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Matchup Reports

Monday at 7:10 PM
TAMPA BAY (58-41) AT BOSTON (60-40) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
913: TAMPA BAY
914: BOSTON
9.0
+117
58-41
60-40
47-45-7
48-48-4
4.7 / 4.0
5.1 / 4.2
(L) M MOORE
(R) B WORKMAN
13-3
0-0
3.44
2.84
1.29
0.47
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Light Rain Fog/Mist   Temperature: 73.0 °
Humidity: 87   Wind: North at 6.9 MPH (6 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
TAMPA BAYMOORE +120 
BOSTONWORKMAN-120 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TAMPA BAY team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games58-41+7.2240-187+17.81173-1379-58.147-45178-2261148-1294
when the total is 9 to 9.510-8+1.835-32+4443-550-35.47-925-36457-479
on the road with a money line of -100 to -1257-1+5.831-25+2.274-83-21.25-229-2574-76
as a road favorite of -125 to -1505-2+2.425-14+662-45+0.65-221-1753-51
in road games24-22+1.6113-97+19.4519-754-72.220-2196-101599-615
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.510-7+3.231-29+4.3190-294-47.17-824-31231-222
in July games15-2+10.439-30+3.6187-223-75-1128-39177-215
when playing on Monday5-5-0.822-22-3114-133+0.16-317-22103-129
against division opponents23-24-6106-85+5.1499-586+20.821-2379-103495-548
in games played on a grass field20-20-0.697-89+11.2433-640-74.218-1784-91512-515
in night games37-25+5.2154-122+10.8762-919-62.332-24115-143770-837
against right-handed starters38-31-0.9161-133-5.3848-991-31.834-30119-160819-938
after a win35-22+6136-100+15.2569-599-4.525-2899-125519-594
after 3 or more consecutive wins15-7+4.250-34+6.1141-136-6.86-1428-50117-145
when playing against a team with a winning record28-24+1.1124-115-4.5567-759-45.222-2798-128592-679
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season0-0058-46+8.4304-412-9.90-041-60319-371

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games60-40+12.5221-205-36.91532-1233-44.148-48208-1981284-1342
when the total is 9 to 9.520-21-7.681-94-42.4561-504-7216-2288-78501-511
as a home underdog of +100 to +1250-004-9-4.450-5500-06-646-50
in home games33-17+7.2114-100-32816-566-2723-25112-91658-650
at home when the total is 9 to 9.514-11-3.450-57-32.4294-222-29.710-1355-47255-242
in July games10-6+3.942-26+9.5240-200-22.16-1030-36196-226
when playing on Monday7-2+4.827-19+1.5162-127-9.87-228-17143-133
against division opponents25-16+6.489-96-26.7619-526-44.716-2489-90551-543
in games played on a grass field52-36+7.3195-183-42.21351-1056-1540-44181-1771099-1179
in night games41-29+8.5149-148-371053-838-29.638-29147-134887-911
against left-handed starters21-11+7.879-59+8.9427-379-49.713-1862-69377-394
after a win34-25+3.3119-95-1.4847-680-30.227-30104-101739-720
when playing against a team with a winning record23-21+0.5108-110-13.3661-646-58.520-22103-104590-656
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season3-3-0.536-59-25331-360-60.51-545-47311-350
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TAMPA BAY - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/8/2013HERNANDEZ(R)MINNESOTADEDUNO(R)7-4W-1608.5 unO12601071
7/9/2013ARCHER(R)MINNESOTAGIBSON(R)4-1W-1708.5 unU541550
7/10/2013HELLICKSON(R)MINNESOTACORREIA(R)4-3W-1908 unU121501291
7/11/2013MOORE(L)MINNESOTAPELFREY(R)4-3W-2258 unU1060440
7/12/2013PRICE(L)HOUSTONCOSART(R)1-2L-3207.5 unU430831
7/13/2013HERNANDEZ(R)HOUSTONKEUCHEL(L)4-3W-2658 ovU850620
7/14/2013ARCHER(R)HOUSTONBEDARD(L)5-0W-2358.5 unU1280531
7/19/2013PRICE(L)@ TORONTOROGERS(R)8-5W-1308.5 unO1490862
7/20/2013HELLICKSON(R)@ TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)4-3W-1059 ovU121016101
7/21/2013ARCHER(R)@ TORONTODICKEY(R)4-3W1159 ovU8718110
7/22/2013MOORE(L)@ BOSTONWORKMAN(R) 
7/23/2013HERNANDEZ(R)@ BOSTONLESTER(L) 
7/24/2013PRICE(L)@ BOSTONDOUBRONT(L) 
7/25/2013HELLICKSON(R)@ BOSTONLACKEY(R) 
7/26/2013ARCHER(R)@ NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L) 
7/27/2013MOORE(L)@ NY YANKEESNOVA(R) 
7/28/2013HERNANDEZ(R)@ NY YANKEESHUGHES(R) 

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/8/2013LESTER(L)@ SEATTLEHERNANDEZ(R)4-11L1107 unO109115100
7/9/2013WEBSTER(R)@ SEATTLEIWAKUMA(R)11-8W1257.5 ovO161001360
7/10/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ SEATTLEHARANG(R)11-4W-1358 unO12100971
7/11/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ SEATTLERAMIREZ(L)8-7W-1358 ovO101021290
7/12/2013LACKEY(R)@ OAKLANDPARKER(R)4-2W1007.5 unU651362
7/13/2013LESTER(L)@ OAKLANDGRIFFIN(R)0-3L1108 unU780861
7/14/2013WORKMAN(R)@ OAKLANDCOLON(R)2-3L1458.5 unU991540
7/19/2013DOUBRONT(L)NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)4-2W-1709.5 evU851560
7/20/2013LACKEY(R)NY YANKEESKURODA(R)2-5L-1509 ovU7511271
7/21/2013DEMPSTER(R)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)8-7W-1408.5 unO1110313121
7/22/2013WORKMAN(R)TAMPA BAYMOORE(L) 
7/23/2013LESTER(L)TAMPA BAYHERNANDEZ(R) 
7/24/2013DOUBRONT(L)TAMPA BAYPRICE(L) 
7/25/2013LACKEY(R)TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R) 
7/26/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ BALTIMORETILLMAN(R) 
7/27/2013WORKMAN(R)@ BALTIMOREFELDMAN(R) 
7/28/2013LESTER(L)@ BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games58-41+7.247-454.70.2620.3304.00.2360.299
Road Games24-22+1.620-214.80.2580.3244.20.2430.313
vs Right-handed Starters38-31-0.934-304.50.2580.3254.50.2450.303
Past 7 Games6-1+2.91-64.30.2860.3312.70.1990.264
Grass Games20-20-0.618-174.80.2560.3234.20.2470.312
Night Games37-25+5.232-244.90.2750.3424.20.2350.297
Division23-24-5.921-234.60.2640.3284.40.2340.305
TAMPA BAY - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.70.2620.3309933708843001130.034423396935168686388074
Road Games4.80.2580.324461607415148550.032061563351931540243439
Righty Starters4.50.2580.325692352606206790.032962364893747163295357
TAMPA BAY - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.531.1752911191142242511831215-14271171.1%
Road Games3.731.297130.3575410410651395-813572.2%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games60-40+12.548-485.10.2760.3454.20.2510.320
Home Games33-17+7.223-255.20.2900.3554.30.2440.312
vs Left-handed Starters21-11+7.813-184.90.2720.3443.70.2540.322
Past 7 Games4-3+0.52-54.00.2340.2914.10.2360.309
Grass Games52-36+7.340-445.00.2810.3474.20.2500.318
Night Games41-29+8.538-295.30.2800.3494.40.2530.325
Division25-16+6.416-244.60.2540.3213.70.2390.308
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.10.2760.34510034759603481030.034943658127775895579273
Home Games5.20.2900.355501690490197490.032521703873236442354545
Lefty Starters4.90.2720.344321096298108350.031501212541924029163522
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.981.3812941411302893511730818-13211460%
Home Games4.791.4821398174148195813911-610855.6%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MATT MOORE recent results and season statistics
MATT MOORE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.441.28613-319107.35.642418385510815-4+9.310-8
Road Starts3.301.3176-1946.35.1171734427428-1+7.16-2
Last 3 Starts1.310.8233-0320.76.9331007253-0+31-2
MATT MOORE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/11/2013MINNESOTA4-3-2258Win,UnderW7.33330210PELFREY(R)
7/6/2013CHI WHITE SOX3-0-1357Win,UnderW6.3005026SALE(L)
7/1/2013at HOUSTON12-0-1558Win,OverW7002039KEUCHEL(L)

BRANDON WORKMAN recent results and season statistics
BRANDON WORKMAN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games5.400.8430-028.3-556219---
All Starts2.840.4740-016.36.32221150-1-10-1
Home Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts2.840.4740-016.36.32221150-1-10-1
BRANDON WORKMAN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/14/2013at OAKLAND2-3+1458.5Loss,Under 6.3222115COLON(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 24-24 (-1.3 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
28 of 48 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.2 Units)
Games this season
BOSTON is 9-3 (+6.6 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.6 Units)

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 13-11 (+4.5 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
17 of 24 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+9.0 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
BOSTON is 5-1 (+3.7 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
6/19/2013TAMPA BAY6+120  1510100HELLICKSON(R)W6270
 BOSTON2-1309.5 unUnder70051DEMPSTER(R)L6382
6/18/2013TAMPA BAY1+105 Under60081ARCHER(R)L4.7355
 BOSTON5-11510 unWin80180ACEVES(R)W5133
6/18/2013TAMPA BAY1+140 Under41030ODORIZZI(R) 5.7150
 BOSTON3-15010 unWin72060DOUBRONT(L) 8030
6/12/2013BOSTON2+130  51380ACEVES(R)W6144
 TAMPA BAY1-1409 unUnder61171ARCHER(R)L4244
6/11/2013BOSTON3-115 Over90281LESTER(L)L4.7787
 TAMPA BAY8+1058 unWin104190HERNANDEZ(R)W7382
6/10/2013BOSTON10+130  1503100LACKEY(R) 5.74101
 TAMPA BAY8-1407.5 ovOver1741131COBB(R) 4673
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MATT MOORE vs. BOSTON since 1997
MOORE is 1-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.89 and a WHIP of 1.255.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)
MATT MOORE recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/14/2013BOSTON5-3-1307.5Win,OverW6333128LACKEY(R)
5/17/2012BOSTON3-5-1208.5Loss,UnderL6335218DOUBRONT(L)
4/15/2012at BOSTON4-6-1159.5Loss,OverL6.3668245DOUBRONT(L)

BRANDON WORKMAN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.
BRANDON WORKMAN recent starts vs. TAMPA BAY
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TAMPA BAY in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-903, 126.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 58.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (210-149, +35.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 50% of the time since 1997. (1098-1096, -138.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 54.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (196-161, +10.7 units)
Edge=BOSTON
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 52.9% of the time since 1997. (813-723, -2.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 51.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (126-117, -5.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (925-852, -47.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 57.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (150-109, +27.5 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TAMPA BAY
[P] 06/15/2013 - Alex Cobb 7-day DL (6/15) ( Concussion )
[P] 07/16/2013 - Brandon Gomes 15-day DL (5/8) ( Back )
[P] 04/05/2013 - Jeff Niemann 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Juan Oviedo 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[RF] 07/22/2013 - Wil Myers is upgraded to probable Monday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Wrist )
[SS] 07/21/2013 - Yunel Escobar "?" Monday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Hamstring )
BOSTON
[P] 07/10/2013 - Alex Wilson 15-day DL (7/9) ( Thumb )
[P] 07/19/2013 - Andrew Bailey 15-day DL (7/13) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/07/2013 - Andrew Miller 60-day DL (7/7) ( Foot )
[P] 06/12/2013 - Clay Buchholz 15-day DL (6/9) ( Neck )
[C] 06/19/2013 - David Ross 60-day DL (6/15) ( Concussion )
[P] 06/27/2013 - Franklin Morales 15-day DL (6/23) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 60-day DL (5/9), out for season ( Elbow )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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