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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 2:10 PM
ST LOUIS (19-11) AT MILWAUKEE (14-15) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
905: ST LOUIS
906: MILWAUKEE
8.5
-119
19-11
14-15
14-15-1
20-9-0
4.7 / 3.6
4.6 / 4.8
(L) J GARCIA
(R) M ESTRADA
3-1
2-1
2.50
4.59
1.31
1.33
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 55.0 °
Humidity: 49   Wind: West at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ST LOUISGARCIA +121 
MILWAUKEEESTRADA-121 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ST LOUIS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in day games7-5+1.169-62-8.9531-420+29.48-470-57455-454
in games played on a grass field19-11+6.8215-169+9.21412-1160+17.714-15194-1761226-1222
against right-handed starters15-9+5.4156-125+3.41081-872+4912-12139-132940-919
after a win11-7+3.6116-98-5.6787-676-46.211-7102-105690-698
after 3 or more consecutive wins4-2+1.424-28-10.9209-186-33.74-226-25180-189
when playing against a team with a losing record4-4-0.6112-83+2.2765-585-16.23-496-93661-629
in all games19-11+6.8216-171+8.51476-1238+0.214-15195-1781292-1288
when the total is 8 to 8.55-3+1.591-66+13.4523-407+41.34-480-74447-453
as a road underdog of +100 to +1255-2+3.431-25+9170-168+20.44-330-23159-164
in road games12-6+6.7105-93+9.7678-684-18.28-9104-87672-629
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.52-2042-39+1.7225-213+10.42-243-36234-193
in May games4-0+434-28+0.5239-212-18.62-239-22221-206
when playing on Sunday1-3-3.435-28+2.6239-192+12.63-129-31219-191
against division opponents11-6+2.9104-76+3683-560-33.89-890-83590-595

MILWAUKEE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
against left-handed starters4-5-1.449-46-4.2329-361-30.96-348-44338-326
after a loss4-10-6.386-77+0.2638-743-54.410-486-68634-684
after 3 or more consecutive losses2-3-0.618-18-0.9193-209+8.94-122-13188-195
when playing against a team with a winning record6-9-3.584-76+7.4531-669-3210-573-79552-602
in all games14-15-2.4199-166+7.91244-1390-91.520-9193-1571242-1268
when the total is 8 to 8.58-6+1.1102-70+16.1435-438+11.78-683-83417-430
at home with a money line of -100 to -1254-4-0.620-25-8.6166-157-13.44-425-19155-157
in home games9-9-1.8120-67+33.2688-633-15.713-5106-76640-616
at home when the total is 8 to 8.57-6-0.468-34+21.2274-212+39.38-551-49247-223
in May games0-4-4.629-32-6.6214-239-17.33-132-25219-216
when playing on Sunday2-2+0.334-26+4.8188-239-46.51-328-29198-207
against division opponents7-7-0.2106-74+17.3602-627+1.19-595-77588-579
in day games5-5065-61-6430-502-57.97-366-55455-434
in games played on a grass field14-15-2.4199-166+7.91182-1303-84.220-9193-1571185-1181
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ST LOUIS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/21/2013WESTBROOK(R)@ PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R)3-7L1008 unO101101481
4/22/2013MILLER(R)@ WASHINGTONHAREN(R)3-2W-1157.5 unU871560
4/23/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)@ WASHINGTONDETWILER(L)2-0W-1207 ovU850560
4/24/2013GARCIA(L)@ WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R)4-2W1457 evU950761
4/26/2013LYNN(R)PITTSBURGHSANCHEZ(L)9-1W-2058 unO13705101
4/27/2013WESTBROOK(R)PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R)3-5L-1057 ovO89011100
4/28/2013MILLER(R)PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L)0-9L-2007.5 unO3601371
4/29/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)CINCINNATILATOS(R)1-2L-1307 unU7100650
4/30/2013GARCIA(L)CINCINNATIARROYO(R)2-1W-1407.5 ovU740740
5/1/2013LYNN(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)4-2W-1157 ovU1071650
5/2/2013WESTBROOK(R)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)6-5W1008.5 evO127112130
5/3/2013MILLER(R)@ MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)6-1W1008 ovU1590861
5/4/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)@ MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)7-6W-1257.5 unO10401481
5/5/2013GARCIA(L)@ MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R) 
5/7/2013LYNN(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L) 
5/8/2013WESTBROOK(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSVILLANUEVA(R) 
5/10/2013MILLER(R)COLORADOGARLAND(R) 
5/11/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)COLORADOCHACIN(R) 
5/12/2013 COLORADO  

MILWAUKEE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/21/2013PERALTA(R)CHICAGO CUBSFELDMAN(R)4-2W-1308.5 evU331562
4/22/2013LOHSE(R)@ SAN DIEGOMARQUIS(R)7-1W-1157 unO541870
4/23/2013GALLARDO(R)@ SAN DIEGORICHARD(L)6-3W-1257 evO1170890
4/24/2013ESTRADA(R)@ SAN DIEGOVOLQUEZ(R)1-2L-1157.5 unU772550
4/26/2013BURGOS(R)@ LA DODGERSBECKETT(R)5-7L1307 evO1170974
4/27/2013PERALTA(R)@ LA DODGERSMAGILL(R)6-4W1107.5 unO972771
4/28/2013LOHSE(R)@ LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)0-2L1656.5 unU430640
4/29/2013GALLARDO(R)PITTSBURGHRODRIGUEZ(L)10-4W-1308 unO1362541
4/30/2013ESTRADA(R)PITTSBURGHMCDONALD(R)12-8W-1458 ovO15901461
5/1/2013BURGOS(R)PITTSBURGHGOMEZ(R)4-6L-1409 unO771941
5/2/2013PERALTA(R)ST LOUISWESTBROOK(R)5-6L-1108.5 evO121301271
5/3/2013LOHSE(R)ST LOUISMILLER(R)1-6L-1108 ovU8611590
5/4/2013GALLARDO(R)ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)6-7L+1157.5 unO14811040
5/5/2013ESTRADA(R)ST LOUISGARCIA(L) 
5/7/2013PERALTA(R)TEXASGRIMM(R) 
5/8/2013LOHSE(R)TEXASHOLLAND(L) 
5/10/2013GALLARDO(R)@ CINCINNATICINGRANI(L) 
5/11/2013ESTRADA(R)@ CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
5/12/2013 @ CINCINNATI  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ST LOUIS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games19-11+6.814-154.70.2560.3103.60.2560.312
Road Games12-6+6.78-94.90.2560.3133.80.2760.329
vs Right-handed Starters15-9+5.412-125.00.2620.3123.90.2620.315
Past 7 Games5-2+1.73-43.70.2710.3173.70.2770.323
Grass Games19-11+6.814-154.70.2560.3103.60.2560.312
Day Games7-5+1.18-45.20.2580.3094.00.2640.327
Division11-6+2.99-84.70.2610.3133.60.2560.310
ST LOUIS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.70.2560.31030101225980260.0313180201917633123511
Road Games4.90.2560.3131862416047140.0286511395106219228
Righty Starters5.00.2620.3122482721769210.031115916271432210279
ST LOUIS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games5.521.48178.35148911125711-510662.5%
Road Games3.791.31754.7252360512471-27370%

MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games14-15-2.420-94.60.2620.3174.80.2720.317
Home Games9-9-1.813-55.30.2820.3375.30.2910.334
vs Left-handed Starters4-5-1.46-34.40.2770.3265.10.2710.333
Past 7 Games2-5-3.65-25.40.3000.3565.60.2830.313
Grass Games14-15-2.420-94.60.2620.3174.80.2720.317
Day Games5-507-34.40.2520.2984.60.2540.290
Division7-7-0.19-54.70.2610.3224.80.2670.305
MILWAUKEE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.60.2620.3172999025989360.04129802242719328212711
Home Games5.30.2820.3371861417360280.059351129181192012196
Lefty Starters4.40.2770.32693148732120.0439237756013873
MILWAUKEE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.161.26388.74741851427885-77653.8%
Home Games4.381.28863.73531641318664-53442.9%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JAIME GARCIA recent results and season statistics
JAIME GARCIA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.501.3053-16366.0141035212283-3-0.32-4
Road Starts3.771.5342-1314.34.81061517102-1+1.41-2
Last 3 Starts3.241.3802-1316.75.6106200392-1+1.21-2
JAIME GARCIA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/30/2013CINCINNATI2-1-1407.5Win,UnderW8117003ARROYO(R)
4/24/2013at WASHINGTON4-2+1457Win,UnderW5.7114013STRASBURG(R)
4/19/2013at PHILADELPHIA2-8-1207.5Loss,OverL3849023HALLADAY(R)

MARCO ESTRADA recent results and season statistics
MARCO ESTRADA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.591.3302-1635.35.9191840107344-2+1.84-2
Home Starts6.751.6251-03165.312122373182-1+0.43-0
Last 3 Starts4.671.3851-1317.35.81091965132-1+0.82-1
MARCO ESTRADA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/30/2013PITTSBURGH12-8-1458Win,Over 5557316MCDONALD(R)
4/24/2013at SAN DIEGO1-2-1157.5Loss,UnderL6.3215123VOLQUEZ(R)
4/19/2013CHICAGO CUBS5-4-1107.5Win,OverW6337224SAMARDZIJA(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 27-18 (+7.8 Units) against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
21 of 42 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.3 Units, Under=-2.9 Units)
Games this season
ST LOUIS is 5-1 (+3.5 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

All games at MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 12-9 (+3.9 Units) against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
13 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.5 Units)
Games played at MILWAUKEE this season.
ST LOUIS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/4/2013ST LOUIS7-125  103140WAINWRIGHT(R) 5.35110
 MILWAUKEE6+1157.5 unOver142081GALLARDO(R) 6460
5/3/2013ST LOUIS6+100  152090MILLER(R)W6171
 MILWAUKEE1-1108 ovUnder80161LOHSE(R)L54111
5/2/2013ST LOUIS6+100  120071WESTBROOK(R)W6163
 MILWAUKEE5-1108.5 evOver1202130PERALTA(R)L4.36112
4/14/2013MILWAUKEE4+145  122091ESTRADA(R) 6371
 ST LOUIS3-1558 evUnder81171GARCIA(L) 7072
4/13/2013MILWAUKEE0+155 Over40041GALLARDO(R)L5.3570
 ST LOUIS8-1657.5 unWin100030WAINWRIGHT(R)W9040
4/12/2013MILWAUKEE0+135 Under20140LOHSE(R)L7260
 ST LOUIS2-1457.5 unWin61030MILLER(R)W7010
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JAIME GARCIA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
GARCIA is 4-4 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.14 and a WHIP of 1.312.
His team's record is 6-6 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-2.4 units)
JAIME GARCIA recent starts vs. MILWAUKEE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/14/2013MILWAUKEE3-4-1558Loss,Under 7007025ESTRADA(R)
4/29/2012MILWAUKEE2-3-1057Loss,UnderL7339016GREINKE(R)
4/6/2012at MILWAUKEE11-5+1107.5Win,OverW6225023GALLARDO(R)

MARCO ESTRADA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
ESTRADA is 0-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.389.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)
MARCO ESTRADA recent starts vs. ST LOUIS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/14/2013at ST LOUIS4-3+1458Win,Under 6337117GARCIA(L)
8/5/2012at ST LOUIS0-3+1658.5Loss,UnderL6117012LOHSE(R)
4/28/2012at ST LOUIS3-7+1407.5Loss,OverL6547222LOHSE(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MILWAUKEE in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1092, -86.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 52.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (168-154, -1.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 53.5% of the time since 1997. (1125-977, +56.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 55.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (167-133, +16.1 units)
Edge=ST LOUIS
 
The betting public is favoring the OVER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (840-851, -129.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 50.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (107-104, -8.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (787-773, -89.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (97-95, -10.2 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ST LOUIS
[P] 03/31/2013 - Chris Carpenter 60-day DL (2/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Jason Motte 15-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Elbow )
[1B] 04/26/2013 - Matt Adams 15-day DL (4/22) ( Oblique )
[SS] 03/31/2013 - Rafael Furcal 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[RF] 05/05/2013 - Carlos Beltran is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Milwaukee Brewers ( Rest )
MILWAUKEE
[P] 04/09/2013 - Chris Narveson 15-day DL (4/7) ( Finger )
[1B] 03/31/2013 - Corey Hart 60-day DL (3/22) ( Knee )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Mark Rogers 15-day DL (3/25) ( Shoulder )
[1B] 03/31/2013 - Mat Gamel 60-day DL (3/20) ( Knee )
[3B] 03/31/2013 - Taylor Green 15-day DL (3/22) ( Hip )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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