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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 8:05 PM
ST LOUIS (92-76) AT SAN FRANCISCO (97-70) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
903: ST LOUIS
904: SAN FRANCISCO
7.0
-125
92-76
97-70
81-81-6
90-71-6
4.8 / 4.0
4.4 / 4.0
(R) L LYNN
(L) M BUMGARNER
17-5
16-12
3.67
3.47
1.30
1.13
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 61   Wind: Calm
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ST LOUISLYNN +120 
SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER-120 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ST LOUIS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games92-76-2.8279-232-19.21454-1223-5.281-81246-2451274-1271
when the total is 7 or less9-16-9.342-40-7.578-79-6.414-947-3080-64
as a road underdog of +100 to +12510-11-0.231-25+9.2164-163+18.910-1028-26152-161
in road games41-44-8126-131-18.1665-675-2340-43132-119661-620
on the road when the total is 7 or less5-10-5.122-24-4.342-53-8.58-626-1851-35
in October games6-3+3.620-10+13.163-51+10.44-514-1548-61
when playing on Sunday15-12+0.150-32+12.8237-188+15.813-1240-39215-190
when playing with a day off12-8+1.433-25+3179-133+24.614-534-18147-141
in games played on a grass field92-76-2.8276-229-19.11390-1145+12.381-81244-2411208-1205
in night games56-49-4.9187-147+0.2927-801-2945-57161-160822-817
against left-handed starters32-19+8.481-71-11.3390-363-49.728-2174-70349-365
in playoff games4-2+2.515-9+8.548-40+10.94-214-937-47
after a win49-42-3.8145-131-25.7774-667-49.440-49120-142676-690
when playing against a team with a winning record29-37-15.8107-960602-575+2.535-2895-98541-570
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season21-20-1.775-49+26.7335-300+38.322-1860-58283-321

SAN FRANCISCO team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games97-70+20.3287-222+36.31419-1220+108.590-71241-2471267-1245
when the total is 7 or less53-41+3.2150-112+14.1226-166+42.151-39119-127181-186
at home with a money line of -100 to -12510-8+1.133-26+3158-136+0.310-822-35134-145
as a home favorite of -125 to -15013-7+3.346-35-1.9252-170+20.87-1131-46189-212
in home games48-35+2.8149-104+10.8768-550+69.938-41105-135604-648
at home when the total is 7 or less35-28-2.7101-69+8.2144-92+23.830-2971-88104-115
in October games4-4+0.715-10+6.839-32+7.44-411-1336-34
when playing on Sunday12-14-3.843-37+2.6218-204+0.713-1136-38202-194
in games played on a grass field97-70+20.3286-220+37.51356-1162+102.990-71240-2451197-1197
in night games60-39+17.3193-137+38.1909-742+124.755-42157-160780-787
against right-handed starters57-51-1.7193-165+3.41039-895+65.258-46172-170945-897
in playoff games3-2+1.114-6+10.626-22+5.44-110-925-22
after a win53-42+5.5159-127+13769-640+65.554-39135-138671-675
after 3 or more consecutive wins10-15-8.136-40-9.2226-188+14.215-936-34200-191
when playing against a team with a winning record34-33+2.4122-113+10622-620+29.936-29111-117604-582
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season19-18+1.769-59+12.2325-316+28.821-1560-65313-303
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ST LOUIS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/30/2012LYNN(R)WASHINGTONDETWILER(L)10-4W-1458 unO1280751
10/1/2012GARCIA(L)CINCINNATIARROYO(R)4-2W-1407.5 unU961650
10/2/2012CARPENTER(R)CINCINNATILATOS(R)1-3L-1257 ovU660870
10/3/2012MILLER(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)1-0W+1307.5 unU991350
10/5/2012LOHSE(R)@ ATLANTAMEDLEN(R)6-3W1556.5 ovO62012121
10/7/2012WAINWRIGHT(R)WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)2-3L-1157 ovU31018101
10/8/2012GARCIA(L)WASHINGTONZIMMERMANN(R)12-4W-1057.5 unO13501091
10/10/2012CARPENTER(R)@ WASHINGTONJACKSON(R)8-0W1007.5 evO14917110
10/11/2012LOHSE(R)@ WASHINGTONDETWILER(L)1-2L-1058 unU380321
10/12/2012WAINWRIGHT(R)@ WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)9-7W1156.5 ovO11901150
10/14/2012LYNN(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER(L) 
10/15/2012CARPENTER(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOVOGELSONG(R) 
10/17/2012 SAN FRANCISCO  
10/18/2012 SAN FRANCISCO  

SAN FRANCISCO - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/30/2012LINCECUM(R)@ SAN DIEGOVOLQUEZ(R)7-5W1107.5 evO1281640
10/1/2012CAIN(R)@ LA DODGERSHARANG(R)2-3L-1107 unU650980
10/2/2012ZITO(L)@ LA DODGERSCAPUANO(L)4-3W1707.5 ovU10401071
10/3/2012VOGELSONG(R)@ LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)1-5L1806.5 unU351840
10/6/2012CAIN(R)CINCINNATICUETO(R)2-5L-1256.5 unO7110961
10/7/2012BUMGARNER(L)CINCINNATIARROYO(R)0-9L-1457 evO2501350
10/9/2012VOGELSONG(R)@ CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)2-1W1307.5 unU340471
10/10/2012ZITO(L)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R)8-3W1358 unO11519100
10/11/2012CAIN(R)@ CINCINNATILATOS(R)6-4W1157 evO95112111
10/14/2012BUMGARNER(L)ST LOUISLYNN(R) 
10/15/2012VOGELSONG(R)ST LOUISCARPENTER(R) 
10/17/2012 @ ST LOUIS  
10/18/2012 @ ST LOUIS  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ST LOUIS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games92-76-2.781-814.80.2710.3354.00.2550.309
Road Games41-44-840-434.50.2580.3254.30.2610.316
vs Left-handed Starters32-19+8.428-215.50.2810.3514.30.2640.316
Past 7 Games5-2+3.84-35.60.2550.3412.70.2290.286
Grass Games92-76-2.781-814.80.2710.3354.00.2550.309
Night Games56-49-4.945-574.50.2690.3323.90.2570.311
Playoff games4-2+2.54-26.30.2530.3483.20.2460.304
ST LOUIS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2710.335168582015765071660.03766562124095124117210915056
Road Games4.50.2580.325852964765237860.033622956564263590577328
Lefty Starters5.50.2810.351511760495176690.042731903782438350304313
ST LOUIS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.811.2594982202114555817245719-29432365.2%
Road Games4.341.348236.711711422627932219-18201164.5%

SAN FRANCISCO - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games97-70+20.490-714.40.2670.3264.00.2480.310
Home Games48-35+2.838-413.70.2640.3273.40.2350.297
vs Right-handed Starters57-51-1.858-464.30.2640.3294.10.2460.306
Past 7 Games4-3+1.84-33.30.1980.2694.30.2630.311
Grass Games97-70+20.490-714.40.2670.3264.00.2480.310
Night Games60-39+17.455-424.60.2770.3374.00.2480.307
Playoff games3-2+1.14-13.60.1940.2654.40.2610.318
SAN FRANCISCO - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2670.326167572315274601080.0269149911361191201135117138130
Home Games3.70.2640.327832728720204320.012872555215461068486972
Righty Starters4.30.2640.3291083673968283580.024323587578780074737984
SAN FRANCISCO - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.541.3304762151874683816540425-19541380.6%
Home Games3.231.223225.79081202177418811-824680%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
LANCE LYNN recent results and season statistics
LANCE LYNN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.671.29617-5291695.87069157156217421-8+9.916-13
Road Starts3.921.3489-21798.75.844439910349512-5+6.410-7
Last 3 Starts2.411.0183-0318.76.2551425233-0+31-2
LANCE LYNN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/30/2012WASHINGTON10-4-1458Win,OverW5.3446219DETWILER(L)
9/24/2012at HOUSTON6-1-2108Win,UnderW7115029ABAD(L)
9/19/2012HOUSTON5-0-2257.5Win,UnderW6.3003025HARRELL(R)

MADISON BUMGARNER recent results and season statistics
MADISON BUMGARNER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.471.12916-1233212.76.49182190245019519-14+1.716-14
Home Starts2.611.05110-416110.36.934329162510211-5+3.67-7
Last 3 Starts6.431.4291-23144.712101644141-2-1.73-0
MADISON BUMGARNER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/7/2012CINCINNATI0-9-1457Loss,OverL4.3447114ARROYO(R)
9/29/2012at SAN DIEGO3-7-1257Loss,OverL4544224STULTS(L)
9/22/2012SAN DIEGO8-4-1757Win,OverW5.7325116WERNER(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-8 (+5.1 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.7 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)
Games this season
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-3 (+1.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

All games at SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-3 (+2.3 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.6 Units)
Games played at SAN FRANCISCO this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
LANCE LYNN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
LYNN is 0-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 7.15 and a WHIP of 1.324.
His team's record is 0-2 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)
LANCE LYNN recent starts vs. SAN FRANCISCO
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/7/2012SAN FRANCISCO2-4-2109Loss,UnderL6448136ZITO(L)
6/2/2011SAN FRANCISCO7-12-1207.5Loss,OverL5.3554105SANCHEZ(L)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
BUMGARNER is 2-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.061.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)
MADISON BUMGARNER recent starts vs. ST LOUIS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/9/2012at ST LOUIS1-3+1157.5Loss,UnderL6333117WAINWRIGHT(R)
5/16/2012ST LOUIS1-4+1056.5Loss,UnderL7.3447103GARCIA(L)
5/30/2011at ST LOUIS7-3+1408Win,OverW7226025MCCLELLAN(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ST LOUIS in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1081, -93.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 49.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (212-217, -28.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (1106-1041, -31.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 50.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (217-213, -20.3 units)
Edge=SAN FRANCISCO
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (824-833, -124.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (126-129, -16.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (785-742, -65.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 47.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (102-112, -21.8 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ST LOUIS
[1B] 10/08/2012 - Lance Berkman out indefinitely ( Knee )
[SS] 10/05/2012 - Rafael Furcal out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 10/08/2012 - Jaime Garcia out for season ( Shoulder )
SAN FRANCISCO
[1B] 04/08/2012 - Angel Villalona on restricted list ( Disciplinary )
[2B] 03/31/2012 - Freddy Sanchez 60-day DL (3/26), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/15/2012 - Brian Wilson 60-day DL (4/13), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 06/29/2012 - Eric Surkamp 60-day DL (3/26) ( Elbow )
[LF] 08/15/2012 - Melky Cabrera out for season ( Suspension Served )
[P] 10/12/2012 - Jeremy Affeldt "?" for NLCS ( Thumb )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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