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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 8:35 PM
MIAMI (20-7) AT MILWAUKEE (15-12) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
517: MIAMI
518: MILWAUKEE
198.5
+4.0
103.4 / 97.6
95.6 / 96.4
20-7
15-12
15-12
13-13
13-14
12-15
49.6%
43.0%
76.8%
74.1%
40.5%
32.8%
44.2%
43.8%
76.5%
79.4%
35.8%
33.6%
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIAMI-4 
MILWAUKEE  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games15-12112-104698-70613-14104-112656-73920-7154-65815-616
as a favorite14-12101-90430-43113-1391-99413-43819-7143-50635-242
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points2-318-1149-453-217-1053-393-219-1069-27
in road games5-653-51352-3425-650-53322-3686-562-43332-375
in a road game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points1-29-1039-321-210-833-381-211-840-33
in December games9-421-11122-965-812-2099-1189-428-5138-86
first half of the season15-1232-32220-22913-1430-34204-24020-749-16255-203
on Saturday games5-214-13103-983-413-1589-1107-023-5121-85
when playing on back-to-back days2-220-23156-1502-221-20137-1654-032-11174-140
against Central division opponents0-323-25210-2123-024-25200-2242-134-15244-193
off a upset loss as a favorite3-322-25110-1224-227-21100-1275-133-15138-101
after allowing 105 points or more3-514-18102-926-219-1498-985-320-13115-87
after a loss by 10 points or more1-214-9134-1293-016-8139-1263-018-6140-134
when playing against a team with a winning record6-664-59357-3744-858-66330-4018-478-48355-397

MILWAUKEE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games13-1383-89625-66712-1581-91673-62115-1281-94608-714
as an underdog6-643-43334-3425-741-44355-3215-726-60203-489
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-11-732-321-06-236-270-11-726-39
in home games5-837-49302-3427-739-48348-2998-647-41376-281
in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points2-47-847-624-38-861-494-310-661-51
in December games7-514-13110-986-710-17104-1068-516-13108-113
first half of the season13-1326-32217-21012-1523-35220-21015-1229-31216-228
on Saturday games0-612-22108-1453-416-19140-1153-416-19133-128
when playing with 2 days rest2-211-16113-1152-26-21118-1143-113-14123-117
against Southeast division opponents3-121-1879-753-122-1683-692-218-2174-80
revenging a loss vs opponent8-643-47330-3506-943-48370-3129-635-56297-407
after a win by 10 points or more2-313-21102-1272-312-21116-1144-118-16106-129
after scoring 105 points or more2-318-19173-1742-317-21181-1702-322-16183-176
when playing against a team with a winning record6-536-47310-3238-440-44331-3056-626-59237-424
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game1-428-30171-1584-121-37163-1680-522-37135-206
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games20-7-415-1213-14103.452.749.6%46.797.650.244.2%48.6
Road Games6-5-6.45-65-698.951.147.7%48.699.650.344.8%48.0
Last 5 Games4-1+1.54-12-3104.453.249.9%45.496.445.844.4%46.0
MIAMI Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)103.452.739-7849.6%9-2240.5%17-2276.8%47823198145
vs opponents surrendering97.649.137-8244.7%7-2036.4%17-2275.6%511122208145
Team Stats (Road Games)98.951.138-7947.7%9-2338.3%15-2073.7%49922207155
Stats Against (All Games)97.650.236-8244.2%8-2335.8%17-2276.5%491120208143
vs opponents averaging97.849.437-8344.6%7-2135.6%17-2275.2%511222208145
Stats Against (Road Games)99.650.337-8244.8%9-2340.5%17-2276.9%481123208135

MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games15-12+2.413-1312-1595.648.943.0%52.396.446.943.8%53.0
Home Games8-6-1.25-87-796.249.042.7%52.296.947.444.2%53.9
Last 5 Games3-2-0.83-23-293.442.841.7%56.292.845.040.2%55.6
MILWAUKEE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)95.648.937-8643.0%6-1832.8%16-2274.1%521222209147
vs opponents surrendering96.248.236-8144.8%7-2035.8%17-2275.2%501121208146
Team Stats (Home Games)96.249.037-8642.7%6-1834.6%17-2373.8%521322208127
Stats Against (All Games)96.446.936-8243.8%6-1733.6%19-2479.4%531222208164
vs opponents averaging95.447.836-8144.2%7-1935.5%17-2276.2%501121208145
Stats Against (Home Games)96.947.436-8144.2%5-1732.2%20-2577.7%541221217154
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 95.6,  MILWAUKEE 94.6
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
11/21/2012MILWAUKEE113-106W-9.5L203.5O41-8647.7%651546-10942.2%5611
11/24/2012CLEVELAND110-108W-15L197.5O36-6952.2%511835-7944.3%4310
11/29/2012SAN ANTONIO105-100W-13L201.5O42-8648.8%421036-8045.0%5519
12/1/2012BROOKLYN102-89W-8W192.5U40-7851.3%381033-7544.0%5618
12/4/2012@ WASHINGTON101-105L-10L194.5O41-8946.1%511238-7948.1%5010
12/6/2012NEW YORK92-112L-9.5L199O32-7642.1%511441-9145.1%567
12/8/2012NEW ORLEANS106-90W-14.5W194O40-6958.0%421635-7844.9%3617
12/10/2012ATLANTA101-92W-6.5W197.5U39-6758.2%451432-7542.7%3514
12/12/2012GOLDEN STATE95-97L-8L206.5U38-8047.5%451738-8146.9%4513
12/15/2012WASHINGTON102-72W-15W196U40-7950.6%511227-7237.5%4421
12/18/2012MINNESOTA103-92W-8W200U36-7746.8%34837-8643.0%6619
12/20/2012@ DALLAS110-95W-5.5W203O42-7853.8%561837-9638.5%449
12/22/2012UTAH105-89W-7.5W198.5U38-7352.1%461630-7341.1%4019
12/25/2012OKLAHOMA CITY103-97W-2.5W204U38-8047.5%391330-7142.3%5016
12/26/2012@ CHARLOTTE105-92W-9W200.5U37-8145.7%501334-7843.6%5316
12/28/2012@ DETROIT99-109L-6L189O39-7750.6%361443-7458.1%4314
12/29/2012@ MILWAUKEE              
12/31/2012@ ORLANDO              
1/2/2013DALLAS              
1/4/2013CHICAGO              
1/6/2013WASHINGTON              
1/8/2013@ INDIANA              
1/10/2013@ PORTLAND              
1/12/2013@ SACRAMENTO              
1/14/2013@ UTAH              

MILWAUKEE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
11/19/2012@ CHARLOTTE98-102L-4L197.5O44-9347.3%481436-8243.9%5316
11/21/2012@ MIAMI106-113L9.5W203.5O46-10942.2%561141-8647.7%6515
11/24/2012CHICAGO86-93L-2.5L192U38-8843.2%47932-8239.0%5716
11/26/2012@ CHICAGO93-92W4W192U39-8545.9%511235-8043.7%4915
11/28/2012NEW YORK88-102L2.5L202.5U33-7245.8%421735-7347.9%4314
11/30/2012@ MINNESOTA85-95L1.5L194.5U34-9336.6%571134-8739.1%6715
12/1/2012BOSTON91-88W-3T196U36-7945.6%491434-8241.5%5016
12/3/2012@ NEW ORLEANS81-102L-4L188.5U29-7638.2%481643-8252.4%468
12/5/2012@ SAN ANTONIO99-110L9L202.5O35-8441.7%451140-8547.1%5817
12/7/2012CHARLOTTE108-93W-7.5W197.5O38-9440.4%661036-8144.4%5511
12/9/2012@ BROOKLYN97-88W6W194U33-7146.5%401832-7940.5%5720
12/12/2012SACRAMENTO98-85W-7.5W198U39-9640.6%68932-8637.2%5617
12/14/2012@ CLEVELAND90-86W-3W196U33-8339.8%551732-8139.5%5324
12/15/2012LA CLIPPERS85-111L5L195O30-8336.1%501344-8253.7%5411
12/18/2012INDIANA98-93W-2.5W185O37-8643.0%521532-8040.0%6020
12/19/2012@ MEMPHIS80-90L9L187.5U30-8535.3%551636-8840.9%6016
12/21/2012@ BOSTON99-94W5W191O36-8343.4%722136-9438.3%5014
12/22/2012CLEVELAND82-94L-8L197U31-7939.2%501438-8843.2%5812
12/26/2012BROOKLYN108-93W-5W187O40-8447.6%521834-8838.6%5015
12/29/2012MIAMI              
12/30/2012@ DETROIT              
1/2/2013SAN ANTONIO              
1/4/2013HOUSTON              
1/5/2013@ INDIANA              
1/8/2013PHOENIX              
1/9/2013@ CHICAGO              
1/11/2013DETROIT              
1/13/2013@ TORONTO              
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1996
MIAMI is 29-27 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE since 1996
MIAMI is 36-23 straight up against MILWAUKEE since 1996
32 of 57 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MILWAUKEE since 1996
MIAMI is 16-12 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE since 1996
MIAMI is 18-12 straight up against MILWAUKEE since 1996
18 of 28 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games played at MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
11/21/2012MILWAUKEE106203.5 ATS4446-10942.2%5-2917.2%9-1275.0%561611
 MIAMI113-9.5SU Over4641-8647.7%8-1844.4%23-3369.7%651215
02/13/2012MIAMI114-6SU ATS5543-8351.8%7-1450.0%21-2584.0%561416
 MILWAUKEE96200.5 Over5033-8439.3%9-2339.1%21-2584.0%431413
02/01/2012MIAMI97-7 Over6034-7346.6%9-2045.0%20-2483.3%47817
 MILWAUKEE105198SU ATS4739-8844.3%10-2343.5%17-2568.0%531312
01/22/2012MILWAUKEE91192.5SU ATS4628-8035.0%5-3016.7%30-3488.2%481514
 MIAMI82-9.5 Under4125-6737.3%3-1225.0%29-3582.9%561221
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49% of the time since 1996. (534-556)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (84-87)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 51.1% of the time since 1996. (511-489)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 50.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (68-66)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 52.5% of the time since 1996. (636-576)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 49.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (98-99)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 51.1% of the time since 1996. (592-566)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 48.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (77-81)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
[G] 12/28/2012 - Dwyane Wade probable Saturday vs. Milwaukee ( Suspension Served )
[G] 12/29/2012 - Terrel Harris probable Saturday vs. Milwaukee ( Elbow )
MILWAUKEE
[F] 12/28/2012 - Tobias Harris is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Miami ( Elbow )
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