22+5.7206-219-12.11-124-26203-198
when playing on Wednesday8-6+1.136-31-0.8190-225-29.26-825-39190-202
in games played on a grass field48-36+2.7225-186+2.71088-1156-12.642-40189-1971039-1077
in night games29-20+4.4142-119+0.6855-884-1524-25114-132815-837
against left-handed starters16-12+368-53+7.7371-380-8.312-1556-58345-370
after shutting out their opponent3-5-3.311-15-859-69-11.56-211-1250-73
after a win26-21-2.2115-112-22.3641-678-36.527-19100-108598-642
when playing against a team with a losing record29-12+11.6129-87+12689-606-0.622-1998-104608-610
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season2-0+266-41+12385-308+31.91-143-52318-324
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
SAN FRANCISCO - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/19/2013BUMGARNER(L)SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)4-2W-1607 unU1171450
6/20/2013GAUDIN(R)MIAMIKOEHLER(R)1-2L-1707.5 unU441540
6/21/2013LINCECUM(R)MIAMINOLASCO(R)3-6L-1407 unO1191970
6/22/2013ZITO(L)MIAMITURNER(R)2-1W-1457.5 evU10801091
6/23/2013CAIN(R)MIAMIEOVALDI(R)2-7L-1957 unO8511040
6/24/2013BUMGARNER(L)@ LA DODGERSRYU(L)1-3L-1056.5 unU8101650
6/25/2013KICKHAM(L)@ LA DODGERSFIFE(R)5-6L1157.5 ovO10621150
6/26/2013LINCECUM(R)@ LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)2-4L1806.5 ovU5421271
6/28/2013ZITO(L)@ COLORADOCHACIN(R)1-4L13010.5 ovU47113120
6/29/2013CAIN(R)@ COLORADODE LA ROSA(L)1-2L-1109.5 unU762450
6/30/2013BUMGARNER(L)@ COLORADOPOMERANZ(L)5-2W-1259.5 unU12110781
7/1/2013KICKHAM(L)@ CINCINNATIARROYO(R)1-8L1458.5 evO2201140
7/2/2013LINCECUM(R)@ CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)0-3L1658.5 unU011780
7/3/2013ZITO(L)@ CINCINNATICINGRANI(L) 
7/4/2013CAIN(R)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R) 
7/5/2013BUMGARNER(L)LA DODGERSRYU(L) 
7/6/2013GAUDIN(R)LA DODGERSFIFE(R) 
7/7/2013LINCECUM(R)LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L) 
7/8/2013ZITO(L)NY METSHARVEY(R) 
7/9/2013CAIN(R)NY METSGEE(R) 
7/10/2013 NY METS  

CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/19/2013ARROYO(R)PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L)2-1W-1308 unU1010010141
6/20/2013BAILEY(R)PITTSBURGHCUMPTON(R)3-5L-2008 evP8511072
6/21/2013CUETO(R)@ ARIZONAMILEY(L)5-11L-1158 unO9911571
6/22/2013LEAKE(R)@ ARIZONACORBIN(L)3-4L1108 unU460651
6/23/2013LATOS(R)@ ARIZONADELGADO(R)4-2W-1408.5 evU861891
6/25/2013ARROYO(R)@ OAKLANDMILONE(L)3-7L1407.5 evO10110740
6/26/2013BAILEY(R)@ OAKLANDGRIFFIN(R)0-5L1107.5 ovU240851
6/28/2013CUETO(R)@ TEXASPEREZ(L)0-4L1059.5 unU870780
6/29/2013LEAKE(R)@ TEXASTEPESCH(R)6-4W-1059.5 ovO1193561
6/30/2013LATOS(R)@ TEXASDARVISH(R)2-3L1358 evU681890
7/1/2013ARROYO(R)SAN FRANCISCOKICKHAM(L)8-1W-1558.5 evO1140220
7/2/2013BAILEY(R)SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R)3-0W-1758.5 unU780011
7/3/2013CINGRANI(L)SAN FRANCISCOZITO(L) 
7/4/2013LEAKE(R)SAN FRANCISCOCAIN(R) 
7/5/2013LATOS(R)SEATTLEHARANG(R) 
7/6/2013ARROYO(R)SEATTLEBONDERMAN(R) 
7/7/2013BAILEY(R)SEATTLESAUNDERS(L) 
7/8/2013CINGRANI(L)@ MILWAUKEELOHSE(R) 
7/9/2013LEAKE(R)@ MILWAUKEEHAND(R) 
7/10/2013 @ MILWAUKEE  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
SAN FRANCISCO - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games39-44-10.643-384.00.2660.3184.40.2530.316
Road Games15-29-14.224-204.00.2560.3045.10.2720.331
vs Left-handed Starters13-13-0.710-144.50.2870.3293.60.2370.297
Past 7 Games1-6-5.12-52.10.1860.2424.10.2900.335
Grass Games39-42-8.541-384.00.2650.3174.20.2490.312
Night Games21-28-9.930-184.30.2680.3134.90.2650.328
SAN FRANCISCO - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.00.2660.318832835753227570.023142165313857579596959
Road Games4.00.2560.304441511387111290.021601043041829244363433
Lefty Starters4.50.2870.3292691426280170.0210958160517730242312
SAN FRANCISCO - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.101.305246.79085230189222614-1320969%
Road Games3.411.371124494711912511164-711568.8%

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games48-36+2.742-404.40.2490.3203.70.2360.292
Home Games28-14+6.621-204.70.2580.3273.50.2310.285
vs Left-handed Starters16-12+312-154.00.2520.3253.60.2220.280
Past 7 Games3-4-13-43.10.2440.3093.40.1780.253
Grass Games48-36+2.742-404.40.2490.3203.70.2360.292
Night Games29-20+4.424-254.20.2510.3163.40.2330.288
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2490.320842867714240870.033503016642563278395937
Home Games4.70.2580.327421423367129480.031871453391431132163115
Lefty Starters4.00.2520.3252896424384300.0310710421652232713228
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.801.2702371071002002610125115-16241070.6%
Home Games3.871.194125.75954103174715810-812475%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
BARRY ZITO recent results and season statistics
BARRY ZITO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.531.5984-61691.45.75446112734598-8+0.17-9
Road Starts10.402.4570-5627.74.6403258410220-6-64-2
Last 3 Starts3.501.6110-13186.0772237161-2-11-2
BARRY ZITO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/28/2013at COLORADO1-4+13010.5Loss,UnderL5.34410223CHACIN(R)
6/22/2013MIAMI2-1-1457.5Win,Under 7116125TURNER(R)
6/17/2013SAN DIEGO3-5-1057.5Loss,Over 5.7226038VOLQUEZ(R)

TONY CINGRANI recent results and season statistics
TONY CINGRANI - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games3.421.1213-01247.3-18183681757---
All Starts3.150.9753-07405.7141429810465-2+2.34-2
Home Starts2.811.2501-03165.3551545212-1+0.31-2
Last 3 Starts3.941.1871-03165.3771445132-1+12-1
TONY CINGRANI - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/11/2013at CHICAGO CUBS12-2-1308.5Win,OverW7224115GARZA(R)
5/17/2013at PHILADELPHIA3-5+1107Loss,Over 5335124LEE(L)
5/10/2013MILWAUKEE4-3-1507.5Win,Under 4225224GALLARDO(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 13-8 (+5.1 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
10 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-1.2 Units)
Games this season
CINCINNATI is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 7-4 (+1.8 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)
Games played at CINCINNATI this season.
CINCINNATI is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
7/2/2013SAN FRANCISCO0+165 Under00011LINCECUM(R)L5.3362
 CINCINNATI3-1758.5 unWin71180BAILEY(R)W9001
7/1/2013SAN FRANCISCO1+145 Over21020KICKHAM(L)L2.7790
 CINCINNATI8-1558.5 evWin111040ARROYO(R)W6121
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
BARRY ZITO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
ZITO is 3-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 6.23 and a WHIP of 1.566.
His team's record is 6-6 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-4. (+3.9 units)
BARRY ZITO recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/10/2012at CINCINNATI8-3+1358Win,Over 2.7224144LEAKE(R)
6/30/2012CINCINNATI1-2+1157.5Loss,UnderL6115063LATOS(R)
4/25/2012at CINCINNATI2-4+1158.5Loss,Under 6115124ARROYO(R)

TONY CINGRANI vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.
TONY CINGRANI recent starts vs. SAN FRANCISCO
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1073, -24.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 49% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (176-183, -26.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (1099-1107, -113.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (166-182, -34.9 units)
Edge=SAN FRANCISCO
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (829-782, -67.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 50.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (113-111, -10.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (859-783, -31.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (132-117, +1.5 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
SAN FRANCISCO
[CF] 06/07/2013 - Angel Pagan 15-day DL (5/28) ( Hamstring )
[P] 06/25/2013 - Chad Gaudin 15-day DL (6/23) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/21/2013 - Ryan Vogelsong 60-day DL (5/20) ( Hand )
[P] 05/21/2013 - Santiago Casilla 15-day DL (5/21) ( Knee )
CINCINNATI
[P] 06/28/2013 - Johnny Cueto 15-day DL (6/29) ( Side )
[P] 06/15/2013 - Jonathan Broxton 15-day DL (6/13) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/24/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (5/21) ( Shoulder )
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