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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 1:05 PM
TAMPA BAY (4-5) AT BOSTON (5-4) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
915: TAMPA BAY
916: BOSTON
8.0
-121
4-5
5-4
4-4-1
5-4-0
3.6 / 4.9
5.1 / 3.4
(L) D PRICE
(L) J LESTER
0-1
2-0
8.18
1.50
2.00
1.00
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy and Breezy   Temperature: 51.0 °
Humidity: 36   Wind: from the Northwest at 21.9 gusting to 28.8 MPH (19 gusting t
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
TAMPA BAYPRICE-208
BOSTONLESTER +208 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TAMPA BAY team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after a win1-2-2102-80+7.2535-579-12.52-176-98496-567
when playing against a team with a winning record2-2+0.198-93-5.4541-737-46.10-376-104570-655
in all games4-5-2.5186-151+8.21119-1343-67.84-4135-1851105-1253
as a road underdog of +100 to +1251-1+0.121-27-3.7102-142-28.50-222-23119-113
in road games1-2-0.990-77+17496-734-74.70-276-82579-596
in April games4-5-2.534-25+6.8169-205-11.54-423-34178-179
when playing on Saturday1-0+127-27-6.1189-209+2.50-122-26179-200
against division opponents1-2-1.784-63+9.3477-564+25.13-061-80477-525
in day games1-3-3.566-52+1.5386-444-5.83-151-63362-433
in games played on a grass field1-2-0.978-71+11414-622-74.50-266-76494-500
against left-handed starters2-0+2.161-44+17.2307-378-32.31-147-52317-342
after shutting out their opponent1-1-0.913-18-9.254-60-3.11-116-1549-65

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games5-4+0.9166-169-48.51477-1197-55.75-4165-1541241-1298
at home with a money line of -100 to -1250-1-1.217-17-2107-103-10.60-120-12100-97
as a home favorite of -125 to -1501-2-1.624-19-2.3186-130+5.91-229-11150-151
in home games1-2-1.682-85-40.8784-551-35.81-290-68636-627
in April games5-4+0.927-30-11.4229-161+26.25-429-24177-188
when playing on Saturday0-1-127-27-6227-207-32.80-130-22221-194
when playing with a day off1-1-0.314-21-11.4196-136+16.92-017-17148-163
against division opponents5-4+0.969-84-32.2599-514-50.25-478-70540-523
in day games3-1+2.256-47-1.8450-373-15.62-253-47380-399
in games played on a grass field3-3-0.5146-150-501302-1023-22.83-3144-1361062-1138
against left-handed starters2-2060-50+1.1408-370-57.51-350-54365-379
after a loss2-1+1.278-94-41.5657-536-22.42-184-79522-602
when playing against a team with a losing record2-2+0.171-64-24.2746-507-7.23-167-62594-591
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TAMPA BAY - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/2/2013PRICE(L)BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R)4-7L-1607 unO6201381
4/3/2013HELLICKSON(R)BALTIMORECHEN(L)8-7W-1357 ovO14301150
4/4/2013HERNANDEZ(R)BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R)3-6L-1108 evO740970
4/5/2013MOORE(L)CLEVELANDMCALLISTER(R)4-0W-1557.5 unU730241
4/6/2013COBB(R)CLEVELANDBAUER(R)6-0W-1608 unU9120560
4/7/2013PRICE(L)CLEVELANDMASTERSON(R)0-13L-1907 unO4801760
4/8/2013HELLICKSON(R)@ TEXASOGANDO(R)4-5L1409 unP781851
4/9/2013HERNANDEZ(R)@ TEXASTEPESCH(R)1-6L11510.5 unU4511080
4/10/2013MOORE(L)@ TEXASHOLLAND(L)2-0W1108.5 unU6705101
4/13/2013PRICE(L)@ BOSTONLESTER(L) 
4/14/2013HELLICKSON(R)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R) 
4/15/2013HERNANDEZ(R)@ BOSTONDEMPSTER(R) 
4/16/2013MOORE(L)@ BALTIMOREARRIETA(R) 
4/17/2013 @ BALTIMORE  
4/18/2013 @ BALTIMORE  
4/19/2013 OAKLAND  
4/20/2013 OAKLAND  

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/1/2013LESTER(L)@ NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)8-2W1008 unO13130680
4/3/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ NY YANKEESKURODA(R)7-4W1107.5 unO14100970
4/4/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)2-4L1108 unU950850
4/5/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ TORONTOJOHNSON(R)6-4W1308.5 unO121501293
4/6/2013LACKEY(R)@ TORONTOHAPP(L)0-5L1309 unU240861
4/7/2013LESTER(L)@ TORONTODICKEY(R)13-0W1158 unO1560780
4/8/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)BALTIMORECHEN(L)3-1W-1459 ovU520570
4/10/2013DEMPSTER(R)BALTIMOREARRIETA(R)5-8L-1409 unO532640
4/11/2013ACEVES(R)BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)2-3L-1259 unU8809100
4/13/2013LESTER(L)TAMPA BAYPRICE(L) 
4/14/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R) 
4/15/2013DEMPSTER(R)TAMPA BAYHERNANDEZ(R) 
4/16/2013ACEVES(R)@ CLEVELANDJIMENEZ(R) 
4/17/2013 @ CLEVELAND  
4/18/2013 @ CLEVELAND  
4/19/2013 KANSAS CITY  
4/20/2013 KANSAS CITY  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games4-5-2.54-43.60.2270.2994.90.2640.332
Road Games1-2-0.90-22.30.1790.2643.70.2500.349
vs Left-handed Starters2-0+2.11-15.00.3030.3333.50.2460.347
Past 7 Games3-4-1.92-42.90.2030.2944.30.2450.319
Grass Games1-2-0.90-22.30.1790.2643.70.2500.349
Day Games1-3-3.53-12.20.1900.2636.50.3010.378
Division1-2-1.73-05.00.2840.3136.70.3000.353
TAMPA BAY - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.60.2270.2999282641740.0130295045292108
Road Games2.30.1790.26439517400.00611141201253
Lefty Starters5.00.3030.33326620720.0393100103041
TAMPA BAY - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games5.841.45924.716162957171-11233.3%
Road Games2.251.50082290350-010100%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games5-4+0.95-45.10.2650.3373.40.2340.304
Home Games1-2-1.61-23.30.1960.2604.00.2020.307
vs Left-handed Starters2-201-33.20.2280.3103.00.2160.300
Past 7 Games3-4-1.23-44.40.2390.3073.60.2380.310
Grass Games3-3-0.53-34.50.2660.3353.70.2190.308
Day Games3-1+2.22-26.00.2570.3402.00.2000.262
Division5-4+0.95-45.10.2650.3373.40.2340.304
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.10.2650.33793138330110.044634718668254
Home Games3.30.1960.26039218730.03108200132221
Lefty Starters3.20.2280.310412729710.011315272244022
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.711.22128.7151523712321-23260%
Home Games6.301.4001077836130-21150%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
DAVID PRICE recent results and season statistics
DAVID PRICE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts8.182.0000-12115.51010173570-2-3.52-0
Road Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts8.182.0000-12115.51010173570-2-3.52-0
DAVID PRICE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/7/2013CLEVELAND0-13-1907Loss,OverL58810233MASTERSON(R)
4/2/2013BALTIMORE4-7-1607Loss,Over 6227124HAMMEL(R)
9/30/2012at CHI WHITE SOX6-2-1657.5Win,OverW7225024QUINTANA(L)

JON LESTER recent results and season statistics
JON LESTER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts1.501.0002-02126.0221002132-0+2.22-0
Home Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts1.501.0002-02126.0221002132-0+2.22-0
JON LESTER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/7/2013at TORONTO13-0+1158Win,OverW7005006DICKEY(R)
4/1/2013at NY YANKEES8-2+1008Win,OverW5225027SABATHIA(L)
10/2/2012at NY YANKEES3-4+1708.5Loss,Under 5108011PHELPS(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 21-15 (+6.2 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
20 of 36 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)
Games this season
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 12-6 (+8.3 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
11 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
DAVID PRICE vs. BOSTON since 1997
PRICE is 8-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.215.
His team's record is 10-5 (+4.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-6. (+1.7 units)
DAVID PRICE recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/25/2012at BOSTON5-2-1608Win,UnderW92270013BUCHHOLZ(R)
9/20/2012BOSTON7-4-2157Win,Over 7.3338017BUCHHOLZ(R)
7/14/2012BOSTON5-3-1657.5Win,OverW7.3326138BUCHHOLZ(R)

JON LESTER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
LESTER is 10-10 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.35 and a WHIP of 1.293.
His team's record is 13-11 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 14-10. (+2.7 units)
JON LESTER recent starts vs. TAMPA BAY
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/26/2012TAMPA BAY2-4+1209Loss,UnderL6334215COBB(R)
5/25/2012TAMPA BAY4-7-1459Loss,OverL4776334COBB(R)
9/17/2011TAMPA BAY3-4-1708Loss,UnderL7445145NIEMANN(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-871, 112.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 57.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (161-117, +21.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (1059-1054, -130.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 56.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (157-119, +19.1 units)
Edge=TAMPA BAY
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 53.3% of the time since 1997. (778-682, +8.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 54.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (91-76, +5.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (879-818, -55.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 58.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (104-75, +18.8 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TAMPA BAY
[DH] 04/02/2013 - Luke Scott 15-day DL (3/24) ( Calf )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Juan Oviedo 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/05/2013 - Jeff Niemann 15-day DL (3/28) ( Shoulder )
BOSTON
[DH] 03/29/2013 - David Ortiz 15-day DL (3/22) ( Heel )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
[P] 04/01/2013 - Craig Breslow 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/01/2013 - Franklin Morales 15-day DL (3/22) ( Back )
[P] 04/10/2013 - John Lackey 15-day DL (4/6) ( Bicep )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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