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Matchup Reports

Friday at 3:05 PM
TAMPA BAY (93-71) AT BOSTON (97-65) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
913: TAMPA BAY
914: BOSTON
7.5
-138
93-71
97-65
76-79-9
74-81-7
4.3 / 3.9
5.3 / 4.0
(L) M MOORE
(L) J LESTER
17-4
15-8
3.29
3.75
1.30
1.29
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Overcast   Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 84   Wind: East at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
TAMPA BAYMOORE +129 
BOSTONLESTER-129 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TAMPA BAY team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games93-71+1.6275-217+12.21208-1409-63.876-79207-2601177-1328
as a road underdog of +125 to +1501-10-8.717-25-2.1121-176-10.24-622-17134-145
in road games42-41-4.8131-116+13537-773-78.638-40114-120617-634
in October games1-0+13-4-1.626-26-1.20-12-517-33
when playing on Friday14-11-1.645-31+6.5182-229-39.519-641-33192-204
when playing with a day off5-11-8.620-26-9.8109-157-28.110-620-26124-132
against division opponents43-33+1.8126-94+12.8519-595+28.533-4091-120507-565
in day games28-25-3.793-74+1.3413-466-622-3070-92381-462
in games played on a grass field37-37-5114-106+6.8450-657-78.733-3699-110527-534
against left-handed starters31-24-1.590-68+13.6336-402-35.923-2869-79339-369
in playoff games1-0+12-3-0.612-13-0.80-12-39-15
after shutting out their opponent7-10-6.819-27-15.260-69-98-723-2156-71
after a win56-36+6.9157-114+16.1590-613-3.636-51110-148530-617
after 3 or more consecutive wins20-13+0.755-40+2.6146-142-10.311-2033-56122-151
when playing against a team with a winning record50-42+1.2146-133-4.4589-777-4538-50114-151608-702
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season22-18+0.180-64+8.5326-430-9.816-2357-83335-394

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games97-65+18.4258-230-311569-1258-38.274-81234-2311310-1375
as a home favorite of -125 to -15017-14-2.640-31-3.3202-142+59-2237-31158-171
in home games53-28+12.4134-111-26.8836-577-21.834-43123-109669-668
in October games0-000-3-357-40+180-02-147-45
when playing on Friday15-8+5.938-35-6.3241-195+2.711-1139-29199-210
against division opponents44-32+6.6108-112-26.4638-542-44.430-45103-111565-564
in day games28-15+8.681-61+4.7475-387-9.114-2865-73392-425
in games played on a grass field86-58+13.2229-205-36.31385-1078-9.165-72206-2051124-1207
against left-handed starters33-22+691-70+7.1439-390-51.521-3170-82385-407
in playoff games0-000-0038-32+4.30-00-033-34
after a loss43-21+19.2119-114-23.5698-556-4.328-32110-110548-633
when playing against a team with a winning record46-40+1.3131-129-12.5684-665-57.637-47120-129607-681
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season26-22+0.359-78-24.1354-379-59.618-3062-72328-375
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TAMPA BAY - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/20/2013PRICE(L)BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R)5-4W-1807.5 unO1416012131
9/21/2013COBB(R)BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R)5-1W-1457.5 unU760551
9/22/2013ROMERO(L)BALTIMOREFELDMAN(R)3-1W+1057.5 ovU651350
9/23/2013ARCHER(R)BALTIMORECHEN(L)5-4W-1257 ovO9801080
9/24/2013MOORE(L)@ NY YANKEESKURODA(R)7-0W-1057.5 unU9604112
9/25/2013PRICE(L)@ NY YANKEESHUGHES(R)8-3W-1607.5 unO1590872
9/26/2013COBB(R)@ NY YANKEESNOVA(R)4-0W-1307.5 unU1160330
9/27/2013HELLICKSON(R)@ TORONTODICKEY(R)3-6L-1307.5 ovO753872
9/28/2013ARCHER(R)@ TORONTOHAPP(L)2-7L-1657.5 ovO6401280
9/29/2013MOORE(L)@ TORONTOREDMOND(R)7-6W-1807.5 ovO93012110
9/30/2013PRICE(L)@ TEXASPEREZ(L)5-2W-1207.5 unU780741
10/2/2013COBB(R)@ CLEVELANDSALAZAR(R)4-0W-1107 unU860991
10/4/2013MOORE(L)@ BOSTONLESTER(L) 
10/5/2013PRICE(L)@ BOSTONLACKEY(R) 

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/20/2013LESTER(L)TORONTOROGERS(R)6-3W-2058.5 evO12821090
9/21/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)2-4L-1458 unU541971
9/22/2013DOUBRONT(L)TORONTODICKEY(R)5-2W-1508.5 unU610650
9/24/2013LACKEY(R)@ COLORADOCHATWOOD(R)3-8L-15010 ovO7601172
9/25/2013PEAVY(R)@ COLORADOCHACIN(R)15-5W-12010 ovO16701061
9/27/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ BALTIMOREFELDMAN(R)12-3W-1307.5 ovO1660850
9/28/2013LESTER(L)@ BALTIMORECHEN(L)5-6L-1258 unO14901271
9/29/2013WEBSTER(R)@ BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)6-7L1358.5 unO13901081
10/4/2013LESTER(L)TAMPA BAYMOORE(L) 
10/5/2013LACKEY(R)TAMPA BAYPRICE(L) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games93-71+1.676-794.30.2560.3283.90.2400.301
Road Games42-41-4.838-404.30.2580.3254.10.2510.318
vs Left-handed Starters31-24-1.623-284.50.2580.3333.50.2340.303
Past 7 Games5-2+24-34.70.2600.3093.40.2530.312
Grass Games37-37-533-364.30.2590.3284.10.2520.315
Day Games28-25-3.722-303.80.2320.3044.00.2470.313
Division43-33+1.833-404.40.2590.3243.90.2300.298
Playoff games1-0+10-14.00.2350.2780.00.2570.278
TAMPA BAY - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2560.328164557214294861660.03674591118273117815860148119
Road Games4.30.2580.325832877743255850.033422866093459285397164
Lefty Starters4.50.2580.333551862481159520.032342073942541147165134
TAMPA BAY - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.561.2005012081984074319452127-24421870%
Road Games4.391.398239.6124117220231152577-1523874.2%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games97-65+18.474-815.30.2770.3444.00.2480.313
Home Games53-28+12.434-435.20.2850.3514.00.2430.305
vs Left-handed Starters33-22+621-314.90.2730.3383.70.2470.312
Past 7 Games3-4-2.25-26.90.3000.3385.00.2830.353
Grass Games86-58+13.265-725.30.2820.3484.10.2500.313
Day Games28-15+8.614-285.00.2730.3423.60.2430.305
Division44-32+6.730-454.80.2640.3283.70.2390.306
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.30.2770.344162565115645711780.038195811308123121115880142133
Home Games5.20.2850.351812737780306830.034062786315558679466876
Lefty Starters4.90.2730.338551887515185610.032621844282938950265047
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.711.3174702051944464717346430-23332358.9%
Home Games3.681.33923010194226238221616-9171160.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MATT MOORE recent results and season statistics
MATT MOORE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.291.29717-427150.35.65855119147614321-6+12.814-12
Road Starts2.741.28910-11685.35.32726637477114-2+11.69-6
Last 3 Starts5.021.8142-1314.34.89816310142-1+12-1
MATT MOORE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/29/2013at TORONTO7-6-1807.5Win,OverW5.3336034REDMOND(R)
9/24/2013at NY YANKEES7-0-1057.5Win,UnderW5003064KURODA(R)
9/19/2013TEXAS2-8+1056.5Loss,OverL4657316DARVISH(R)

JON LESTER recent results and season statistics
JON LESTER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.751.28915-833213.36.59489208196717719-14+2.816-15
Home Starts3.091.1577-11387.36.73030796227711-2+7.66-7
Last 3 Starts2.701.1502-03206.7661716172-1+0.82-1
JON LESTER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/28/2013at BALTIMORE5-6-1258Loss,Over 5449124CHEN(L)
9/20/2013TORONTO6-3-2058.5Win,OverW7115028ROGERS(R)
9/14/2013NY YANKEES5-1-1559Win,UnderW8113025SABATHIA(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 27-28 (-1.7 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
34 of 55 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+10.0 Units)
Games this season
BOSTON is 12-7 (+6.2 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
14 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+8.4 Units)

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 16-12 (+6.5 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
21 of 28 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+13.0 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
BOSTON is 6-4 (+1.7 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
10 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+10.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
9/12/2013BOSTON3-105 Under62171PEAVY(R) 6345
 TAMPA BAY4-1058 unWin61070HELLICKSON(R) 5.3343
9/11/2013BOSTON7+130  91060DEMPSTER(R) 5145
 TAMPA BAY3-1407.5 unOver610100COBB(R) 5.7373
9/10/2013BOSTON2+135  40130BUCHHOLZ(R)W5031
 TAMPA BAY0-1457 unUnder40040PRICE(L)L8230
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MATT MOORE vs. BOSTON since 1997
MOORE is 2-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 0.951.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)
MATT MOORE recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/22/2013at BOSTON3-0-1259Win,UnderW9002014WORKMAN(R)
5/14/2013BOSTON5-3-1307.5Win,OverW6333128LACKEY(R)
5/17/2012BOSTON3-5-1208.5Loss,UnderL6335218DOUBRONT(L)

JON LESTER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
LESTER is 12-11 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.35 and a WHIP of 1.314.
His team's record is 16-12 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 16-12. (+2.4 units)
JON LESTER recent starts vs. TAMPA BAY
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/23/2013TAMPA BAY6-2-1409.5Win,UnderW6.3227208HERNANDEZ(R)
6/11/2013at TAMPA BAY3-8-1158Loss,OverL4.7778373HERNANDEZ(R)
5/15/2013at TAMPA BAY9-2+1157Win,OverW7228005PRICE(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-935, 112.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 56.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (234-181, +21.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (1120-1127, -149.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 53.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (218-192, -0.6 units)
Edge=TAMPA BAY
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 52.9% of the time since 1997. (844-751, -3.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 52% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (157-145, -6.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 52% of the time since 1997. (954-880, -49.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 56.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (179-137, +24.8 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TAMPA BAY
[OF] 08/03/2013 - Brandon Guyer 15-day DL (8/4) ( Finger )
[P] 04/05/2013 - Jeff Niemann 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Juan Oviedo 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
BOSTON
[P] 07/19/2013 - Andrew Bailey 15-day DL (7/13) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/10/2013 - Alex Wilson 60-day DL (7/9) ( Thumb )
[P] 07/07/2013 - Andrew Miller 60-day DL (7/7) ( Foot )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 60-day DL (5/9), out for season ( Elbow )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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