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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 2:05 PM
MIAMI (29-14) AT TORONTO (17-30) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
805: MIAMI
806: TORONTO
194.5
+5.0
102.4 / 96.8
97.8 / 99.3
29-14
17-30
21-22
25-21
21-22
24-23
48.9%
44.4%
75.6%
76.9%
38.5%
35.2%
43.9%
46.1%
76.4%
75.2%
36.2%
34.9%
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIAMI-4 
TORONTO  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games21-22118-114704-71621-22112-120664-74729-14163-72824-623
as a favorite19-22106-100435-44121-2099-106421-44527-14151-57643-249
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points3-619-1450-484-518-1354-424-520-1370-30
in road games9-1357-58356-34910-1255-59327-37411-1167-49337-381
in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points1-512-1454-703-312-1363-613-316-1055-70
in February games0-115-11107-871-012-1389-960-120-6120-80
second half of the season0-144-43309-3191-033-52282-3410-160-27384-265
on Sunday games1-221-1795-1101-214-2488-1171-224-14119-96
against Atlantic division opponents4-433-3185-994-430-3492-905-348-17117-70
off a upset loss as a favorite7-626-28114-1256-729-26102-13210-338-17143-103
after a loss by 10 points or more1-514-12134-1324-217-10140-1284-219-8141-136
after playing 3 consecutive road games4-615-1374-776-415-1576-758-221-989-65
when playing against a team with a losing record10-845-44304-29713-547-41296-29815-374-15431-186
when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season0-018-13149-1330-015-16137-1470-026-5211-84
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game7-429-28198-1765-626-30166-20710-147-10266-120
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season0-011-11101-830-09-1376-1080-017-5139-53

TORONTO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games25-2197-93642-64524-2389-105640-64117-3062-133548-770
as an underdog18-1676-69413-40420-1574-75417-3919-2638-112243-596
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points6-016-1047-613-311-1554-554-29-1727-85
in home games14-948-47309-3339-1442-55313-33012-1141-56332-325
in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points4-311-1057-552-56-1553-594-311-1055-59
in February games1-014-1097-860-112-1293-861-08-1780-112
second half of the season1-041-35282-3100-133-44287-3061-026-52252-369
on Sunday games5-318-13127-1224-414-17132-1204-414-17118-138
against Southeast division opponents7-123-2082-703-521-2286-685-313-3072-84
after a non-conference game12-1033-35219-21710-1234-35215-2187-1518-52175-276
revenging a loss vs opponent18-1268-63363-37013-1861-73373-35911-2042-92287-480
off an upset win as an underdog6-216-19114-1205-321-16114-1215-311-26106-135
after allowing 85 points or less2-311-787-943-211-990-912-34-1680-106
after a win by 10 points or more4-411-14118-1174-416-11121-1154-46-21113-129
when playing against a team with a winning record10-948-43312-31711-947-48325-3053-1721-74201-458
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season2-115-19135-1651-215-19157-1471-29-2589-225
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game8-731-35157-1778-730-38167-1684-1117-51111-235
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season1-111-1664-901-19-1875-831-17-2048-113
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games29-14-8.521-2221-22102.451.548.9%47.396.849.643.9%49.7
Road Games11-11-10.69-1310-1298.249.747.2%47.997.549.043.8%50.9
Last 5 Games3-2-0.42-34-1105.049.849.8%50.098.251.047.5%44.2
MIAMI Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)102.451.538-7948.9%8-2138.5%17-2375.6%47822208135
vs opponents surrendering97.448.937-8244.8%7-2035.6%17-2275.0%511122208145
Team Stats (Road Games)98.249.737-7947.2%8-2236.9%15-2172.6%48922218145
Stats Against (All Games)96.849.636-8243.9%8-2236.2%17-2276.4%501120208143
vs opponents averaging97.348.937-8244.7%7-2035.6%17-2275.0%511122208145
Stats Against (Road Games)97.549.036-8243.8%8-2139.0%18-2376.9%511222208144

TORONTO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games17-30-10.125-2124-2397.849.044.4%48.199.348.346.1%52.1
Home Games12-11-1.414-99-1498.949.144.8%49.795.245.945.1%50.7
Last 5 Games2-3-1.93-21-497.450.245.5%48.894.844.045.7%49.4
TORONTO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)97.849.037-8244.4%8-2235.2%17-2276.9%481123237135
vs opponents surrendering97.84937-8245.0%7-2035.7%17-2275.4%511122208145
Team Stats (Home Games)98.949.138-8444.8%8-2235.1%16-2174.5%501224228125
Stats Against (All Games)99.348.337-7946.1%6-1834.9%20-2675.2%521122197145
vs opponents averaging97.448.837-8245.0%7-2035.6%17-2275.4%511122208145
Stats Against (Home Games)95.245.935-7845.1%6-1733.1%19-2577.3%511020196154
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 95.2,  TORONTO 95
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
12/25/2012OKLAHOMA CITY103-97W-2.5W204U38-8047.5%391330-7142.3%5016
12/26/2012@ CHARLOTTE105-92W-9W200.5U37-8145.7%501334-7843.6%5316
12/28/2012@ DETROIT99-109L-6L189O39-7750.6%361443-7458.1%4314
12/29/2012@ MILWAUKEE85-104L-4L199.5U33-7643.4%602040-9840.8%515
12/31/2012@ ORLANDO112-110W-9.5L194.5O40-8547.1%47742-8847.7%5716
1/2/2013DALLAS119-109W-10.5L204.5O42-8947.2%53941-9443.6%5613
1/4/2013CHICAGO89-96L-7.5L189.5U30-6546.2%371236-8045.0%5415
1/6/2013WASHINGTON99-71W-14W191.5U38-8246.3%58929-8135.8%468
1/8/2013@ INDIANA77-87L-1.5L187.5U28-6841.2%441433-9136.3%669
1/10/2013@ PORTLAND90-92L-3.5L194.5U35-7745.5%511730-8037.5%5414
1/12/2013@ SACRAMENTO128-99W-7.5W203.5O45-8056.2%411038-8743.7%5117
1/14/2013@ UTAH97-104L-2.5L198O39-7254.2%281436-7647.4%5514
1/16/2013@ GOLDEN STATE92-75W-4.5W200.5U36-9040.0%591129-8036.2%5621
1/17/2013@ LA LAKERS99-90W2.5W207U40-8348.2%43631-7243.1%5720
1/23/2013TORONTO123-116W-10L194.5O45-8254.9%641344-8850.0%358
1/25/2013DETROIT110-88W-9.5W192.5O43-7755.8%411234-7247.2%4218
1/27/2013@ BOSTON98-100L-5L188O39-9640.6%622036-8840.9%5614
1/30/2013@ BROOKLYN105-85W-2W191.5U43-8351.8%491331-6944.9%4119
2/1/2013@ INDIANA89-102L-2L184.5O33-7047.1%341139-7055.7%4712
2/3/2013@ TORONTO              
2/4/2013CHARLOTTE              
2/6/2013HOUSTON              
2/8/2013LA CLIPPERS              
2/10/2013LA LAKERS              
2/12/2013PORTLAND              
2/14/2013@ OKLAHOMA CITY              

TORONTO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
12/26/2012@ SAN ANTONIO80-100L14L200.5U33-7842.3%421534-7147.9%5017
12/28/2012@ NEW ORLEANS104-97W3W182.5O37-8543.5%47737-8245.1%5916
12/29/2012@ ORLANDO123-88W3W187O46-8256.1%52836-8144.4%457
1/2/2013PORTLAND102-79W-4W192U41-7753.2%451131-7044.3%3818
1/4/2013SACRAMENTO96-105L-7L196O30-7938.0%541540-7652.6%5217
1/6/2013OKLAHOMA CITY92-104L6.5L196.5U34-7644.7%421638-7749.4%4616
1/9/2013PHILADELPHIA90-72W-5W189.5U39-8048.7%511129-7439.2%4413
1/11/2013CHARLOTTE99-78W-8W194.5U39-8645.3%511128-7537.3%4813
1/13/2013MILWAUKEE96-107L-3L192.5O36-8542.4%551540-7751.9%4112
1/15/2013@ BROOKLYN106-113L7T189.5O40-8248.8%501340-8149.4%406
1/16/2013CHICAGO105-107L4.5W183O38-8544.7%531239-8645.3%6014
1/18/2013@ PHILADELPHIA101-108L4.5L190O40-8845.5%511847-9151.6%4811
1/20/2013LA LAKERS108-103W4W201.5O46-8454.8%501538-8843.2%4813
1/23/2013@ MIAMI116-123L10W194.5O44-8850.0%35845-8254.9%6413
1/24/2013@ ORLANDO97-95W4W198.5U39-7850.0%421035-8143.2%5013
1/26/2013CLEVELAND98-99L-7L201U40-8248.8%451537-7847.4%4615
1/28/2013GOLDEN STATE102-114L2L201O38-8743.7%421046-8653.5%5413
1/30/2013@ ATLANTA92-93L7W196.5U33-8538.8%591736-7548.0%4517
2/1/2013LA CLIPPERS98-73W4W193U38-8146.9%561225-7234.7%5214
2/3/2013MIAMI              
2/6/2013BOSTON              
2/8/2013@ INDIANA              
2/10/2013NEW ORLEANS              
2/12/2013DENVER              
2/13/2013@ NEW YORK              
2/19/2013@ WASHINGTON              
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1996
TORONTO is 30-25 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1996
MIAMI is 39-20 straight up against TORONTO since 1996
28 of 55 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 8-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at TORONTO since 1996
TORONTO is 15-11 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1996
MIAMI is 15-13 straight up against TORONTO since 1996
14 of 26 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games played at TORONTO over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
01/23/2013TORONTO116194.5 ATS5744-8850.0%14-3145.2%14-1877.8%3578
 MIAMI123-10SU Over5045-8254.9%9-2240.9%24-3863.2%641613
04/18/2012TORONTO72187.5 Under4930-7241.7%1-166.2%11-1573.3%381014
 MIAMI96-9.5SU ATS5140-7652.6%7-1741.2%9-1560.0%501114
03/30/2012MIAMI113-7SU ATS5944-7757.1%5-1435.7%20-2483.3%34118
 TORONTO101191 Over5139-7254.2%5-1435.7%18-1994.7%37916
02/05/2012TORONTO89188.5 ATS4834-7943.0%6-2227.3%15-2171.4%461016
 MIAMI95-16.5SU Under5331-6944.9%4-1233.3%29-3485.3%48414
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MIAMI in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49.2% of the time since 1996. (542-560)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 50.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (92-91)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 49.1% of the time since 1996. (507-526)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 49.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (74-75)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 52.6% of the time since 1996. (645-581)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 50.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (107-104)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 50.5% of the time since 1996. (566-555)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 45.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (80-96)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
No significant injuries.
TORONTO
[F] 02/02/2013 - Andrea Bargnani is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Miami ( Elbow )
[F] 01/12/2013 - Linas Kleiza out indefinitely ( Knee )
[G] 02/01/2013 - Mickael Pietrus out indefinitely ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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