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Matchup Reports

Friday at 8:10 PM
TAMPA BAY (48-45) AT MINNESOTA (42-49) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
919: TAMPA BAY
920: MINNESOTA
8.5
-105
48-45
42-49
37-53-3
43-45-3
3.9 / 3.8
4.4 / 4.5
(R) N EOVALDI
(R) J ODORIZZI
3-3
4-6
3.35
4.28
0.81
1.42
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 55.0 °
Humidity: 49   Wind: West at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
TAMPA BAYEOVALDI-114 
MINNESOTAODORIZZI +114 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TAMPA BAY team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games48-45+9196-220-25.41561-1799-134.337-53192-2101519-1693
when the total is 8 to 8.516-24-8.283-95-13.6440-454-14.415-2389-85411-455
on the road when the money line is +125 to -12513-7+6.455-57-2.9308-356-49.310-1060-44312-314
in road games22-28-2.792-120-18708-977-106.820-30101-101788-817
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.57-14-6.837-50-8.6206-253-11.28-1343-43221-226
in July games7-4+2.228-33-7.9246-281-15.53-820-38219-280
when playing on Friday6-8-0.426-40-13.8237-294-53.13-1029-34244-265
in night games27-25+3.9121-142-23.51019-1195-11019-31124-1311020-1096
against right-handed starters30-32+0.2141-152-16.41121-1281-83.127-33135-1491081-1220
after a loss17-28-8.896-124-27.9788-999-109.617-2795-121800-912
when playing against a team with a losing record22-12+792-81-2.5694-703-57.615-1982-86624-708
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season6-4+0.934-34-7.7343-310-3.43-726-40282-334

MINNESOTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games42-49-8.5186-230-28.21698-1822-4543-45212-1841611-1731
when the total is 8 to 8.517-16+2.461-77-9.8498-552-33.814-1872-62514-498
at home when the money line is +125 to -1257-12-646-70-26.8435-449-22.511-765-44415-426
in home games26-20+3.497-111-21.7906-855-45.620-24110-89823-850
at home when the total is 8 to 8.511-5+6.632-33-1.5268-257-15.46-1036-27266-245
in July games7-5+1.632-31+2.7288-275+29.36-630-29251-280
when playing on Friday5-7-128-36-3.4271-282+68-337-22278-249
in night games23-29-7.2120-139-9.31129-1177-2.726-25135-1111072-1120
against right-handed starters31-34-4.8128-167-32.81208-1271-10.333-30152-1301132-1208
after a win22-19+1.889-93+2.6861-822+4818-2291-84763-829
when playing against a team with a winning record21-29-3.382-122-15715-937-78.425-24101-95756-818
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season1-2-0.732-54-10.7352-499-69.80-339-42374-428
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TAMPA BAY - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/29/2018FONT(R)HOUSTONCOLE(R)3-2W+1657 evU580332
6/30/2018STANEK(R)HOUSTONVERLANDER(R)5-2W+1557 unP1071550
7/1/2018SNELL(L)HOUSTONMORTON(R)3-2W+1357 unU871550
7/2/2018EOVALDI(R)@ MIAMICHEN(L)2-3L-1307.5 unU66012101
7/3/2018YARBROUGH(L)@ MIAMIRICHARDS(R)9-6W1007.5 evO2013115141
7/4/2018ANDRIESE(R)@ MIAMIURENA(R)0-3L-1407.5 unU440670
7/6/2018STANEK(R)@ NY METSDEGROM(R)1-5L1507 unU572670
7/7/2018SNELL(L)@ NY METSMATZ(L)3-0W-1357 ovU9110770
7/8/2018EOVALDI(R)@ NY METSFLEXEN(R)9-0W-1158 ovO990220
7/9/2018ARCHER(R)DETROITLIRIANO(L)10-9W-2107.5 unO1710213110
7/10/2018STANEK(R)DETROITBOYD(L)5-2W-1807.5 unU650540
7/11/2018WOOD(R)DETROITZIMMERMANN(R)4-2W-1357.5 unU1291760
7/12/2018SNELL(L)@ MINNESOTAGIBSON(R)1-5L-1408 unU771750
7/13/2018EOVALDI(R)@ MINNESOTAODORIZZI(R) 
7/14/2018ARCHER(R)@ MINNESOTABERRIOS(R) 
7/15/2018ANDRIESE(R)@ MINNESOTASLEGERS(R) 
7/20/2018 MIAMI  

MINNESOTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/29/2018BERRIOS(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSMONTGOMERY(L)6-10L1259.5 evO10901282
6/30/2018MEJIA(L)@ CHICAGO CUBSCHATWOOD(R)9-14L12510.5 evO117020110
7/1/2018LYNN(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSLESTER(L)10-11L17012 unO1611114101
7/2/2018GIBSON(R)@ MILWAUKEESUTER(L)5-6L1258 unO115214122
7/3/2018ODORIZZI(R)@ MILWAUKEEGUERRA(R)0-2L1408.5 ovU281461
7/4/2018BERRIOS(R)@ MILWAUKEEANDERSON(R)2-3L1058.5 evU641640
7/5/2018SLEGERS(R)BALTIMORECASHNER(R)5-2W-13510 unU970551
7/6/2018LYNN(R)BALTIMOREBUNDY(R)6-2W-1358.5 ovU115111101
7/7/2018GIBSON(R)BALTIMOREGAUSMAN(R)5-4W-1408.5 ovO850761
7/8/2018ODORIZZI(R)BALTIMORECOBB(R)10-1W-14010 evO1140761
7/9/2018BERRIOS(R)KANSAS CITYDUFFY(L)3-1W-2058.5 ovU11120770
7/10/2018SLEGERS(R)KANSAS CITYKENNEDY(R)4-9L-16510 evO9601591
7/11/2018LYNN(R)KANSAS CITYSMITH(R)8-5W-2059.5 evO1591981
7/12/2018GIBSON(R)TAMPA BAYSNELL(L)5-1W+1308 unU750771
7/13/2018ODORIZZI(R)TAMPA BAYEOVALDI(R) 
7/14/2018BERRIOS(R)TAMPA BAYARCHER(R) 
7/15/2018SLEGERS(R)TAMPA BAYANDRIESE(R) 
7/20/2018 @ KANSAS CITY  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games48-45+937-533.90.2510.3150.3830.6983.80.2230.2900.3550.645
Road Games22-28-2.720-303.70.2440.3050.3790.6844.30.2370.3060.3820.688
vs Right-handed Starters30-32+0.227-333.90.2510.3140.3800.6944.10.2270.2920.3700.662
Past 7 Games5-2+2.62-54.70.2660.3320.4550.7873.30.2060.2700.2980.568
Grass Games22-28-2.720-303.70.2440.3050.3790.6844.30.2370.3060.3820.688
Night Games27-25+3.919-314.10.2530.3150.3840.6993.50.2210.2810.3480.629
TAMPA BAY - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.90.2510.31593316579513819800.3833432968235666299517835
Road Games3.70.2440.3055017544287510470.3791781544662634657314224
Righty Starters3.90.2510.3146221195329214510.3802221945524344164374629
TAMPA BAY - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.481.1794291801663614314538523-22281171.8%
Road Games4.231.28721911210320525771979-1414766.7%

MINNESOTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games42-49-8.543-454.40.2420.3090.3910.7004.50.2550.3210.4080.729
Home Games26-20+3.420-244.40.2540.3230.4130.7364.10.2470.3100.3810.691
vs Right-handed Starters31-34-4.833-304.60.2460.3140.4060.7204.70.2560.3250.4140.739
Past 7 Games6-1+4.64-35.90.3010.3530.4730.8263.30.2580.3040.3930.697
Grass Games42-46-5.540-454.30.2420.3100.3900.7004.40.2520.3180.4030.722
Night Games23-29-7.226-254.20.2390.3060.3830.6894.70.2590.3210.4160.737
MINNESOTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2420.30991311175217313880.3913743057563060464477144
Home Games4.40.2540.323461501381929430.4131911543611429636213618
Righty Starters4.60.2460.3146522395511329690.4062822235242543650304932
MINNESOTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.391.381323.71671583434910433814-18211656.8%
Home Games4.121.311161.7777416421481576-714670%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
NATHAN EOVALDI recent results and season statistics
NATHAN EOVALDI - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.350.8073-3848.36.018183396443-5-1.32-6
Road Starts3.620.8572-3637.36.215152874322-4-2.11-5
Last 3 Starts0.950.6842-03196.3221013232-1+1.51-2
NATHAN EOVALDI - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/8/2018at NY METS9-0-1158Win,OverW7001009FLEXEN(R)
7/2/2018at MIAMI2-3-1307.5Loss,Under 6228115CHEN(L)
6/26/2018WASHINGTON1-0+1807Win,UnderW6001029SCHERZER(R)

JAKE ODORIZZI recent results and season statistics
JAKE ODORIZZI - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.281.4174-61996.75.149469315441028-11-37-11
Home Starts4.271.4503-28405.0201943415424-4-0.43-5
Last 3 Starts1.061.1761-13175.7221218222-1+11-2
JAKE ODORIZZI - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/8/2018BALTIMORE10-1-14010Win,OverW6005015COBB(R)
7/3/2018at MILWAUKEE0-2+1408.5Loss,UnderL5224149GUERRA(R)
6/28/2018at CHI WHITE SOX2-1-1159.5Win,Under 6003038GIOLITO(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 11-6 (+3.1 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
12 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.6 Units)
Games this season
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 (+1.6 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

All games at MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 5-3 (+1.3 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)
Games played at MINNESOTA this season.
MINNESOTA is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
7/12/2018TAMPA BAY1-140 Under70071SNELL(L)L3353
 MINNESOTA5+1308 unWin71150GIBSON(R)W8150
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
NATHAN EOVALDI vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
EOVALDI is 2-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.79 and a WHIP of 1.215.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)
NATHAN EOVALDI recent starts vs. MINNESOTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/26/2016MINNESOTA1-7-1809.5Loss,UnderL6556434DUFFEY(R)
6/19/2016at MINNESOTA4-7-1559Loss,OverL5.3446122SANTANA(R)
8/19/2015MINNESOTA4-3-1659Win,UnderW7334028SANTANA(R)

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.
JAKE ODORIZZI recent starts vs. TAMPA BAY
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TAMPA BAY in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 54.3% of the time since 1997. (1502-1262, +91.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 49.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (185-187, -22.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (1398-1439, -221.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 47.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (165-182, -36.6 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 52.5% of the time since 1997. (1187-1076, -33.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 50.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (191-189, -22.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (1198-1192, -150.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 49.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (185-186, -22.1 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TAMPA BAY
[P] 07/11/2018 - Jose Alvarado is out indefinitely ( Personal )
[P] 07/08/2018 - Chaz Roe 10-day DL (07/08) ( Knee )
[P] 07/04/2018 - Vidal Nuno 10-day DL (07/04) ( Hamstring )
[P] 06/30/2018 - Wilmer Font 60-day DL (06/30) ( Side )
[P] 06/26/2018 - Jonny Venters 10-day DL (06/25) ( Rest )
[3B] 06/18/2018 - Christian Arroyo 10-day DL (06/17) ( Oblique )
[P] 05/23/2018 - Jake Faria 60-day DL (05/23) ( Side )
[P] 04/11/2018 - Jose De Leon 60-day DL (03/28) ( Elbow )
MINNESOTA
[P] 07/11/2018 - Addison Reed 10-day DL (07/11) ( Triceps )
[SS] 06/29/2018 - Taylor Motter 7-day DL (06/29) ( Concussion )
[C] 06/10/2018 - Jason Castro is out for season ( Knee )
[CF] 05/31/2018 - Byron Buxton 10-day DL (05/30) ( Toe )
[P] 05/06/2018 - Ervin Santana 60-day DL (03/29) ( Finger )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Michael Pineda 60-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Trevor May 60-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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