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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 3:30 PM
MIAMI (69-16) AT MILWAUKEE (38-47) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
511: MIAMI
512: MILWAUKEE
195.0
+9.0
102.9 / 94.8
98.5 / 100.5
69-16
38-47
48-37
37-47
41-41
41-43
49.6%
43.5%
75.4%
73.1%
39.5%
35.6%
44.1%
45.5%
76.0%
75.9%
34.6%
34.8%
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIAMI-7 
MILWAUKEE  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games48-37145-129731-73141-41132-139684-76669-16203-74864-625
as a favorite42-36129-114458-45539-37117-123439-46263-15187-58679-250
as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points7-216-1239-345-314-1334-368-123-558-16
in road games25-1773-62372-35318-2363-70335-38530-1286-50356-382
in a road game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points6-514-1344-353-712-1335-437-417-1046-35
in April games9-325-1796-1155-513-2794-11911-132-10124-93
second half of the season27-1671-58336-33421-1953-71302-36040-3100-29424-267
on Sunday games10-330-18104-1116-719-2993-12211-234-14129-96
when playing with 2 days rest6-418-21123-1373-719-20114-1438-227-13146-117
against Central division opponents9-1232-34219-2219-1130-36206-23515-647-20257-198
in all playoff games2-128-1877-730-225-2175-763-033-1488-66
in the first round of the playoffs2-17-527-380-24-834-323-011-237-30
when leading in a playoff series1-113-1127-300-114-1030-282-017-834-25
after a win by 10 points or more25-1665-53211-21618-2250-65186-23732-989-30271-165
after 3 or more consecutive wins27-1860-52169-16623-2051-58155-18240-585-28235-114
when playing against a team with a losing record27-1762-53321-30624-1858-54307-31141-3100-15457-186
when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season17-935-22166-14211-1326-29148-16026-052-5237-84
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game19-1141-35210-18312-1733-41173-21829-166-10285-120
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season12-723-18113-907-1116-2483-11919-036-5158-53

MILWAUKEE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games37-47107-123649-70141-43110-119702-64938-47104-129631-749
as an underdog21-2158-58349-35717-2453-61367-33815-2736-80213-509
as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points0-15-116-130-03-216-120-11-54-25
in home games15-2647-67312-36024-1756-58365-30921-2160-56389-296
in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points5-710-1150-656-610-1163-527-613-964-54
in April games6-715-2087-1064-814-20107-843-1015-2089-111
second half of the season14-2752-70292-35918-2257-64336-31214-2752-71290-383
on Sunday games4-39-565-624-36-861-674-38-660-72
when playing with 2 days rest9-918-23120-12210-814-27126-12010-820-21130-124
against Southeast division opponents7-1425-3183-8811-930-2491-776-1522-3478-93
after 3 or more consecutive unders1-910-1856-745-514-1378-512-98-2156-78
in all playoff games1-21-222-280-20-224-240-30-319-33
in the first round of the playoffs1-21-216-200-20-220-150-30-312-26
when trailing in a playoff series1-11-113-80-10-113-70-20-211-11
revenging a home loss vs opponent8-1319-31131-15012-1025-26154-1278-1415-36108-182
revenging a loss vs opponent18-2653-67340-37020-2457-63384-32718-2744-77306-428
after a loss by 10 points or more14-1230-27160-15414-1228-29157-15815-1227-32145-182
after 3 or more consecutive losses6-620-11114-794-811-2095-997-520-11103-97
when playing against a team with a winning record18-2548-67322-34324-1956-59347-32015-2935-82246-447
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season8-1720-32157-18711-1320-31161-1805-2012-40119-237
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game10-1737-43180-17113-1330-49172-1807-2029-52142-221
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season8-1024-1998-787-1014-2884-926-1218-2575-107
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games69-16+24.548-3741-41102.951.449.6%46.694.848.744.1%48.3
Road Games30-12+9.425-1718-2399.549.548.4%46.894.348.343.5%49.7
Last 5 Games5-0+34-11-3102.650.251.2%49.490.447.446.8%45.6
Playoff Games3-0+12-10-2104.049.050.7%51.088.046.045.6%42.7
MIAMI Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)102.951.438-7749.6%9-2239.5%17-2375.4%47823199135
vs opponents surrendering98.249.437-8245.4%7-2035.8%17-2275.1%511122208145
Team Stats (Road Games)99.549.538-7848.4%9-2338.6%16-2272.7%47923198145
Stats Against (All Games)94.848.736-8144.1%8-2234.6%16-2176.0%481120208153
vs opponents averaging97.34937-8244.8%7-2035.6%16-2275.0%501122208145
Stats Against (Road Games)94.348.335-8143.5%7-2135.4%16-2176.6%501222208154

MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games38-47-12.837-4741-4398.550.043.5%52.2100.549.845.5%54.1
Home Games21-21-10.915-2624-17101.050.744.0%53.1101.250.245.9%53.1
Last 5 Games1-4-0.63-21-394.047.244.0%48.8102.650.847.1%54.6
Playoff Games0-3-11-20-288.046.045.6%42.7104.049.050.7%51.0
MILWAUKEE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)98.550.038-8743.5%7-2035.6%15-2173.1%521323198147
vs opponents surrendering97.649.237-8245.2%7-2035.8%17-2275.1%501122208145
Team Stats (Home Games)101.050.739-8844.0%7-2036.1%16-2274.3%531424198137
Stats Against (All Games)100.549.838-8445.5%6-1934.8%17-2375.9%541223198154
vs opponents averaging97.649.137-8145.3%7-2035.9%17-2275.1%501122208145
Stats Against (Home Games)101.250.238-8445.9%7-1836.2%18-2375.7%531223208154
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 94.7,  MILWAUKEE 95.5
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
3/20/2013@ CLEVELAND98-95W-11.5L198U32-7244.4%451337-8145.7%5016
3/22/2013DETROIT103-89W-16L198.5U38-6855.9%371834-8341.0%5322
3/24/2013CHARLOTTE109-77W-16.5W197.5U38-7650.0%521030-8933.7%5413
3/25/2013@ ORLANDO108-94W-12W198O37-7847.4%531237-8643.0%5412
3/27/2013@ CHICAGO97-101L-6.5L186.5O37-7748.1%381340-8547.1%5918
3/29/2013@ NEW ORLEANS108-89W-7.5W188.5O42-6960.9%321334-7445.9%4319
3/31/2013@ SAN ANTONIO88-86W9W194U33-7146.5%371035-7944.3%5712
4/2/2013NEW YORK90-102L3L192P30-6050.0%411937-7152.1%3413
4/5/2013@ CHARLOTTE89-79W-3.5W191.5U31-6944.9%492028-8831.8%5413
4/6/2013PHILADELPHIA106-87W-7.5W188.5O40-8348.2%51933-8240.2%489
4/9/2013MILWAUKEE94-83W-6.5W197.5U38-8843.2%541733-7544.0%4419
4/10/2013@ WASHINGTON103-98W4W188O33-7544.0%542236-8045.0%4116
4/12/2013BOSTON109-101W-11.5L196O39-7154.9%451441-8548.2%4013
4/14/2013CHICAGO105-93W-10W190O36-7051.4%541529-8235.4%5414
4/15/2013@ CLEVELAND96-95W2W192U33-6650.0%521739-8645.3%455
4/17/2013ORLANDO105-93W-7W193O42-7853.8%421140-7751.9%5513
4/21/2013MILWAUKEE110-87W-13.5W197.5U38-6855.9%531934-8241.5%3912
4/23/2013MILWAUKEE98-86W-14L197U35-7844.9%481436-7250.0%4216
4/25/2013@ MILWAUKEE104-91W-7W195P41-7951.9%521933-7245.8%4720
4/28/2013@ MILWAUKEE              

MILWAUKEE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
3/19/2013PORTLAND102-95W-5.5W207.5U42-8748.3%511136-8343.4%4817
3/20/2013@ ATLANTA90-98L6L205.5U37-9937.4%561038-7948.1%5316
3/22/2013@ INDIANA78-102L7.5L191U31-10130.7%65838-7948.1%6214
3/24/2013ATLANTA99-104L-2.5L202.5O42-9245.7%621539-7850.0%4013
3/27/2013@ PHILADELPHIA92-100L-1L199U37-8941.6%491442-8947.2%5215
3/28/2013LA LAKERS113-103W2W210.5O45-9348.4%521234-7744.2%5418
3/30/2013OKLAHOMA CITY99-109L6L206.5O37-9837.8%50940-7553.3%5513
4/1/2013CHARLOTTE131-102W-13W205O51-10051.0%511037-7350.7%4220
4/3/2013MINNESOTA98-107L-4.5L208.5U42-9643.7%521944-8452.4%5018
4/5/2013@ NEW YORK83-101L7L202U29-7638.2%471341-8946.1%549
4/6/2013TORONTO100-83W-5.5W202.5U36-7647.4%521530-8336.1%5116
4/9/2013@ MIAMI83-94L6.5L197.5U33-7544.0%441938-8843.2%5417
4/10/2013@ ORLANDO103-113L-5L201.5O39-10138.6%651251-10946.8%6916
4/12/2013@ ATLANTA104-109L7.5W203.5O38-9241.3%581843-8550.6%5117
4/13/2013@ CHARLOTTE85-95L-4.5L204.5U34-8739.1%441237-8046.2%6314
4/15/2013DENVER111-112L5.5W214.5O42-10042.0%551137-8543.5%7317
4/17/2013@ OKLAHOMA CITY95-89W3.5W201.5U36-8542.4%611237-8941.6%478
4/21/2013@ MIAMI87-110L13.5L197.5U34-8241.5%391238-6855.9%5319
4/23/2013@ MIAMI86-98L14W197U36-7250.0%421635-7844.9%4814
4/25/2013MIAMI91-104L7L195P33-7245.8%472041-7951.9%5219
4/28/2013MIAMI              
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1996
MIAMI is 33-29 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE since 1996
MIAMI is 41-24 straight up against MILWAUKEE since 1996
32 of 62 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 7-7 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 10-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MILWAUKEE since 1996
MIAMI is 18-13 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE since 1996
MIAMI is 20-13 straight up against MILWAUKEE since 1996
18 of 30 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games played at MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 4-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
04/25/2013MIAMI104-7SU ATS4841-7951.9%8-1942.1%14-2556.0%521219
 MILWAUKEE91195 5033-7245.8%7-2626.9%18-2962.1%47920
04/23/2013MILWAUKEE86197 ATS4336-7250.0%4-1822.2%10-1758.8%42416
 MIAMI98-14SU Under4735-7844.9%6-1931.6%22-2684.6%481214
04/21/2013MILWAUKEE87197.5 Under4534-8241.5%7-2626.9%12-2060.0%391012
 MIAMI110-13.5SU ATS5238-6855.9%7-2330.4%27-3381.8%531119
04/09/2013MILWAUKEE83197.5 Under4633-7544.0%9-2536.0%8-1457.1%44519
 MIAMI94-6.5SU ATS4738-8843.2%8-3522.9%10-10100.0%541417
03/15/2013MIAMI107-5.5SU ATS5141-7951.9%7-1546.7%18-2281.8%49811
 MILWAUKEE94202 Under4233-8937.1%9-2536.0%19-2190.5%511910
12/29/2012MIAMI85-4 Under4433-7643.4%4-1330.8%15-2462.5%601320
 MILWAUKEE104199.5SU ATS5640-9840.8%8-2138.1%16-1794.1%51145
11/21/2012MILWAUKEE106203.5 ATS4446-10942.2%5-2917.2%9-1275.0%561611
 MIAMI113-9.5SU Over4641-8647.7%8-1844.4%23-3369.7%651215
02/13/2012MIAMI114-6SU ATS5543-8351.8%7-1450.0%21-2584.0%561416
 MILWAUKEE96200.5 Over5033-8439.3%9-2339.1%21-2584.0%431413
02/01/2012MIAMI97-7 Over6034-7346.6%9-2045.0%20-2483.3%47817
 MILWAUKEE105198SU ATS4739-8844.3%10-2343.5%17-2568.0%531312
01/22/2012MILWAUKEE91192.5SU ATS4628-8035.0%5-3016.7%30-3488.2%481514
 MIAMI82-9.5 Under4125-6737.3%3-1225.0%29-3582.9%561221
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49.2% of the time since 1996. (560-578)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 50.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (110-109)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 50.7% of the time since 1996. (532-517)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 48.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (89-94)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 52.8% of the time since 1996. (666-596)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 51.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (128-119)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 51.2% of the time since 1996. (621-592)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 49.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (106-107)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
[G] 04/26/2013 - Dwyane Wade probable Sunday vs. Milwaukee ( Knee )
[C] 04/28/2013 - Chris Bosh probable Sunday vs. Milwaukee ( Leg )
MILWAUKEE
No significant injuries.
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