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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:10 PM
TORONTO (42-49) AT BOSTON (65-29) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
961: TORONTO
962: BOSTON
9.0
-171
42-49
65-29
42-41-8
45-46-3
4.4 / 4.9
5.4 / 3.7
(L) J HAPP
(L) D PRICE
10-5
9-6
4.44
4.44
1.18
1.27
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Overcast   Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 84   Wind: East at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
TORONTOHAPP +159 
BOSTONPRICE-159 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TORONTO team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games42-49-7.1212-212-351759-1753-7442-41179-2221621-1725
when the total is 9 to 9.520-28-12.297-101-24.9750-720-10.921-2283-102687-700
as a road underdog of +125 to +1755-11-4.217-36-11.4213-324-19.811-529-22242-277
in road games18-24-3.497-111-15.2799-951-67.724-1591-105807-868
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.54-9-5.333-45-13.1292-375-52.79-437-37318-317
in July games3-6-4.431-29-5266-284-37.94-529-28260-262
when playing on Thursday2-8-620-23-7.1198-199-12.66-320-21180-192
against division opponents13-22-7.787-101-22.4725-768-2810-2271-111681-740
in night games24-28-3.7124-134-34.31110-1125-5920-27104-1411039-1100
against left-handed starters11-21-10.654-66-23.2449-481-57.513-1539-69439-444
after a loss24-24+1.5113-96+2.2884-858+14.122-2290-108819-847
when playing against a team with a winning record21-27-0.3110-118-13.5840-948-17.226-1999-120838-868
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season2-3-0.455-55-4435-513-11.12-339-68429-478

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games65-29+23.4252-173+25.21980-1609-29.845-46196-2131665-1751
when the total is 9 to 9.526-10+1193-69+2.1716-628-69.818-1673-82627-649
as a home favorite of -125 to -17512-5+450-41-12475-346-449-643-43385-405
as a home favorite of -175 to -25019-4+10.954-17+20.2294-142+12.89-1332-36210-195
in home games31-12+7.5127-81+2.61045-743-33.220-2094-103843-852
at home when the total is 9 to 9.511-6+0.450-38-7.2384-300-45.89-642-41335-320
in July games9-1+8.737-25+3.4302-258-306-427-35253-286
when playing on Thursday9-5+2.423-28-14.8218-196-346-724-26175-219
against division opponents29-12+13.4113-80+10.7821-708-45.318-2182-105721-747
in night games43-24+10.6178-119+20.21371-1103-18.933-31144-1411163-1193
against left-handed starters13-10+0.351-47-9.1535-487-65.99-1346-50474-506
after a win45-19+16.9147-102+10.61085-889-36.935-28119-123947-944
after 3 or more consecutive wins21-8+12.155-31+14.8323-262-16.415-1433-52269-293
when playing against a team with a losing record36-16+7.5129-76+17.2980-670+20.524-2798-101791-778
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season6-0+655-26+18.2486-336-5.84-236-44392-390
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TORONTO - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/29/2018STROMAN(R)DETROITLIRIANO(L)3-2W-2009 evU870620
6/30/2018GAVIGLIO(R)DETROITBOYD(L)4-3W-1659 ovU741760
7/1/2018HAPP(L)DETROITZIMMERMANN(R)1-9L-2009 ovO6501330
7/2/2018BORUCKI(L)DETROITFIERS(R)2-3L-1409.5 unU570830
7/3/2018ESTRADA(R)NY METSWHEELER(R)8-6W-1259 ovO750871
7/4/2018STROMAN(R)NY METSOSWALT(R)3-6L-1609.5 unU9701050
7/6/2018GAVIGLIO(R)NY YANKEESGRAY(R)6-2W+1409.5 unU1191591
7/7/2018HAPP(L)NY YANKEESSEVERINO(R)5-8L+1907.5 unO9509110
7/8/2018BORUCKI(L)NY YANKEESGERMAN(R)1-2L+1459 ovU670971
7/10/2018STROMAN(R)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R)6-2W1258.5 ovU870873
7/11/2018GAVIGLIO(R)@ ATLANTAFOLTYNEWICZ(R)5-9L1508.5 unO84212100
7/12/2018HAPP(L)@ BOSTONPRICE(L) 
7/13/2018BORUCKI(L)@ BOSTONPORCELLO(R) 
7/14/2018BORUCKI(L)@ BOSTONRODRIGUEZ(L) 
7/15/2018STROMAN(R)@ BOSTONVELAZQUEZ(R) 

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/28/2018JOHNSON(L)LA ANGELSBARRIA(R)4-2W-16010.5 ovU750690
6/29/2018RODRIGUEZ(L)@ NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)1-8L1109.5 unU6601130
6/30/2018SALE(L)@ NY YANKEESGRAY(R)11-0W-1508.5 unO1780250
7/1/2018PRICE(L)@ NY YANKEESSEVERINO(R)1-11L1758.5 unO4601670
7/2/2018PORCELLO(R)@ WASHINGTONSCHERZER(R)4-3W1607.5 ovU7709100
7/3/2018JOHNSON(L)@ WASHINGTONROARK(R)11-4W1109.5 unO12301290
7/4/2018RODRIGUEZ(L)@ WASHINGTONFEDDE(R)3-0W-1409 ovU981671
7/6/2018SALE(L)@ KANSAS CITYHAMMEL(R)10-5W-3858 evO15611060
7/7/2018PRICE(L)@ KANSAS CITYKELLER(R)15-4W-1809.5 unO16121690
7/8/2018PORCELLO(R)@ KANSAS CITYFILLMYER(R)7-4W-2259.5 ovO141001291
7/9/2018RODRIGUEZ(L)TEXASMINOR(L)5-0W-18510 evU941590
7/10/2018VELAZQUEZ(R)TEXASGALLARDO(R)8-4W-21511.5 unO1260771
7/11/2018SALE(L)TEXASCOLON(R)4-2W-3908.5 evU1170992
7/12/2018PRICE(L)TORONTOHAPP(L) 
7/13/2018PORCELLO(R)TORONTOBORUCKI(L) 
7/14/2018RODRIGUEZ(L)TORONTOBORUCKI(L) 
7/15/2018VELAZQUEZ(R)TORONTOSTROMAN(R) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TORONTO - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games42-49-742-414.40.2370.3040.4070.7114.90.2590.3260.4210.746
Road Games18-24-3.424-154.30.2300.3010.3850.6865.10.2740.3400.4320.771
vs Left-handed Starters11-21-10.613-154.00.2310.2980.3960.6944.80.2580.3230.4140.737
Past 7 Games3-4-13-44.90.2410.2960.4270.7245.00.2530.3450.4150.760
Grass Games17-19+1.223-124.70.2370.3110.4020.7145.30.2780.3400.4430.782
Night Games24-28-3.720-274.20.2270.2940.3890.6834.80.2600.3290.4230.752
Division13-22-7.710-223.50.2210.2850.3680.6544.30.2400.3180.3910.709
TORONTO - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2370.304913077728160121130.4073853007762658576557960
Road Games4.30.2300.301421435330624510.3851741463691327736243326
Lefty Starters4.00.2310.298321049242577340.396123101272919632172227
TORONTO - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.901.3543281581423214612333520-13231265.7%
Road Games4.411.469143797015520551476-512570.6%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games65-29+23.445-465.40.2720.3340.4500.7853.70.2310.2940.3650.659
Home Games31-12+7.520-205.90.2890.3480.4920.8413.90.2420.3010.3800.680
vs Left-handed Starters13-10+0.39-135.00.2630.3090.4430.7524.20.2420.2990.3980.697
Past 7 Games7-0+74-37.40.3470.4190.5120.9312.70.2250.2700.3280.598
Grass Games56-25+2042-365.70.2800.3410.4680.8093.80.2360.2970.3720.669
Night Games43-24+10.633-315.40.2670.3300.4500.7793.80.2310.2940.3690.662
Division29-12+13.418-215.10.2650.3340.4290.7633.70.2310.2990.3690.667
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.40.2720.334943279891186151230.4504813097156664983486229
Home Games5.90.2890.3484314814289712600.492240135291272993122298
Lefty Starters5.00.2630.30923795209454300.44310953181151451410184
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.201.198306.31121092522711532719-831781.6%
Home Games3.121.1481565654134124517310-114287.5%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
J.A. HAPP recent results and season statistics
J.A. HAPP - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.441.17710-518105.35.9555290163411511-7+2.610-5
Road Starts2.831.1134-1741.35.9141330416464-3+1.14-1
Last 3 Starts10.042.0921-2314.34.816162149131-2-0.93-0
J.A. HAPP - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/7/2018NY YANKEES5-8+1907.5Loss,OverL2.7664265SEVERINO(R)
7/1/2018DETROIT1-9-2009Loss,OverL5.77710114ZIMMERMANN(R)
6/25/2018at HOUSTON6-3+2107Win,OverW6337124VERLANDER(R)

DAVID PRICE recent results and season statistics
DAVID PRICE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.441.2739-618101.35.6535095163410112-6+5.28-9
Home Starts3.631.2864-2739.75.7171633518365-2+23-3
Last 3 Starts8.361.6431-13144.713132073192-1+12-0
DAVID PRICE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/7/2018at KANSAS CITY15-4-1809.5Win,Over 4.7446119KELLER(R)
7/1/2018at NY YANKEES1-11+1758.5Loss,OverL3.3889503SEVERINO(R)
6/26/2018LA ANGELS9-1-15510WinW6115127LAMB(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 29-18 (+8.2 Units) against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
27 of 47 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.8 Units)
Games this season
BOSTON is 7-2 (+4.3 Units) against TORONTO this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 11-12 (+1.6 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
14 of 23 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.2 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
BOSTON is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/30/2018TORONTO4+175 Over61041GAVIGLIO(R)L6470
 BOSTON6-1859 unWin112151RODRIGUEZ(L)W6.7231
5/29/2018TORONTO3+175 Over81090ESTRADA(R)L3.7470
 BOSTON8-1859.5 ovWin132161PORCELLO(R)W6.7252
5/28/2018TORONTO3+165 Over70181SANCHEZ(R)L5791
 BOSTON8-1759 evWin112160PRICE(L)W5244
5/13/2018BOSTON5-130  81360POMERANZ(L) 4355
 TORONTO3+1209.5 evUnder1000100BIAGINI(R)L4.7443
5/12/2018BOSTON5-140  121071PRICE(L)W5.3253
 TORONTO2+1309 ovUnder71171ESTRADA(R)L6471
5/11/2018BOSTON3-175 Under61281SALE(L) 9360
 TORONTO5+1658.5 unWin81162SANCHEZ(R) 5253
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
J.A. HAPP vs. BOSTON since 1997
HAPP is 7-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.11 and a WHIP of 1.263.
His team's record is 11-6 (+6.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-6. (+4.2 units)
J.A. HAPP recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/24/2018BOSTON4-3-1158.5Win,Under 71140010PORCELLO(R)
9/26/2017at BOSTON9-4+1907.5Win,OverW7114009SALE(L)
9/4/2017at BOSTON10-4+1559.5Win,OverW5.7316033PORCELLO(R)

DAVID PRICE vs. TORONTO since 1997
PRICE is 19-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.48 and a WHIP of 1.114.
His team's record is 22-5 (+14.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-14. (-1.9 units)
DAVID PRICE recent starts vs. TORONTO
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/28/2018TORONTO8-3-1759Win,OverW5224044SANCHEZ(R)
5/12/2018at TORONTO5-2-1409Win,UnderW5.3225136ESTRADA(R)
10/2/2016TORONTO1-2-1158.5Loss,Under 5114134SANCHEZ(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TORONTO in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (1476-1430, -111.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 52.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (205-184, -7.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (1489-1434, -121.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 55.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (211-167, +32.4 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 52% of the time since 1997. (1252-1155, -57.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 49.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (183-188, -29.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (1306-1216, -78.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 49.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (187-194, -30.5 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TORONTO
[P] 07/08/2018 - Rhiner Cruz 10-day DL (07/08) ( Groin )
[P] 07/03/2018 - Marco Estrada left last game, is "?" for next scheduled start ( Hip )
[P] 07/01/2018 - Ryan Tepera 10-day DL (06/28) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/23/2018 - Jaime Garcia 10-day DL (06/23) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/23/2018 - Aaron Sanchez 10-day DL (06/23) ( Finger )
[P] 06/22/2018 - Danny Barnes 10-day DL (06/22) ( Knee )
[3B] 06/01/2018 - Josh Donaldson 10-day DL (05/29) ( Calf )
[P] 05/08/2018 - Roberto Osuna is out indefinitely ( Personal )
[SS] 03/26/2018 - Troy Tulowitzki 60-day DL (03/29) ( Foot )
BOSTON
[C] 07/08/2018 - Christian Vazquez 10-day DL (07/08) ( Finger )
[P] 07/08/2018 - Brian Johnson 10-day DL (07/05) ( Hip )
[P] 06/27/2018 - Steven Wright 10-day DL (06/23) ( Knee )
[P] 06/05/2018 - Drew Pomeranz 10-day DL (06/02) ( Biceps )
[2B] 06/02/2018 - Dustin Pedroia 10-day DL (05/30) ( Knee )
[DH] 05/25/2018 - Hanley Ramirez has been released ( None )
[P] 05/15/2018 - Carson Smith 60-day DL (05/15) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Austin Maddox 60-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 03/26/2018 - Marco Hernandez 60-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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