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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 1:35 PM
TORONTO (13-24) AT BOSTON (22-14) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
915: TORONTO
916: BOSTON
9.5
-190
13-24
22-14
20-16-1
18-17-1
3.8 / 5.3
4.9 / 4.1
(L) M BUEHRLE
(R) C BUCHHOLZ
1-2
6-0
7.03
1.60
1.56
1.03
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Partly Cloudy   Temperature: 72.0 °
Humidity: 40   Wind: from the Southwest at 13.8 gusting to 19.6 MPH (12 gusting t
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
TORONTOBUEHRLE +152 
BOSTONBUCHHOLZ-152 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TORONTO team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in May games3-7-3.933-33-0.9246-218+28.77-336-28207-238
when playing on Saturday2-3-1.225-32-6.2207-216-13.42-329-23196-205
against division opponents6-15-9.668-97-19.8533-566-8.113-785-70515-528
in day games5-8-3.560-73-9.4462-468-23.59-469-58426-454
in games played on a grass field4-10-5.871-87-4491-595-22.97-673-78496-547
against right-handed starters10-16-7.6121-139-20.2972-960-12.812-13119-131882-961
after getting shut out1-2-1.413-8+6.670-64+13.82-113-761-68
after a loss10-13-4.388-105-10.8658-662+412-11100-88635-627
after 3 or more consecutive losses2-2-0.429-24+9.8170-158+23.73-131-22152-165
when playing against a team with a winning record7-14-7.689-128-25.8600-712-14.711-9105-103625-622
in all games13-24-13.7167-194-24.71305-1324-48.820-16181-1661221-1284
when the total is 9 to 9.54-5-261-71-7.1554-543+4.95-466-60519-516
as a road underdog of +175 to +2000-1-15-13-3.932-71-11.40-17-1152-48
in road games6-12-5.277-103-11.8595-718-44.411-685-87599-659
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.51-2-0.824-31+0.2228-303-43.82-130-23247-258

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after shutting out their opponent2-0+210-8+0.298-69+11.50-29-878-78
after a win13-9+1.998-79-2.7826-664-31.510-1187-82722-701
when playing against a team with a losing record16-5+9.785-67-14.5760-510+2.512-876-69603-598
in all games22-14+4.8183-179-44.71494-1207-51.818-17178-1671254-1311
when the total is 9 to 9.56-8-4.767-81-39.5547-491-694-976-65489-498
as a home favorite of -175 to -2001-0+112-16-17.2111-79-34.71-014-1286-92
in home games13-8+1.294-91-38796-557-339-1198-77644-636
at home when the total is 9 to 9.55-5-2.741-51-31.7285-216-293-648-40248-235
in May games4-6-438-30-2.6262-194+22.93-735-31224-210
when playing on Saturday3-2+130-28-4230-208-30.81-431-25222-197
against division opponents11-5+5.875-85-27.3605-515-45.37-980-75542-528
in day games9-3+5.662-49+1.7456-375-12.13-954-54381-406
in games played on a grass field18-12+2.4161-159-471317-1032-19.814-15155-1481073-1150
against left-handed starters7-5+0.665-53+1.7413-373-56.95-754-58369-383
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TORONTO - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/27/2013HAPP(L)@ NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)4-5L1357.5 ovO11701181
4/28/2013DICKEY(R)@ NY YANKEESHUGHES(R)2-3L-1108.5 unU870440
4/30/2013MORROW(R)BOSTONLESTER(L)9-7W+1058.5 ovO941961
5/1/2013BUEHRLE(L)BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R)1-10L+1159 ovO4611580
5/2/2013HAPP(L)BOSTONDEMPSTER(R)1-3L+1058.5 evU7826120
5/3/2013ROMERO(L)SEATTLEHERNANDEZ(R)0-4L+1207.5 ovU540851
5/4/2013DICKEY(R)SEATTLEIWAKUMA(R)1-8L-1407.5 unO680830
5/5/2013MORROW(R)SEATTLESAUNDERS(L)10-2W-1659 unO1580360
5/6/2013BUEHRLE(L)@ TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)8-7W1257.5 unO121101162
5/7/2013HAPP(L)@ TAMPA BAYHERNANDEZ(R)6-4W1258.5 unO13701070
5/8/2013ROMERO(L)@ TAMPA BAYMOORE(L)4-10L1608 unO91101390
5/9/2013DICKEY(R)@ TAMPA BAYPRICE(L)4-5L1407.5 unO870991
5/10/2013ORTIZ(R)@ BOSTONLESTER(L)0-5L1909.5 ovU1121090
5/11/2013BUEHRLE(L)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R) 
5/12/2013MORROW(R)@ BOSTONDEMPSTER(R) 
5/14/2013DICKEY(R)SAN FRANCISCOZITO(L) 
5/15/2013ORTIZ(R)SAN FRANCISCOVOGELSONG(R) 
5/17/2013BUEHRLE(L)@ NY YANKEES  
5/18/2013 @ NY YANKEES  

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/27/2013DOUBRONT(L)HOUSTONPEACOCK(R)8-4W-2659.5 unO121115101
4/28/2013LACKEY(R)HOUSTONNORRIS(R)6-1W-2059.5 unU1161792
4/30/2013LESTER(L)@ TORONTOMORROW(R)7-9L-1158.5 ovO961941
5/1/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)10-1W-1259 ovO1580461
5/2/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ TORONTOHAPP(L)3-1W-1158.5 evU6120782
5/3/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ TEXASHOLLAND(L)0-7L1209 unU65218120
5/4/2013LACKEY(R)@ TEXASOGANDO(R)1-5L1209 unU7921080
5/5/2013LESTER(L)@ TEXASDARVISH(R)3-4L1507.5 unU5709100
5/6/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)MINNESOTAWORLEY(R)6-5W-2008.5 ovO177110110
5/7/2013DEMPSTER(R)MINNESOTADIAMOND(L)1-6L-1709 unU433860
5/8/2013WEBSTER(R)MINNESOTAHERNANDEZ(L)8-15L-1709.5 unO12711990
5/9/2013LACKEY(R)MINNESOTACORREIA(R)3-5L-1659.5 unU9102641
5/10/2013LESTER(L)TORONTOORTIZ(R)5-0W-2109.5 ovU1090112
5/11/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)TORONTOBUEHRLE(L) 
5/12/2013DEMPSTER(R)TORONTOMORROW(R) 
5/14/2013LACKEY(R)@ TAMPA BAYMOORE(L) 
5/15/2013LESTER(L)@ TAMPA BAYPRICE(L) 
5/16/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ TAMPA BAYCOBB(R) 
5/17/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ MINNESOTAWORLEY(R) 
5/18/2013 @ MINNESOTA  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TORONTO - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games13-24-13.720-163.80.2340.2965.30.2660.341
Road Games6-12-5.211-63.90.2320.2915.20.2760.357
vs Right-handed Starters10-16-7.612-133.70.2300.3034.80.2580.333
Past 7 Games3-4-0.96-14.70.2640.3285.90.2690.356
Grass Games4-10-5.87-63.40.2150.2714.90.2670.347
Day Games5-8-3.59-44.10.2580.3125.50.2690.331
Division6-15-9.613-73.80.2370.2975.60.2690.352
TORONTO - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.80.2340.296371232288105450.041331092912723238222818
Road Games3.90.2320.2911861614352220.04685114013116158138
Righty Starters3.70.2300.3032686419976340.0494902131716532152012
TORONTO - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.711.349135.7635612915541077-910471.4%
Road Games3.471.40070302767431494-56366.7%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games22-14+4.818-174.90.2690.3424.10.2350.311
Home Games13-8+1.29-114.60.2690.3354.40.2220.303
vs Left-handed Starters7-5+0.65-74.20.2640.3354.20.2600.338
Past 7 Games2-5-5.12-53.90.2630.3275.70.2520.315
Grass Games18-12+2.414-154.50.2680.3364.20.2340.312
Day Games9-3+5.63-94.60.2440.3192.30.2090.278
Division11-5+5.87-95.10.2610.3422.80.2030.277
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.90.2690.342361226330128390.031721353032626534222923
Home Games4.60.2690.3352169518777200.0395691631014019171815
Lefty Starters4.20.2640.3351240210638140.03494387684148146
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.241.39410450499813471224-59660%
Home Games4.941.47558.3333257729693-34450%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MARK BUEHRLE recent results and season statistics
MARK BUEHRLE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts7.031.5611-27415.93432531111254-3+1.54-2
Road Starts9.771.7240-1315.75.218172354102-1+1.52-0
Last 3 Starts8.501.5560-23186.01717238591-2-0.82-0
MARK BUEHRLE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/6/2013at TAMPA BAY8-7+1257.5Win,Over 6779225HELLICKSON(R)
5/1/2013BOSTON1-10+1159Loss,OverL6.7557331BUCHHOLZ(R)
4/25/2013at NY YANKEES3-5+1258LossL5.3557303KURODA(R)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ recent results and season statistics
CLAY BUCHHOLZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts1.601.0266-0750.77.29934118567-0+7.13-3
Home Starts1.961.0644-0536.77.38826013445-0+51-3
Last 3 Starts2.611.0642-0320.76.9661507273-0+32-0
CLAY BUCHHOLZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/6/2013MINNESOTA6-5-2008.5Win,Over 6447029WORLEY(R)
5/1/2013at TORONTO10-1-1259Win,OverW7002038BUEHRLE(L)
4/25/2013HOUSTON7-2-2859WinW7.72260210HUMBER(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 21-22 (+2.7 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
23 of 41 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.9 Units)
Games this season
BOSTON is 5-2 (+3.3 Units) against TORONTO this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-9 (+5.1 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.5 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against TORONTO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/10/2013TORONTO0+190 Under10012ORTIZ(R)L5145
 BOSTON5-2109.5 ovWin100090LESTER(L)W9010
5/2/2013BOSTON3-115  600120DEMPSTER(R)W6143
 TORONTO1+1058.5 evUnder71182HAPP(L)L3.7237
5/1/2013BOSTON10-125  155080BUCHHOLZ(R)W7023
 TORONTO1+1159 ovOver40061BUEHRLE(L)L6.7573
4/30/2013BOSTON7-115 Over93061LESTER(L) 6562
 TORONTO9+1058.5 ovWin92141MORROW(R) 5363
4/7/2013BOSTON13+115  156260LESTER(L)W7050
 TORONTO0-1258 unOver70080DICKEY(R)L4.77102
4/6/2013BOSTON0+130 Under20240LACKEY(R)L4.3251
 TORONTO5-1409 unWin82261HAPP(L)W5.3013
4/5/2013BOSTON6+130  1223150DOUBRONT(L) 5390
 TORONTO4-1408.5 unOver122093JOHNSON(R) 6392
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MARK BUEHRLE vs. BOSTON since 1997
BUEHRLE is 7-9 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.75 and a WHIP of 1.454.
His team's record is 8-12 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-12. (-6.5 units)
MARK BUEHRLE recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/1/2013BOSTON1-10+1159Loss,OverL6.7557331BUCHHOLZ(R)
6/19/2012at BOSTON5-7+1309.5Loss,OverL5667301BUCHHOLZ(R)
6/12/2012BOSTON1-2+1008Loss,UnderL7225014BUCHHOLZ(R)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 9-4 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.36 and a WHIP of 1.127.
His team's record is 10-5 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-10. (-5.4 units)
CLAY BUCHHOLZ recent starts vs. TORONTO
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/1/2013at TORONTO10-1-1259Win,OverW7002038BUEHRLE(L)
9/15/2012at TORONTO3-2+1158Win,Under 7214055VILLANUEVA(R)
9/9/2012TORONTO3-4-1458.5Loss,UnderL8.7447034VILLANUEVA(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TORONTO in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1040, -78.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 50% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (153-153, -25.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (1071-1067, -132.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 56.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (169-132, +16.9 units)
Edge=BOSTON
 
The betting public is favoring the OVER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (850-774, -29.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 52.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (105-94, -0.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (894-829, -52.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 58% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (119-86, +21.9 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TORONTO
[P] 04/02/2013 - Drew Hutchison 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Dustin McGowan 60-day DL (3/27) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 04/13/2013 - Jose Reyes 60-day DL (4/12) ( Ankle )
[P] 05/01/2013 - Josh Johnson 15-day DL (4/29) ( Tricep )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Kyle Drabek 60-day DL (2/25) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/10/2013 - Luis Perez 60-day DL (2/23) ( Undisclosed )
[P] 04/16/2013 - Sergio Santos 15-day DL (4/14) ( Tricep )
[P] 05/08/2013 - J.A. Happ 15-day DL (5/7) ( Head )
[P] 05/11/2013 - Brandon Morrow "?" for next scheduled start Sunday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Neck )
[LF] 05/11/2013 - Rajai Davis 15-day DL ( Oblique )
BOSTON
[P] 04/01/2013 - Franklin Morales 15-day DL (3/22) ( Back )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 60-day DL (5/9) ( Forearm )
[P] 05/07/2013 - Andrew Bailey 15-day DL (4/29) ( Bicep )
[3B] 05/11/2013 - Will Middlebrooks probable Saturday vs. Toronto Blue Jays ( Ribs )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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