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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 8:05 PM
ST LOUIS (91-64) AT MILWAUKEE (68-86) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
907: ST LOUIS
908: MILWAUKEE
8.5
+135
91-64
68-86
77-72-6
74-75-5
4.9 / 3.8
4.0 / 4.4
(R) J KELLY
(R) W PERALTA
9-2
10-15
2.03
4.34
1.33
1.40
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 55.0 °
Humidity: 49   Wind: West at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ST LOUISKELLY-166 
MILWAUKEEPERALTA +166 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ST LOUIS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games91-64+6.5288-224+8.21548-1291077-72258-2351355-1345
when the total is 8 to 8.536-28-1122-91+10.9554-432+38.832-28108-98475-477
as a road favorite of -125 to -15011-9-141-30+0.4173-138-12.713-741-28170-135
in road games43-37+1.5136-124+4.4709-715-23.444-33140-111708-653
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.517-16-157-53+0.7240-227+9.419-1260-46251-203
in September games13-7+3.346-27+11.1247-198+910-837-33226-200
when playing on Sunday14-10+0.648-35+6.5252-199+16.615-941-39231-199
against division opponents43-29+5.6136-99+5.7715-583-31.139-30120-105620-617
in games played on a grass field91-64+6.5287-222+91484-1213+17.477-72257-2331289-1279
in night games61-46-1196-149+10.7990-851-32.448-53167-163874-871
against right-handed starters73-41+19.4214-157+17.41139-904+62.959-51186-171987-958
after a win46-43-12.8151-134-22822-712-62.642-42133-140721-733
when playing against a team with a losing record51-28+8.7159-107+11.6812-609-6.837-38130-127695-663
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season26-13+5.777-53-1.2421-314-14.219-1960-65360-344

MILWAUKEE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games68-86-12.7253-237-2.41298-1461-101.874-75247-2231296-1334
when the total is 8 to 8.540-47-5.2134-111+9.8467-479+5.542-42117-119451-466
as a home underdog of +125 to +1507-6+3.29-9+2.965-99-11.25-87-1179-77
in home games36-44-11.6147-102+23.5715-668-25.440-38133-109667-649
at home when the total is 8 to 8.528-27-1.289-55+20.4295-233+38.528-2671-70267-244
in September games9-10+0.242-30+6.9205-240-23.86-1134-32207-215
when playing on Sunday9-15-5.641-39-1.1195-252-52.510-1337-39207-217
against division opponents33-42-4.3132-109+13.1628-662-3.133-39119-111612-613
in games played on a grass field68-86-12.7253-237-2.41236-1374-94.574-75247-2231239-1247
in night games51-52+5176-147+21.3853-926-26.648-52162-148816-879
against right-handed starters54-59+0.6194-169+13.8959-1078-5953-57184-164943-993
after a loss37-48-5119-115+1.5671-781-53.243-38119-102667-718
after 3 or more consecutive losses10-15-2.526-30-2.8201-221+715-1033-22199-204
when playing against a team with a winning record32-48-8110-115+2.8557-708-36.637-41100-115579-638
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season17-18+6.655-57+3.9256-368-47.716-1848-58289-310
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ST LOUIS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/8/2013WACHA(R)PITTSBURGHMORTON(R)9-2W-1307.5 evO1282441
9/10/2013MILLER(R)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)4-2W-1858.5 unU680782
9/11/2013LYNN(R)MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R)5-1W-1458 unU641661
9/12/2013KELLY(R)MILWAUKEETHORNBURG(R)3-5L-1708 unP6421160
9/13/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)SEATTLEIWAKUMA(R)2-1W-1807 unU4701071
9/14/2013WACHA(R)SEATTLEPAXTON(L)1-4L-2007.5 unU360780
9/15/2013MILLER(R)SEATTLERAMIREZ(L)12-2W-1907.5 unO1991540
9/16/2013LYNN(R)@ COLORADOMCHUGH(R)2-6L-15010 unU7401280
9/17/2013KELLY(R)@ COLORADONICASIO(R)11-4W-13510 ovO18121990
9/18/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)@ COLORADOCHATWOOD(R)4-3W-1759.5 evU107112110
9/19/2013WACHA(R)@ COLORADOOSWALT(R)6-7L-1559.5 unO129021160
9/20/2013MILLER(R)@ MILWAUKEEHELLWEG(R)7-6W-1909.5 unO161201380
9/21/2013LYNN(R)@ MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)7-2W-1408.5 unO950791
9/22/2013KELLY(R)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R) 
9/23/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)WASHINGTONROARK(R) 
9/24/2013WACHA(R)WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L) 
9/25/2013MILLER(R)WASHINGTONZIMMERMANN(R) 
9/27/2013LYNN(R)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L) 
9/28/2013KELLY(R)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R) 
9/29/2013 CHICAGO CUBS  

MILWAUKEE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/8/2013GALLARDO(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSBAKER(R)3-1W-1257.5 unU860330
9/10/2013PERALTA(R)@ ST LOUISMILLER(R)2-4L1758.5 unU782680
9/11/2013ESTRADA(R)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R)1-5L1358 unU661641
9/12/2013THORNBURG(R)@ ST LOUISKELLY(R)5-3W1608 unP1160642
9/13/2013LOHSE(R)CINCINNATILATOS(R)5-1W+1357.5 unU980441
9/14/2013HELLWEG(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)3-7L+1808 ovO61021090
9/15/2013GALLARDO(R)CINCINNATIARROYO(R)6-5W+1208 unO531880
9/16/2013PERALTA(R)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)6-1W-1258 evU882563
9/17/2013ESTRADA(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)4-3W-1357.5 unU650742
9/18/2013THORNBURG(R)CHICAGO CUBSRUSIN(L)7-0W-1408 unU530480
9/19/2013LOHSE(R)CHICAGO CUBSARRIETA(R)1-5L-1358.5 unU4411380
9/20/2013HELLWEG(R)ST LOUISMILLER(R)6-7L+1809.5 unO138016120
9/21/2013GALLARDO(R)ST LOUISLYNN(R)2-7L+1308.5 unO791950
9/22/2013PERALTA(R)ST LOUISKELLY(R) 
9/23/2013ESTRADA(R)@ ATLANTAMINOR(L) 
9/24/2013THORNBURG(R)@ ATLANTAWOOD(L) 
9/25/2013LOHSE(R)@ ATLANTAMAHOLM(L) 
9/26/2013HELLWEG(R)@ NY METSGEE(R) 
9/27/2013GALLARDO(R)@ NY METSTORRES(R) 
9/28/2013PERALTA(R)@ NY METSHARANG(R) 
9/29/2013 @ NY METS  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ST LOUIS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games91-64+6.577-724.90.2690.3273.80.2510.309
Road Games43-37+1.544-335.00.2640.3234.00.2640.323
vs Right-handed Starters73-41+19.459-515.20.2760.3343.70.2510.307
Past 7 Games5-2+25-27.00.3290.3844.30.2900.341
Grass Games91-64+6.577-724.90.2690.3273.80.2510.309
Night Games61-46-1.148-534.70.2700.3293.80.2460.304
Division43-29+5.639-304.90.2670.3263.90.2490.314
ST LOUIS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.90.2690.327155533914344481190.0271546110654510441697217037
Road Games5.00.2640.323802845751246660.023842476142354588378820
Righty Starters5.20.2760.33411439621093336920.02559347778337681295312231
ST LOUIS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.571.266454.31901804283514743219-19401869%
Road Games3.091.245233848021919712139-10171063%

MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games68-86-12.774-754.00.2520.3054.40.2580.316
Home Games36-44-11.640-384.00.2550.3124.60.2690.327
vs Right-handed Starters54-59+0.653-574.00.2510.3064.20.2560.312
Past 7 Games4-3+0.83-44.60.2210.2994.00.2620.335
Grass Games68-86-12.774-754.00.2520.3054.40.2580.316
Night Games51-52+548-524.10.2620.3144.00.2540.312
Division33-42-4.333-393.90.2490.3074.40.2610.322
MILWAUKEE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.00.2520.305154520213124191480.035813921123133102313311014591
Home Games4.00.2550.312802648674218820.033132215547254064499350
Righty Starters4.00.2510.30611337789493111080.03430299793108756918211263
MILWAUKEE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.281.246502.32041834545417243424-26362163.2%
Home Games3.351.254290.3114108265319924214-1216866.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JOE KELLY recent results and season statistics
JOE KELLY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games2.741.3979-438111.7-3634114104272---
All Starts2.031.3259-214805.72118745324411-3+7.47-6
Road Starts0.521.1545-0634.75.82224016225-1+43-3
Last 3 Starts2.251.5002-13165.354181682-1+0.32-0
JOE KELLY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/17/2013at COLORADO11-4-13510Win,OverW5003020NICASIO(R)
9/12/2013MILWAUKEE3-5-1708LossL5437114THORNBURG(R)
9/6/2013PITTSBURGH12-8+1007.5Win,OverW6118034BURNETT(R)

WILY PERALTA recent results and season statistics
WILY PERALTA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.341.40210-1531178.35.810486182186812613-18-3.214-16
Home Starts4.741.5226-81689.35.6574794842628-8-0.48-7
Last 3 Starts2.891.2322-1318.76.2761627202-1+1.41-2
WILY PERALTA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/16/2013CHICAGO CUBS6-1-1258Win,UnderW6105027JACKSON(R)
9/10/2013at ST LOUIS2-4+1758.5Loss,UnderL6.7332147MILLER(R)
9/4/2013PITTSBURGH9-3+1407.5Win,OverW6339116LIRIANO(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 36-21 (+12.4 Units) against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
29 of 53 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.9 Units)
Games this season
ST LOUIS is 14-4 (+8.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
11 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.1 Units)

All games at MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 17-10 (+7.8 Units) against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
19 of 26 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+11.8 Units)
Games played at MILWAUKEE this season.
ST LOUIS is 8-1 (+6.9 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+7.1 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
9/21/2013ST LOUIS7-140  91150LYNN(R)W6.3144
 MILWAUKEE2+1308.5 unOver70191GALLARDO(R)L7242
9/20/2013ST LOUIS7-190  1610120MILLER(R) 6472
 MILWAUKEE6+1809.5 unOver131080HELLWEG(R) 5275
9/12/2013MILWAUKEE5+160  111060THORNBURG(R)W6232
 ST LOUIS3-1708 un 61042KELLY(R)L5371
9/11/2013MILWAUKEE1+135 Under60261ESTRADA(R) 6.7123
 ST LOUIS5-1458 unWin61141LYNN(R) 6052
9/10/2013MILWAUKEE2+175 Under71082PERALTA(R)L6.7324
 ST LOUIS4-1858.5 unWin61080MILLER(R)W6.7052
8/21/2013ST LOUIS8-115  123251WESTBROOK(R) 4.7491
 MILWAUKEE6+1059.5 unOver1420141GORZELANNY(L)L3.77101
8/20/2013ST LOUIS3-125 Over81181LYNN(R)L6493
 MILWAUKEE6+1158 ovWin100180LOHSE(R)W6362
8/19/2013ST LOUIS8-150  162291MILLER(R) 5.3254
 MILWAUKEE5+1408 evOver1120110ESTRADA(R) 6481
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JOE KELLY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
KELLY is 1-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)
JOE KELLY recent starts vs. MILWAUKEE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/12/2013MILWAUKEE3-5-1708LossL5437114THORNBURG(R)
9/9/2012MILWAUKEE5-4-1308.5Win,Over 6225025MARCUM(R)
8/3/2012MILWAUKEE9-3-1559Win,OverW5.73310024WOLF(L)

WILY PERALTA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
PERALTA is 0-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 8.44 and a WHIP of 1.938.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)
WILY PERALTA recent starts vs. ST LOUIS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/10/2013at ST LOUIS2-4+1758.5Loss,UnderL6.7332147MILLER(R)
5/17/2013at ST LOUIS6-7+1558.5Loss,OverL57611116GARCIA(L)
5/2/2013ST LOUIS5-6-1108.5Loss,OverL4.36611023WESTBROOK(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MILWAUKEE in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1138, -74.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 53.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (228-200, +10.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 53.7% of the time since 1997. (1185-1023, +68.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 55.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (227-179, +28.1 units)
Edge=ST LOUIS
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (885-911, -153.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 48.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (152-164, -32.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (842-827, -95.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (152-149, -16.2 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ST LOUIS
[P] 09/19/2013 - Joe Kelly is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Milwaukee Brewers ( Calf )
[1B] 09/11/2013 - Allen Craig out indefinitely ( Foot )
[P] 05/26/2013 - John Gast 15-day DL (5/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/18/2013 - Jaime Garcia 60-day DL (5/18), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Jason Motte 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Elbow )
[SS] 03/31/2013 - Rafael Furcal 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Chris Carpenter 60-day DL (2/22) ( Shoulder )
MILWAUKEE
[SS] 09/21/2013 - Jean Segura "?" Sunday vs. St. Louis Cardinals ( Hamstring )
[2B] 08/09/2013 - Rickie Weeks 60-day DL (8/8); out for season ( Hamstring )
[LF] 07/22/2013 - Ryan Braun out for season ( Suspension )
[P] 07/05/2013 - Miguel De Los Santos is on the restricted list ( Shoulder )
[1B] 06/28/2013 - Corey Hart 60-day DL (3/22); out for season ( Knee )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Mark Rogers 60-day DL (3/25) ( Shoulder )
[1B] 03/31/2013 - Mat Gamel 60-day DL (3/20), out for season ( Knee )
[3B] 03/31/2013 - Taylor Green 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Hip )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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NHLCanadiens at Panthers2:00 PM PST
NHLSenators at Maple Leafs4:30 PM PST
NHLBlues at Blackhawks4:30 PM PST
04/06/2015
NHLHurricanes at Sabres4:00 PM PST
NHLBlue jackets at Rangers4:00 PM PST
NHLJets at Wild5:00 PM PST
NHLKings at Canucks7:00 PM PST
NHLStars at Sharks7:30 PM PST
04/07/2015
NHLRangers at Devils4:00 PM PST
NHLIslanders at Flyers4:00 PM PST
NHLPenguins at Senators4:30 PM PST

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