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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 1:10 PM
WASHINGTON (4-1) AT CINCINNATI (3-2) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
903: WASHINGTON
904: CINCINNATI
7.0
-108
4-1
3-2
2-2-1
4-1-0
3.6 / 4.4
6.4 / 3.6
(R) S STRASBURG
(R) J CUETO
1-0
0-0
0.00
1.29
0.43
0.71
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 47   Wind: South at 3.5 MPH (3 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
WASHINGTONSTRASBURG +128 
CINCINNATICUETO-128 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
WASHINGTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games4-1+3.2184-150+34.51176-1425-72.22-2160-1561206-1268
when the total is 7 or less3-0+347-39+4.296-100+3.20-237-4386-92
as a road underdog of +100 to +1251-1+0.226-29-0.2132-184-35.52-026-27130-166
in road games1-1+0.286-81+17.9522-779-67.92-079-78586-647
on the road when the total is 7 or less0-0022-18+649-56+90-015-2240-54
in April games4-1+3.230-22+9.8175-216-13.32-224-27177-198
when playing on Sunday0-0027-25+1.9190-227-130-024-24191-202
in day games3-0+3.264-53+9.5371-435-8.21-154-56360-403
in games played on a grass field4-1+3.2181-150+30.6792-1011-46.32-2159-155808-903
against right-handed starters3-1+2.2135-113+24.5854-1061-78.42-2123-110872-948
after a win2-1+1103-80+20.6554-613+12.21-187-85558-556
when playing against a team with a winning record1-1+0.288-71+26.6521-746-62.32-085-67605-604

CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games3-2+0.6182-153+2.41274-1336-24.44-1151-1601221-1243
when the total is 7 or less0-0024-23+0.536-59-170-019-2237-43
at home with a money line of -100 to -1252-1+0.829-19+7170-163-16.82-126-15159-157
in home games3-2+0.696-75-4.5658-651-86.44-183-72644-591
at home when the total is 7 or less0-002-2-0.42-6-4.40-02-14-3
in April games3-2+0.627-26-3.4194-197+7.44-129-23195-179
when playing on Sunday0-0032-21+7.6192-221-30.40-026-22192-190
in day games1-2-1.467-54+4.2441-469-10.42-159-53425-426
in games played on a grass field3-2+0.6180-152+0.61043-1122-14.74-1151-1581001-1038
against right-handed starters2-1+0.9129-111-2.1918-967-12.82-1105-117886-888
after a loss1-0+189-60+20.8653-673+11.81-074-69644-614
when playing against a team with a winning record1-1-0.370-72-3543-672-11.32-065-67555-593
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
WASHINGTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/1/2013STRASBURG(R)MIAMINOLASCO(R)2-0W-2507 ovU540330
4/3/2013GONZALEZ(L)MIAMISLOWEY(R)3-0W-2307 unU671451
4/4/2013ZIMMERMANN(R)MIAMILEBLANC(L)6-1W-2207 unP950882
4/5/2013HAREN(R)@ CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)0-15L1158 unO5821960
4/6/2013DETWILER(L)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R)7-6W1208.5 unO106313110
4/7/2013STRASBURG(R)@ CINCINNATICUETO(R) 
4/9/2013GONZALEZ(L)CHI WHITE SOXPEAVY(R) 
4/10/2013 CHI WHITE SOX  
4/11/2013 CHI WHITE SOX  
4/12/2013 ATLANTA  
4/13/2013 ATLANTA  
4/14/2013 ATLANTA  

CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/1/2013CUETO(R)LA ANGELSWEAVER(R)1-3L-1157.5 unU31016123
4/3/2013LATOS(R)LA ANGELSWILSON(L)5-4W-1207.5 unO691962
4/4/2013ARROYO(R)LA ANGELSBLANTON(R)5-4W+1058 unO7301191
4/5/2013BAILEY(R)WASHINGTONHAREN(R)15-0W-1258 unO1960582
4/6/2013LEAKE(R)WASHINGTONDETWILER(L)6-7L-1308.5 unO131101063
4/7/2013CUETO(R)WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R) 
4/8/2013LATOS(R)@ ST LOUISGARCIA(L) 
4/9/2013ARROYO(R)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R) 
4/10/2013 @ ST LOUIS  
4/12/2013 @ PITTSBURGH  
4/13/2013 @ PITTSBURGH  
4/14/2013 @ PITTSBURGH  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
WASHINGTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games4-1+3.22-23.60.2220.2974.40.2660.305
Road Games1-1+0.22-03.50.2050.28410.50.3680.389
vs Right-handed Starters3-1+2.22-23.00.2050.2845.20.2710.305
Past 7 Games4-1+3.22-23.60.2220.2974.40.2660.305
Grass Games4-1+3.22-23.60.2220.2974.40.2660.305
Day Games3-0+3.21-15.00.2420.3062.30.2240.265
WASHINGTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.60.2220.2975158351890.061817350304681
Road Games3.50.2050.284273151050.0778160142531
Righty Starters3.00.2050.2844127261680.061214270254661
WASHINGTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games6.351.4121714121935211-02166.7%
Road Games12.002.111914121732131-0010%

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games3-2+0.64-16.40.2530.3073.60.2180.290
Home Games3-2+0.64-16.40.2530.3073.60.2180.290
vs Right-handed Starters2-1+0.92-17.00.2540.2982.30.1960.274
Past 7 Games3-2+0.64-16.40.2530.3073.60.2180.290
Grass Games3-2+0.64-16.40.2530.3073.60.2180.290
Day Games1-2-1.42-14.00.1970.2484.70.2200.289
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games6.40.2530.30751904822110.062915462393240
Home Games6.40.2530.30751904822110.062915462393240
Righty Starters7.00.2540.2983114291590.08207281191110
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.791.19019.3761538201-21150%
Home Games2.791.19019.3761538201-21150%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
STEPHEN STRASBURG recent results and season statistics
STEPHEN STRASBURG - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts0.000.4291-0177.00030031-0+10-1
Road Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts0.000.4291-0177.00030031-0+10-1
STEPHEN STRASBURG - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/1/2013MIAMI2-0-2507Win,UnderW7003003NOLASCO(R)
9/7/2012MIAMI7-9-2507.5Loss,Over 3556232TURNER(R)
9/2/2012ST LOUIS4-3-1607.5Win,Under 6002019WESTBROOK(R)

JOHNNY CUETO recent results and season statistics
JOHNNY CUETO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts1.290.7140-0177.01131290-1-1.20-1
Home Starts1.290.7140-0177.01131290-1-1.20-1
Last 3 Starts1.290.7140-0177.01131290-1-1.20-1
JOHNNY CUETO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/1/2013LA ANGELS1-3-1157.5Loss,Under 7113129WEAVER(R)
10/6/2012at SAN FRANCISCO5-2+1156.5Win,Over 0.3000001CAIN(R)
9/30/2012at PITTSBURGH4-3-1507.5Win,Under 7316116RODRIGUEZ(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 8-7 (+1.5 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-1.3 Units)
Games this season
WASHINGTON is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.2 Units)

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 5-3 (+1.4 Units) against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.1 Units)
Games played at CINCINNATI this season.
WASHINGTON is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.2 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
4/6/2013WASHINGTON7+120  105063DETWILER(L) 6061
 CINCINNATI6-1308.5 unOver1310110LEAKE(R) 6464
4/5/2013WASHINGTON0+115 Over50082HAREN(R)L4690
 CINCINNATI15-1258 unWin196160BAILEY(R)W6023
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
STRASBURG is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.411.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
STEPHEN STRASBURG recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/21/2010at CINCINNATI8-5-1257Win,OverW5.7337017ARROYO(R)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
CUETO is 4-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.282.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.7 units)
JOHNNY CUETO recent starts vs. WASHINGTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/28/2011WASHINGTON5-4-1407.5Win,Over 72290111ZIMMERMANN(R)
8/17/2011at WASHINGTON2-1-1358Win,UnderW8116105DETWILER(L)
7/19/2010WASHINGTON7-2-1659WinW6224044MARTIN(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WASHINGTON games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1024, -43.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WASHINGTON games 52.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (143-129, +13.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (1066-1073, -104.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (133-148, -26.0 units)
Edge=WASHINGTON
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WASHINGTON games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (795-779, -89.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WASHINGTON games 50% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (73-73, -7.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (821-749, -30.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (94-83, +2.0 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
WASHINGTON
[1B] 04/06/2013 - Adam LaRoche doubtful Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Back )
CINCINNATI
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 15-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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