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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 1:10 PM
WASHINGTON (3-1) AT CINCINNATI (3-1) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
951: WASHINGTON
952: CINCINNATI
8.5
-131
3-1
3-1
1-2-1
3-1-0
2.8 / 4.0
6.5 / 2.8
(L) R DETWILER
(R) M LEAKE
0-0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 47   Wind: South at 3.5 MPH (3 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
WASHINGTONDETWILER-112 
CINCINNATILEAKE +112 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
WASHINGTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after a loss0-0078-69+11.6617-807-85.10-072-68643-707
when playing against a team with a winning record0-1-187-71+25.4520-746-63.51-084-67604-604
in all games3-1+2183-150+33.31175-1425-73.41-2159-1561205-1268
when the total is 8 to 8.50-1-178-53+28.2430-544-54.61-060-64458-485
as a road underdog of +100 to +1250-1-125-29-1.4131-184-36.71-025-27129-166
in road games0-1-185-81+16.7521-779-69.11-078-78585-647
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.50-1-134-24+16.5182-272-24.41-028-26210-226
in April games3-1+229-22+8.6174-216-14.51-223-27176-198
when playing on Saturday0-0026-27-3176-242-460-023-28197-205
in day games2-0+263-53+8.3370-435-9.40-153-56359-403
in games played on a grass field3-1+2180-150+29.4791-1011-47.51-2158-155807-903
against right-handed starters2-1+1134-113+23.3853-1061-79.61-2122-110871-948
after allowing 10 runs or more0-009-9-0.4102-130-16.20-08-9115-107
after getting shut out0-0015-7+9.690-93+15.30-08-1477-95

CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after a win2-0+291-91-18617-657-32.32-075-89573-623
after 3 or more consecutive wins0-0027-20+1150-158-8.80-016-26132-158
when playing against a team with a winning record1-0+170-71-1.7543-671-101-064-67554-593
in all games3-1+1.9182-152+3.71274-1335-23.13-1150-1601220-1243
when the total is 8 to 8.52-0+276-69-9.7379-414-20.22-071-64378-385
as a home favorite of -125 to -1501-0+140-34-7.2173-156-39.91-035-35158-152
in home games3-1+1.996-74-3.2658-650-85.13-182-72643-591
at home when the total is 8 to 8.52-0+245-41-10.6196-209-37.52-045-33215-176
in April games3-1+1.927-25-2.1194-196+8.73-128-23194-179
when playing on Saturday0-0031-23+4.7214-212+7.10-026-24206-195
in day games1-1-0.167-53+5.5441-468-9.11-158-53424-426
in games played on a grass field3-1+1.9180-151+1.91043-1121-13.43-1150-1581000-1038
against left-handed starters1-0+153-41+5.7356-368-10.31-045-43334-355
after shutting out their opponent0-008-10-4.656-64-8.20-05-1044-71
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
WASHINGTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/1/2013STRASBURG(R)MIAMINOLASCO(R)2-0W-2507 ovU540330
4/3/2013GONZALEZ(L)MIAMISLOWEY(R)3-0W-2307 unU671451
4/4/2013ZIMMERMANN(R)MIAMILEBLANC(L)6-1W-2207 unP950882
4/5/2013HAREN(R)@ CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)0-15L1158 unO5821960
4/6/2013DETWILER(L)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R) 
4/7/2013STRASBURG(R)@ CINCINNATICUETO(R) 
4/9/2013GONZALEZ(L)CHI WHITE SOXPEAVY(R) 
4/10/2013 CHI WHITE SOX  
4/11/2013 CHI WHITE SOX  
4/12/2013 ATLANTA  
4/13/2013 ATLANTA  

CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/1/2013CUETO(R)LA ANGELSWEAVER(R)1-3L-1157.5 unU31016123
4/3/2013LATOS(R)LA ANGELSWILSON(L)5-4W-1207.5 unO691962
4/4/2013ARROYO(R)LA ANGELSBLANTON(R)5-4W+1058 unO7301191
4/5/2013BAILEY(R)WASHINGTONHAREN(R)15-0W-1258 unO1960582
4/6/2013LEAKE(R)WASHINGTONDETWILER(L) 
4/7/2013CUETO(R)WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R) 
4/8/2013LATOS(R)@ ST LOUIS  
4/9/2013ARROYO(R)@ ST LOUIS  
4/10/2013 @ ST LOUIS  
4/12/2013 @ PITTSBURGH  
4/13/2013 @ PITTSBURGH  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
WASHINGTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games3-1+21-22.70.2160.2954.00.2580.300
Road Games0-1-11-00.00.1610.25715.00.4520.465
vs Right-handed Starters2-1+11-21.70.1880.2745.00.2630.298
Past 7 Games3-1+21-22.70.2160.2954.00.2580.300
Grass Games3-1+21-22.70.2160.2954.00.2580.300
Day Games2-0+20-14.00.2460.3060.50.1770.227
WASHINGTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games2.70.2160.2954116251140.031113260243361
Road Games0.00.1610.2571315300.00047081211
Righty Starters1.70.1880.27438516930.04510180193341
WASHINGTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games6.001.33312981224130-020100%
Road Games18.002.750498102150-000100%

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games3-1+1.93-16.50.2410.3042.70.2120.286
Home Games3-1+1.93-16.50.2410.3042.70.2120.286
vs Left-handed Starters1-0+11-05.00.1940.3244.00.2650.324
Past 7 Games3-1+1.93-16.50.2410.3042.70.2120.286
Grass Games3-1+1.93-16.50.2410.3042.70.2120.286
Day Games1-1-0.11-13.00.1390.2053.50.2100.281
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games6.50.2410.30441453517100.072513372281230
Home Games6.50.2410.30441453517100.072513372281230
Lefty Starters5.00.1940.3241316210.03569190120
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games1.881.32614.3431108151-11150%
Home Games1.881.32614.3431108151-11150%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
ROSS DETWILER recent results and season statistics
ROSS DETWILER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Road Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
ROSS DETWILER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/11/2012ST LOUIS2-1-1058Win,Under 6103032LOHSE(R)
9/30/2012at ST LOUIS4-10+1358Loss,OverL2.3734153LYNN(R)
9/25/2012at PHILADELPHIA3-6+1307.5Loss,OverL5555233HAMELS(L)

MIKE LEAKE recent results and season statistics
MIKE LEAKE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Home Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
MIKE LEAKE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/10/2012SAN FRANCISCO3-8-1458Loss,OverL4.3556221ZITO(L)
9/29/2012at PITTSBURGH1-2-1258.5Loss,Under 6004033MCPHERSON(R)
9/19/2012at CHICAGO CUBS6-5-14514Win,Under 6446121RUSIN(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-7 (+0.3 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.2 Units, Under=-0.0 Units)
Games this season
CINCINNATI is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.2 Units)

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 5-2 (+2.7 Units) against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)
Games played at CINCINNATI this season.
CINCINNATI is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.2 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
4/5/2013WASHINGTON0+115 Over50082HAREN(R)L4690
 CINCINNATI15-1258 unWin196160BAILEY(R)W6023
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
ROSS DETWILER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
DETWILER is 0-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.13 and a WHIP of 1.478.
His team's record is 0-4 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)
ROSS DETWILER recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/15/2012CINCINNATI5-8+1008Loss,Over 5516122LEAKE(R)
8/27/2011at CINCINNATI3-6+1409LossL6638014LEAKE(R)
8/17/2011CINCINNATI1-2+1258Loss,UnderL6117127CUETO(R)

MIKE LEAKE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LEAKE is 3-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 5.13 and a WHIP of 1.350.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)
MIKE LEAKE recent starts vs. WASHINGTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/11/2012WASHINGTON3-7-1057.5Loss,OverL3667223GONZALEZ(L)
4/15/2012at WASHINGTON8-5-1108Win,Over 6.3555031DETWILER(L)
8/27/2011WASHINGTON6-3-1509WinW6226214DETWILER(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WASHINGTON games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1023, -42.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WASHINGTON games 52.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (143-128, +15.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (1066-1072, -102.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (133-147, -24.7 units)
Edge=WASHINGTON
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WASHINGTON games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (795-778, -88.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WASHINGTON games 50.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (73-72, -6.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (821-748, -29.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (94-82, +3.2 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
WASHINGTON
[1B] 04/06/2013 - Adam LaRoche doubtful Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Back )
CINCINNATI
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 15-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
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