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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 10:35 PM
MIAMI (23-10) AT PORTLAND (19-15) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
505: MIAMI
506: PORTLAND
196.0
+3.0
102.2 / 97.3
97.3 / 99.2
23-10
19-15
16-17
15-18
15-18
16-17
48.8%
44.0%
76.7%
77.1%
39.4%
34.4%
43.7%
46.3%
76.6%
78.3%
35.8%
33.9%
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIAMI-4 
PORTLAND  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games16-17113-109699-71115-18106-116658-74323-10157-68818-619
as a favorite15-17102-95431-43615-1793-103415-44222-10146-53638-245
as a road favorite of 3 points or less0-38-1264-481-27-1349-620-38-1267-46
in road games5-953-54352-3456-851-55323-3707-763-45333-377
in a road game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points1-39-1139-331-310-933-391-311-940-34
in January games1-315-19111-1161-321-14120-1072-223-12123-108
against Northwest division opponents4-115-1144-421-414-1153-325-018-850-36
in non-conference games8-738-35231-2188-740-33220-22812-349-25251-209
after 3 or more consecutive unders2-214-17109-903-116-1495-1033-120-11125-78
off a upset loss as a favorite4-523-27111-1245-428-23101-1297-235-16140-102
after a loss by 10 points or more1-414-11134-1314-117-9140-1274-119-7141-135
after scoring 85 points or less0-213-11168-1732-012-12165-1682-019-5192-158
when playing against a team with a winning record6-964-62357-3774-1158-69330-4048-778-51355-400
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game4-226-26195-1743-324-27164-2046-043-9262-119

PORTLAND - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games15-1889-93670-66316-1793-93637-67619-1597-91723-634
as an underdog10-936-43309-2818-1036-43287-29210-926-54212-386
as a home underdog of 3 points or less1-26-446-302-15-540-341-26-444-32
in home games8-750-41333-3328-847-45312-34112-464-29436-239
in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points2-39-1336-394-214-937-394-213-1047-29
in January games3-218-18117-1103-216-21109-1134-121-16128-102
when playing with 2 days rest3-48-1594-974-313-13101-885-311-16107-90
against Southeast division opponents1-39-1238-422-29-1239-412-210-1143-38
after a non-conference game6-730-29228-2175-730-29221-2146-730-31243-214
in non-conference games6-828-31221-2267-729-33217-2257-733-29263-195
after allowing 105 points or more5-519-21127-1225-516-25102-1445-520-21132-123
after scoring 105 points or more2-517-24135-1293-417-25113-1462-519-23150-121
after 3 or more consecutive wins1-38-11104-1101-29-10100-1072-29-11126-92
when playing against a team with a winning record7-546-49354-3305-751-45319-3557-541-55305-394
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game3-333-38231-2072-438-35216-2203-337-36214-234
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games23-10-8.216-1715-18102.251.748.8%47.397.350.143.7%49.8
Road Games7-7-8.45-96-897.349.747.0%49.099.850.444.0%50.1
Last 5 Games3-2-2.51-42-399.248.045.8%47.894.648.241.7%55.8
MIAMI Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)102.251.738-7848.8%8-2139.4%18-2376.7%47822198135
vs opponents surrendering97.34937-8244.6%7-2036.0%17-2275.3%511122208145
Team Stats (Road Games)97.349.737-7847.0%8-2237.6%16-2172.8%49921197155
Stats Against (All Games)97.350.136-8343.7%8-2335.8%17-2276.6%501220208143
vs opponents averaging97.14937-8344.5%7-2035.5%17-2275.2%511222208145
Stats Against (Road Games)99.850.437-8444.0%9-2339.9%17-2277.4%501223208135

PORTLAND - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games19-15+9.215-1816-1797.347.944.0%49.199.249.646.3%50.8
Home Games12-4+7.88-78-8100.749.645.7%48.497.548.845.2%50.6
Last 5 Games4-1+8.43-23-299.449.046.1%47.4100.450.445.3%50.2
PORTLAND Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)97.347.936-8344.0%8-2434.4%16-2177.1%491221198145
vs opponents surrendering98.149.337-8244.9%7-2035.9%17-2275.6%511122208146
Team Stats (Home Games)100.749.638-8345.7%8-2434.7%17-2277.6%481121198145
Stats Against (All Games)99.249.638-8246.3%7-2033.9%17-2178.3%511123198144
vs opponents averaging97.749.137-8244.6%7-2035.3%17-2375.3%511122208145
Stats Against (Home Games)97.548.837-8145.2%6-2031.2%18-2279.4%511122208153
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 95.6,  PORTLAND 95.4
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
12/1/2012BROOKLYN102-89W-8W192.5U40-7851.3%381033-7544.0%5618
12/4/2012@ WASHINGTON101-105L-10L194.5O41-8946.1%511238-7948.1%5010
12/6/2012NEW YORK92-112L-9.5L199O32-7642.1%511441-9145.1%567
12/8/2012NEW ORLEANS106-90W-14.5W194O40-6958.0%421635-7844.9%3617
12/10/2012ATLANTA101-92W-6.5W197.5U39-6758.2%451432-7542.7%3514
12/12/2012GOLDEN STATE95-97L-8L206.5U38-8047.5%451738-8146.9%4513
12/15/2012WASHINGTON102-72W-15W196U40-7950.6%511227-7237.5%4421
12/18/2012MINNESOTA103-92W-8W200U36-7746.8%34837-8643.0%6619
12/20/2012@ DALLAS110-95W-5.5W203O42-7853.8%561837-9638.5%449
12/22/2012UTAH105-89W-7.5W198.5U38-7352.1%461630-7341.1%4019
12/25/2012OKLAHOMA CITY103-97W-2.5W204U38-8047.5%391330-7142.3%5016
12/26/2012@ CHARLOTTE105-92W-9W200.5U37-8145.7%501334-7843.6%5316
12/28/2012@ DETROIT99-109L-6L189O39-7750.6%361443-7458.1%4314
12/29/2012@ MILWAUKEE85-104L-4L199.5U33-7643.4%602040-9840.8%515
12/31/2012@ ORLANDO112-110W-9.5L194.5O40-8547.1%47742-8847.7%5716
1/2/2013DALLAS119-109W-10.5L204.5O42-8947.2%53941-9443.6%5613
1/4/2013CHICAGO89-96L-7.5L189.5U30-6546.2%371236-8045.0%5415
1/6/2013WASHINGTON99-71W-14W191.5U38-8246.3%58929-8135.8%468
1/8/2013@ INDIANA77-87L-1.5L187.5U28-6841.2%441433-9136.3%669
1/10/2013@ PORTLAND              
1/12/2013@ SACRAMENTO              
1/14/2013@ UTAH              
1/16/2013@ GOLDEN STATE              
1/17/2013@ LA LAKERS              
1/23/2013TORONTO              
1/25/2013DETROIT              

PORTLAND - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
12/1/2012@ CLEVELAND118-117W1.5W192.5O46-9448.9%491443-9943.4%6316
12/3/2012@ CHARLOTTE118-112W1.5W191.5O43-9246.7%581341-8846.6%4915
12/5/2012@ INDIANA92-99L4L186O34-7943.0%431036-8045.0%5113
12/8/2012SACRAMENTO80-99L-7L197U29-7538.7%491836-8641.9%5510
12/10/2012TORONTO92-74W-2.5W193.5U36-8940.4%55726-7435.1%5014
12/13/2012SAN ANTONIO98-90W7W200.5U40-8845.5%471433-7245.8%4819
12/16/2012NEW ORLEANS95-94W-5L185.5O37-8046.2%421036-8045.0%5114
12/20/2012DENVER101-93W6W201U33-9235.9%591138-9838.8%729
12/22/2012PHOENIX96-93W-4.5L196U33-6947.8%532140-8944.9%4010
12/23/2012@ SACRAMENTO96-108L0L195O37-8543.5%461745-8155.6%4214
12/26/2012SACRAMENTO109-91W-7.5W198.5O44-8750.6%631735-8640.7%4010
12/28/2012@ LA LAKERS87-104L9L206U36-8741.4%50940-8646.5%6211
12/29/2012PHILADELPHIA89-85W-3W191U34-7644.7%451136-8542.4%5113
1/1/2013@ NEW YORK105-100W9.5W197O41-8150.6%531636-8442.9%4710
1/2/2013@ TORONTO79-102L4L192U31-7044.3%381841-7753.2%4511
1/4/2013@ MEMPHIS86-84W8W182U33-8140.7%501532-8139.5%5214
1/5/2013@ MINNESOTA102-97W6.5W189.5O37-8643.0%451338-9141.8%6013
1/7/2013ORLANDO125-119W-6.5L193O48-9451.1%51946-9349.5%4710
1/10/2013MIAMI              
1/11/2013@ GOLDEN STATE              
1/13/2013OKLAHOMA CITY              
1/15/2013@ DENVER              
1/16/2013CLEVELAND              
1/19/2013MILWAUKEE              
1/21/2013WASHINGTON              
1/23/2013INDIANA              
1/26/2013LA CLIPPERS              
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1996
MIAMI is 15-14 against the spread versus PORTLAND since 1996
PORTLAND is 15-14 straight up against MIAMI since 1996
18 of 29 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at PORTLAND since 1996
MIAMI is 11-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND since 1996
MIAMI is 10-5 straight up against PORTLAND since 1996
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games played at PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-0 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
03/01/2012MIAMI107-3.5SU ATS6039-8247.6%6-1154.5%23-2979.3%47129
 PORTLAND93198.5 Over4236-7647.4%5-1631.2%16-1984.2%45816
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring PORTLAND in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49.1% of the time since 1996. (538-557)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (88-88)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PORTLAND games 48.2% of the time since 1996. (510-548)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PORTLAND games 48.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (74-80)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 52.5% of the time since 1996. (639-578)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (101-101)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PORTLAND games 49.3% of the time since 1996. (569-586)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PORTLAND games 50.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (87-84)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
[F] 01/10/2013 - Shane Battier doubtful Thursday vs. Portland ( Hamstring )
PORTLAND
[G] 12/27/2012 - Elliot Williams out indefinitely ( Achilles )
[C] 12/31/2012 - Meyers Leonard out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[F] 01/09/2013 - LaMarcus Aldridge probable Thursday vs. Miami ( Wrist )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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