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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 1:10 PM
ST LOUIS (64-45) AT CINCINNATI (61-50) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
951: ST LOUIS
952: CINCINNATI
8.5
-129
64-45
61-50
55-51-3
52-55-4
4.9 / 3.6
4.3 / 3.6
(R) L LYNN
(R) M LEAKE
12-5
10-4
3.87
2.59
1.26
1.17
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 47   Wind: South at 3.5 MPH (3 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ST LOUISLYNN +105 
CINCINNATILEAKE-105 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ST LOUIS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games64-45+5.3261-205+71521-1272-1.355-51236-2141333-1324
when the total is 8 to 8.525-21-3111-84+9543-425+36.925-19101-89468-468
as a road underdog of +100 to +1259-6+3.635-29+9.2174-172+20.68-734-27163-168
in road games32-28+0.8125-115+3.8698-706-24.132-26128-104696-646
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.511-12-2.851-49-1.1234-223+7.713-954-43245-200
in August games2-1+133-27-2.4252-203-1.53-031-26208-219
when playing on Sunday8-9-4.442-34+1.5246-198+11.610-736-37226-197
against division opponents24-17+2.2117-87+2.4696-571-34.422-19103-94603-606
in day games21-14+3.483-71-6.6545-429+31.620-1582-68467-465
in games played on a grass field64-45+5.3260-203+7.81457-1194+16.255-51235-2121267-1258
against right-handed starters53-29+15.8194-145+13.71119-892+59.340-40167-160968-947
after a loss31-14+14.1122-82+25.2710-567+6222-22111-86618-600
when playing against a team with a winning record22-23-6.496-97-14.4627-602-5.325-20100-86570-592
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season2-8-6.657-50+6.5340-312+30.35-553-50292-328

CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games61-50-1.9240-201-0.11332-1384-26.952-55199-2141269-1297
when the total is 8 to 8.529-22-0.1103-91-11.8406-436-22.323-2792-91399-412
as a home favorite of -125 to -15010-4+4.649-38-3.6182-160-36.38-642-41165-158
in home games33-19+4.5126-92-0.7688-668-82.626-25105-96666-615
at home when the total is 8 to 8.523-13+4.166-54-8.6217-222-35.418-1761-50231-193
in August games1-1-0.134-26+3.4226-230+8.72-031-23225-204
when playing on Sunday8-9-4.240-30+3.4200-230-34.68-834-30200-198
against division opponents26-20-0.2117-87+8.6635-628+9.221-2489-101592-591
in day games25-20-1.191-72+4.5465-487-10.122-2079-72445-445
in games played on a grass field61-50-1.9238-200-1.91101-1170-17.252-55199-2121049-1092
against right-handed starters41-31-0.5168-141-3.5957-997-14.238-32141-148922-919
after a win31-29-7.5120-120-27.6646-686-41.832-25105-114603-648
when playing against a team with a winning record21-28-11.290-99-13.8563-699-22.222-2385-90575-616
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season6-8-2.434-38-5.9248-345-31.36-633-32270-282
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ST LOUIS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/21/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)3-2W-2407.5 unU8601071
7/23/2013MILLER(R)PHILADELPHIAPETTIBONE(R)4-1W-2208.5 unU11100760
7/24/2013WESTBROOK(R)PHILADELPHIALANNAN(L)11-3W-1658 ovO16111960
7/25/2013LYNN(R)PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R)3-1W-1807.5 unU540771
7/26/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)@ ATLANTAMINOR(L)1-4L-1157 ovU441840
7/27/2013KELLY(R)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R)0-2L1208.5 unU2309100
7/28/2013MILLER(R)@ ATLANTAMEDLEN(R)2-5L-1107.5 unU8421280
7/29/2013WESTBROOK(R)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)2-9L1407 ovO770970
7/30/2013LYNN(R)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R)1-2L1357 unU6926101
7/30/2013LYONS(L)@ PITTSBURGHCUMPTON(R)0-6L-1208.5 unU3711192
7/31/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L)4-5L-1157 unO131101031
8/1/2013KELLY(R)@ PITTSBURGHMORTON(R)13-0W1007.5 evO17100581
8/2/2013MILLER(R)@ CINCINNATIARROYO(R)13-3W-1058 unO1490650
8/3/2013WESTBROOK(R)@ CINCINNATICINGRANI(L)3-8L1558.5 unO4619100
8/4/2013LYNN(R)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R) 
8/5/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)LA DODGERSGREINKE(R) 
8/6/2013KELLY(R)LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L) 
8/7/2013MILLER(R)LA DODGERSNOLASCO(R) 
8/8/2013WESTBROOK(R)LA DODGERSRYU(L) 
8/9/2013LYNN(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R) 
8/10/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)CHICAGO CUBSVILLANUEVA(R) 
8/11/2013 CHICAGO CUBS  

CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/21/2013BAILEY(R)PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L)2-3L-1358 unU360770
7/22/2013ARROYO(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R)11-0W1107 unO1760751
7/23/2013CINGRANI(L)@ SAN FRANCISCOSURKAMP(L)9-3W-1307.5 ovO1560880
7/23/2013REYNOLDS(R)SAN FRANCISCOZITO(L)3-5L+1058.5 unU10140962
7/24/2013LEAKE(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOGAUDIN(R)8-3W-1207.5 unO1310215151
7/25/2013LATOS(R)@ LA DODGERSGREINKE(R)5-2W1007 unP1061980
7/26/2013BAILEY(R)@ LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)1-2L1656.5 unU640750
7/27/2013ARROYO(R)@ LA DODGERSRYU(L)1-4L1107.5 unU2201050
7/28/2013CINGRANI(L)@ LA DODGERSCAPUANO(L)0-1L-1057.5 unU350550
7/29/2013LEAKE(R)@ SAN DIEGOO'SULLIVAN(R)1-2L-1357.5 unU7101560
7/30/2013LATOS(R)@ SAN DIEGOVOLQUEZ(R)2-4L-1607 evU5801080
7/31/2013BAILEY(R)@ SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)4-1W-1307 unU1191641
8/2/2013ARROYO(R)ST LOUISMILLER(R)3-13L-1058 unO6501490
8/3/2013CINGRANI(L)ST LOUISWESTBROOK(R)8-3W-1658.5 unO9100461
8/4/2013LEAKE(R)ST LOUISLYNN(R) 
8/6/2013LATOS(R)OAKLANDSTRAILY(R) 
8/7/2013BAILEY(R)OAKLANDCOLON(R) 
8/9/2013ARROYO(R)SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R) 
8/10/2013CINGRANI(L)SAN DIEGOROSS(R) 
8/11/2013 SAN DIEGO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ST LOUIS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games64-45+5.355-514.90.2730.3303.60.2480.302
Road Games32-28+0.832-265.00.2660.3253.80.2600.316
vs Right-handed Starters53-29+15.840-405.20.2800.3373.40.2440.298
Past 7 Games2-5-3.45-25.10.2490.3204.70.2460.331
Grass Games64-45+5.355-514.90.2730.3303.60.2480.302
Day Games21-14+3.420-154.50.2570.3133.60.2660.322
Division24-17+2.222-195.00.2750.3323.70.2490.308
ST LOUIS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.90.2730.33010937341018312860.02510321744287381184912724
Road Games5.00.2660.325602117564181490.022901854671441365307215
Righty Starters5.20.2800.337822811786237690.024042445501854696369421
ST LOUIS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.721.278292.712812128225922759-14321174.4%
Road Games3.071.223164.3605615515461485-713668.4%

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games61-50-1.952-554.30.2510.3213.60.2370.294
Home Games33-19+4.526-254.70.2550.3263.70.2300.290
vs Right-handed Starters41-31-0.538-324.70.2550.3273.80.2430.301
Past 7 Games2-5-42-52.70.1900.2774.00.2350.304
Grass Games61-50-1.952-554.30.2510.3213.60.2370.294
Day Games25-20-1.122-204.70.2490.3263.80.2350.292
Division26-20-0.221-244.20.2400.3193.90.2460.307
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2510.32111137769463211070.0346039486833827104517848
Home Games4.70.2550.326521757448157550.032301864271539039203818
Righty Starters4.70.2550.327722442622208700.033242645622553070364734
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.451.208310.31271192493412633517-19291172.5%
Home Games3.341.150164.36661123206620711-814477.8%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
LANCE LYNN recent results and season statistics
LANCE LYNN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.871.25912-5221356.1585812075012914-8+3.49-12
Road Starts5.201.3754-411645.8373763625655-6-1.95-6
Last 3 Starts3.001.2781-13186.0661409141-2-2.10-3
LANCE LYNN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/30/2013at PITTSBURGH1-2+1357Loss,Under 6113027BURNETT(R)
7/25/2013PHILADELPHIA3-1-1807.5Win,UnderW7115046KENDRICK(R)
7/20/2013SAN DIEGO3-5-2108.5Loss,UnderL5446031VOLQUEZ(R)

MIKE LEAKE recent results and season statistics
MIKE LEAKE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.591.17210-421135.76.5443912714328313-8+3.211-10
Home Starts3.471.1403-39576.32322531112425-4-0.66-3
Last 3 Starts1.931.5002-0318.76.2442236122-1+0.62-1
MIKE LEAKE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/29/2013at SAN DIEGO1-2-1357.5Loss,Under 7004025O'SULLIVAN(R)
7/24/2013at SAN FRANCISCO8-3-1207.5Win,OverW61112022GAUDIN(R)
7/19/2013PITTSBURGH5-3+1007.5Win,OverW5.7336325LIRIANO(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 20-21 (+0.6 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
20 of 40 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.6 Units, Under=-3.3 Units)
Games this season
ST LOUIS is 7-4 (+2.7 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 12-8 (+3.7 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.5 Units)
Games played at CINCINNATI this season.
ST LOUIS is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
8/3/2013ST LOUIS3+155 Over40061WESTBROOK(R)L5545
 CINCINNATI8-1658.5 unWin930100CINGRANI(L)W5345
8/2/2013ST LOUIS13-105  143090MILLER(R)W5353
 CINCINNATI3-1058 unOver61050ARROYO(R)L3.7781
6/9/2013ST LOUIS11-115  142081LYNN(R) 6453
 CINCINNATI4+1058 unOver60060ARROYO(R) 6261
6/8/2013ST LOUIS2+140 Under90091LYONS(L)L5.3461
 CINCINNATI4-1508.5 unWin102070LATOS(R)W7280
6/7/2013ST LOUIS9-125  160071WAINWRIGHT(R)W7271
 CINCINNATI2+1158 unOver80070LEAKE(R)L5361
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
LANCE LYNN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LYNN is 2-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.29 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)
LANCE LYNN recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/9/2013at CINCINNATI11-4-1158Win,Over 6445036ARROYO(R)
5/1/2013CINCINNATI4-2-1157Win,UnderW7115025BAILEY(R)
4/9/2013CINCINNATI5-1-1158.5Win,UnderW61140110ARROYO(R)

MIKE LEAKE vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LEAKE is 2-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.86 and a WHIP of 1.470.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.5 units)
MIKE LEAKE recent starts vs. ST LOUIS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/7/2013ST LOUIS2-9+1158Loss,OverL5336013WAINWRIGHT(R)
8/25/2012ST LOUIS8-2+1059Win,OverW6.72210003GARCIA(L)
7/14/2012ST LOUIS3-2-1159Win,Under 6227113LOHSE(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1118, -71.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 53.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (210-180, +13.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 50% of the time since 1997. (1113-1114, -106.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (180-189, -28.6 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (871-886, -139.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (138-139, -18.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (870-792, -31.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (143-126, +1.6 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ST LOUIS
[CF] 07/31/2013 - Shane Robinson 15-day DL (7/31) ( Shoulder )
[C] 07/31/2013 - Yadier Molina 15-day DL (7/30) ( Knee )
[P] 05/26/2013 - John Gast 15-day DL (5/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/18/2013 - Jaime Garcia 60-day DL (5/18), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Jason Motte 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Elbow )
[SS] 03/31/2013 - Rafael Furcal 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Chris Carpenter 60-day DL (2/22) ( Shoulder )
CINCINNATI
[C] 07/11/2013 - Ryan Hanigan 15-day DL (7/10) ( Wrist )
[P] 06/28/2013 - Johnny Cueto 15-day DL (6/29) ( Side )
[P] 06/15/2013 - Jonathan Broxton 15-day DL (6/14) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/24/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (5/21) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
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