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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:10 PM
ST LOUIS (64-44) AT CINCINNATI (60-50) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
909: ST LOUIS
910: CINCINNATI
8.5
-165
64-44
60-50
54-51-3
51-55-4
4.9 / 3.6
4.3 / 3.6
(R) J WESTBROOK
(L) T CINGRANI
7-5
4-1
3.18
2.69
1.39
0.98
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 47   Wind: South at 3.5 MPH (3 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ST LOUISWESTBROOK +138 
CINCINNATICINGRANI-138 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ST LOUIS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games64-44+6.3261-204+81521-1271-0.354-51235-2141332-1324
when the total is 8 to 8.525-20-2111-83+10543-424+37.924-19100-89467-468
as a road underdog of +125 to +1503-3+111-13+1.893-122+2.12-49-14106-98
in road games32-27+1.8125-114+4.8698-705-23.131-26127-104695-646
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.511-11-1.851-48-0.1234-222+8.712-953-43244-200
in August games2-0+233-26-1.4252-202-0.52-030-26207-219
when playing on Saturday10-8-0.436-36-7.4246-207+6.912-640-30215-213
against division opponents24-16+3.2117-86+3.4696-570-33.421-19102-94602-606
in games played on a grass field64-44+6.3260-202+8.81457-1193+17.254-51234-2121266-1258
in night games43-30+2.9178-133+14.6972-835-28.534-36153-146860-854
against left-handed starters11-15-9.567-59-5.8402-379-59.614-1168-54364-377
after a win33-29-6.8138-120-16809-698-56.632-28123-126711-719
when playing against a team with a winning record22-22-5.496-96-13.4627-601-4.324-2099-86569-592
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season2-7-5.657-49+7.5340-311+31.34-552-50291-328

CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games60-50-2.9239-201-1.11331-1384-27.951-55198-2141268-1297
when the total is 8 to 8.528-22-1.1102-91-12.8405-436-23.322-2791-91398-412
as a home favorite of -150 to -17512-4+5.532-19+1.9107-90-36.25-1121-27102-86
in home games32-19+3.5125-92-1.7687-668-83.625-25104-96665-615
at home when the total is 8 to 8.522-13+3.165-54-9.6216-222-36.417-1760-50230-193
in August games0-1-133-26+2.3225-230+7.71-030-23224-204
when playing on Saturday10-7+1.541-30+6.3224-219+8.78-834-32214-203
against division opponents25-20-1.2116-87+7.6634-628+8.220-2488-101591-591
in games played on a grass field60-50-2.9237-200-2.91100-1170-18.251-55198-2121048-1092
in night games35-30-1.8148-129-5.6861-894-21.329-35119-142820-847
against right-handed starters40-31-1.5167-141-4.5956-997-15.237-32140-148921-919
after allowing 10 runs or more2-3-113-9+5.1119-118+12.43-210-11115-112
after a loss29-20+5.8117-80+25.5681-693+16.519-2992-98662-643
when playing against a team with a winning record20-28-12.289-99-14.8562-699-23.221-2384-90574-616
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season5-8-3.433-38-6.9247-345-32.35-632-32269-282
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ST LOUIS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/20/2013LYNN(R)SAN DIEGOVOLQUEZ(R)3-5L-2108.5 ovU430990
7/21/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)3-2W-2407.5 unU8601071
7/23/2013MILLER(R)PHILADELPHIAPETTIBONE(R)4-1W-2208.5 unU11100760
7/24/2013WESTBROOK(R)PHILADELPHIALANNAN(L)11-3W-1658 ovO16111960
7/25/2013LYNN(R)PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R)3-1W-1807.5 unU540771
7/26/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)@ ATLANTAMINOR(L)1-4L-1157 ovU441840
7/27/2013KELLY(R)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R)0-2L1208.5 unU2309100
7/28/2013MILLER(R)@ ATLANTAMEDLEN(R)2-5L-1107.5 unU8421280
7/29/2013WESTBROOK(R)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)2-9L1407 ovO770970
7/30/2013LYNN(R)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R)1-2L1357 unU6926101
7/30/2013LYONS(L)@ PITTSBURGHCUMPTON(R)0-6L-1208.5 unU3711192
7/31/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L)4-5L-1157 unO131101031
8/1/2013KELLY(R)@ PITTSBURGHMORTON(R)13-0W1007.5 evO17100581
8/2/2013MILLER(R)@ CINCINNATIARROYO(R)13-3W-1058 unO1490650
8/3/2013WESTBROOK(R)@ CINCINNATICINGRANI(L) 
8/4/2013LYNN(R)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R) 
8/5/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L) 
8/6/2013KELLY(R)LA DODGERSNOLASCO(R) 
8/7/2013MILLER(R)LA DODGERSRYU(L) 
8/8/2013WESTBROOK(R)LA DODGERSCAPUANO(L) 
8/9/2013LYNN(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R) 
8/10/2013 CHICAGO CUBS  

CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/20/2013LATOS(R)PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R)5-4W-1358 unO10938121
7/21/2013BAILEY(R)PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L)2-3L-1358 unU360770
7/22/2013ARROYO(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R)11-0W1107 unO1760751
7/23/2013CINGRANI(L)@ SAN FRANCISCOSURKAMP(L)9-3W-1307.5 ovO1560880
7/23/2013REYNOLDS(R)SAN FRANCISCOZITO(L)3-5L+1058.5 unU10140962
7/24/2013LEAKE(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOGAUDIN(R)8-3W-1207.5 unO1310215151
7/25/2013LATOS(R)@ LA DODGERSGREINKE(R)5-2W1007 unP1061980
7/26/2013BAILEY(R)@ LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)1-2L1656.5 unU640750
7/27/2013ARROYO(R)@ LA DODGERSRYU(L)1-4L1107.5 unU2201050
7/28/2013CINGRANI(L)@ LA DODGERSCAPUANO(L)0-1L-1057.5 unU350550
7/29/2013LEAKE(R)@ SAN DIEGOO'SULLIVAN(R)1-2L-1357.5 unU7101560
7/30/2013LATOS(R)@ SAN DIEGOVOLQUEZ(R)2-4L-1607 evU5801080
7/31/2013BAILEY(R)@ SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)4-1W-1307 unU1191641
8/2/2013ARROYO(R)ST LOUISMILLER(R)3-13L-1058 unO6501490
8/3/2013CINGRANI(L)ST LOUISWESTBROOK(R) 
8/4/2013LEAKE(R)ST LOUISLYNN(R) 
8/6/2013LATOS(R)OAKLANDSTRAILY(R) 
8/7/2013BAILEY(R)OAKLANDCOLON(R) 
8/9/2013ARROYO(R)SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R) 
8/10/2013 SAN DIEGO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ST LOUIS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games64-44+6.354-514.90.2740.3313.60.2470.301
Road Games32-27+1.831-265.10.2680.3263.80.2600.314
vs Left-handed Starters11-15-9.514-114.10.2550.3114.10.2580.311
Past 7 Games2-5-3.44-35.00.2630.3234.30.2570.324
Grass Games64-44+6.354-514.90.2740.3313.60.2470.301
Night Games43-30+2.934-365.10.2820.3393.60.2380.290
Division24-16+3.221-195.00.2780.3343.50.2490.305
ST LOUIS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.90.2740.33110837041014309860.02507316731287321184812724
Road Games5.10.2680.326592087560178490.022871804541440765297215
Lefty Starters4.10.2550.3112689322872170.0210372181101862212333
ST LOUIS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.671.264289.712511827723892719-14321174.4%
Road Games2.961.196161.3575315013431445-713668.4%

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games60-50-2.951-554.30.2500.3203.60.2380.294
Home Games32-19+3.525-254.60.2550.3243.70.2320.291
vs Right-handed Starters40-31-1.537-324.60.2540.3263.80.2440.302
Past 7 Games1-6-61-61.70.1780.2423.90.2500.308
Grass Games60-50-2.951-554.30.2500.3203.60.2380.294
Night Games35-30-1.829-354.00.2510.3163.50.2390.296
Division25-20-1.220-244.10.2390.3164.00.2480.308
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2500.32011037439373171040.0345238685933817104517848
Home Games4.60.2550.324511724439153520.032221784181538039203818
Righty Starters4.60.2540.326712409613204670.033162565532552070364734
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.501.224306.31271192493412632917-19291172.5%
Home Games3.421.179160.36661123206620111-814477.8%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JAKE WESTBROOK recent results and season statistics
JAKE WESTBROOK - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.181.3937-51593.36.2383394436348-7+0.511-4
Road Starts4.761.7062-59515.7312761326203-6-3.67-2
Last 3 Starts4.421.4732-1318.36.199211652-1+13-0
JAKE WESTBROOK - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/29/2013at PITTSBURGH2-9+1407Loss,OverL5444132LIRIANO(L)
7/24/2013PHILADELPHIA11-3-1658Win,OverW7339002LANNAN(L)
7/19/2013SAN DIEGO9-6-1909Win,OverW6.3228031MARQUIS(R)

TONY CINGRANI recent results and season statistics
TONY CINGRANI - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games2.901.0684-11877.7-262553103090---
All Starts2.690.9814-11270.35.92221461023798-4+2.96-5
Home Starts2.911.2921-0421.75.4771959263-1+1.31-3
Last 3 Starts1.530.9621-0317.75.9431007182-1+12-1
TONY CINGRANI - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/28/2013at LA DODGERS0-1-1057.5Loss,Under 70010111CAPUANO(L)
7/23/2013at SAN FRANCISCO9-3-1307.5Win,OverW6.7225032SURKAMP(L)
7/14/2013at ATLANTA8-4-1057.5Win,Over 4214035TEHERAN(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 19-21 (-0.5 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
19 of 39 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-2.6 Units, Under=-2.1 Units)
Games this season
ST LOUIS is 7-3 (+3.7 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 11-8 (+2.7 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.5 Units)
Games played at CINCINNATI this season.
ST LOUIS is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
8/2/2013ST LOUIS13-105  143090MILLER(R)W5353
 CINCINNATI3-1058 unOver61050ARROYO(R)L3.7781
6/9/2013ST LOUIS11-115  142081LYNN(R) 6453
 CINCINNATI4+1058 unOver60060ARROYO(R) 6261
6/8/2013ST LOUIS2+140 Under90091LYONS(L)L5.3461
 CINCINNATI4-1508.5 unWin102070LATOS(R)W7280
6/7/2013ST LOUIS9-125  160071WAINWRIGHT(R)W7271
 CINCINNATI2+1158 unOver80070LEAKE(R)L5361
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JAKE WESTBROOK vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
WESTBROOK is 4-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.41 and a WHIP of 1.311.
His team's record is 4-6 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.4 units)
JAKE WESTBROOK recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/10/2013CINCINNATI10-0+1108.5Win,OverW9005043BAILEY(R)
7/15/2012at CINCINNATI2-4+1009Loss,UnderL7.3449015BAILEY(R)
4/9/2012at CINCINNATI7-1+1009Win,UnderW7103042BAILEY(R)

TONY CINGRANI vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.
TONY CINGRANI recent starts vs. ST LOUIS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1118, -72.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 53.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (209-180, +12.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 50% of the time since 1997. (1112-1114, -107.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (179-189, -29.6 units)
Edge=ST LOUIS
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (871-886, -139.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (138-139, -18.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (870-792, -31.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (143-126, +1.6 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ST LOUIS
[CF] 07/31/2013 - Shane Robinson 15-day DL (7/31) ( Shoulder )
[C] 07/31/2013 - Yadier Molina 15-day DL (7/30) ( Knee )
[P] 05/26/2013 - John Gast 15-day DL (5/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/18/2013 - Jaime Garcia 60-day DL (5/18), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Jason Motte 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Elbow )
[SS] 03/31/2013 - Rafael Furcal 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Chris Carpenter 60-day DL (2/22) ( Shoulder )
CINCINNATI
[C] 07/11/2013 - Ryan Hanigan 15-day DL (7/10) ( Wrist )
[P] 06/28/2013 - Johnny Cueto 15-day DL (6/29) ( Side )
[P] 06/15/2013 - Jonathan Broxton 15-day DL (6/14) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/24/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (5/21) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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