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Matchup Reports

Monday at 7:10 PM
TORONTO (11-21) AT TAMPA BAY (14-16) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
963: TORONTO
964: TAMPA BAY
7.5
-137
11-21
14-16
16-15-1
15-10-5
3.7 / 5.1
4.4 / 4.3
(L) M BUEHRLE
(R) J HELLICKSON
1-2
1-2
6.43
4.71
1.51
1.21
Current Weather Conditions 
Dome Stadium 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
TORONTOBUEHRLE +208 
TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON-208
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TORONTO team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games11-21-13.2165-191-24.21303-1321-48.316-15177-1651217-1283
as a road underdog of +125 to +1502-4-1.517-29-6.5121-153+10.44-120-23117-146
in road games4-9-4.875-100-11.4593-715-43.97-581-86595-658
in May games1-4-3.431-30-0.4244-215+29.23-232-27203-237
when playing on Monday1-1017-19+1.1137-130+11.10-216-18116-134
against division opponents4-12-9.166-94-19.4531-563-7.69-681-69511-527
in games played in a dome0-004-14-8.488-109-23.40-08-987-100
in night games6-13-9.7105-118-14.8838-851-25.87-11108-107789-826
in games played on artificial turf7-12-8.594-105-21.2812-727-26.49-10104-88721-737
against right-handed starters8-16-10.1119-139-22.8970-960-15.310-13117-131880-961
after a win1-9-9.275-87-15.7641-657-53.35-476-77579-655
when playing against a team with a losing record3-4-2.268-54+6634-542-26.92-561-56522-604

TAMPA BAY team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games14-16-5196-162+5.61129-1354-70.315-10146-1911116-1259
as a home favorite of -125 to -1504-0+434-22+3112-79+4.31-316-3670-111
in home games8-4+1.6101-75-5.6627-609+8.86-561-106526-660
in May games2-2-0.430-29-6183-239-414-027-26189-210
when playing on Monday1-2-118-19-3.2110-130-0.10-211-2197-128
against division opponents4-8-5.887-69+5.2480-570+214-562-85478-530
in games played in a dome8-4+1.6101-75-5.6645-645-1.16-561-106549-683
in night games10-10-1.5127-107+4.1735-904-69.19-692-125747-819
in games played on artificial turf8-4+1.6113-81+0.4710-722+9.96-571-112613-756
against left-handed starters7-2+5.166-46+20.2312-380-29.34-450-55320-345
after a win5-8-5.4106-86+3.8539-585-15.97-481-101501-570
when playing against a team with a losing record2-3-1.981-49+19492-531-47.74-051-72450-525
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TORONTO - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/22/2013HAPP(L)@ BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)1-2L1108.5 unU461590
4/23/2013DICKEY(R)@ BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R)3-4L-1157.5 unU661660
4/24/2013MORROW(R)@ BALTIMORESTINSON(R)6-5W-1308.5 ovO872870
4/25/2013BUEHRLE(L)@ NY YANKEESKURODA(R)3-5L1258 unP750961
4/26/2013LAFFEY(L)@ NY YANKEESNOVA(R)4-6L1309 evO1070690
4/27/2013HAPP(L)@ NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)4-5L1357.5 ovO11701181
4/28/2013DICKEY(R)@ NY YANKEESHUGHES(R)2-3L-1108.5 unU870440
4/30/2013MORROW(R)BOSTONLESTER(L)9-7W+1058.5 ovO941961
5/1/2013BUEHRLE(L)BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R)1-10L+1159 ovO4611580
5/2/2013HAPP(L)BOSTONDEMPSTER(R)1-3L+1058.5 evU7826120
5/3/2013ROMERO(L)SEATTLEHERNANDEZ(R)0-4L+1207.5 ovU540851
5/4/2013DICKEY(R)SEATTLEIWAKUMA(R)1-8L-1407.5 unO680830
5/5/2013MORROW(R)SEATTLESAUNDERS(L)10-2W-1659 unO1580360
5/6/2013BUEHRLE(L)@ TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R) 
5/7/2013HAPP(L)@ TAMPA BAYHERNANDEZ(R) 
5/8/2013ROMERO(L)@ TAMPA BAYMOORE(L) 
5/9/2013DICKEY(R)@ TAMPA BAYPRICE(L) 
5/10/2013MORROW(R)@ BOSTONLESTER(L) 
5/11/2013BUEHRLE(L)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R) 
5/12/2013HAPP(L)@ BOSTONDEMPSTER(R) 

TAMPA BAY - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/22/2013MOORE(L)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)5-1W-1307 unU731241
4/23/2013PRICE(L)NY YANKEESHUGHES(R)3-4L-1807 unP740950
4/24/2013COBB(R)NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)3-0W-1357 unU880441
4/25/2013HELLICKSON(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXSALE(L)2-5L1207 unP560750
4/26/2013HERNANDEZ(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXPEAVY(R)4-5L1307.5 unO1080830
4/27/2013MOORE(L)@ CHI WHITE SOXFLOYD(R)10-4W-1207 ovO191419101
4/28/2013PRICE(L)@ CHI WHITE SOXAXELROD(R)8-3W-1357.5 unO860642
4/30/2013COBB(R)@ KANSAS CITYSHIELDS(R)2-8L1207.5 unO8611481
5/1/2013HELLICKSON(R)@ KANSAS CITYMENDOZA(R)8-9L-1157.5 ovO13601580
5/3/2013MOORE(L)@ COLORADOFRANCIS(L)7-4W-1359 ovO118011120
5/4/2013PRICE(L)@ COLORADOGARLAND(R)3-9L-1309 ovO9911260
5/5/2013COBB(R)@ COLORADOCHACIN(R)8-3W1059.5 unO11421081
5/6/2013HELLICKSON(R)TORONTOBUEHRLE(L) 
5/7/2013HERNANDEZ(R)TORONTOHAPP(L) 
5/8/2013MOORE(L)TORONTOROMERO(L) 
5/9/2013PRICE(L)TORONTODICKEY(R) 
5/10/2013COBB(R)SAN DIEGORICHARD(L) 
5/11/2013HELLICKSON(R)SAN DIEGOVOLQUEZ(R) 
5/12/2013HERNANDEZ(R)SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TORONTO - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games11-21-13.216-153.70.2320.2955.10.2590.334
Road Games4-9-4.87-53.70.2270.2854.80.2650.344
vs Right-handed Starters8-16-10.110-133.50.2210.2934.70.2550.332
Past 7 Games2-5-3.44-33.40.2410.3125.30.2300.327
Night Games6-13-9.77-113.40.2120.2814.80.2530.335
Division4-12-9.19-63.60.2340.2955.40.2580.340
TORONTO - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.70.2320.29532105724589380.04111942512319534202318
Road Games3.70.2270.2851344110036150.03463610097911688
Righty Starters3.50.2210.2932478817464280.0480811931514729151912
TORONTO - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.501.337110.750431031245935-88372.7%
Road Games2.801.40045171441122352-44266.7%

TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games14-16-515-104.40.2480.3124.30.2490.312
Home Games8-4+1.66-54.40.2570.3153.50.2230.281
vs Left-handed Starters7-2+5.14-44.90.2590.3122.60.2070.290
Past 7 Games4-3+0.67-06.60.2990.3535.70.3070.363
Dome Games8-4+1.66-54.40.2570.3153.50.2230.281
Night Games10-10-1.59-64.70.2670.3274.30.2520.308
Division4-8-5.84-53.70.2330.2914.30.2320.293
TAMPA BAY - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2480.31230100124883350.03122932171618924132527
Home Games4.40.2570.315123749630120.035032846641331310
Lefty Starters4.90.2590.31293017830110.044123664548376
TAMPA BAY - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.561.40971373669731712-54450%
Home Games5.191.26926151523510211-12250%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MARK BUEHRLE recent results and season statistics
MARK BUEHRLE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts6.431.5151-26355.827254499203-3+0.23-2
Road Starts9.321.6560-129.74.81110143251-1+0.21-0
Last 3 Starts5.681.3160-23196.313122174110-3-31-1
MARK BUEHRLE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/1/2013BOSTON1-10+1159Loss,OverL6.7557331BUCHHOLZ(R)
4/25/2013at NY YANKEES3-5+1258LossL5.3557303KURODA(R)
4/20/2013NY YANKEES3-5+1008.5Loss,Under 7327117KURODA(R)

JEREMY HELLICKSON recent results and season statistics
JEREMY HELLICKSON - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.711.2111-2636.36.1191933611312-4-2.22-2
Home Starts3.380.9751-0213.36.755111282-0+21-1
Last 3 Starts4.501.2781-13186.0991726191-2-1.21-1
JEREMY HELLICKSON - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/1/2013at KANSAS CITY8-9-1157.5Loss,Over 5449115MENDOZA(R)
4/25/2013at CHI WHITE SOX2-5+1207LossL6555148SALE(L)
4/20/2013OAKLAND1-0-1308Win,UnderW7003016PARKER(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 26-10 (+13.9 Units) against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
18 of 33 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)
Games this season
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 14-4 (+7.9 Units) against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.5 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)
Games played at TAMPA BAY this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MARK BUEHRLE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BUEHRLE is 6-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.33 and a WHIP of 1.259.
His team's record is 9-5 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-8. (-2.7 units)
MARK BUEHRLE recent starts vs. TAMPA BAY
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/21/2010TAMPA BAY0-12-1058Loss,OverL4.7669014DAVIS(R)
7/23/2009TAMPA BAY5-0-1209Win,UnderW9000006KAZMIR(L)
4/18/2009at TAMPA BAY8-3+1508.5Win,OverW6.7338035KAZMIR(L)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. TORONTO since 1997
HELLICKSON is 3-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.232.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)
JEREMY HELLICKSON recent starts vs. TORONTO
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/23/2012TORONTO3-0-2408.5Win,UnderW5.7005026JENKINS(R)
8/31/2012at TORONTO1-2-1158Loss,UnderL6224212MORROW(R)
5/21/2012TORONTO2-6-1458LossL7.3528113DRABEK(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TORONTO in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1038, -79.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 49.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (150-151, -26.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 55.5% of the time since 1997. (1097-878, +114.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 58.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (172-124, +23.6 units)
Edge=TAMPA BAY
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (847-772, -30.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 52.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (102-92, -0.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 53.2% of the time since 1997. (785-690, +7.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 53.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (98-84, +3.9 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TORONTO
[P] 04/02/2013 - Drew Hutchison 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Dustin McGowan 60-day DL (3/27) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 04/13/2013 - Jose Reyes 60-day DL (4/12) ( Ankle )
[P] 05/01/2013 - Josh Johnson 15-day DL (4/29) ( Tricep )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Kyle Drabek 60-day DL (2/25) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/10/2013 - Luis Perez 60-day DL (2/23) ( Undisclosed )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Michael Schwimer 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/16/2013 - Sergio Santos 15-day DL (4/14) ( Tricep )
TAMPA BAY
[P] 04/05/2013 - Jeff Niemann 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Juan Oviedo 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[SS] 05/05/2013 - Yunel Escobar "?" Monday vs. Toronto Blue Jays ( Hand )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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