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Page last updated on Wed Mar 29 22:30:36 EDT 2017
Matchup Reports

Friday at 8:05 PM
MIAMI (11-29) AT MILWAUKEE (19-18) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
707: MIAMI
708: MILWAUKEE
205.0
-7.0
98.0 / 102.5
105.1 / 103.0
11-29
19-18
19-21
17-20
18-22
23-14
43.7%
47.6%
67.5%
76.0%
33.6%
36.8%
44.9%
44.3%
78.0%
77.5%
35.3%
35.1%
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIAMI  
MILWAUKEE-11
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games19-21105-108894-90018-2294-123845-94311-29103-1151047-782
as an underdog16-1753-60319-33514-1945-69285-3708-2538-77215-453
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points4-210-854-532-44-1442-653-38-1030-79
in road games12-1053-55454-4378-1443-67410-4796-1645-66433-476
in a road game where where the total is between 205 and 209.5 points2-26-624-220-44-820-271-34-824-23
in January games2-417-17138-1463-310-25144-1411-516-20153-137
on Friday nights4-423-19166-1602-618-24159-1621-720-22182-147
when playing with 2 days rest0-414-13148-1611-310-17132-1740-414-13175-137
against Central division opponents3-418-25258-2623-417-26243-2772-518-25301-234
after a non-conference game7-1134-41292-2837-1124-54276-3013-1533-45329-262
after allowing 105 points or more8-827-29146-1407-922-35137-1525-1127-30167-128
after a loss by 10 points or more5-434-23179-1642-722-35169-1761-831-27185-170
after playing 3 consecutive road games3-312-1496-1043-311-1697-1042-413-14122-83
after 3 or more consecutive losses8-415-982-827-512-1378-884-813-1275-93
when playing against a team with a winning record9-1349-60455-4818-1444-68425-5143-1940-72459-503
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game14-1476-64310-27511-1760-82262-3248-2077-66399-202
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game16-1475-72297-28311-1957-92260-3218-2268-82311-280

MILWAUKEE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games17-20103-100789-84623-14103-103852-78719-1895-112741-929
as a favorite6-733-33329-3669-435-32362-33810-348-19462-248
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points0-24-861-791-12-1075-672-010-2108-35
in home games10-1049-52378-43714-652-52439-38111-957-47456-375
in a home game where where the total is between 205 and 209.5 points1-47-746-523-27-752-452-37-761-37
in January games2-319-15149-1442-314-19156-1403-218-16143-158
on Friday nights2-417-19138-1504-220-17152-1392-415-22117-177
when playing with 2 days rest1-216-17143-1461-216-17148-1452-113-20147-154
against Southeast division opponents2-821-24111-1245-522-23122-1103-720-26101-135
after a non-conference game4-634-34266-2706-435-35283-2626-428-42234-323
revenging a loss vs opponent11-1064-56430-46212-956-65476-41811-1053-69368-551
off an upset win as an underdog5-225-17121-1405-221-22132-1285-224-20117-151
after allowing 105 points or more9-937-42258-24913-539-41255-25311-737-43240-283
after scoring 105 points or more7-1328-36216-23310-1028-37231-2238-1229-37223-240
when playing against a team with a losing record7-1253-41361-38512-749-46394-35610-961-35428-341
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game13-1567-62288-26918-1066-64290-26815-1367-64294-278
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-29-13.519-2118-2298.049.943.7%53.8102.452.744.9%53.5
Road Games6-16-4.512-108-1495.549.442.7%52.8102.052.145.1%54.0
Last 5 Games1-4-0.52-32-395.653.041.6%51.2106.655.647.0%54.4
MIAMI Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)98.049.938-8643.7%9-2533.6%14-2167.5%541121217126
vs opponents surrendering103.952.438-8545.2%9-2735.7%18-2376.6%521022208135
Team Stats (Road Games)95.549.437-8642.7%8-2531.7%14-2069.4%531221207126
Stats Against (All Games)102.452.738-8544.9%8-2335.3%17-2278.0%531021197125
vs opponents averaging104.552.339-8545.4%9-2635.8%18-2377.1%521022208135
Stats Against (Road Games)102.052.138-8445.1%9-2336.4%17-2277.9%541122187136

MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games19-18+4.717-2023-14105.153.147.6%50.4103.051.544.3%51.1
Home Games11-9+0.910-1014-6108.654.948.4%50.0104.250.544.4%50.3
Last 5 Games3-2+2.42-32-3104.855.448.9%44.6105.653.847.3%51.6
MILWAUKEE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)105.153.140-8347.6%9-2436.8%17-2276.0%50925208135
vs opponents surrendering104.652.839-8645.4%10-2735.9%17-2276.7%521023208145
Team Stats (Home Games)108.654.940-8348.4%9-2337.7%19-2576.3%50925209136
Stats Against (All Games)103.051.538-8544.3%10-2935.1%18-2377.5%511124197145
vs opponents averaging104.452.839-8645.2%9-2635.6%18-2377.3%521022208135
Stats Against (Home Games)104.250.537-8444.4%11-3034.9%19-2479.6%501024217155
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 95.9,  MILWAUKEE 96.7
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
12/6/2016NEW YORK103-114L-1L205.5O38-8942.7%521048-9849.0%6510
12/7/2016@ ATLANTA95-103L9W203.5U34-8042.5%421643-8848.9%5514
12/9/2016@ CLEVELAND84-114L12.5L208.5U31-8934.8%521346-8355.4%5411
12/10/2016@ CHICAGO100-105L9.5W201O42-9146.2%511238-8445.2%5411
12/12/2016WASHINGTON112-101W1W208.5O45-8851.1%571139-8446.4%4114
12/14/2016INDIANA95-89W1W204U37-8245.1%691533-8937.1%468
12/16/2016LA CLIPPERS98-102L8W206U38-9340.9%58436-8343.4%5910
12/18/2016BOSTON95-105L4.5L202.5U36-6952.2%492341-9045.6%4911
12/20/2016ORLANDO130-136L-3.5L199O50-10846.3%661052-10549.5%6311
12/22/2016LA LAKERS115-107W-6W212O45-8453.6%511240-9044.4%4713
12/23/2016@ NEW ORLEANS87-91L5W206U36-8741.4%631333-8937.1%579
12/27/2016OKLAHOMA CITY94-106L4.5L203.5U36-8243.9%441242-8251.2%5617
12/29/2016@ CHARLOTTE82-91L6L203.5U33-8240.2%561636-9338.7%618
12/30/2016@ BOSTON114-117L9.5W203.5O48-9053.3%471238-7451.4%3913
1/1/2017DETROIT98-107L6.5L198.5O35-7745.5%411042-8648.8%5712
1/3/2017@ PHOENIX90-99L5.5L212.5U36-9139.6%511236-7746.8%5318
1/4/2017@ SACRAMENTO107-102W7.5W204O35-7248.6%481840-7851.3%3416
1/6/2017@ LA LAKERS100-127L2.5L213.5O38-9241.3%511048-9650.0%7011
1/8/2017@ LA CLIPPERS86-98L9L206.5U31-8436.9%571536-8641.9%5811
1/10/2017@ GOLDEN STATE95-107L14.5W218.5U38-8942.7%491139-8645.3%5711
1/13/2017@ MILWAUKEE              
1/17/2017HOUSTON              
1/19/2017DALLAS              
1/21/2017MILWAUKEE              
1/23/2017GOLDEN STATE              
1/25/2017@ BROOKLYN              
1/27/2017@ CHICAGO              
1/28/2017DETROIT              

MILWAUKEE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
12/5/2016SAN ANTONIO96-97L6W203U30-7341.1%491440-9343.0%5614
12/7/2016PORTLAND115-107W-1.5W214.5O40-7751.9%521037-8543.5%4815
12/9/2016ATLANTA110-114L-3L205O44-9446.8%521540-8447.6%5317
12/10/2016@ WASHINGTON105-110L4.5L210O40-7950.6%482040-8845.5%489
12/12/2016@ TORONTO100-122L8L212.5O42-8947.2%441142-8350.6%5314
12/15/2016CHICAGO108-97W0W206.5U45-9547.4%49835-7447.3%5316
12/16/2016@ CHICAGO95-69W5.5W204U38-8246.3%601128-9230.4%5912
12/20/2016CLEVELAND108-114L3L212O40-8746.0%601437-9140.7%5310
12/21/2016@ CLEVELAND102-113L7L207.5O36-7746.8%47843-8749.4%5311
12/23/2016WASHINGTON123-96W-3W214.5O45-8056.2%471137-7946.8%3614
12/26/2016@ WASHINGTON102-107L3.5L213U40-8547.1%471340-7950.6%4916
12/28/2016@ DETROIT119-94W3.5W203.5O48-8457.1%42739-8844.3%5310
12/30/2016@ MINNESOTA99-116L1.5L209O40-7454.1%361443-7755.8%4211
12/31/2016@ CHICAGO116-96W3W202.5O43-7656.6%521233-8339.8%4511
1/2/2017OKLAHOMA CITY98-94W-2W213.5U38-7948.1%511036-7846.2%4710
1/4/2017@ NEW YORK105-104W-3L213U37-7847.4%521342-9444.7%5513
1/6/2017NEW YORK111-116L-5.5L213.5O39-7850.0%431441-8349.4%5114
1/8/2017WASHINGTON101-107L0L211.5U37-8046.2%351641-8448.8%5619
1/10/2017@ SAN ANTONIO109-107W10W202.5O44-8452.4%421242-8847.7%4914
1/13/2017MIAMI              
1/15/2017@ ATLANTA              
1/16/2017PHILADELPHIA              
1/18/2017@ HOUSTON              
1/20/2017@ ORLANDO              
1/21/2017@ MIAMI              
1/23/2017HOUSTON              
1/25/2017PHILADELPHIA              
1/27/2017@ TORONTO              
1/28/2017BOSTON              
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1996
MIAMI is 39-35 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE since 1996
MIAMI is 47-30 straight up against MILWAUKEE since 1996
38 of 74 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MILWAUKEE since 1996
MIAMI is 21-16 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE since 1996
MIAMI is 23-16 straight up against MILWAUKEE since 1996
20 of 36 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games played at MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
11/17/2016MILWAUKEE73202.5 Under4828-8532.9%7-2330.4%10-1376.9%541213
 MIAMI96-4SU ATS4839-9740.2%7-3023.3%11-2152.4%74177
03/09/2016MIAMI108-3.5 Over5442-8052.5%6-1540.0%18-1994.7%441015
 MILWAUKEE114199SU ATS5742-8052.5%4-850.0%26-3770.3%441213
01/29/2016MIAMI107194.5SU ATS5537-7450.0%7-1838.9%26-3281.2%42817
 MILWAUKEE103-1 Over4838-8047.5%2-1216.7%25-2889.3%461319
01/19/2016MILWAUKEE91191.5SU ATS4936-7448.6%5-1241.7%14-1687.5%45717
 MIAMI79-4 Under3927-7436.5%5-2222.7%20-2676.9%481214
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MIAMI in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 48.3% of the time since 1996. (682-730)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 42.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (76-101)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 50.6% of the time since 1996. (653-638)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 52% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (89-82)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 52.3% of the time since 1996. (825-751)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 54.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (111-94)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 52.3% of the time since 1996. (775-708)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 53.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (104-89)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
[F] 01/13/2017 - Willie Reed "?" Friday vs. Milwaukee ( Sternum )
[G] 01/09/2017 - Josh Richardson out indefinitely ( Foot )
[F] 01/04/2017 - Justise Winslow out for season ( Shoulder )
[F] 12/27/2016 - Josh McRoberts out indefinitely ( Foot )
[F] 10/22/2016 - Chris Bosh out for season ( Blood Clot )
MILWAUKEE
[F] 01/12/2017 - Giannis Antetokounmpo probable Friday vs. Miami ( Illness )
[F] 10/22/2016 - Khris Middleton out indefinitely ( Hamstring )
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