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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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TORONTO | SANCHEZ | -121 | | BALTIMORE | TILLMAN | +121 | |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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in all games | 18-24 | -8.4 | 210-176 | -12.5 | 1659-1642 | -57 | 20-19 | 169-195 | 1527-1621 | when the total is 9 to 9.5 | 3-4 | -1.2 | 79-53 | +5 | 699-652 | +14.6 | 3-2 | 56-67 | 635-641 | on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 | 4-9 | -4.8 | 51-55 | -4.6 | 399-426 | -22.8 | 6-6 | 48-49 | 384-407 | in road games | 8-13 | -3.6 | 95-97 | -10.6 | 755-893 | -58.7 | 12-7 | 89-90 | 756-823 | on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 | 0-3 | -3 | 25-22 | -2 | 276-345 | -40.6 | 2-0 | 24-20 | 294-297 | in May games | 10-7 | +3.7 | 39-36 | -0.5 | 316-271 | +44.3 | 10-6 | 35-37 | 271-293 | when playing on Friday | 3-3 | -0.2 | 34-29 | -1.3 | 261-266 | -22 | 5-1 | 32-29 | 259-252 | against division opponents | 8-14 | -6.9 | 91-84 | -10.2 | 687-717 | -18 | 10-12 | 74-93 | 650-687 | in night games | 11-17 | -8 | 124-110 | -15.6 | 1052-1057 | -44.4 | 15-11 | 101-123 | 988-1034 | against right-handed starters | 16-17 | -1.6 | 160-132 | -0.4 | 1237-1199 | -11.4 | 15-16 | 131-145 | 1111-1213 | after shutting out their opponent | 1-1 | 0 | 15-7 | +6.7 | 94-106 | -20.7 | 1-1 | 6-15 | 92-102 | after a win | 7-11 | -3.8 | 109-101 | -17.1 | 822-826 | -65.3 | 8-8 | 91-104 | 747-820 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 5-10 | -5.5 | 115-91 | +3.6 | 792-884 | -9.2 | 8-7 | 87-112 | 781-819 |
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in all games | 23-16 | +6.6 | 193-171 | +18.2 | 1566-1735 | -78.6 | 20-18 | 160-190 | 1535-1611 | when the total is 9 to 9.5 | 8-9 | -1.5 | 47-53 | -10.1 | 670-723 | -42.4 | 9-8 | 48-48 | 630-685 | at home when the money line is +125 to -125 | 8-2 | +5.8 | 58-40 | +16.3 | 409-396 | +4.1 | 5-4 | 42-50 | 369-397 | in home games | 13-3 | +9.6 | 112-66 | +34.1 | 838-806 | -53.2 | 8-7 | 75-95 | 746-818 | at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 | 3-0 | +3 | 24-22 | -2.9 | 375-375 | -50.9 | 2-1 | 18-24 | 320-384 | in May games | 8-8 | +0.1 | 35-37 | -4.8 | 272-298 | -27.5 | 8-8 | 31-38 | 273-273 | when playing on Friday | 4-2 | +2.2 | 30-26 | +4 | 257-266 | +12.8 | 3-3 | 27-27 | 225-268 | against division opponents | 15-9 | +6.4 | 94-83 | +16.2 | 630-782 | -62.8 | 12-11 | 76-93 | 647-687 | in night games | 18-10 | +8.4 | 134-120 | +10.2 | 1088-1167 | -10.6 | 13-15 | 101-147 | 1023-1113 | against right-handed starters | 14-9 | +4.6 | 139-118 | +19.8 | 1136-1198 | +21.7 | 14-9 | 120-128 | 1088-1131 | after a loss | 8-7 | +0.8 | 85-85 | -1.7 | 767-952 | -116.3 | 10-5 | 74-92 | 808-824 | when playing against a team with a losing record | 4-7 | -3.6 | 78-61 | +5.7 | 712-623 | +7.7 | 5-6 | 60-75 | 623-650 |
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Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 18-24 | -8.4 | 20-19 | 4.2 | 0.239 | 0.302 | 0.388 | 0.689 | 4.5 | 0.254 | 0.321 | 0.398 | 0.720 | Road Games | 8-13 | -3.6 | 12-7 | 4.5 | 0.237 | 0.301 | 0.392 | 0.694 | 4.9 | 0.254 | 0.330 | 0.402 | 0.733 | vs Right-handed Starters | 16-17 | -1.6 | 15-16 | 4.1 | 0.237 | 0.298 | 0.382 | 0.681 | 4.2 | 0.245 | 0.313 | 0.374 | 0.687 | Past 7 Games | 4-3 | +0.4 | 5-2 | 5.4 | 0.269 | 0.331 | 0.487 | 0.818 | 4.4 | 0.272 | 0.319 | 0.383 | 0.702 | Grass Games | 5-9 | -2.8 | 9-3 | 4.8 | 0.260 | 0.324 | 0.417 | 0.742 | 4.9 | 0.266 | 0.330 | 0.410 | 0.741 | Night Games | 11-17 | -8 | 15-11 | 4.6 | 0.248 | 0.313 | 0.397 | 0.710 | 4.7 | 0.260 | 0.327 | 0.407 | 0.733 | Division | 8-14 | -6.9 | 10-12 | 3.7 | 0.231 | 0.287 | 0.365 | 0.652 | 4.5 | 0.245 | 0.320 | 0.405 | 0.725 |
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All Games | 4.2 | 0.239 | 0.302 | 42 | 1429 | 341 | 63 | 3 | 48 | 0.388 | 166 | 129 | 338 | 17 | 266 | 46 | 28 | 44 | 20 | Road Games | 4.5 | 0.237 | 0.301 | 21 | 744 | 176 | 31 | 2 | 27 | 0.392 | 89 | 69 | 180 | 4 | 131 | 25 | 15 | 24 | 12 | Righty Starters | 4.1 | 0.237 | 0.298 | 33 | 1119 | 265 | 52 | 3 | 35 | 0.382 | 128 | 98 | 252 | 13 | 205 | 35 | 22 | 31 | 17 |
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All Games | 4.06 | 1.281 | 155.3 | 75 | 70 | 136 | 18 | 63 | 165 | 9-8 | 8 | 7 | 53.3% | Road Games | 3.58 | 1.308 | 78 | 36 | 31 | 65 | 5 | 37 | 87 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 44.4% |
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All Games | 23-16 | +6.6 | 20-18 | 4.7 | 0.258 | 0.311 | 0.416 | 0.727 | 4.5 | 0.265 | 0.341 | 0.409 | 0.750 | Home Games | 13-3 | +9.6 | 8-7 | 4.0 | 0.248 | 0.310 | 0.394 | 0.704 | 3.2 | 0.243 | 0.323 | 0.351 | 0.674 | vs Right-handed Starters | 14-9 | +4.6 | 14-9 | 4.8 | 0.263 | 0.314 | 0.440 | 0.754 | 4.4 | 0.259 | 0.334 | 0.407 | 0.741 | Past 7 Games | 1-6 | -5.6 | 4-3 | 5.9 | 0.284 | 0.329 | 0.480 | 0.808 | 6.4 | 0.320 | 0.401 | 0.534 | 0.934 | Grass Games | 20-15 | +4.2 | 18-16 | 4.7 | 0.259 | 0.312 | 0.411 | 0.723 | 4.7 | 0.267 | 0.347 | 0.412 | 0.758 | Night Games | 18-10 | +8.4 | 13-15 | 4.7 | 0.257 | 0.303 | 0.430 | 0.734 | 4.2 | 0.254 | 0.324 | 0.394 | 0.718 | Division | 15-9 | +6.4 | 12-11 | 4.6 | 0.247 | 0.306 | 0.398 | 0.704 | 4.3 | 0.266 | 0.345 | 0.394 | 0.739 |
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All Games | 4.7 | 0.258 | 0.311 | 39 | 1392 | 359 | 63 | 2 | 51 | 0.416 | 173 | 108 | 340 | 11 | 276 | 26 | 19 | 40 | 19 | Home Games | 4.0 | 0.248 | 0.310 | 16 | 540 | 134 | 22 | 0 | 19 | 0.394 | 60 | 48 | 114 | 4 | 115 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 7 | Righty Starters | 4.8 | 0.263 | 0.314 | 23 | 815 | 214 | 40 | 0 | 35 | 0.440 | 103 | 61 | 191 | 7 | 159 | 17 | 10 | 20 | 10 |
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All Games | 3.95 | 1.482 | 143.7 | 67 | 63 | 150 | 17 | 63 | 122 | 11-7 | 15 | 7 | 68.2% | Home Games | 2.27 | 1.326 | 63.3 | 16 | 16 | 59 | 3 | 25 | 51 | 7-1 | 10 | 3 | 76.9% |
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AARON SANCHEZ recent results and season statistics |
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All Starts | 2.95 | 1.255 | 0-1 | 4 | 18.3 | 4.6 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 2-2 | -0.4 | 1-3 | Road Starts | 1.29 | 1.000 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0-1 | -1 | 0-1 | Last 3 Starts | 3.97 | 1.412 | 0-1 | 3 | 11.3 | 3.8 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 2-1 | +0.6 | 1-2 |
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CHRIS TILLMAN recent results and season statistics |
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All Starts | 2.89 | 1.715 | 1-0 | 2 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1-1 | 0 | 0-2 | Home Starts | 0.00 | 1.200 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1-0 | +1 | 0-1 | Last 3 Starts | 2.89 | 1.715 | 1-0 | 2 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1-1 | 0 | 0-2 |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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BALTIMORE is 22-23 (+2.2 Units) against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons | 21 of 44 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-3.8 Units, Under=-0.8 Units) |
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BALTIMORE is 5-1 (+4.5 Units) against TORONTO this season | 4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units) |
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BALTIMORE is 12-9 (+2.8 Units) against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons | 12 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.1 Units) |
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BALTIMORE is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against TORONTO this season | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units) |
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4/16/2017 | BALTIMORE | 11 | -105 | | | 15 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 0 | BUNDY(R) | W | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | | TORONTO | 4 | -105 | 8 ov | Over | 12 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | HAPP(L) | L | 4.3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4/15/2017 | BALTIMORE | 1 | +120 | | Under | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | ASHER(R) | | 6.3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | | TORONTO | 2 | -130 | 9 ov | Win | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | ESTRADA(R) | | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4/14/2017 | BALTIMORE | 6 | +130 | | | 9 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | MILEY(L) | W | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | | TORONTO | 4 | -140 | 8 ov | Over | 10 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | SANCHEZ(R) | L | 5.3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 4/13/2017 | BALTIMORE | 2 | +115 | | | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | GAUSMAN(R) | W | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | | TORONTO | 1 | -125 | 8 ov | Under | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | LIRIANO(L) | L | 6.7 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4/5/2017 | TORONTO | 1 | +105 | | Under | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | HAPP(L) | L | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | | BALTIMORE | 3 | -115 | 8.5 un | Win | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | BUNDY(R) | W | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4/3/2017 | TORONTO | 2 | +120 | | Under | 11 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | ESTRADA(R) | | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | | BALTIMORE | 3 | -130 | 8.5 ov | Win | 9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | GAUSMAN(R) | | 5.3 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
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SANCHEZ is 5-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.71 and a WHIP of 1.631. | His team's record is 5-4 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.6 units) |
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4/14/2017 | BALTIMORE | 4-6 | -140 | 8 | Loss,Over | L | 5.3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | MILEY(L) | 9/27/2016 | BALTIMORE | 5-1 | -125 | 8.5 | Win,Under | W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | GAUSMAN(R) | 8/31/2016 | at BALTIMORE | 5-3 | -150 | 9.5 | Win,Under | W | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | GALLARDO(R) |
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TILLMAN is 5-10 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.15 and a WHIP of 1.355. | His team's record is 10-15 (-5.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 14-11. (+1.6 units) |
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10/4/2016 | at TORONTO | 2-5 | +155 | 8.5 | Loss,Under | | 4.3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | STROMAN(R) | 9/28/2016 | at TORONTO | 3-2 | +135 | 9 | Win,Under | | 5.7 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | LIRIANO(L) | 7/31/2016 | at TORONTO | 6-2 | +155 | 9 | Win,Under | | 5.7 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | SANCHEZ(R) |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1333, -103.4 units) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 52.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (183-164, -10.5 units) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 51.1% of the time since 1997. (1382-1325, -59.9 units) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 49.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (153-158, -24.3 units) | |
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The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (1167-1059, -34.3 units) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 49.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (167-173, -27.5 units) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 51% of the time since 1997. (1105-1063, -102.9 units) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 53.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (173-149, +5.8 units) | |
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[CF] 05/18/2017 - Kevin Pillar expected to miss next 2 games (05/18) ( Suspension ) | [1B] 05/15/2017 - Steve Pearce 10-day DL (5/15) ( Calf ) | [P] 05/11/2017 - Francisco Liriano 10-day DL (5/11) ( Shoulder ) | [C] 05/09/2017 - Russell Martin 10-day DL (5/8) ( Shoulder ) | [P] 04/18/2017 - J.A. Happ 10-day DL (4/18) ( Elbow ) | [3B] 04/14/2017 - Josh Donaldson 10-day DL (4/13) ( Calf ) | [P] 04/09/2017 - Bo Schultz 60-day DL (3/30) ( Elbow ) | [CF] 04/03/2017 - Dalton Pompey 60-day DL (3/30) ( Concussion ) | [P] 04/03/2017 - Glenn Sparkman 60-day DL (3/30) ( Thumb ) | |
[3B] 05/18/2017 - Manny Machado "?" Friday vs. Toronto Blue Jays ( Finger ) | [P] 05/06/2017 - Gabriel Ynoa 10-day DL (5/6) ( Hamstring ) | [P] 05/06/2017 - Zach Britton 10-day DL (5/5) ( Forearm ) | [CF] 04/02/2017 - Anthony Santander 10-day DL (3/30) ( Forearm ) |
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