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Matchup Reports

Friday at 7:10 PM
TORONTO (70-82) AT BOSTON (93-61) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
921: TORONTO
922: BOSTON
8.5
-205
70-82
93-61
74-74-4
68-79-7
4.4 / 4.7
5.2 / 4.0
(R) E ROGERS
(L) J LESTER
4-5
14-8
4.32
3.76
1.35
1.28
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Overcast   Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 84   Wind: East at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
TORONTOROGERS +146
BOSTONLESTER-146 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TORONTO team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games70-82-10.4224-252-21.41362-1382-45.674-74235-2241275-1342
when the total is 8 to 8.527-33-4.287-92-5.8333-299+2326-3179-92303-307
as a road underdog of +175 to +2004-2+5.49-14+2.536-72-52-49-1454-51
in road games32-42-1.7103-133-8.3621-748-40.937-36111-117625-689
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.515-20-2.343-49+0.1164-169+13.616-1837-51158-163
in September games8-8+0.831-39-3.3233-207+335-1031-35193-228
when playing on Friday8-16-8.936-39-3.2217-219-12.715-939-35214-208
against division opponents26-41-12.388-123-22.5553-592-10.831-34103-97533-555
in games played on a grass field28-36-0.795-113+1515-621-17.932-3198-103521-572
in night games40-54-12.8139-159-17.8872-892-28.948-43149-139830-858
against left-handed starters19-20-2.162-67-0.4349-376-3223-1677-48354-336
after a win31-38-6.4105-116-12.9671-686-50.634-34105-107608-685
when playing against a team with a winning record50-58-1.6132-172-19.9643-756-8.847-57141-151661-670
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season17-30-10.563-97-17.9329-417-1317-2772-81347-364

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games93-61+19.6254-226-29.91565-1254-3768-79228-2291304-1373
when the total is 8 to 8.536-24+9.188-62+13301-205+29.128-3169-80243-254
as a home favorite of -200 to -2255-1+2.811-3+4.695-40+10.52-33-960-62
in home games51-27+11.8132-110-27.3834-576-22.333-41122-107668-666
at home when the total is 8 to 8.519-9+7.637-24+3.3123-75-0.613-1530-3199-96
in September games12-5+6.626-44-26.4232-218-49.48-935-31201-230
when playing on Friday13-8+3.936-35-8.3239-195+0.79-1137-29197-210
against division opponents41-29+7.4105-109-25.7635-539-43.726-4399-109561-562
in games played on a grass field82-54+14.4225-201-35.11381-1074-7.959-70200-2031118-1205
in night games66-47+11174-166-34.61078-856-27.255-52164-157904-934
against right-handed starters60-41+10.9163-158-39.71126-866+11.748-49159-148920-967
after a win51-41+0.3136-111-4.3864-696-33.141-48118-119753-738
when playing against a team with a losing record42-20+14.8111-82-9.4786-525+7.631-2695-87622-616
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season18-7+9.456-40-3.4395-279-31.811-1143-46315-322
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TORONTO - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/6/2013DICKEY(R)@ MINNESOTAPELFREY(R)6-5W-1207.5 ovO7321062
9/7/2013HAPP(L)@ MINNESOTACORREIA(R)11-2W1008.5 ovO155111130
9/8/2013ROGERS(R)@ MINNESOTAALBERS(L)2-0W1008.5 unU750561
9/10/2013BUEHRLE(L)LA ANGELSWILLIAMS(R)6-12L-1309 unO9421880
9/11/2013DICKEY(R)LA ANGELSWILSON(L)4-5L-1058.5 ovO440852
9/12/2013HAPP(L)LA ANGELSRICHARDS(R)3-4L+1109 unU1191880
9/13/2013REDMOND(R)BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R)3-5L+1059 unU7301090
9/14/2013ROGERS(R)BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)4-3W+1209 unU621880
9/15/2013BUEHRLE(L)BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R)1-3L+1109 unU10111680
9/17/2013DICKEY(R)NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)2-0W+1058 unU981570
9/18/2013HAPP(L)NY YANKEESHUGHES(R)3-4L+1008.5 unU850970
9/19/2013REDMOND(R)NY YANKEESKURODA(R) 
9/20/2013ROGERS(R)@ BOSTONLESTER(L) 
9/21/2013BUEHRLE(L)@ BOSTONDOUBRONT(L) 
9/22/2013DICKEY(R)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R) 
9/23/2013HAPP(L)@ CHI WHITE SOXQUINTANA(L) 
9/24/2013REDMOND(R)@ BALTIMORETILLMAN(R) 
9/25/2013ROGERS(R)@ BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R) 
9/26/2013 @ BALTIMORE  
9/27/2013 TAMPA BAY  

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/6/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)12-8W-1109 unO15100750
9/7/2013LACKEY(R)@ NY YANKEESHUFF(L)13-9W-1159 unO14401290
9/8/2013LESTER(L)@ NY YANKEESKURODA(R)3-4L1008.5 ovU9801180
9/10/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ TAMPA BAYPRICE(L)2-0W1357 unU430440
9/11/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ TAMPA BAYCOBB(R)7-3W1307.5 unO9606100
9/12/2013PEAVY(R)@ TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)3-4L-1058 unU671670
9/13/2013LACKEY(R)NY YANKEESKURODA(R)8-4W-1308.5 unO1181860
9/14/2013LESTER(L)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)5-1W-1559 unU980341
9/15/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)NY YANKEESNOVA(R)9-2W-1558.5 unO1181560
9/17/2013DEMPSTER(R)BALTIMOREFELDMAN(R)2-3L-1158.5 evU370663
9/18/2013PEAVY(R)BALTIMORECHEN(L)3-5L-1408.5 unU15901070
9/19/2013LACKEY(R)BALTIMORETILLMAN(R) 
9/20/2013LESTER(L)TORONTOROGERS(R) 
9/21/2013DOUBRONT(L)TORONTOBUEHRLE(L) 
9/22/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)TORONTODICKEY(R) 
9/24/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ COLORADOCHATWOOD(R) 
9/25/2013PEAVY(R)@ COLORADOOSWALT(R) 
9/27/2013 @ BALTIMORE  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TORONTO - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games69-82-11.574-744.40.2510.3144.70.2590.321
Road Games32-42-1.737-364.20.2470.3054.50.2600.323
vs Left-handed Starters19-20-2.123-164.70.2690.3225.10.2590.325
Past 7 Games2-5-2.81-62.90.2380.2823.40.2290.300
Grass Games28-36-0.732-314.30.2470.3044.50.2600.321
Night Games39-54-13.948-434.40.2510.3115.00.2700.333
Division25-41-13.431-344.10.2500.3114.80.2620.327
TORONTO - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2510.314151515712944601780.03627472102610697614910713085
Road Games4.20.2470.305742572635203870.032942155155147076507339
Lefty Starters4.70.2690.322391340361128450.031741042433624637312819
TORONTO - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.411.255514.72241954575718947127-31361965.5%
Road Games2.601.224242.78870204169320813-1522971%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games92-61+18.668-785.20.2750.3444.00.2470.313
Home Games50-27+10.833-405.20.2870.3534.00.2450.307
vs Right-handed Starters59-41+9.848-485.30.2770.3464.20.2490.314
Past 7 Games4-3+0.73-45.30.2660.3493.10.1880.272
Grass Games81-54+13.459-695.20.2810.3484.10.2490.312
Night Games65-47+1055-515.30.2760.3444.20.2490.316
Division40-29+6.426-424.80.2600.3253.70.2380.305
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.20.2750.344153533114685391660.037665581235119115515077134127
Home Games5.20.2870.353772614750295800.033912695965456774436573
Righty Starters5.30.2770.34610035159723561050.0351037582691779101528580
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.581.2884481891784154616244530-21312258.5%
Home Games3.671.3182239891216227821016-9151157.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
ESMIL ROGERS recent results and season statistics
ESMIL ROGERS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games4.471.3665-743131-6865141193892---
All Starts4.321.3504-5181005.6534810715287710-8+5.49-9
Road Starts3.341.2883-31056.75.7252155618416-4+54-6
Last 3 Starts1.350.6502-03206.733914163-0+3.60-3
ESMIL ROGERS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/14/2013BALTIMORE4-3+1209Win,Under 6335127TILLMAN(R)
9/8/2013at MINNESOTA2-0+1008.5Win,UnderW7.7003014ALBERS(L)
9/2/2013at ARIZONA4-1+1458.5Win,UnderW6.3001015MCCARTHY(R)

JON LESTER recent results and season statistics
JON LESTER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.761.27714-831201.36.58984194186316518-13+314-15
Home Starts3.251.1706-11280.36.72929746206910-2+6.65-7
Last 3 Starts1.961.0432-03237.7552103202-1+10-3
JON LESTER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/14/2013NY YANKEES5-1-1559Win,UnderW8113025SABATHIA(L)
9/8/2013at NY YANKEES3-4+1008.5Loss,Under 83310016KURODA(R)
9/3/2013DETROIT2-1-1108.5Win,UnderW7118009SCHERZER(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 26-26 (+6.3 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
26 of 50 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)
Games this season
BOSTON is 9-7 (-0.9 Units) against TORONTO this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.2 Units)

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 13-12 (+7.2 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
12 of 23 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.0 Units, Under=-2.5 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
TORONTO is 3-4 (+1.1 Units) against BOSTON this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
8/15/2013BOSTON1-120 Under1100121PEAVY(R)L6250
 TORONTO2+1108.5 ovWin60140BUEHRLE(L)W71102
8/14/2013BOSTON3-145 Under821103LESTER(L) 6.3262
 TORONTO4+1359.5 unWin80191ROGERS(R) 6151
8/13/2013BOSTON4-125  1004110DEMPSTER(R) 7142
 TORONTO2+11510 unUnder61051REDMOND(R) 5.3031
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
ESMIL ROGERS vs. BOSTON since 1997
ROGERS is 0-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 0.75 and a WHIP of 1.083.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)
ESMIL ROGERS recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/14/2013BOSTON4-3+1359.5Win,Under 6115116LESTER(L)
6/29/2013at BOSTON6-2+13010.5Win,Under 6006016DOUBRONT(L)

JON LESTER vs. TORONTO since 1997
LESTER is 14-7 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.081.
His team's record is 16-11 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 14-12. (+1.1 units)
JON LESTER recent starts vs. TORONTO
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/14/2013at TORONTO3-4-1459.5Loss,Under 6.3326023ROGERS(R)
6/27/2013TORONTO7-4-1709.5Win,OverW7445035WANG(R)
5/10/2013TORONTO5-0-2109.5Win,UnderW9001005ORTIZ(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TORONTO in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1094, -89.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 49.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (201-207, -36.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (1118-1122, -146.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 53.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (216-187, +2.5 units)
Edge=BOSTON
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 52.7% of the time since 1997. (911-818, -18.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 54.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (166-138, +10.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (948-877, -52.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 56.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (173-134, +22.2 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TORONTO
[P] 09/18/2013 - Brett Cecil 15-day DL, out for season ( Elbow )
[DH] 09/17/2013 - Edwin Encarnacion 15-day DL (9/16), out for season ( Wrist )
[RF] 09/04/2013 - Jose Bautista 15-day DL (8/20); out for season ( Hip )
[3B] 08/22/2013 - Maicer Izturis 60-day DL (8/20), out for season ( Ankle )
[P] 08/14/2013 - Juan Perez 60-day DL (8/10) ( Elbow )
[P] 08/13/2013 - Josh Johnson 15-day DL (8/7) ( Forearm )
[LF] 08/02/2013 - Melky Cabrera 15-day DL (8/1) ( Knee )
[P] 07/16/2013 - Kyle Drabek 60-day DL (2/25) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/02/2013 - Ramon Ortiz 60-day DL (6/3) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/28/2013 - Brandon Morrow 60-day DL (5/29), out for season ( Forearm )
[P] 04/10/2013 - Luis Perez 60-day DL (2/23) ( Elbow )
BOSTON
[RF] 09/19/2013 - Shane Victorino "?" Friday vs. Toronto Blue Jays ( Thumb )
[CF] 09/07/2013 - Jacoby Ellsbury out indefinitely ( Foot )
[3B] 08/10/2013 - Brandon Snyder 15-day DL (8/8) ( Elbow )
[P] 07/19/2013 - Andrew Bailey 15-day DL (7/13) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/10/2013 - Alex Wilson 60-day DL (7/9) ( Thumb )
[P] 07/07/2013 - Andrew Miller 60-day DL (7/7) ( Foot )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 60-day DL (5/9), out for season ( Elbow )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
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