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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 10:05 PM
MIAMI (23-11) AT SACRAMENTO (13-23) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
515: MIAMI
516: SACRAMENTO
201.5
+7.0
101.8 / 97.2
96.9 / 102.5
23-11
13-23
16-18
16-19
15-19
22-13
48.7%
43.9%
76.5%
76.8%
39.2%
34.9%
43.5%
45.5%
76.6%
79.0%
35.7%
34.8%
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIAMI-6 
SACRAMENTO  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games16-18113-110699-71215-19106-117658-74423-11157-69818-620
as a favorite15-18102-96431-43715-1893-104415-44322-11146-54638-246
as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points2-011-1034-320-29-1229-352-017-452-15
in road games5-1053-55352-3466-951-56323-3717-863-46333-378
in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points4-08-422-201-35-722-214-09-327-16
in January games1-415-20111-1171-421-15120-1082-323-13123-109
on Saturday games5-314-14103-993-513-1689-1117-123-6121-86
against Pacific division opponents2-211-997-772-28-1288-872-214-6104-74
after a non-conference game11-436-34229-2175-1032-38222-22313-248-24258-200
in non-conference games8-838-36231-2198-840-34220-22912-449-26251-210
after 3 or more consecutive unders2-314-18109-913-216-1595-1043-220-12125-79
off a upset loss as a favorite4-623-28111-1255-528-24101-1307-335-17140-103
when playing against a team with a losing record7-642-42301-2959-443-40292-29711-270-14427-185
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game4-326-27195-1753-424-28164-2056-143-10262-120

SACRAMENTO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games16-1983-99660-66122-13102-81690-63213-2359-125652-695
as an underdog13-1568-78340-35418-984-62372-3138-2039-108202-503
as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points0-03-425-140-06-123-150-01-614-25
in home games8-1038-53335-32213-654-39350-31010-937-56410-261
in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points2-16-556-523-010-162-472-16-573-37
in January games3-320-19113-1165-118-21118-1092-413-26117-118
on Saturday games2-310-1678-893-115-1090-772-35-2169-104
against Southeast division opponents1-19-828-471-113-444-321-15-1224-53
in non-conference games8-731-32212-23410-539-24233-2167-822-41234-225
after 3 or more consecutive overs3-213-1476-743-217-1075-752-39-1874-81
off a upset loss as a favorite0-25-1096-842-08-793-860-24-1199-87
after allowing 105 points or more4-637-41245-2516-542-37249-2484-726-53236-280
after scoring 105 points or more5-425-25234-2515-429-21239-2472-717-33246-258
after 3 or more consecutive losses3-427-2596-1105-329-25104-1034-420-3484-132
when playing against a team with a winning record7-644-52354-3598-555-41382-3286-825-72284-451
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game5-333-37199-2006-141-28223-1763-520-50148-262
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games23-11-9.916-1815-19101.851.748.7%47.497.249.843.5%49.9
Road Games7-8-105-106-996.849.946.9%49.199.349.643.6%50.4
Last 5 Games2-3-5.21-41-494.848.845.4%48.691.045.239.7%55.2
MIAMI Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)101.851.738-7848.7%8-2139.2%17-2376.5%47822198135
vs opponents surrendering97.34937-8244.7%7-2035.8%17-2275.3%511122208145
Team Stats (Road Games)96.849.937-7846.9%8-2237.2%16-2172.6%49921197155
Stats Against (All Games)97.249.836-8343.5%8-2335.7%17-2276.6%501220208143
vs opponents averaging9748.937-8344.4%7-2035.4%17-2275.2%511222208145
Stats Against (Road Games)99.349.636-8443.6%9-2339.4%17-2277.3%501223208134

SACRAMENTO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-23-616-1922-1396.947.443.9%49.2102.551.045.5%53.0
Home Games10-9+2.28-1013-6100.549.645.9%49.1102.748.345.9%49.4
Last 5 Games2-3+0.32-34-197.649.444.3%49.2106.652.844.0%56.0
SACRAMENTO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)96.947.436-8343.9%7-1934.9%17-2276.8%491220218145
vs opponents surrendering97.148.637-8244.6%7-2035.1%17-2275.4%511122208145
Team Stats (Home Games)100.549.638-8245.9%7-1935.1%19-2476.5%491120218144
Stats Against (All Games)102.551.038-8345.5%7-2134.8%20-2579.0%531323207147
vs opponents averaging97.849.237-8244.6%7-2035.3%17-2375.3%511222208145
Stats Against (Home Games)102.748.337-8145.9%8-2237.3%21-2680.7%491123217146
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 95.5,  SACRAMENTO 94.8
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
12/4/2012@ WASHINGTON101-105L-10L194.5O41-8946.1%511238-7948.1%5010
12/6/2012NEW YORK92-112L-9.5L199O32-7642.1%511441-9145.1%567
12/8/2012NEW ORLEANS106-90W-14.5W194O40-6958.0%421635-7844.9%3617
12/10/2012ATLANTA101-92W-6.5W197.5U39-6758.2%451432-7542.7%3514
12/12/2012GOLDEN STATE95-97L-8L206.5U38-8047.5%451738-8146.9%4513
12/15/2012WASHINGTON102-72W-15W196U40-7950.6%511227-7237.5%4421
12/18/2012MINNESOTA103-92W-8W200U36-7746.8%34837-8643.0%6619
12/20/2012@ DALLAS110-95W-5.5W203O42-7853.8%561837-9638.5%449
12/22/2012UTAH105-89W-7.5W198.5U38-7352.1%461630-7341.1%4019
12/25/2012OKLAHOMA CITY103-97W-2.5W204U38-8047.5%391330-7142.3%5016
12/26/2012@ CHARLOTTE105-92W-9W200.5U37-8145.7%501334-7843.6%5316
12/28/2012@ DETROIT99-109L-6L189O39-7750.6%361443-7458.1%4314
12/29/2012@ MILWAUKEE85-104L-4L199.5U33-7643.4%602040-9840.8%515
12/31/2012@ ORLANDO112-110W-9.5L194.5O40-8547.1%47742-8847.7%5716
1/2/2013DALLAS119-109W-10.5L204.5O42-8947.2%53941-9443.6%5613
1/4/2013CHICAGO89-96L-7.5L189.5U30-6546.2%371236-8045.0%5415
1/6/2013WASHINGTON99-71W-14W191.5U38-8246.3%58929-8135.8%468
1/8/2013@ INDIANA77-87L-1.5L187.5U28-6841.2%441433-9136.3%669
1/10/2013@ PORTLAND90-92L-3.5L194.5U35-7745.5%511730-8037.5%5414
1/12/2013@ SACRAMENTO              
1/14/2013@ UTAH              
1/16/2013@ GOLDEN STATE              
1/17/2013@ LA LAKERS              
1/23/2013TORONTO              
1/25/2013DETROIT              
1/27/2013@ BOSTON              

SACRAMENTO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
12/5/2012TORONTO107-100W-2.5W198O38-8246.3%611535-8640.7%4711
12/7/2012ORLANDO91-82W-3W194U32-7940.5%591830-8037.5%4616
12/8/2012@ PORTLAND99-80W7W197U36-8641.9%551029-7538.7%4918
12/10/2012@ DALLAS96-119L6.5L200.5O37-8444.0%511948-8755.2%468
12/12/2012@ MILWAUKEE85-98L7.5L198U32-8637.2%561739-9640.6%689
12/14/2012@ OKLAHOMA CITY103-113L13W203O34-7545.3%341441-8349.4%5218
12/16/2012DENVER97-122L4.5L204.5O31-9134.1%50946-8554.1%6111
12/17/2012@ PHOENIX90-101L7L197U34-8341.0%581641-8548.2%447
12/19/2012GOLDEN STATE131-127W3.5W201O43-8650.0%51946-9250.0%4912
12/21/2012@ LA CLIPPERS85-97L13W202U33-7941.8%421637-8742.5%6719
12/23/2012PORTLAND108-96W0W195O45-8155.6%421437-8543.5%4617
12/26/2012@ PORTLAND91-109L7.5L198.5O35-8640.7%401044-8750.6%6317
12/28/2012NEW YORK106-105W3W198.5O39-8645.3%451141-8349.4%5617
12/30/2012BOSTON118-96W3W193.5O44-8253.7%521336-8641.9%4312
1/1/2013@ DETROIT97-103L7W195.5O36-8641.9%441339-7552.0%5217
1/2/2013@ CLEVELAND97-94W3.5W200U38-8843.2%511034-8739.1%6013
1/4/2013@ TORONTO105-96W7W196O40-7652.6%521730-7938.0%5415
1/5/2013@ BROOKLYN93-113L7L195.5O36-9040.0%51944-8551.8%5512
1/7/2013MEMPHIS81-113L4L188.5O28-7636.8%441439-8048.7%518
1/10/2013DALLAS112-117L-2.5L205O40-8149.4%482041-9642.7%6012
1/12/2013MIAMI              
1/14/2013CLEVELAND              
1/16/2013WASHINGTON              
1/18/2013@ MEMPHIS              
1/19/2013@ CHARLOTTE              
1/21/2013@ NEW ORLEANS              
1/23/2013PHOENIX              
1/25/2013OKLAHOMA CITY              
1/26/2013@ DENVER              
1/28/2013@ WASHINGTON              
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1996
MIAMI is 24-5 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO since 1996
MIAMI is 23-6 straight up against SACRAMENTO since 1996
16 of 29 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at SACRAMENTO since 1996
MIAMI is 11-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO since 1996
MIAMI is 9-5 straight up against SACRAMENTO since 1996
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games played at SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
02/21/2012SACRAMENTO108201.5 ATS5340-8944.9%13-2748.1%15-1978.9%471515
 MIAMI120-13.5SU Over5745-8155.6%10-2343.5%20-2387.0%45912
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring SACRAMENTO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49.2% of the time since 1996. (539-557)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 50.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (89-88)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SACRAMENTO games 48.9% of the time since 1996. (517-541)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SACRAMENTO games 49.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (68-69)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 52.5% of the time since 1996. (640-578)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 50.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (102-101)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SACRAMENTO games 51.3% of the time since 1996. (591-562)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SACRAMENTO games 53.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (86-75)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
[F] 01/12/2013 - Shane Battier is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Sacramento ( Hamstring )
SACRAMENTO
[C] 01/11/2013 - DeMarcus Cousins "?" Saturday vs. Miami ( Possible Suspension )
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