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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 10:35 PM
MIAMI (6-3) AT DENVER (4-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
505: MIAMI
506: DENVER
202.0
-3.5
104.9 / 101.0
99.1 / 98.0
6-3
4-4
4-5
5-3
5-4
4-4
49.2%
43.8%
76.0%
64.3%
42.1%
30.0%
44.8%
42.2%
77.7%
76.7%
39.4%
32.9%
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIAMI  
DENVER0 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games4-5101-97687-6995-496-102648-7296-3140-61801-612
as an underdog0-010-14256-2660-013-12233-2900-010-15168-365
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-05-266-700-04-364-710-05-249-89
in road games1-449-49348-3402-347-50319-3652-358-41328-373
in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points0-04-418-200-04-421-180-05-323-16
in November games3-55-1787-1234-414-894-1125-312-10103-110
first half of the season4-521-25209-2225-422-24196-2306-335-12241-199
when playing on back-to-back days0-218-23154-1502-021-18137-1632-030-11172-140
against Northwest division opponents0-111-1140-421-014-753-281-014-846-36
after a non-conference game2-227-32220-2153-130-29220-2143-138-23248-199
in non-conference games1-431-32224-2154-136-27216-2223-240-24242-208
off a upset loss as a favorite0-219-24107-1212-025-1998-1252-030-14135-100
after allowing 105 points or more1-212-15100-892-115-1394-971-216-12111-86
after playing 3 consecutive road games0-111-870-721-010-1171-710-113-881-64
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game0-229-28187-1741-128-28168-1920-235-22193-175

DENVER - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games5-392-73654-6384-475-86644-6424-496-72613-706
as a favorite3-350-49280-2683-344-55285-2573-370-32391-164
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points1-010-1471-730-16-1973-701-015-1090-55
in home games2-039-39332-3091-134-43323-3112-058-23396-258
in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points2-08-539-451-14-936-492-09-445-41
in November games5-29-10106-1004-310-10104-1004-312-8106-105
first half of the season5-320-22215-2104-419-20220-2014-424-19203-231
when playing with 2 days rest1-09-794-881-04-1191-901-09-789-96
against Southeast division opponents1-114-448-291-17-1042-340-213-553-25
in non-conference games2-234-18228-2122-227-23232-2051-337-15221-227
revenging a loss vs opponent1-036-33336-3290-131-38307-3591-039-32287-406
off a upset loss as a favorite1-117-1380-791-117-1387-720-221-1083-79
after allowing 105 points or more1-033-28236-2191-025-33223-2311-032-29228-238
after a loss by 10 points or more1-015-9193-1681-014-10177-1790-114-10155-218
when playing against a team with a winning record1-050-39350-3280-135-52325-3541-044-46269-431
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game1-130-27184-1952-030-27197-1841-137-23219-169
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game1-032-23190-1860-125-30185-1951-032-26172-218
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games6-3+1.24-55-4104.953.149.2%48.0101.052.844.8%48.6
Road Games2-3-2.81-42-395.647.445.9%51.0102.852.244.4%46.8
Last 5 Games3-2+0.72-32-399.448.647.0%51.096.649.443.4%48.2
MIAMI Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)104.953.139-8049.2%9-2142.1%18-2376.0%48924207135
vs opponents surrendering95.24836-8244.0%7-1935.8%16-2175.7%511122208155
Team Stats (Road Games)95.647.436-7845.9%7-2037.4%16-2371.1%511121217165
Stats Against (All Games)101.052.837-8244.8%9-2439.4%18-2377.7%491121207144
vs opponents averaging98.750.537-8344.8%7-2134.9%17-2375.4%511122209145
Stats Against (Road Games)102.852.236-8144.4%13-2845.7%18-2282.1%471024218145

DENVER - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games4-4-2.55-34-499.150.643.8%61.998.048.942.2%52.2
Home Games2-0+22-01-1106.555.544.0%62.090.544.540.6%49.5
Last 5 Games4-1+2.24-13-2102.652.844.4%63.495.844.640.4%53.8
DENVER Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)99.150.639-9043.8%6-2130.0%14-2164.3%621622197157
vs opponents surrendering97.949.537-8344.2%7-2036.1%17-2373.9%531122208146
Team Stats (Home Games)106.555.540-9244.0%8-2334.0%17-2374.5%62172419101311
Stats Against (All Games)98.048.937-8742.2%7-2132.9%17-2276.7%521223209137
vs opponents averaging95.548.436-8343.2%7-1934.8%17-2275.0%521222218155
Stats Against (Home Games)90.544.533-8240.6%5-1728.6%18-2378.7%4911222051510
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 98.1,  DENVER 95
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
10/30/2012BOSTON120-107W-6.5W187.5O43-7954.4%40839-7552.0%4315
11/2/2012@ NEW YORK84-104L-6L199U33-7146.5%462136-8442.9%4412
11/3/2012DENVER119-116W-8.5L199O43-8351.8%37849-9551.6%6013
11/5/2012PHOENIX124-99W-13W203O47-8654.7%541535-8839.8%4911
11/7/2012BROOKLYN103-73W-10.5W208U40-7751.9%461230-8037.5%5119
11/9/2012@ ATLANTA95-89W-4W197.5U37-7648.7%471434-8142.0%4513
11/11/2012@ MEMPHIS86-104L-1.5L194.5U30-7938.0%621338-8644.2%5114
11/12/2012@ HOUSTON113-110W-5.5L194.5O45-8950.6%541136-8045.0%4811
11/14/2012@ LA CLIPPERS100-107L-1L197.5O35-7745.5%461935-7248.6%4618
11/15/2012@ DENVER              
11/17/2012@ PHOENIX              
11/21/2012MILWAUKEE              
11/24/2012CLEVELAND              
11/29/2012SAN ANTONIO              
12/1/2012BROOKLYN              

DENVER - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
10/31/2012@ PHILADELPHIA75-84L-1.5L197U33-8837.5%642030-8535.3%5615
11/2/2012@ ORLANDO89-102L-6L198U32-8438.1%541442-8648.8%5611
11/3/2012@ MIAMI116-119L8.5W199O49-9551.6%601343-8351.8%378
11/6/2012DETROIT109-97W-10.5W200O41-9244.6%581535-7844.9%4513
11/7/2012@ HOUSTON93-87W2.5W204U37-8245.1%612131-8436.9%5218
11/9/2012UTAH104-84W-5.5W203U40-9243.5%661132-8736.8%5417
11/10/2012@ GOLDEN STATE107-101W-2.5W202.5O43-11338.1%851539-10238.2%6814
11/12/2012@ PHOENIX100-110L-4.5L203O41-7653.9%471543-9445.7%506
11/15/2012MIAMI              
11/17/2012@ SAN ANTONIO              
11/19/2012@ MEMPHIS              
11/21/2012@ MINNESOTA              
11/23/2012GOLDEN STATE              
11/25/2012NEW ORLEANS              
11/26/2012@ UTAH              
11/29/2012@ GOLDEN STATE              
11/30/2012@ LA LAKERS              
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1996
DENVER is 18-13 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1996
MIAMI is 16-15 straight up against DENVER since 1996
16 of 30 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at DENVER since 1996
DENVER is 8-7 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1996
DENVER is 10-5 straight up against MIAMI since 1996
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games played at DENVER over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
11/03/2012DENVER116199 ATS6649-9551.6%5-2123.8%13-2065.0%601813
 MIAMI119-8.5SU Over6443-8351.8%10-2540.0%23-2785.2%3778
01/13/2012MIAMI104-3.5 Over5338-8146.9%7-1643.7%21-2972.4%471417
 DENVER117210.5SU ATS5543-7855.1%12-2548.0%19-2673.1%46818
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49.1% of the time since 1996. (528-547)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (78-78)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DENVER games 50.8% of the time since 1996. (524-507)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DENVER games 58.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (74-52)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 52.5% of the time since 1996. (629-568)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (91-91)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DENVER games 48.7% of the time since 1996. (545-575)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DENVER games 45.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (66-79)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
[C] 11/14/2012 - Dexter Pittman doubtful Thursday vs. Denver ( Leg )
[G] 11/15/2012 - Dwyane Wade is downgraded to doubtful Thursday vs. Denver ( Foot )
DENVER
[G/F] 10/19/2012 - Julyan Stone out indefinitely ( Hip )
[F] 11/14/2012 - Kenneth Faried probable Thursday vs. Miami ( Head )
[G/F] 11/15/2012 - Wilson Chandler probable Thursday vs. Miami ( Hip )
[F] 11/15/2012 - Danilo Gallinari probable Thursday vs. Miami ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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