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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 8:35 PM
MIAMI (49-22) AT MILWAUKEE (14-58) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
511: MIAMI
512: MILWAUKEE
198.0
+9.0
103.2 / 98.0
95.4 / 103.5
49-22
14-58
32-37
33-38
38-33
40-31
50.5%
43.5%
76.0%
75.0%
36.8%
35.5%
45.5%
46.8%
75.4%
74.9%
35.9%
38.4%
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIAMI-6 
MILWAUKEE  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games32-37136-126773-77838-33129-131733-80849-22193-72926-654
as a favorite29-34125-115497-49837-28121-118486-49947-18183-60739-274
as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points4-117-846-352-313-1137-414-121-465-17
in road games18-1867-63395-37519-1864-64360-40621-1679-52382-402
in a road game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points5-716-1750-427-515-1642-495-718-1552-42
second half of the season13-1166-49350-34510-1645-67312-37717-990-27442-276
in March games6-923-26131-1377-920-28118-1508-835-15176-102
on Saturday games6-518-11112-1057-516-1499-1179-324-6133-90
when playing on back-to-back days6-724-25169-1629-524-24151-1779-537-13194-146
against Central division opponents7-835-37233-2358-733-38221-24810-550-22276-207
after 3 or more consecutive unders2-417-21117-994-321-16105-1104-324-15136-85
after allowing 85 points or less6-123-24204-2203-522-26203-2178-036-12252-183
after a win by 10 points or more11-1158-53225-23411-1250-59202-25418-580-32293-176
after scoring 105 points or more10-1745-48160-16415-1349-43150-17421-768-26220-112
when playing against a team with a losing record15-2256-53337-32822-1657-50329-32826-1289-21484-198
when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season4-727-19171-1497-520-25155-1668-441-6246-88
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game17-2140-35228-20422-1735-40195-23629-1064-12315-130
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season7-921-17121-999-816-2292-12812-533-6171-58

MILWAUKEE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games33-3899-122682-74040-31120-101742-68114-5883-141645-808
as an underdog30-3664-77379-39438-2873-67405-36711-5635-107224-566
as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points3-25-419-165-07-121-131-42-75-30
in home games15-2143-68327-38218-1862-48383-3289-2747-65398-324
in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points3-411-1553-705-215-1168-553-413-1467-59
second half of the season18-751-61310-36716-962-50352-3226-2042-72296-404
in March games9-525-22126-1459-630-18138-1343-1220-28112-168
on Saturday games7-1217-30121-16311-826-22157-1292-1715-33142-150
against Southeast division opponents7-720-3390-968-631-2199-843-1117-3681-105
after a non-conference game13-1539-36232-23518-1144-33248-2265-2430-47206-280
revenging a loss vs opponent23-2953-79363-40030-2274-58414-3508-4535-99314-474
after allowing 105 points or more20-1342-36221-20320-1447-32215-2098-2630-49203-236
after scoring 105 points or more7-829-34188-1948-738-26203-1832-1327-37194-200
when playing against a team with a winning record9-1437-62331-35813-1055-44360-3310-2322-78246-471
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season8-317-30165-1918-323-23169-1840-116-41119-249
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game18-2032-43198-19222-1639-35194-1976-3316-60148-255
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season12-620-18110-8511-718-1995-1002-178-3177-125
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games49-22-732-3738-33103.252.350.5%43.898.050.045.5%48.8
Road Games21-16-13.618-1819-18100.852.149.1%43.497.649.845.1%50.2
Last 5 Games3-2-0.13-21-494.447.248.4%48.888.843.242.1%46.2
MIAMI Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)103.252.339-7750.5%8-2236.8%18-2376.0%44823209145
vs opponents surrendering100.550.338-8345.2%8-2136.1%18-2375.7%511122218145
Team Stats (Road Games)100.852.137-7649.1%8-2336.0%18-2376.4%43723219145
Stats Against (All Games)98.050.036-7945.5%8-2335.9%17-2375.4%491121208163
vs opponents averaging100.150.137-8345.0%8-2135.9%18-2375.4%511122218145
Stats Against (Road Games)97.649.835-7945.1%8-2335.9%19-2575.1%501122218163

MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games14-58-28.433-3840-3195.446.843.5%49.7103.551.946.8%52.2
Home Games9-27-15.115-2118-1893.947.343.2%50.2101.151.446.2%51.9
Last 5 Games1-4-24-13-2107.649.849.3%49.8114.057.049.1%49.6
MILWAUKEE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)95.446.836-8343.5%7-2035.5%16-2275.0%501221217145
vs opponents surrendering100.650.338-8345.3%8-2136.1%18-2375.7%511122218145
Team Stats (Home Games)93.947.335-8243.2%7-1935.6%16-2275.3%501221216145
Stats Against (All Games)103.551.938-8246.8%8-2238.4%18-2574.9%521223218145
vs opponents averaging100.250.237-8345.1%8-2135.8%18-2375.4%511122218145
Stats Against (Home Games)101.151.438-8146.2%9-2238.1%17-2473.1%521222208144
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 94.6,  MILWAUKEE 95.1
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
2/18/2014@ DALLAS117-106W-2.5W205.5O44-7757.1%351234-8540.0%5716
2/20/2014@ OKLAHOMA CITY103-81W3W206.5U41-7554.7%481828-7437.8%4420
2/23/2014CHICAGO93-79W-5W185U37-8842.0%47729-8135.8%6212
2/27/2014NEW YORK108-82W-8.5W201U45-7460.8%431231-8337.3%5013
3/1/2014ORLANDO112-98W-14T199O43-7458.1%441736-8343.4%4512
3/3/2014CHARLOTTE124-107W-11.5W197O46-8355.4%41742-8251.2%4710
3/4/2014@ HOUSTON103-106L2L209.5U38-8047.5%41840-7851.3%5718
3/6/2014@ SAN ANTONIO87-111L3.5L206.5U34-7943.0%392040-7950.6%5217
3/9/2014@ CHICAGO88-95L-4.5L186.5U30-7440.5%471738-9042.2%5512
3/10/2014WASHINGTON99-90W-8W205U40-8050.0%371036-8940.4%5918
3/12/2014BROOKLYN95-96L-9L201.5U33-6848.5%461734-7843.6%4215
3/14/2014DENVER107-111L-11L215O42-8151.9%431839-8247.6%4815
3/16/2014HOUSTON113-104W-5.5W207.5O40-7851.3%451337-7549.3%4315
3/18/2014@ CLEVELAND100-96W-9.5L192O34-7545.3%461437-7251.4%4819
3/19/2014@ BOSTON96-101L-4.5L195O40-8149.4%421239-7750.6%4213
3/21/2014MEMPHIS91-86W-4.5W190U35-7546.7%411436-7945.6%5015
3/22/2014@ NEW ORLEANS95-105L-5L196.5O37-7350.7%421543-8451.2%446
3/24/2014PORTLAND93-91W-6.5L208U37-8444.0%56928-7437.8%4915
3/26/2014@ INDIANA83-84L1.5W186U28-6145.9%481830-8137.0%4810
3/28/2014@ DETROIT110-78W-5W199U43-7954.4%57830-7938.0%4011
3/29/2014@ MILWAUKEE              
3/31/2014TORONTO              
4/2/2014MILWAUKEE              
4/4/2014MINNESOTA              
4/6/2014NEW YORK              
4/8/2014BROOKLYN              
4/9/2014@ MEMPHIS              
4/11/2014INDIANA              
4/12/2014@ ATLANTA              
4/14/2014@ WASHINGTON              

MILWAUKEE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
2/18/2014ORLANDO104-100W3W195O35-8242.7%551040-8050.0%4714
2/20/2014DENVER90-101L5L202U35-8242.7%481239-7651.3%5115
2/22/2014INDIANA100-110L12W189O35-8342.2%621236-8045.0%529
2/24/2014@ PHILADELPHIA130-110W-3W210O48-8457.1%542343-8848.9%4117
2/27/2014@ INDIANA96-101L16W196.5O38-8743.7%411238-7451.4%5019
3/1/2014BROOKLYN98-107L6L198.5O34-7445.9%511837-8344.6%4911
3/3/2014UTAH114-88W1W196O42-7456.8%481331-7939.2%4213
3/5/2014SACRAMENTO102-116L3.5L206.5O36-8243.9%43843-8252.4%539
3/7/2014@ NEW ORLEANS104-112L8T199.5O40-8944.9%53942-8450.0%479
3/8/2014WASHINGTON107-114L8W203.5O39-8744.8%501443-8053.7%4816
3/10/2014ORLANDO105-98W1W203.5U38-8445.2%501142-8847.7%4917
3/11/2014@ MINNESOTA101-112L15W214U39-7452.7%531541-8548.2%457
3/13/2014@ ATLANTA97-102L8.5W209U37-8941.6%51836-7448.6%4817
3/15/2014@ NEW YORK94-115L10L204.5O35-8143.2%441042-7655.3%4811
3/16/2014CHARLOTTE92-101L5.5L195.5U37-8941.6%46939-6857.4%4417
3/18/2014@ PORTLAND115-120L12.5W206O45-9845.9%661942-9743.3%5416
3/20/2014@ GOLDEN STATE110-115L13W206.5O39-8048.7%471043-8053.7%4515
3/23/2014@ SACRAMENTO107-124L7.5L206.5O42-8549.4%501244-8651.2%5310
3/24/2014@ LA CLIPPERS98-106L17W213.5U41-8548.2%421038-7848.7%5213
3/27/2014LA LAKERS108-105W-2.5W219U39-7055.7%441842-8549.4%4420
3/29/2014MIAMI              
3/31/2014@ DETROIT              
4/2/2014@ MIAMI              
4/4/2014@ CHICAGO              
4/5/2014TORONTO              
4/9/2014INDIANA              
4/11/2014CLEVELAND              
4/12/2014@ WASHINGTON              
4/14/2014@ TORONTO              
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1996
MIAMI is 35-29 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE since 1996
MIAMI is 43-24 straight up against MILWAUKEE since 1996
33 of 64 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MILWAUKEE since 1996
MIAMI is 19-13 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE since 1996
MIAMI is 21-13 straight up against MILWAUKEE since 1996
18 of 31 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games played at MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 4-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
11/12/2013MILWAUKEE95194.5 Over4533-7941.8%11-3036.7%18-2185.7%46818
 MIAMI118-13.5SU ATS5646-7958.2%12-2352.2%14-2458.3%46513
04/28/2013MIAMI88-8.5SU ATS4534-7346.6%7-2626.9%13-1968.4%53813
 MILWAUKEE77195 Under4130-8137.0%6-2227.3%11-1573.3%471215
04/25/2013MIAMI104-7SU ATS4841-7951.9%8-1942.1%14-2556.0%521219
 MILWAUKEE91195 5033-7245.8%7-2626.9%18-2962.1%47920
04/23/2013MILWAUKEE86197 ATS4336-7250.0%4-1822.2%10-1758.8%42416
 MIAMI98-14SU Under4735-7844.9%6-1931.6%22-2684.6%481214
04/21/2013MILWAUKEE87197.5 Under4534-8241.5%7-2626.9%12-2060.0%391012
 MIAMI110-13.5SU ATS5238-6855.9%7-2330.4%27-3381.8%531119
04/09/2013MILWAUKEE83197.5 Under4633-7544.0%9-2536.0%8-1457.1%44519
 MIAMI94-6.5SU ATS4738-8843.2%8-3522.9%10-10100.0%541417
03/15/2013MIAMI107-5.5SU ATS5141-7951.9%7-1546.7%18-2281.8%49811
 MILWAUKEE94202 Under4233-8937.1%9-2536.0%19-2190.5%511910
12/29/2012MIAMI85-4 Under4433-7643.4%4-1330.8%15-2462.5%601320
 MILWAUKEE104199.5SU ATS5640-9840.8%8-2138.1%16-1794.1%51145
11/21/2012MILWAUKEE106203.5 ATS4446-10942.2%5-2917.2%9-1275.0%561611
 MIAMI113-9.5SU Over4641-8647.7%8-1844.4%23-3369.7%651215
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MILWAUKEE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 48.8% of the time since 1996. (592-620)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 47.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (103-112)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 50.4% of the time since 1996. (560-551)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 50.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (91-90)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 52.5% of the time since 1996. (705-639)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 50.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (119-118)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 52% of the time since 1996. (665-615)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 58.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (121-87)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
[C] 03/28/2014 - Greg Oden "?" Saturday vs. Milwaukee ( Back )
[G] 03/28/2014 - Mario Chalmers "?" Saturday vs. Milwaukee ( Quad )
[G] 03/28/2014 - Ray Allen expected to miss Saturday vs. Milwaukee ( Flu )
[G] 03/28/2014 - Dwyane Wade "?" Saturday vs. Milwaukee ( Hamstring )
MILWAUKEE
[G] 03/29/2014 - Giannis Antetokounmpo injured last game, doubtful Saturday vs. Miami ( Ankle )
[G] 03/28/2014 - O.J. Mayo "?" Saturday vs. Miami ( Ankle )
[F] 03/27/2014 - Ersan Ilyasova out for season ( Ankle )
[G] 03/21/2014 - Nate Wolters out for season ( Hand )
[C] 03/19/2014 - Larry Sanders out for season ( Eye )
[G] 12/27/2013 - Carlos Delfino out indefinitely ( Foot )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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