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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 4:35 PM
ST LOUIS (98-66) AT PITTSBURGH (96-69) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
923: ST LOUIS
924: PITTSBURGH
7.0
-159
98-66
96-69
81-75-8
74-85-6
4.8 / 3.7
3.9 / 3.6
(R) J KELLY
(L) F LIRIANO
9-3
17-8
2.17
2.95
1.32
1.20
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Partly Cloudy   Temperature: 57.0 °
Humidity: 30   Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ST LOUISKELLY-134
PITTSBURGHLIRIANO +134 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ST LOUIS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games98-66+10.9295-226+12.61555-1293+4.381-75262-2381359-1348
when the total is 7 or less23-12+9.151-40+6.8104-94+2.914-1744-3998-82
as a road underdog of +150 to +1750-1-17-5+6.439-70-81-08-458-43
in road games43-38+0136-125+3709-716-24.945-33141-111709-653
on the road when the total is 7 or less10-6+4.325-22+5.153-62-68-725-1962-42
in October games1-1-0.221-15+867-56+8.92-020-1454-63
when playing on Sunday15-11+0.249-36+6.1253-200+16.116-1042-40232-200
when playing with a day off13-6+6.638-25+11194-140+32.36-1132-24154-153
against division opponents47-31+6.9140-101+7719-585-29.843-31124-106624-618
in day games34-19+10.396-76+0.4558-434+38.632-2194-74479-471
in games played on a grass field98-66+10.9294-224+13.41491-1215+21.881-75261-2361293-1282
against left-handed starters20-23-10.976-67-7.2411-387-6118-2272-65368-388
in playoff games1-1-0.219-14+6.952-45+9.32-020-1143-49
after a loss46-20+21.4137-88+32.4725-573+69.235-29124-93631-607
when playing against a team with a winning record40-35-1.9114-109-9.9645-614-0.839-33114-99584-605
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season20-20-2.175-62+11358-324+34.819-1867-63306-341

PITTSBURGH team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games96-69+24.8247-242+21.31211-1540-108.974-85221-2461289-1325
when the total is 7 or less39-29+7.559-64-3.784-108-11.629-3550-6282-90
as a home favorite of -150 to -1757-9-7.411-14-11.439-45-32.34-128-1733-48
in home games51-31+11.8132-112+7.3684-689+15.833-45103-132644-662
at home when the total is 7 or less21-17-0.831-32-6.839-48-1314-2120-3734-44
in October games2-1+1.14-2+215-13+4.93-03-37-21
when playing on Sunday14-12+3.635-43-5177-262-58.311-1538-37214-210
when playing with a day off14-5+8.330-21+9.8152-156+23.29-827-21142-147
against division opponents47-32+14.7125-115+17.8571-716-38.636-40113-117597-616
in day games32-29+4.987-86+11.2375-524-73.932-2886-80435-425
in games played on a grass field96-69+24.8245-241+19.7996-1307-103.474-85220-2441059-1126
against right-handed starters78-56+21.8184-188+12.8904-1151-7458-72167-188977-971
in playoff games2-1+1.12-1+1.12-1+1.13-03-03-0
after a win54-41+11.2119-126-4.7542-671-52.348-45116-117571-585
when playing against a team with a winning record38-33+10102-114+14.6569-802-46.441-28108-98644-659
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season19-16+3.446-58-2.9259-405-48.920-1454-46307-323
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ST LOUIS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/22/2013KELLY(R)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)4-6L-1458.5 unO893850
9/23/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)WASHINGTONROARK(R)4-3W-1607 ovP1170730
9/24/2013WACHA(R)WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)2-0W-1257 ovU631130
9/25/2013MILLER(R)WASHINGTONZIMMERMANN(R)4-1W-1207.5 unU630551
9/27/2013LYNN(R)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)7-0W-1657 unP1090781
9/28/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)6-2W-2057 unO1070760
9/29/2013WESTBROOK(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)4-0W-1507.5 unU950550
10/3/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R)9-1W-1406.5 ovO1070431
10/4/2013LYNN(R)PITTSBURGHCOLE(R)1-7L-1207 ovO4511090
10/6/2013KELLY(R)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L) 
10/7/2013WACHA(R)@ PITTSBURGHMORTON(R) 

PITTSBURGH - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/22/2013LOCKE(L)CINCINNATIARROYO(R)3-11L-1156.5 ovO5621690
9/23/2013MORTON(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)2-1W-1257.5 unU690651
9/24/2013COLE(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSRUSIN(L)8-2W-1657 evO12811091
9/25/2013LIRIANO(L)@ CHICAGO CUBSARRIETA(R)2-4L-1606.5 unU681982
9/27/2013BURNETT(R)@ CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)4-1W1207 unU680640
9/28/2013MORTON(R)@ CINCINNATIARROYO(R)8-3W1107.5 ovO13505111
9/29/2013CUMPTON(R)@ CINCINNATIREYNOLDS(R)4-2W1158 unU1080641
10/1/2013LIRIANO(L)CINCINNATICUETO(R)6-2W-1356.5 unO13100651
10/3/2013BURNETT(R)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)1-9L1306.5 ovO4311070
10/4/2013COLE(R)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R)7-1W1107 ovO1090451
10/6/2013LIRIANO(L)ST LOUISKELLY(R) 
10/7/2013MORTON(R)ST LOUISWACHA(R) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ST LOUIS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games98-66+10.981-754.80.2680.3273.70.2480.305
Road Games43-38+045-335.00.2640.3234.00.2640.323
vs Left-handed Starters20-23-10.918-224.00.2480.3073.70.2470.307
Past 7 Games6-1+4.83-34.70.2550.3241.60.1760.218
Grass Games98-66+10.981-754.80.2680.3273.70.2480.305
Day Games34-19+10.432-215.10.2640.3203.50.2560.314
Division47-31+6.943-314.90.2670.3283.80.2460.309
Playoff games1-1-0.22-05.00.2220.3104.00.2090.264
ST LOUIS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2680.327164562015084731270.0275248911214510991767717840
Road Games5.00.2640.323812877759247670.023882526232355489408921
Lefty Starters4.00.2480.307431437357119290.02164122300122884220496
ST LOUIS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.421.2374821941834463715045120-19441871%
Road Games3.081.244234848022019712149-10171063%

PITTSBURGH - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games96-69+24.874-853.90.2460.3053.60.2370.303
Home Games51-31+11.833-453.80.2500.3073.30.2320.292
vs Right-handed Starters78-56+21.758-723.90.2410.3013.60.2340.299
Past 7 Games5-2+2.94-34.60.2580.3103.10.2080.280
Grass Games96-69+24.874-853.90.2460.3053.60.2370.303
Day Games32-29+532-284.00.2430.3064.00.2340.305
Division47-32+14.736-404.00.2460.3073.70.2300.294
Playoff games2-1+1.13-04.70.2650.3184.00.2110.279
PITTSBURGH - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.90.2460.305165558813724791670.03617477135095114814410715695
Home Games3.80.2500.307822721679222720.033002265965056374528045
Righty Starters3.90.2410.301134449810863871390.034923831092779111218512880
PITTSBURGH - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.851.164556.61861764703717845930-20551578.6%
Home Games2.511.0982878580237117823417-926778.8%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JOE KELLY recent results and season statistics
JOE KELLY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.171.3229-315875.82721815344611-4+5.98-6
Road Starts1.081.1765-1741.76.08531018245-2+2.64-3
Last 3 Starts3.181.2941-23175.7106171561-2-2.22-0
JOE KELLY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/22/2013at MILWAUKEE4-6-1458.5Loss,OverL7637022PERALTA(R)
9/17/2013at COLORADO11-4-13510Win,OverW5003020NICASIO(R)
9/12/2013MILWAUKEE3-5-1708LossL5437114THORNBURG(R)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO recent results and season statistics
FRANCISCO LIRIANO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.951.20217-8271686.2555513896416818-9+7.412-13
Home Starts1.450.9429-11280.76.71313492277710-2+7.64-6
Last 3 Starts3.151.0001-13206.7771525201-2-1.82-1
FRANCISCO LIRIANO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/1/2013CINCINNATI6-2-1356.5Win,OverW7114015CUETO(R)
9/25/2013at CHICAGO CUBS2-4-1606.5Loss,UnderL5448118ARRIETA(R)
9/20/2013CINCINNATI5-6-1206.5Loss,Over 8223137LATOS(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 26-26 (+7.6 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
31 of 50 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+10.8 Units)
Games this season
PITTSBURGH is 11-10 (+2.1 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
14 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+8.0 Units)

All games at PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 14-11 (+4.5 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
13 of 25 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)
Games played at PITTSBURGH this season.
PITTSBURGH is 7-3 (+4.1 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
10/4/2013PITTSBURGH7+110  102190COLE(R)W6121
 ST LOUIS1-1207 ovOver41051LYNN(R)L4.3573
10/3/2013PITTSBURGH1+130 Over41031BURNETT(R)L2764
 ST LOUIS9-1406.5 ovWin101070WAINWRIGHT(R)W7130
9/8/2013PITTSBURGH2+120 Over40041MORTON(R)L1.7562
 ST LOUIS9-1307.5 evWin120082WACHA(R)W7022
9/7/2013PITTSBURGH0+150 Under30041LOCKE(L)L5234
 ST LOUIS5-1607.5 ovWin61080WAINWRIGHT(R)W7022
9/6/2013PITTSBURGH8-110 Over1310121BURNETT(R)L3561
 ST LOUIS12+1007.5 unWin161152KELLY(R)W6183
9/1/2013ST LOUIS7-115  120080KELLY(R)W6142
 PITTSBURGH2+1058 unOver60060JOHNSON(L)L2572
8/31/2013ST LOUIS1+125 Over60050LYNN(R)L47103
 PITTSBURGH7-1357.5 unWin131090BURNETT(R)W7141
8/30/2013ST LOUIS0+115 Under40051MILLER(R)L4.3583
 PITTSBURGH5-1257 unWin92080LIRIANO(L)W8022
8/15/2013PITTSBURGH5+105 Over132090BURNETT(R) 4.3581
 ST LOUIS6-1157 unWin120080LYNN(R) 5.3481
8/14/2013PITTSBURGH5+115  82051LIRIANO(L)W9141
 ST LOUIS1-1256.5 unUnder40021MILLER(R)L6382
8/13/2013PITTSBURGH3+160  1021112MORTON(R) 6272
 ST LOUIS4-1707 ovWin1401170WAINWRIGHT(R) 7353
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JOE KELLY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
KELLY is 3-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.74 and a WHIP of 1.522.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)
JOE KELLY recent starts vs. PITTSBURGH
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/6/2013PITTSBURGH12-8+1007.5Win,OverW6118034BURNETT(R)
9/1/2013at PITTSBURGH7-2-1158Win,OverW6114025JOHNSON(L)
8/1/2013at PITTSBURGH13-0+1007.5Win,OverW6003044MORTON(R)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LIRIANO is 4-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.16 and a WHIP of 0.677.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)
FRANCISCO LIRIANO recent starts vs. ST LOUIS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/30/2013ST LOUIS5-0-1257Win,UnderW8002026MILLER(R)
8/14/2013at ST LOUIS5-1+1156.5Win,UnderW9114016MILLER(R)
7/29/2013ST LOUIS9-2-1507Win,OverW7114028WESTBROOK(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring PITTSBURGH in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1143, -76.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 53% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (231-205, +8.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (1177-1082, -4.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 51.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (212-203, -17.7 units)
Edge=ST LOUIS
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (888-913, -152.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 48.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (155-166, -31.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (853-837, -104.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 50.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (145-140, -12.5 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ST LOUIS
[1B] 09/11/2013 - Allen Craig expected to miss the NLDS ( Foot )
[P] 05/18/2013 - Jaime Garcia 60-day DL (5/18), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Jason Motte 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Elbow )
[SS] 03/31/2013 - Rafael Furcal 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Chris Carpenter 60-day DL (2/22) ( Shoulder )
PITTSBURGH
[C] 07/29/2013 - Michael McKenry 15-day DL (7/29), out for season ( Knee )
[P] 07/12/2013 - James McDonald 60-day DL (5/1) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/11/2013 - Wandy Rodriguez 60-day DL (6/6) ( Forearm )
[P] 06/08/2013 - Jared Hughes 15-day DL (6/6) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/29/2013 - Jose Contreras 15-day DL (5/28) ( Back )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Jeff Karstens 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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